国家统计局网站消息，国家统计局新闻发言人就2025年前三季度国民经济运行情况答记者问。 1.今年以来，面对复杂环境中国经济运行情况如何？请问如何评价前三季度的经济运行总体表现？ 答：今年以来，我国经济发展历程很不平凡。面对外部压力加大和内部困难较多的复杂局面，以习近平 同志为核心的党中央总揽全局、科学决策，各地区各部门沉着应对、狠抓落实，全国上下同心同德、共 克时艰，我国经济发展顶住压力，取得了难能可贵的发展成绩，经济运行持续保持总体平稳、稳中有进 发展态势。 第二，尽管经济增速有所回落，但经济稳中有进发展态势没有变。从增长水平看，我国三季度4.8%的 经济增速水平仍明显高于多数主要经济体，对于我们这么大体量的经济体尤为难能可贵。三季度经济总 量达35.5万亿元，超过了全球第三大经济体2024年全年经济总量。从就业物价看，就业形势总体稳定， 物价运行有所改善。三季度城镇调查失业率与上年同期持平，核心CPI同比涨幅持续扩大，PPI降幅连续 2个月收窄。从国际收支看，保持总体平衡。三季度货物进出口总额同比增长6.0%，外汇储备连续2个 月增加。从发展质量看，经济转型升级态势持续。三季度，规模以上高技术制造业增加值 ...

Group 1: Coal, Oil, and Natural Gas Production - In September, the production of raw coal in large-scale industries decreased by 1.8% year-on-year, with a total output of 410 million tons, showing a narrowing decline compared to August [1] - The production of crude oil increased by 4.1% year-on-year in September, reaching 17.77 million tons, with a daily average output of 592,000 tons [3] - Natural gas production saw a significant increase of 9.4% year-on-year in September, totaling 21.2 billion cubic meters, with a daily average output of 710 million cubic meters [7] Group 2: Electricity Production - Electricity generation in large-scale industries grew steadily, with a total output of 826.2 billion kilowatt-hours in September, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1.5% [9] - Different energy sources showed varied performance: thermal power decreased by 5.4%, hydropower increased by 31.9%, nuclear power growth slowed to 1.6%, wind power declined by 7.6%, and solar power increased by 21.1% [9]

Core Insights - The overall decline in commodity residential sales prices in major cities continues to narrow year-on-year as of September 2025 [1][2] Group 1: Price Changes in New Commodity Residential Properties - In September, the sales prices of new commodity residential properties in first-tier cities decreased by 0.3% month-on-month, with the decline expanding by 0.2 percentage points compared to the previous month [1] - Among first-tier cities, Beijing and Shanghai saw price increases of 0.2% and 0.3% respectively, while Guangzhou and Shenzhen experienced declines of 0.6% and 1.0% [1] - Second-tier cities saw a month-on-month decline of 0.4% in new commodity residential prices, with the decline expanding by 0.1 percentage points [1] - Third-tier cities also recorded a month-on-month decline of 0.4% in new commodity residential prices, with the decline remaining unchanged from the previous month [1] Group 2: Price Changes in Second-Hand Residential Properties - In September, the sales prices of second-hand residential properties in first-tier cities decreased by 1.0% month-on-month, with the decline remaining the same as the previous month [1] - The month-on-month declines in second-hand residential prices for Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen were 0.9%, 1.0%, 0.8%, and 1.0% respectively [1] - Second-tier cities experienced a month-on-month decline of 0.7% in second-hand residential prices, while third-tier cities saw a decline of 0.6%, both with an increase in the decline of 0.1 percentage points [1] Group 3: Year-on-Year Price Changes - Year-on-year, the sales prices of new commodity residential properties in first-tier cities decreased by 0.7%, with the decline narrowing by 0.2 percentage points compared to the previous month [1] - Shanghai saw a year-on-year price increase of 5.6%, while Beijing, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen experienced declines of 2.6%, 4.1%, and 1.8% respectively [1] - Year-on-year, second-tier cities recorded a decline of 2.1% and third-tier cities saw a decline of 3.4% in new commodity residential prices, both with a narrowing of 0.3 percentage points [1] Group 4: Year-on-Year Changes in Second-Hand Residential Prices - In September, the year-on-year sales prices of second-hand residential properties in first-tier cities decreased by 3.2%, with the decline narrowing by 0.3 percentage points compared to the previous month [2] - The year-on-year declines for Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen were 2.7%, 2.4%, 6.0%, and 1.7% respectively [2] - Second-tier cities experienced a year-on-year decline of 5.0%, while third-tier cities saw a decline of 5.7%, with both declines narrowing by 0.2 and 0.3 percentage points respectively [2]

Group 1: Consumer Price Trends - Consumer prices remained stable in the first three quarters, with CPI decreasing by 0.1% year-on-year, consistent with the first half and the first quarter [2] - Core CPI, excluding food and energy, has shown a continuous recovery since March, rising to 1% in September, the highest in nearly 19 months [4] - Food prices saw a year-on-year decline of 1.8%, with fresh vegetable prices averaging a drop of 7.9% and pork prices shifting from an increase of 3.8% in the first half to a decrease of 2.9% in the first three quarters [2] Group 2: Energy Price Trends - Energy prices decreased by 3.3% year-on-year in the first three quarters, with gasoline prices dropping by 7.3% due to international oil price fluctuations [3] Group 3: Producer Price Trends - PPI decreased by 2.8% year-on-year in the first three quarters, with a narrowing decline of 0.3 percentage points in the third quarter compared to the second quarter [5] - The domestic market's competitive order has improved, leading to a recovery in prices for certain industries, such as coal processing and black metal smelting, which saw a reduction in year-on-year price declines [5] Group 4: External Influences on Prices - International oil prices have generally trended downward, impacting domestic oil-related industry prices, with a 9.9% decline in the oil and gas extraction industry [6] - Conversely, international non-ferrous metal prices have risen, leading to a 5.6% year-on-year increase in domestic non-ferrous metal smelting and rolling industries [6] Group 5: High-Tech Industry Developments - The development of high-tech industries and effective macro policies have driven price increases in certain sectors, such as integrated circuit packaging and testing, which rose by 3.0% year-on-year [7] - Upgraded consumer demand has also contributed to price increases in sectors like arts and crafts manufacturing, which saw a 12.7% rise [7]

据国家统计局20日发布数据显示，前三季度，货物和服务净出口对经济增长贡献率为29.0%，拉动GDP 增长1.5个百分点。其中，三季度货物和服务净出口对经济增长贡献率为24.5%，拉动GDP增长1.2个百 分点。 （文章来源：国家统计局） ...

Economic Overview - In the first three quarters, China's GDP reached 10,150.36 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 5.2% [2] - The contribution rates to economic growth from the primary, secondary, and tertiary industries were 4.7%, 34.6%, and 60.7% respectively [2] Industry Performance - Agricultural production showed stability with a year-on-year increase of 4.0%, contributing 0.3 percentage points to economic growth [3] - Industrial production increased by 6.1% year-on-year, contributing 1.8 percentage points to economic growth, with manufacturing growing by 6.5% [3] - The service sector also performed well, with significant growth in information transmission, software, and IT services, which grew by 11.2% [3] Domestic Demand and Trade - Final consumption expenditure contributed 53.5% to economic growth, adding 2.8 percentage points to GDP [5] - Investment in key areas showed rapid growth, with capital formation contributing 17.5% to economic growth [5] - Net exports maintained stable growth, contributing 29.0% to economic growth [5] Market Dynamics - The digital economy showed significant support, with revenue from information transmission and IT services growing by 12.1% [6] - The manufacturing sector is accelerating its transformation, with high-tech manufacturing increasing by 9.6% [7] - Modern service industries are also improving, with high-tech service sector revenue growing by 9.4% [7]

Group 1 - The overall grain production is stable, with expectations for another bumper harvest in the year, supported by stable summer grain and increased early rice production [2][4] - Summer grain production reached 299.48 billion jin, slightly down by 0.1% year-on-year, while early rice production increased to 57.03 billion jin, up by 1.2% [2] - The autumn grain planting area has increased, and favorable weather conditions in most agricultural regions have contributed to a positive outlook for autumn grain production [2][3] Group 2 - Livestock production remains stable, with total meat production reaching 73.12 million tons, an increase of 3.8% year-on-year [3][4] - The number of pigs slaughtered increased to 52.992 million heads, up by 1.8%, with pork production at 4.368 million tons, also up by 3.0% [3] - Cattle and poultry production showed growth, with beef production increasing by 3.3% and poultry meat production rising by 7.2% [4] Group 3 - The agricultural product market is well-supplied, with producer prices down by 3.6% year-on-year [5] - Grain prices have generally decreased, with specific declines in wheat (2.5%), rice (1.6%), and corn (5.3%), while fruit prices saw a slight increase of 1.1% [5] - Overall, the agricultural market prices remained stable, with fluctuations in specific categories such as vegetables and livestock [5]

Core Insights - The service industry has shown significant growth, contributing notably to the overall economic performance, with a service value added of 592,955 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 5.4% [2] - The modern service sector is thriving, driven by innovations in technology and new business models, particularly in information transmission and software services [3][4] - Consumer demand for services has increased, particularly in tourism and cultural sectors, leading to a rise in service retail sales [5] Group 1: Economic Growth Contribution - The service sector's value added accounted for 58.4% of GDP, up 0.8 percentage points from the previous year, contributing 60.7% to national economic growth [2] - In the third quarter, the service sector's value added was 202,641 billion yuan, with a contribution rate of 61.8% to GDP growth [2] - The service production index grew by 5.6% year-on-year in September, indicating sustained growth [2] Group 2: Innovation and New Growth Drivers - The modern service industry is expanding rapidly, with information transmission and software services growing by 11.2% and 9.2% respectively in the first three quarters [3] - The strategic emerging service industries and high-tech service industries saw revenue growth of 10.6% and 9.4% respectively from January to August [4] - Fixed asset investment in high-tech services increased by 6.1%, with information services seeing a remarkable growth of 33.1% [4] Group 3: Service Consumption Trends - Service retail sales increased by 5.2%, outpacing the growth of goods retail sales by 0.6 percentage points [5] - Online retail sales grew by 9.8% in the first three quarters, reflecting a shift towards digital consumption [5] - The cultural and tourism sectors experienced significant growth, with revenue from cultural arts and travel services increasing by 13.3% and 9.5% respectively [5] Group 4: International Trade and Investment - Service trade imports and exports totaled 52,476.9 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 7.4%, and travel service exports surged by 57.6% [6] - The actual use of foreign capital in the service sector reached 3,661.9 billion yuan, accounting for over 70% of total foreign investment [6] - The execution of service outsourcing contracts remained robust, with significant growth in business operation and maintenance services [6] Group 5: Business Activity and Future Outlook - The business activity index for the service sector was at 50.1 in September, indicating expansion, with several industries exceeding 60.0 [7] - The business activity expectation index remained stable at 56.3, reflecting optimistic outlooks among service sector enterprises [8] - Overall, the service industry is expected to continue its stable performance, although challenges such as external uncertainties and insufficient domestic demand persist [8]

Group 1 - The overall urban surveyed unemployment rate in China remained stable at an average of 5.2% from January to September, with slight fluctuations in the third quarter due to seasonal factors [2][3] - The unemployment rate in 31 major cities averaged 5.1%, slightly lower than the national level, indicating a relatively stable employment situation in urban areas [2] - The unemployment rate for migrant workers was 4.8%, which is 0.4 percentage points lower than the national urban average, showing resilience in this demographic [3] Group 2 - Employment in key service sectors such as transportation, accommodation, and cultural industries improved due to increased support for employment policies and active summer tourism [3] - The unemployment rate for the 16-24 age group saw a seasonal increase during July and August but showed a significant recovery in September as graduates secured jobs [3] - The overall economic operation is stable, with steady progress in transformation and upgrading, although structural employment challenges remain in certain regions and industries [3]

Group 1: Industrial Production and Export - Industrial production has shown steady growth, with the industrial added value for large-scale enterprises increasing by 6.2% year-on-year in the first three quarters [2] - The manufacturing sector grew by 6.8%, outperforming the overall industrial growth by 0.6 percentage points, while mining and utilities sectors grew by 5.8% and 2.0% respectively [2] - In September, the industrial added value increased by 6.5% year-on-year, accelerating by 1.3 percentage points compared to August [2] - Industrial exports have also improved, with the export delivery value for large-scale industries increasing by 3.3% year-on-year in the first three quarters [3] - In September, the export delivery value turned to growth at 3.8%, with significant improvements in key sectors such as railway, shipbuilding, and aerospace [3] Group 2: Structural Optimization and New Productive Forces - The proportion of equipment manufacturing has continued to rise, with its added value increasing by 9.7% year-on-year, accounting for 35.9% of total industrial output [4] - Key sectors such as automotive, electrical machinery, and electronics contributed significantly to industrial growth, with respective growth rates of 11.2%, 11.1%, and 10.9% [4] - High-tech manufacturing added value grew by 9.6%, contributing 24.7% to overall industrial growth, with notable increases in integrated circuit manufacturing and biopharmaceuticals [5] - Traditional manufacturing sectors are also transforming, with the chemical fiber industry growing by 7.6% and the petroleum processing sector by 6.9% [6] Group 3: Improvement in Corporate Profitability and Capacity Utilization - Industrial enterprises have seen profit improvements, with profits for large-scale industrial enterprises increasing by 0.9% year-on-year from January to August, reversing a declining trend [7] - The profit margin for industrial enterprises rose to 5.83% in August, an increase of 0.90 percentage points year-on-year [7] - Capacity utilization for large-scale industrial enterprises increased to 74.6% in the third quarter, with 51.2% of industries showing a rise in utilization rates [8] - There is a positive outlook for the fourth quarter, with expectations for comprehensive business conditions and employment rising [8]