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亚洲石化行业面临多重挑战
Zhong Guo Hua Gong Bao· 2025-09-30 03:12
Core Insights - The Asian petrochemical industry is facing significant challenges due to weak demand, oversupply, geopolitical fluctuations, and volatile crude oil prices [2][4] - The olefins sector is particularly concerning, with profitability remaining in negative territory for several years, and a potential recovery not expected until after 2030 [2][3] - Capacity reductions are underway in Japan and South Korea, with Japan planning to close three naphtha steam cracking units by 2028, reducing ethylene capacity by approximately 20% [2] - The chemical industry is expected to see long-term demand growth, but short-term challenges are anticipated due to tariff-induced volatility, with a projected 25% decline in chemical demand growth in 2025 [3] Industry Challenges - The current market fundamentals are characterized by weak demand and oversupply, compounded by geopolitical tensions and fluctuating crude oil prices, leading to uncertainty in raw material procurement [2][4] - The olefins market is expected to take 3 to 4 years to address the oversupply issue, with significant capacity reductions needed to impact the global supply landscape [3] - Recent shutdowns of approximately 4 million tons per year of cracking capacity have occurred, but further closures of 20 or more units are necessary for substantial market impact [3] Raw Material Procurement - Geopolitical tensions and trade disputes are exacerbating uncertainty in raw material procurement for Asian petrochemical producers, with crude oil prices dropping from nearly $100 per barrel in 2024 to below $70 recently [4] - The expected oil price for 2026 is around $65 per barrel, prompting producers to be more cautious in their raw material selection [4] Strategic Solutions - One proposed solution is the construction of Crude Oil to Chemicals (COTC) projects, which leverage integration advantages to simplify logistics and reduce costs [5] - COTC facilities allow producers to flexibly switch between fuel and chemical production based on market demand, enhancing operational flexibility [5] - However, the ongoing downturn in the petrochemical sector is impacting downstream investments, making it challenging for new projects to achieve returns in the short to medium term [5] Trade Dynamics - The global trade flow of petrochemical products has shifted significantly over the past five years, with a nearly 35% decline in global trade volume, particularly in aromatics [5] - Asia has emerged as a leader in aromatics production, while the U.S. is focusing on ethylene glycol and polymers, indicating a potential reshaping of global trade patterns [5]
中油工程签署伊拉克海水管道项目合同
Zhong Guo Hua Gong Bao· 2025-09-30 03:12
Core Points - China National Petroleum Engineering Co., Ltd. has signed an EPC contract for the Iraq Basra seawater pipeline project with Basra Oil Company, valued at $2.524 billion and with a contract duration of 54 months [1] Company Overview - The project involves the construction of seawater treatment facilities, main pipelines from these facilities to various junction stations, and branch pipelines from junction stations to oil field distribution stations, along with associated surface facilities [1] - Basra Oil Company, the client, is a subsidiary of the Iraqi Ministry of Oil, focusing on the exploration, development, production, processing, storage, transportation, and export of crude oil and natural gas in southern Iraq [1]
今明两年全球锂供应将过剩
Zhong Guo Hua Gong Bao· 2025-09-30 03:12
展望未来,报告预测,随着能源转型推进,电动汽车行业仍将是锂市场的主要驱动力,预计今年全球电 动汽车销量同比将增长23.9%,2026年将同比增长14.7%。另一方面,报告也指出,对中国制造的电动 汽车、电池和原材料征收关税可能会导致成本增加,从而减缓电动汽车的普及速度。 中化新网讯 近日,智利铜业委员会(COCHILCO)发布了《2025~2026年锂市场预测报告》。报告显示, 2025年全球锂供应量预计达144.3万吨(碳酸锂当量),需求量预计达134万吨,供应过剩10.3万吨。预计 2026年锂需求和供应都将增长,供应过剩量预计达6万吨。 COCHILCO表示,由于供应过剩,锂价自2023年以来大幅下跌。尽管电动汽车电池行业的需求在提 升,但宏观经济和地缘政治的不确定性、美国电动汽车补贴中止以及非洲等新供应国崛起仍导致了供应 过剩。自中国赞格矿业于7月停止锂生产以来,锂价已开始上涨。报告预测,2026年亚洲碳酸锂到岸价 将达每吨1.0327万美元,氢氧化锂到岸价将达每吨1.092万美元,均高于8月27日的最高价。这一轮价格 上涨是否能持续,则取决于停产的时间和规模。 2024年,智利锂产量预计达到29.6 ...
赢创、AMSilk深化生物丝蛋白合作
Zhong Guo Hua Gong Bao· 2025-09-30 03:12
Core Insights - Evonik has deepened its collaboration with AMSilk, signing a long-term agreement to advance the sustainable production of silk proteins [1] - A dedicated production line has been established at Evonik's biotechnology production site in Slovakia, capable of producing several tons of high-performance silk protein monthly [1] - AMSilk's bio-based materials focus on sustainability, being plant-based, biodegradable, and ensuring no microplastic residue at the end of the product lifecycle [1] Company Developments - The partnership follows an initial production agreement reached in 2023, highlighting the commitment to scaling up sustainable silk protein production [1] - The new production line is equipped with advanced facilities, upgraded systems, and renewable energy sources [1] Market Overview - The overall market for protein fibers, which AMSilk targets, is approximately €26 billion, with a serviceable segment size of about €16 billion [1] - Evonik's health business line leader emphasized the collaboration as a demonstration of how biotechnology can shape the future of materials [1]
BP:全球石油需求2030年达峰
Zhong Guo Hua Gong Bao· 2025-09-30 03:12
Core Insights - BP forecasts that global oil demand will continue to grow until 2030, delaying the peak demand prediction from 2025 to 2030 due to slower improvements in energy efficiency [1] Group 1: Demand Projections - According to BP's latest annual report, oil demand is expected to reach 103.4 million barrels per day by 2030 and decline to 83 million barrels per day by 2050 under the current trajectory scenario [1] - The previous year's report anticipated peak oil demand at 102 million barrels per day in 2025 [1] - If energy efficiency improvements remain slow, oil demand could rise to approximately 106 million barrels per day by 2035 [1] Group 2: Scenarios - BP's report includes two scenarios: "business as usual," which considers existing policies and commitments, and a "below 2°C" scenario that aims to limit global temperature rise to below 2°C as per the Paris Agreement [1] - In the "below 2°C" scenario, oil demand is projected to peak at around 102.2 million barrels per day in 2025 and drop to 33.8 million barrels per day by 2050 [1]
世索科将重启法国合成香兰素生产
Zhong Guo Hua Gong Bao· 2025-09-30 03:12
Core Viewpoint - The company is restarting its synthetic vanillin production facility in Saint-Fons, France, to meet the changing market demands in Europe, with production expected to resume by the end of 2025 [1] Group 1: Production Plans - The synthetic vanillin production plant in Saint-Fons was previously suspended in May 2024 and will restart operations by the end of 2025 [1] - The Saint-Fons facility continues to produce natural vanillin and phenol during the suspension period [1] - With the restart of synthetic vanillin production, the company will achieve production capabilities in all major regions [1] Group 2: Business Strategy - The decision to restart synthetic vanillin production does not alter the company's recent plan to divest its flavoring business [1] - The company currently operates synthetic vanillin production facilities in Baton Rouge, Louisiana, USA, and Zhenjiang, China [1] Group 3: Market Environment - The European Commission, supported by the French government, has imposed a 131% anti-dumping duty on related products, while the US has levied an additional tax of at least 232% [1] - These measures are expected to significantly reshape the competitive landscape, enhancing the competitiveness of regional producers [1]
石油和化学工业规划院专家指出: 化工新材料“出海”机遇挑战并存
Zhong Guo Hua Gong Bao· 2025-09-30 03:11
"但也应注意到,国内企业在外投资建厂可能会面临地缘政治紧张局势和当地技术标准、文化融合等差 异带来的经营风险,不断升级的全球贸易摩擦也加剧了出海风险。"樊星说。 中化新网讯 在近日召开的2025石化化工行业"十五五"规划重点发展方向研讨会上,石油和化学工业规 划院材料化工处副总工程师(专业)樊星指出,化工新材料产业应积极参与国际竞争。在"出海"方面, 该产业正面临机遇与挑战并存的局面。 机遇在于两方面:一是新兴经济体凭借广阔的市场空间、人口红利、资源配备等优势崭露头角,拉动了 高端化工材料全球需求;二是国际龙头企业逐渐调整发展战略,剥离部分化工新材料业务,为我国提供 了突破高端技术壁垒的机遇。 要踏足国际化发展,樊星指出,企业首先需要补齐新材料高端化学品的短板,增强我国的竞争话语权。 同时,出海企业应从目标市场的政治格局、本土文化、投资方式、资源获取路径等方面进行充分调研, 再着手投资建厂;注意错位竞争,促进就地消化海外产能,避免再将产品运回国内参与内卷;此外,还 需推动管理本地化与文化融合,强化供应链管理与风险控制,降低运行成本。 ...
精益化工:赋能传统煤化工 打造新质生产力
Zhong Guo Hua Gong Bao· 2025-09-30 02:55
金秋九月,硕果盈枝。在9月13日举办的第十九届榆林国际煤炭暨高端能源化工产业博览会、第三届西 部氢能博览会上,陕西精益化工有限公司(以下简称精益化工)开展了"精益富氧干馏成套技术与装备"交 流分享活动。这项刚刚通过中国煤炭学会鉴定达到国际领先水平的创新科技成果推出后,迅速引起业内 高度关注。 以兰炭、煤焦油深加工为主导产业的精益化工,近年来依托深厚的技术积累与行业洞察,强化自主科技 创新,蹚出了一条传统煤化工向高端化、多元化、低碳化发展的新路径。 精益富氧干馏技术国际领先 8月22日,中国煤炭学会在北京召开技术成果鉴定会。精益化工完成的"基于富氧燃烧的低温干馏荒煤气 提质成套技术与产业化"科技成果,赢得了院士和专家的高度好评。鉴定委员会认为,该成果突破了传 统的煤炭低温干馏技术瓶颈,在能效提升和减排固碳方面优势显著,核心指标优于国内外同类技术,拥 有完全自主知识产权,产业化前景非常广阔。 效减少氮气引入,使荒煤气中的有效气体(CO+H2+CH4)成分和热值显著提升,氮气含量降低至25%以 下,可满足合成氨、尿素等生产需求。 "精益化工做了一件伟大的事情。这个技术价值非常高,具有大规模推广利用价值。"中国工程院 ...
寿阳化工:云表系统驱动经营决策“智”变
Zhong Guo Hua Gong Bao· 2025-09-30 02:55
Core Insights - The company has transitioned from "experience-driven" to "data-driven" decision-making through the implementation of a cloud-based system that integrates various business data streams [1][3][4] Group 1: Data Integration and Management - The cloud system addresses the issue of data fragmentation that was prevalent in traditional industrial enterprises, allowing for real-time updates and unified data access across departments [2][3] - The system's core operational analysis dashboard utilizes the formula "profit = revenue - cost" to streamline performance assessments and supports multi-platform access [2][3] - Each department is now responsible for data entry, with a full traceability of data sources and corrections, enhancing data accuracy and timeliness [3][4] Group 2: Performance and Incentive Mechanisms - The company has introduced an approval process for data entry in various modules, ensuring data accuracy and encouraging departmental accountability [4] - A digital performance assessment system links results to employee compensation, motivating staff to improve productivity and engagement [4] Group 3: Product and Market Strategy - Despite an increase in the price of ethylene glycol, the company has experienced a decline in sales volume due to inventory pressures, prompting efforts to explore new customer bases and optimize pricing strategies [4][5] Group 4: Future Directions - The company plans to continue enhancing its cloud capabilities and data utilization, focusing on integrating digital tools with lean management practices to drive high-quality development [6]
联泓格润新能源材料、生物可降解材料一体化项目中交
Zhong Guo Hua Gong Bao· 2025-09-30 02:54
Core Insights - The Lianhong Gelun integrated project for new energy materials and biodegradable materials has achieved overall handover in Zaozhuang, Tengzhou, and is expected to be fully operational by the end of this year [1] - The project represents a significant investment of 12.5 billion yuan and covers an area of approximately 1,700 acres, with production capacities including 1.3 million tons/year of methanol-to-olefins (DMTO), 200,000 tons/year of ethylene-vinyl acetate copolymer (EVA), 300,000 tons/year of propylene oxide (PO), 50,000 tons/year of polycarbonate (PPC), and 240,000 tons/year of polyether polyols (PPG) [1] - The project commenced site leveling in February 2023 and will see full construction starting in April 2024, with peak on-site personnel exceeding 12,000 [1] - The chairman of Lianhong Group emphasized the project's importance in solidifying the company's future development and aims for it to become a model of safety, innovation, and efficient operation in the industry [1] Future Plans - By the end of 2025, all projects planned under Lianhong's strategic phase 2.0 are expected to be implemented, leading to clearer business segments in new energy materials, biological materials, electronic materials, and specialty materials, with a richer product variety and enhanced scale [2]