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耐世特(1316.HK):綫控转向量产将至
Ge Long Hui· 2026-02-14 13:25
Core Viewpoint - 2026 is projected to be the year of mass production for steer-by-wire (SBW) technology, aligning with the trend of autonomous driving, leading to an industry upgrade. The target price is set at HKD 10.2 based on an 18x PE valuation for 2026, with a buy rating [1]. Group 1: Industry Trends - The steering system in automobiles is transitioning from electric power steering (EPS) to steer-by-wire (SBW), with average selling prices (ASP) increasing from C-EPS at 1,000 yuan to R-EPS at 2,000 yuan, and further to SBW at 4,000 yuan [1]. - Currently, EPS remains the mainstream technology in the industry, with a domestic penetration rate reaching 99% [1]. Group 2: Company Developments - The company has seen a growing number of clients and orders for its steer-by-wire technology, being the exclusive supplier for Tesla's robotaxi and the supplier for the Li Auto L9 Livis, both set for mass production in the first half of the year [1]. - Tesla's Cybercab is a key vehicle for achieving Level 4 autonomous driving, aiming to eliminate human intervention through a combination of pure vision FSD solutions and steer-by-wire chassis [1]. Group 3: Regulatory Environment - The legal status of steer-by-wire technology has been clarified with the release of the national certification standard "Basic Requirements for Automotive Steering Systems," effective from July 1, 2026. This standard emphasizes safety requirements and introduces functional safety terminology and verification methods [3]. - The new regulations remove the mandatory mechanical connection between the steering wheel and the steering system, establishing the legal status of SBW and setting strict safety redundancy and failure response standards [3].
TIANGONG INTERNATIONAL(00826.HK):POISED FOR DAVIS DOUBLE PLAY IN 2026 DRIVEN BY HIGH-END TITANIUM AND POWDER METALLURGY STEEL
Ge Long Hui· 2026-02-14 13:21
Core Viewpoint - Tiangong International is expected to see significant revenue and net profit growth in 2025, driven by its 3C titanium business and advancements in smelting technology [1][5]. Financial Performance - Revenue is projected to increase by 11.1% YoY to Rmb5.37 billion in 2025, while attributable net profit is anticipated to rise by 15.5% YoY to Rmb414 million [1]. - Revenue forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been raised by 2.8% and 3.5% to Rmb5.37 billion and Rmb6.64 billion, respectively, with a new forecast for 2027 set at Rmb7.38 billion [5]. - Net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been increased by 13.3% and 29.6% to Rmb414 million and Rmb697 million, with a new forecast for 2027 at Rmb894 million [5]. Industry Trends - The 3C titanium business is expected to become a key earnings growth driver, with increasing demand for titanium alloys in consumer electronics, particularly after Apple's use of titanium in its iPhone 15 Pro series [1]. - Sales volume of high-end 3C titanium materials is projected to grow by 183% YoY in 2026 and 24% YoY in 2027 as demand from downstream consumer electronics sectors recovers [3]. Technological Advancements - The company has upgraded its smelting technology to produce various titanium alloy grades using green recycled materials, positioning itself as a leading supplier of 3C titanium materials in China [2]. - The establishment of titanium alloy powder metallurgy production lines ahead of competitors is expected to provide a long-term competitive advantage [3]. New Growth Drivers - The company's PM molds for integrated die-casting are anticipated to enter alternative-fuel vehicle supply chains valued at over Rmb1 trillion, potentially boosting sales volume [4]. - The company has developed a unique melting technology to control nitrogen content in high-nitrogen alloy materials, which is being utilized in high-end applications [5]. Valuation and Outlook - The company is expected to transition from a leading tool and die steel manufacturer to a high-end material supplier by 2026, leading to a valuation adjustment [6]. - The target price has been raised by 76% to HK$5.29, implying an 18.4x 2026e P/E, with a potential upside of 50% [6].
携程、同程旅行等6家出行平台企业被约谈:需规范借贷业务
Ge Long Hui· 2026-02-14 12:50
2026年2月13日,国家金融监督管理总局联合市场监管总局、中国人民银行,集中约谈携程旅行、高德地图、同程旅行、飞猪旅行、航旅纵横、去哪儿旅行 六家主流出行平台,直指平台在联合金融机构开展借贷业务中存在的合规问题,要求全面整改,保护金融消费者权益。 近年来,出行平台依托高频场景嵌入信贷产品成为行业常态,但信息不透明、营销诱导、纠纷处置滞后等问题频发。此次多部门联合监管,意在压实平台主 体责任,规范"出行+金融"的跨界合作模式。 此次监管约谈聚焦出行场景附加信贷服务的突出乱象。三部门明确提出三项整改要求:第一,全面规范营销推广,严禁使用误导性话术诱导用户借贷;第 二,完整透明披露放贷机构与产品信息,强化理性借贷提示;第三,打通投诉处理通道,快速响应并妥善化解消费纠纷,提升综合服务质量。 ...
弱势盘整,保持了最后的谨慎
Ge Long Hui· 2026-02-14 12:40
Market Performance - The three major indices collectively declined, with the Shanghai Composite Index down by 0.7%, the Shenzhen Component down by 0.67%, and the ChiNext Index down by 0.96% [1] - Over 2,600 stocks rose in the two markets, with a total trading volume of 1.2 trillion [1] Sector Performance - The CPO concept experienced a decline of 2.23%, with Changxin Bochuang dropping by 9.19% and Guangku Technology down by 8.15% [3] - The port and shipping sector saw significant drops, with Zhongyuan Marine Energy and China Merchants Energy both experiencing substantial declines [3] - Small metals, photovoltaic equipment, mining industry, HIT batteries, glass fiber, and hot stocks from Dongfang Fortune also followed suit, with declines exceeding 1% [3] - The military industry sector showed strong performance, highlighted by Yaxing Anchor Chain hitting the daily limit [3] - The semiconductor sector was active, with concepts related to photolithography machines and photolithography adhesives rapidly rising, including Guofeng New Materials achieving two limits in four days [3] - The semiconductor equipment concept continued to strengthen, with Shenghui Integration hitting the daily limit and reaching a historical high [3] - The paper-making concept showed repeated strength, with Wuzhou Special Paper hitting the daily limit [3] Economic Indicators - In January, the month-on-month decline in commodity residential sales prices in first, second, and third-tier cities narrowed overall, with second-hand residential prices in first-tier cities decreasing by 0.5%, a reduction of 0.4 percentage points compared to the previous month [3] - The National Film Administration and the Ministry of Commerce organized a "Film+" consumption pilot program, with the first batch of 16 cities selected [3] - Federal Reserve Governor Milan indicated that policy adjustments and artificial intelligence will drive GDP growth in the United States [3]
從成交分佈看,友邦Call 市場的操作重心是否已經轉移?
Ge Long Hui· 2026-02-14 12:40
從成交分佈看,友邦Call 市場的操作重心是否已經轉移? 技術座標確立以友邦(1299)正股現價82元為核心,主要支持位設於80.6元(支持1)與77.3元(支持2),阻力位則位於87.8元(阻力1)及90.9元(阻力 2)。在此技術框架下,行使價低於77.3元屬深價內區間,77.3元至80.6元為價內主力區間,80.6元至82元屬輕微價內區間,82元至87.8元為貼近平價區間, 87.8元至90.9元屬中價外區間,而行使價高於90.9元則歸入遠價外區間。 按行使價劃分結構區間顯示,遠價外區間產品數量達41隻,深價內區間20隻,貼近平價區間10隻,中價外區間3隻。市場結構呈現明顯的兩極分化態勢,遠 價外產品佔據絕對數量優勢。 街貨分佈分析揭示,遠價外區間集中了60.73%的街貨總量,達89.86百萬份,顯示市場共識高度集中於情緒性押注。深價內區間以45.75百萬份街貨位居第 二,佔比30.92%。特別值得注意的是,摩通22839,行使價在91.71元,累積21.02百萬份街貨,佔該產品街貨總量21.02%,存在單一產品過度集中風險。技 術位附近街貨分析顯示,90.9元阻力位附近積聚42.12百萬份街貨,反映市 ...
壁仞科技(06082.HK):壁立算砥 千仞芯芒
Ge Long Hui· 2026-02-14 09:46
Core Insights - Wallen Technology is a leading domestic AI chip company focusing on GPGPU technology and related products, with a strong emphasis on innovation and market opportunities [1][2] Group 1: Company Overview - Founded in 2019, Wallen Technology has a diverse team with backgrounds from major companies like AMD and Huawei, and holds 1,158 global invention patents as of June 2025, ranking first among Chinese GPGPU companies [1] - The company primarily offers GPGPU, boards, modules, servers, and cluster products, projecting revenues of 336.8 million yuan in 2024 and 58.9 million yuan in the first half of 2025, indicating steady commercialization progress [1] Group 2: Product and Technology - Wallen Technology focuses on GPGPU architecture and is pioneering in Chiplet technology and optical switching, with the BR166 achieving double the computing and memory performance of the BR106, and a bidirectional bandwidth of 896 GB/s [2] - The hardware supports various deployment forms like OAM and PCIe, while the software platform is compatible with mainstream frameworks like PyTorch, showcasing the company's full-stack optimization capabilities [2] Group 3: Financial Performance - The company's gross margin is projected to be 76.4% in 2023, decreasing to 53.2% in 2024, and further to 31.9% in the first half of 2025 due to an increase in entry-level product sales [2] - Customer diversification is improving, with the top five customers accounting for 97.9% of revenue in the first half of 2025, and the largest customer contributing only 33.3% of total revenue, indicating reduced dependency on major clients [2] Group 4: Ecosystem and Supply Chain - Wallen Technology collaborates with companies like Xizhi Technology and ZTE to launch the LightSphere X optical switching super node, which supports large-scale deployments and adapts to the needs of large model training [3] - The company has achieved self-sufficiency in its supply chain, completing domestic replacements for key components, and plans to commercialize the next-generation BR20X architecture by 2026 without being affected by the BIS entity list [3] Group 5: Investment Outlook - Wallen Technology is rated as a "Buy," with projected revenues of 950 million yuan, 2.02 billion yuan, and 3.95 billion yuan for 2025-2027, and adjusted net profits of -830 million yuan, -630 million yuan, and 74 million yuan respectively [4] - The current market valuation corresponds to a price-to-sales ratio of 20x for 2027E, with a weighted average of 28x for comparable companies, reflecting the significant potential in domestic AI capital expenditures [4]
网易-S(09999.HK):递延收入高增长 分红维持高位 关注新游进展
Ge Long Hui· 2026-02-14 05:01
Core Viewpoint - The company's 4Q25 Non-GAAP net profit fell short of both internal and market expectations, primarily due to higher-than-expected investment losses and lower revenue recognition from deferred income [1][2] Performance Review - 4Q25 revenue increased by 3% year-on-year to 27.5 billion yuan, below the expected 28.5 billion yuan, attributed to a slower-than-expected recognition of deferred income [1] - Non-GAAP net profit decreased by 27% year-on-year to 7.1 billion yuan, also below the expected 8.25 billion yuan, mainly due to investment losses exceeding expectations by approximately 1.07 billion yuan [1][2] - Gross margin improved to 64.2%, indicating effective cost control by the company [2] Development Trends - Deferred income saw a net increase of 1.04 billion yuan in 4Q25, better than market expectations, suggesting potential revenue release in the future [1] - The new game "Forgotten Sea" is expected to launch in 3Q26, with positive market feedback on gameplay and art style [1] - The game "Yanyun Sixteen Sounds" has over 80 million players globally as of the 4Q25 earnings release [1] Financial Policies - The company declared a dividend of $1.16 per ADS for 4Q25, with a dividend payout ratio of 83%, maintaining a stable shareholder return policy [2] - The share repurchase plan has been extended to January 2029, with approximately $2 billion repurchased by the end of 2025 [2] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The forecast for 2026 Non-GAAP net profit has been revised down by 4% to 40.9 billion yuan, while the 2027 forecast remains unchanged [2] - Current stock prices correspond to 14x and 12x Non-GAAP P/E for 2026 and 2027, respectively, indicating an upside potential of 36% for Hong Kong stocks and 38% for U.S. stocks [2]
网易-S(9999.HK)25Q4财报点评:全年业绩稳健增长 关注26年重磅产品线
Ge Long Hui· 2026-02-14 05:01
Core Viewpoint - NetEase reported Q4 2025 revenue of 27.5 billion yuan (yoy +3.0%, qoq -3.2%) and adjusted net profit of 7.1 billion yuan (yoy -26.9%, qoq -25.3%). For the full year, total revenue reached 112.6 billion yuan (yoy +6.9%) and net profit was 33.8 billion yuan (yoy +13.7%), indicating stable annual growth. The product pipeline for 2026 is robust, featuring major titles like "Infinite" and "A Glimpse of the Sea," which will drive future growth. The company has deeply integrated AI across its gaming, music, and education sectors, establishing an industry-leading AI industrialization barrier [1]. Main Business - Revenue from games and related value-added services was 22.0 billion yuan (yoy +3.8%, qoq -5.7%), with a gross margin increase to 70.5%. - Youdao generated revenue of 1.6 billion yuan (yoy +16.8%), primarily driven by increases in online marketing and learning service revenues. - NetEase Cloud Music reported revenue of 2.0 billion yuan (yoy +4.7%), with gross margin improving by 2.8 percentage points to 34.7%, indicating ongoing profitability enhancement. - Innovative and other businesses generated revenue of 2.0 billion yuan (yoy -10.4%). - Q4 gross profit was 17.7 billion yuan (yoy +8.7%), with an overall gross margin of 64.2% (yoy +3.4 percentage points, qoq +0.7 percentage points). - Operating expenses for Q4 totaled 9.4 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase. R&D investment for 2025 reached 17.7 billion yuan, marking the sixth consecutive year exceeding 10 billion yuan. The company has integrated AI throughout its business chain, achieving efficiency improvements of up to 300% in certain production processes [2]. Profit Forecast - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 119.4 billion yuan and 127.0 billion yuan in 2026 and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth of 6.1% and 6.4%. - Projected net profits for the same years are 36.6 billion yuan and 39.9 billion yuan, maintaining a "buy" rating [3].
敏实集团(0425.HK):强强联合推进北美机器人业务 全球本地化生产优势显现
Ge Long Hui· 2026-02-14 04:40
机构:中信建投证券 敏实集团此前已前瞻性布局人形机器人业务,依托汽车零部件领域积淀的精密制造、机电及总成设计经 验,自主推进人形机器人关节总成的研发布局、客户拓展与样品交付,可复用现有汽车零部件产能与工 艺体系,形成了从结构件到关节模块的成熟技术落地路径。绿的谐波为国内谐波减速器 行业绝对龙头,在精密传动领域拥有深厚技术积淀与核心专利,产品技术指标领先,是头部人形机器人 项目核心供应商,技术实力获全球认可。双方设立北美合资公司,实现核心技术与本地产能深度融合, 一方面依托绿的谐波技术优势打造高竞争力关节模组产品,另一方面凭借北美本地产能形成显著拿单优 势,贴近本土核心客户需求,同时有效规避国际贸易关税壁垒及地缘政治风险,实现成本与供应链双重 优化,打开北美人形机器人市场成长空间。 研究员:程似骐/陶亦然/马博硕/朱玥/许琳 核心观点 敏实集团与绿的谐波就北美设立合资公司达成框架协议,依托公司全球化 + 本地化的制造运营核心优 势与绿的谐波的精密传动技术专长实现强强联合,卡位北美人形机器人核心部件赛道,北美本地产能布 局进一步强化全球化竞争壁垒;同时公司主业基本面稳健,欧洲新能源汽车市场需求有望延续增长, AI ...
南方航空接入万相,上线AI绘图登机牌
Ge Long Hui· 2026-02-14 03:33
Core Viewpoint - China Southern Airlines has launched an interactive feature on its app that allows travelers to create personalized digital boarding passes using AI technology, enhancing the travel experience during the peak Spring Festival travel period [1] Group 1: Company Initiatives - China Southern Airlines has integrated the "AI Customize Your Destination Drawing" feature into its app, which utilizes the AI capabilities of Wanxiang to generate unique artistic boarding passes [1] - The feature allows travelers to select from 36 popular destinations, including Guangzhou and Shenzhen, and creates a boarding pass that incorporates local cultural elements [1] Group 2: Operational Details - The interactive activity is available through a pop-up on the China Southern Airlines app and a dedicated event page, running until February 25 [1] - This initiative aims to provide a personalized AI experience for over 80 million passengers expected during the Spring Festival travel peak [1]