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解码基金“擒牛术”:布局十倍股的三大核心逻辑
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2026-01-11 17:00
Core Insights - The article highlights the exceptional performance of the Yongying Technology Smart Selection A fund, managed by Ren Jie, which achieved a record annual return of 233.29% in 2025, driven by significant holdings in stocks like New Yisheng and Shenghong Technology, both of which saw cumulative increases exceeding 10 times during the 2024-2025 period [1] - The analysis of A-shares over the past decade reveals that public funds have consistently played a crucial role in the rise of "tenfold stocks" during three major bull markets, with deep involvement in stocks like Tonghuashun and Yiyuan Lithium Energy [1] Group 1: Tenfold Stock Logic - Each bull market is characterized by distinct themes, with public funds aligning their investment strategies closely with policy directions and industrial changes [2] - During the "Leverage Bull" from 2014 to 2015, public funds focused on stocks benefiting from financial innovation and military reform, such as Tonghuashun and Guangqi Technology, which saw significant increases in fund holdings [2] - The "Core Asset Bull" from 2019 to 2021 emphasized high-growth and strong barrier stocks, with public funds investing in sectors like electronics and power equipment, leading to substantial returns [3] Group 2: Recent Market Trends - In the 2024-2025 market, public funds concentrated on technology companies with core competencies, reflecting a "hard technology + high performance" stock selection logic, with New Yisheng and Shenghong Technology showing remarkable profit growth [4] - The article notes that funds displayed caution towards stocks influenced by external factors, such as Upwind New Materials and Tianpu Shares, indicating a preference for performance-driven investments [4] Group 3: Investment Strategies - Public funds have consistently demonstrated three core investment strategies: aligning with prevailing market themes, focusing on high-growth sectors, and maintaining significant holdings in promising stocks [5] - The evolution of stock selection strategies among public funds has progressed from short-term trend capturing to long-term value exploration, showcasing a clear trajectory of improvement in selection capabilities [6][7] Group 4: Practical Insights for Investors - The interaction between public funds and tenfold stocks offers valuable insights for investors, emphasizing the importance of assessing fund positioning in core sectors [8] - Investors should prioritize funds that maintain long-term holdings in high-performing stocks, as these are more likely to yield sustainable returns [9] - Maintaining a diversified investment portfolio is crucial for risk management, as concentrated funds may face significant risks during industry rotations [9]
基金“抢跑”春季行情 10只产品拿到开年“大红包”
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2026-01-11 17:00
Group 1 - The A-share market experienced a strong start in 2026, with the Shanghai Composite Index breaking through 4100 points, reaching a nearly 10-year high, and the Shenzhen Component Index surpassing 14000 points, marking a nearly 4-year high [1] - Institutional investors, particularly public funds, had already increased their positions by the end of Q4 2025, anticipating the "spring rally" [2][3] - The market showed significant gains in sectors such as commercial aerospace, semiconductor chips, and innovative pharmaceuticals, with 10 funds achieving over 20% returns in the first week of the year [4] Group 2 - Fund managers reported that they reduced their positions to 70% during the market's downturn in late 2025, but began to increase their holdings in late November to early December as positive macroeconomic signals emerged [2] - Specific funds, such as those managed by Dazheng Jingheng and other notable managers, have been revealed to have increased their stakes in companies like Jiete Bio and Huakai Yibai, which saw significant stock price increases [3] - The average position of active equity funds was reported at 85.74% by the end of last year, with notable increases in sectors like basic chemicals, non-bank financials, and home appliances [3] Group 3 - The commercial aerospace sector has been highlighted as a key driver of the recent market rally, with the China Satellite Industry Index rising by 85.7% from November 2025 to January 2026 [4][5] - Fund managers emphasized the importance of the commercial aerospace industry's growth, driven by technological breakthroughs, capital support, and policy backing, marking 2026 as a transformative year for the sector [5] - The semiconductor industry, particularly in storage chips, is also experiencing significant growth, with funds heavily invested in this area reporting substantial returns [5] Group 4 - Analysts predict that the strong performance of the A-share market is supported by a favorable macroeconomic environment, increased capital inflows, and improvements in economic fundamentals [6] - The consensus among institutions is that "technology" and "cyclical" sectors will be key themes in 2026, with ongoing discussions about the sustainability of the current market rally [6][7] - Investment strategies are focusing on technology sectors, particularly AI and semiconductor industries, as well as cyclical commodities like chemicals and industrial metals, which are expected to benefit from supply constraints and moderate demand recovery [7]
逆向布局精准卡位 主动权益基金操作“向ETF看齐”
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2026-01-11 17:00
Group 1 - The boundary between passive investment through ETFs and actively managed funds is becoming increasingly blurred, with ETFs evolving into a "duet" with active equity funds [1] - The direction of ETF applications is increasingly serving as a "barometer" for many active equity funds, reflecting market demand and profitability [2] - Active equity funds are adopting ETF-like characteristics, with high concentration in specific sectors to achieve beta returns, often pushing their positions close to the 90% limit [2] Group 2 - The issuance of ETFs is seen as a signal for industry booms, with examples like the robotics sector where major fund companies launched ETFs, leading to a surge in active fund investments in that area [2] - The recent focus on commercial aerospace by active equity funds aligns with the launch of the first satellite ETF, indicating a strategic shift towards this sector [3] - A decrease in ETF applications for consumer sectors correlates with a reduction in active fund allocations to those areas, demonstrating a synchronized investment approach [3] Group 3 - The logic behind ETF applications has evolved from merely capturing flows to predicting industry turning points, significantly benefiting the research and investment strategies of active equity funds [4] - The recent surge in chemical ETFs reflects a strategic pivot in ETF product development, with active funds adjusting their holdings in response to these new offerings [4][5] - The synchronization between active fund managers and ETF applications indicates a high level of collaboration between public investment research and product development [5] Group 4 - The reverse positioning of ETFs often signals the end of industry downturns, as seen in the solar and battery sectors, where ETFs were launched despite active funds reducing their exposure [6] - The issuance of solar and battery ETFs by leading public funds aligns with policy changes aimed at industry reform, suggesting a strategic move towards enhancing profitability for leading companies [6] Group 5 - The collaboration between ETF product development and research departments has become a significant advantage for public funds in identifying investment opportunities [7] - ETF applications are evolving into precursors for active equity fund strategies, providing liquidity for sectors that are underrepresented or have been overlooked [7]
“翻倍基”乍现背后 基金经理依然相信港股繁荣刚刚开始
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2026-01-11 17:00
Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market is experiencing a prolonged consolidation phase, with significant challenges in liquidity and performance, particularly in sectors like innovative pharmaceuticals and technology, which previously showed strong growth [1][2][3] Group 1: Market Performance - In early 2026, the A-share market is performing well, while the Hong Kong stock market continues to struggle, particularly in sectors that previously led the market [1] - By the end of 2025, the performance of Hong Kong-themed funds, especially in innovative pharmaceuticals, has declined significantly, with only one fund showing over 112% growth [2] - The Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Technology Index remain in a consolidation phase, contributing to the underperformance of related thematic funds [2] Group 2: Liquidity Issues - Liquidity is identified as a critical factor restraining the Hong Kong market, with a significant drop in net inflows from southbound funds, which were only 23 billion HKD in December 2025 [3] - The IPO market in Hong Kong is expected to remain active, with total fundraising projected to exceed 300 billion HKD in 2026, posing challenges for liquidity [3] - There is a structural liquidity issue in the Hong Kong market, characterized by concentrated trading in large-cap stocks while small-cap stocks experience very low trading volumes [3] Group 3: Investment Strategies - Investment in Hong Kong stocks should prioritize "winning rate over odds," emphasizing value investing and risk diversification to mitigate liquidity risks [6] - Investors are advised to maintain a cautious approach, focusing on high-quality companies with strong fundamentals and historical integrity, as these are likely to enjoy valuation premiums [6] - The current appreciation of the RMB is seen as a potential driver for increased capital inflows into the Hong Kong market, enhancing its attractiveness [4] Group 4: Sector Focus - Fund managers express optimism about technology and consumer sectors, highlighting the relative undervaluation of Hong Kong stocks compared to global markets [7] - There is a growing interest in high-end manufacturing and innovative consumer sectors, with a focus on companies that leverage supply chain advantages and product innovation [8] - The tea beverage industry is noted for its improving competitive landscape, with leading companies expected to achieve stable long-term growth due to their cost advantages [8]
九十一只基金竞逐一月发行市场 权益资产领跑“小爆款”频现
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2026-01-11 17:00
Core Insights - The A-share market experienced a strong start in January 2026, with a significant increase in public fund issuance, totaling 91 new funds, marking a record high for the period [1] - Equity funds led the issuance with 36 new products, reflecting institutional optimism towards equity assets [1][3] - FOF funds showed remarkable performance, with three newly established products raising over 60 billion yuan, accounting for more than 70% of the total issuance for the month, indicating strong demand for asset allocation products [1][2] Fund Distribution - In January 2026, the distribution of newly issued funds included 36 equity funds, 27 mixed funds, 13 bond funds, 13 FOFs, and 2 QDII funds, catering to various investor needs [2] - The total issuance scale of 11 newly established funds reached 81.91 billion yuan, with FOF funds contributing significantly to this figure [2] Performance of FOF Funds - The three FOF funds raised a total of 60.32 billion yuan, representing 73.64% of the total new fund issuance for the month, with the largest being Guangfa Yueying Stable Three-Month Holding A at 32.88 billion yuan [2] - High subscription efficiency was noted, with several funds completing their fundraising in just one day [2] Focus on Technology Innovation - The issuance of technology-themed funds, particularly those related to the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, emerged as a highlight in January, with multiple companies launching index funds tracking various dimensions of the board [4] - Institutions are recognizing the long-term investment value in the Sci-Tech Innovation Board and are creating more refined tools to capture growth opportunities across different sectors [4] Diverse Product Offerings - New fund products displayed a diverse range, catering to different risk preferences, with several major fund companies launching mixed equity or ordinary equity funds [4] - The trend indicates a growing emphasis on active management to generate excess returns [4] Global Asset Allocation Trends - In response to global asset allocation trends, several fund companies launched QDII or Hong Kong stock-themed funds, enabling investors to seize opportunities in quality Hong Kong assets [5] - Mixed bond funds and bond-mixed funds were also introduced to provide options for investors seeking stable returns [5] Strong Fund Company Performance - Leading public fund companies showcased robust product development capabilities, with several launching multiple new products across various categories [6][7] - Major banks are serving as custodians for many of these products, indicating strong support from distribution channels for the new fund issuance [7] Market Outlook - The public fund market in January 2026 had a promising start, reflecting fund managers' positive expectations for structural opportunities in the market [7] - The trend of innovation and depth in public fund services is expected to continue, providing investors with new tools to strategically position themselves for investment opportunities in 2026 [7][8]
债市持续调整 机构看好“类固收”策略产品机会
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2026-01-11 17:00
Group 1 - The A-share market is strengthening while the bond market is experiencing continuous adjustments, with the 10-year government bond yield rising to around 1.90% [1] - Private equity institutions believe that the bond market's acceptance of recession narratives has significantly decreased, indicating a shift away from the previous "lying win" investment strategy based on declining interest rates [1][6] - The recent increase in CPI and PPI suggests a warming domestic economy, leading to heightened inflation expectations and a reversal in the bond market's attitude towards recession narratives [2] Group 2 - The 30-year U.S. Treasury bond yield remains relatively high at around 4.8%, despite a cumulative rate cut of 75 basis points by the Federal Reserve [3] - The "see-saw effect" between stocks and bonds is becoming more pronounced, with the 10-year government bond yield reaching a high point not seen since September 2024 [4] - Analysts expect limited upward momentum for the 10-year government bond yield in the short term, suggesting that investors should seize opportunities for increased allocations at the beginning of the year [4] Group 3 - The net supply of interest rate bonds is projected to reach 17.4 trillion yuan in 2026, indicating a significant increase compared to 2025 [5] - Despite the anticipated increase in bond supply, the demand for bonds may not improve significantly due to challenges in real financing needs and a downward trend in loan rates [5] - The current low interest rate environment is leading to a shift in asset allocation strategies, with a growing opportunity for "class fixed income" strategy products [6][7]
金价持续走高 国有大行筑牢交易安全线
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2026-01-11 17:00
Core Viewpoint - The recent rise in gold prices has led to increased trading risks, prompting major Chinese banks to issue warnings and adjust trading rules to protect investors [1][2]. Group 1: Gold Trading Risks - Since January 2026, major state-owned banks in China, including Bank of China and Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, have issued warnings regarding gold trading risks [1]. - The COMEX gold futures rose by 1.29% to $4,518.4 per ounce last Friday, with a weekly increase of 4.34% [1]. - Illegal trading platforms are attracting investors with promises of "low thresholds, high returns, and quick paybacks," which are essentially scams disguised as gold investment opportunities [1]. Group 2: Regulatory Adjustments - Bank of China has warned about illegal platforms that simulate futures trading, allowing investors to bet on price movements while requiring margin payments [1][2]. - The Shenzhen Municipal Office for the Prevention and Control of Illegal Financial Activities has issued risk alerts, stating that various gold and jewelry dealers are not licensed financial institutions and lack the qualifications to engage in gold asset management or public deposit solicitation [2]. - Industrial and Commercial Bank of China has raised the minimum investment for its gold accumulation business from 1,000 yuan to 1,100 yuan, effective January 8 [2]. Group 3: Risk Assessment Changes - Starting January 12, 2026, personal clients must undergo a risk assessment to engage in gold accumulation services, requiring a minimum risk tolerance rating of C3 - Balanced or higher [3]. - Previously, clients only needed a C1 - Conservative rating to participate in gold accumulation services [3]. - The adjustments reflect the need for investors to have a higher risk tolerance due to increased volatility in gold prices [3].
多重利好叠加释放 脑机接口板块“带飞”持仓基金净值
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2026-01-11 16:55
板块热度飙升 Wind数据显示,上周,万得脑机接口概念指数(8841700)大涨18.95%。相关概念股中,创新医疗收获 涨停五连板,南京熊猫、普利特分别录得涨停四连板,美好医疗、三博脑科等也连续4个交易日大涨。 脑机接口板块大涨的背后,是政策、技术、产业与资本的多重利好叠加释放。 2026年开年,脑机接口一跃成为全球科技与资本市场的焦点之一。 近日,特斯拉CEO马斯克宣布,旗下Neuralink公司将于2026年启动脑机接口设备的"大规模生产",并将 转向"更加精简和几乎完全自动化的外科手术流程",这一表态也迅速点燃了市场热情。几乎前后脚,国 内脑机接口独角兽企业强脑科技宣布完成了约20亿元融资,规模位居全球第二。 在海外量产预期、国内政策支持与临床突破的多重共振下,A股脑机接口板块掀起了涨停潮。在板块大 涨的这波行情中,提前埋伏其中的基金也明显受益,净值大幅攀升。 脑机接口,这个一度只存在于科幻作品中的概念,正加速走进现实。 政策、技术与资本共振 1月5日,华银健康生活主题灵活配置单日涨幅达11.8%,领跑全市场基金;长城消费增值混合、国泰创 新医疗混合等单日涨幅也超过10%,位居市场前十。根据2025年 ...
最高增长28倍 投资者回报“浙江样本”这样炼成
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2026-01-11 16:55
Core Viewpoint - The capital market serves as a "barometer" for the real economy, with listed companies in Zhejiang actively fulfilling social responsibilities and enhancing investor returns, thereby contributing to a healthy capital market ecosystem [1] Investor Return Initiatives - During the 14th Five-Year Plan (2021-2025), listed companies in Zhejiang achieved significant growth in investor return measures, with total dividends reaching 443.901 billion yuan, a 115.29% increase compared to the previous five-year period [1] - Share buybacks increased dramatically, with 396 companies repurchasing shares worth 74.819 billion yuan, a 28-fold increase from the previous period [1] - Important shareholders in 343 companies increased their holdings by nearly 34.5 billion yuan, a 16.73% rise compared to the previous five-year period [1] Dividend and Buyback Trends - Cash dividends and share buybacks are the most direct ways for listed companies to return value to investors, with Zhejiang companies distributing a total of 443.901 billion yuan in dividends during the 14th Five-Year Plan [2] - The average dividend payout ratio has been increasing annually, reaching 46.71% in 2024, surpassing the national average [2] - By the end of the 14th Five-Year Plan, 111 listed companies had cumulatively paid dividends exceeding their total capital market financing, accounting for nearly one-fifth of the total number of companies in the region [1] Leading Companies and Their Contributions - Notable companies such as Hikvision, Zheshang Bank, and Hangzhou Bank have cumulatively distributed over 100 billion yuan in dividends during the 14th Five-Year Plan [2] - In 2025, the total cash dividends from listed companies in Zhejiang are expected to exceed 1 trillion yuan, nearly doubling from 2020 [2] - Companies like Hikvision have maintained a high actual dividend payout rate of over 50%, with cumulative cash dividends reaching 68.5 billion yuan since its IPO [3] Shareholder Confidence and Buyback Strategies - Important shareholders in 343 companies executed 2,849 buyback transactions, totaling nearly 34.5 billion yuan, indicating strong market confidence [5] - Companies like Rongsheng Petrochemical have initiated significant buyback plans, with total investments nearing 10 billion yuan [5] - Hikvision's share buyback efforts have been complemented by shareholder increases, with significant purchases made by its controlling shareholder [6] Investor Relations Management - Effective investor relations management is crucial for maintaining communication between listed companies and investors, enhancing transparency and governance [8] - Companies in Zhejiang have improved their investor relations frameworks, with the number of companies receiving investor research increasing from 197 to 519 during the 14th Five-Year Plan [8] - Innovative communication methods, such as cloud tours and online meetings, have been adopted to enhance investor engagement [9]
两类权益基金发力 超450亿元资金新年入市
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2026-01-11 16:55
Core Viewpoint - The public fund market is experiencing a significant influx of capital at the beginning of the year, with over 45 billion yuan expected to enter the market, driven by new ETF listings and active funds entering their investment phases [1][4]. Group 1: Public Fund Inflows - As of January 9, 2026, the public funds entering the market include 22 newly listed stock ETFs with a total scale of 6.345 billion yuan and approximately 40 billion yuan from actively managed funds that have recently been established [1][2]. - The trend of "deposit migration" is evident, with individual investors becoming the main force in ETF investments, holding over 90% of shares in many products [1][3]. - The rapid increase in stock positions is notable, with ETFs like the Guotai Zhongzheng Hong Kong Stock Connect Internet ETF increasing their stock holdings from 4.8% to 96.59% shortly after listing [3]. Group 2: Active Fund Developments - Since November 2025, 72 new actively managed funds have been established, raising approximately 39.208 billion yuan, with 14 of these funds exceeding 1 billion yuan in size [4][5]. - The fundraising success of these funds is attributed to favorable market conditions and the reputation of well-known fund managers [4]. - The average return of these newly established funds is 3.08%, indicating a stable early-stage performance as they begin to deploy their capital [5]. Group 3: Future Capital Inflows - There is potential for a significant influx of capital into the investment market, estimated to be in the trillions, as excess savings from residents are poised to enter the market [6][7]. - The projected maturity of a substantial amount of fixed-term deposits in 2026 suggests that a portion of these funds may transition into equity markets, particularly in a low-interest-rate environment [6]. - The overall trend indicates a shift in investor confidence towards equity investments, with expectations of continued growth in the stock market driven by improving corporate earnings and valuation recovery [7].