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【地方市场】2025年10月上海汽车市场上牌情况
乘联分会· 2025-11-20 08:41
Core Viewpoint - In October 2025, Shanghai's total vehicle registration reached 54,846, marking a year-on-year increase of 37.10% and a month-on-month increase of 12.06% [3][4]. Vehicle Registration Summary - **Total Vehicle Registration**: 54,846 in October 2025, with a year-to-date total of 399,948, reflecting a 4.14% year-on-year increase [4]. - **Import Passenger Cars**: 2,249 registrations, down 16.67% month-on-month and down 9.06% year-on-year [4][9]. - **Domestic Passenger Cars**: 5,697 registrations, up 26.21% month-on-month and up 11.88% year-on-year [4][10]. - **Small Passenger Cars (excluding sedans)**: 9,282 registrations, up 21.32% month-on-month and up 14.44% year-on-year [4][11]. - **New Energy Passenger Cars**: 34,666 registrations, up 11.83% month-on-month and up 58.70% year-on-year [4][12]. - **Large Buses**: 828 registrations, up 23.95% month-on-month and up 18.12% year-on-year [4]. - **Small Trucks**: 1,100 registrations, down 5.74% month-on-month but up 11.11% year-on-year [4]. - **Large Trucks**: 1,024 registrations, down 17.75% month-on-month and up 29.13% year-on-year [4]. Year-on-Year Comparison by Vehicle Type - **Import Passenger Cars**: Year-to-date total of 25,758, down 17.65% year-on-year [4][9]. - **Domestic Passenger Cars**: Year-to-date total of 41,442, down 16.63% year-on-year [4][10]. - **Small Passenger Cars (excluding sedans)**: Year-to-date total of 72,018, down 14.01% year-on-year [4][11]. - **New Energy Passenger Cars**: Year-to-date total of 237,245, up 17.78% year-on-year [4][12]. - **Large Buses**: Year-to-date total of 3,770, up 20.22% year-on-year [4]. - **Small Trucks**: Year-to-date total of 10,200, up 28.83% year-on-year [4]. - **Large Trucks**: Year-to-date total of 10,209, up 38.39% year-on-year [4]. Monthly Trends - The monthly registration data indicates a fluctuating trend in vehicle types, with significant growth in new energy vehicles and certain domestic passenger car segments, while imports show a decline [3][4][5].
【快讯】每日快讯(2025年11月19日)
乘联分会· 2025-11-19 08:42
Domestic News - The domestic automotive chip certification review technology system has achieved a breakthrough, marking a key progress in establishing a self-controlled quality assurance system for automotive chips in China [2] - Beijing is increasing financial support for automotive consumption, especially for new energy vehicles, by optimizing loan products and reducing penalties for early loan settlements during trade-ins [3] - As of the end of October, the total number of electric vehicle charging infrastructure (guns) in China reached 18.645 million, a year-on-year increase of 54.0% [4] - GAC Honda's acquisition of Dongfeng Honda Engine Company has entered the public announcement period, with GAC Honda set to acquire 100% of the shares [5] - GAC Haobo has obtained the "L3 level specific scenario autonomous driving road test" license, becoming the first company in the country to receive this approval for testing at speeds up to 120 km/h [6] - NIO has completed the battery swap route in the Sichuan-Western Ring, covering a total distance of 1,400 kilometers with 13 battery swap stations [7] - Leap Motor's first overseas cooperation model with FAW has been launched, with plans for mass production and overseas sales next year [8] - BMW has deployed its self-developed AI intelligent platform "Gaia" in China, aiming to enhance AI integration across various operational areas [9] International News - Porsche has adjusted its electrification strategy, abandoning the previous goal of 80% of new models being fully electric, opting for a more flexible approach to meet diverse customer needs [10][11] - In Indonesia, new car sales in October decreased by 4% year-on-year, with total sales for the first ten months dropping over 11% compared to the previous year [12] - Stellantis announced the integration of Tesla's charging system, expanding the charging coverage for electric vehicles across North America, Japan, and South Korea [13] - Toyota plans to invest $912 million to expand the production capacity of hybrid vehicle engines in the U.S. as part of a broader $10 billion investment plan over five years [14] Commercial Vehicles - The Yunnan Highway heavy-duty truck green electric supercharging corridor has been fully completed, featuring a network designed for electric heavy trucks [16] - Weiqiao New Energy Commercial Vehicle has officially launched the V80 model, emphasizing lightweight design and adaptability for modern logistics [17] - BYD showcased new electric models at the Latin American Commercial Vehicle Exhibition, enhancing its product lineup in overseas markets [18] - Pony.ai announced plans to mass-produce its fourth-generation autonomous truck family next year, collaborating with SANY Heavy Truck and Dongfeng Liuzhou Motor [20]
【周度分析】车市扫描(2025年11月10日-11月16日)
乘联分会· 2025-11-19 08:42
Group 1: Market Overview - From November 1 to 16, the national retail sales of passenger cars reached 886,000 units, a year-on-year decrease of 14%, and a month-on-month decrease of 6%. Cumulative retail sales for the year reached 20.142 million units, a year-on-year increase of 7% [2][5] - During the same period, wholesale sales of passenger cars by manufacturers totaled 1.021 million units, also down 14% year-on-year but up 14% month-on-month. Cumulative wholesale sales for the year reached 24.795 million units, a year-on-year increase of 11% [2][8] Group 2: New Energy Vehicles (NEVs) - Retail sales of new energy passenger cars from November 1 to 16 reached 554,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 2% and a month-on-month increase of 7%. Cumulative retail sales for the year reached 10.703 million units, a year-on-year increase of 21% [2][3] - Wholesale sales of new energy passenger cars reached 618,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 1% and a month-on-month increase of 17%. Cumulative wholesale sales for the year reached 12.675 million units, a year-on-year increase of 28% [2][3] Group 3: Production and Investment Trends - In October, the production of passenger cars was 3.28 million units, a year-on-year increase of 11%. New energy vehicle production reached 1.71 million units, a year-on-year increase of 19%, with a penetration rate of 52% [10] - For the first ten months of 2025, automotive investment grew by 17.5%, significantly higher than other manufacturing sectors, indicating strong demand and production growth [10][11] Group 4: Market Dynamics and Consumer Behavior - The market is experiencing a cautious sentiment among dealers due to tightened policies on trade-in and scrappage subsidies, leading to a slowdown in retail sales growth [5][11] - The average price of passenger cars in the first ten months of 2025 was 170,000 yuan, a decrease of 0.7 thousand yuan compared to 2024, reflecting a shift in consumer preferences and market dynamics [12][14] Group 5: Future Outlook - The automotive market is expected to see continued growth driven by policies promoting vehicle upgrades and new energy vehicles, although challenges remain in maintaining momentum into 2026 [11][12] - The penetration rate of new energy commercial vehicles reached 27% in the first ten months of 2025, indicating a strong upward trend in this segment [13]
【库存系数】2025年10月汽车经销商库存系数为1.17
乘联分会· 2025-11-19 08:42
Core Viewpoint - The automotive market in October 2025 showed a seasonal peak with a decrease in dealer inventory levels, indicating a healthy market condition supported by various promotional activities and policies [2][5]. Group 1: Inventory Levels - The comprehensive inventory coefficient for automotive dealers in October was 1.17, reflecting a month-on-month decrease of 13.3% and a year-on-year increase of 6.4%, indicating that inventory levels are below the warning line and within a reasonable range [2][3]. - The total inventory of automotive dealers at the end of October is estimated to be around 2.8 million vehicles [6]. Group 2: Brand-Specific Inventory - The inventory coefficient for high-end luxury and imported brands was 1.15, showing a month-on-month decrease of 19.0%. For joint venture brands, the coefficient was 1.20, down 13.0%, and for domestic brands, it was 1.16, down 12.1% [9]. Group 3: Market Outlook and Recommendations - Looking ahead to November 2025, market demand is expected to improve due to various promotional events such as "Double 11" shopping festival and the Guangzhou Auto Show, alongside new vehicle launches [10]. - The China Automobile Dealers Association suggests that dealers should cautiously estimate actual market demand and enhance promotion of vehicle replacement policies to boost consumer confidence while focusing on cost reduction and efficiency [10].
【宏观经济】一周要闻回顾(2025年11月13日-11月18日)
乘联分会· 2025-11-18 09:03
Energy Production in October 2025 - In October, the production of raw coal remained high, with an output of 410 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 2.3%. The average daily output was 13.12 million tons [7] - Crude oil production increased to 18 million tons, a year-on-year growth of 1.3%, with a daily average of 581,000 tons [7] - Natural gas production was 22.1 billion cubic meters, showing a year-on-year increase of 5.9%, with a daily average of 710 million cubic meters [7] - Electricity production saw a significant increase, reaching 800.2 billion kilowatt-hours, a year-on-year growth of 7.9% [7][8] Social Consumer Goods Retail - The total retail sales of consumer goods in October reached 462.91 billion yuan, growing by 2.9% year-on-year. Excluding automobiles, the retail sales amounted to 420.36 billion yuan, with a growth of 4.0% [10] - Online retail sales from January to October totaled 1.279 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.6%, with physical goods online retail sales at 1.03984 trillion yuan, growing by 6.3% [11] Fixed Asset Investment - From January to October, fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) was 4.08914 trillion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.7%. In October alone, the investment dropped by 1.62% [13] - Investment in the primary industry was 80.75 billion yuan, increasing by 2.9%, while the secondary industry saw an investment of 1.48411 trillion yuan, growing by 4.8% [14] - The tertiary industry experienced a decline in investment by 5.3%, with infrastructure investment (excluding power, heat, gas, and water production and supply) decreasing by 0.1% [15] Industrial Value Added - The industrial value added for October showed a year-on-year growth of 4.9%, with a month-on-month increase of 0.17% [18] - The mining industry increased by 4.5%, manufacturing by 4.9%, and electricity, heat, gas, and water production and supply by 5.4% [19] - Among 41 major industries, 29 reported a year-on-year increase in value added, with notable growth in coal mining (6.5%) and automotive manufacturing (16.8%) [20][21]
【新能源周报】新能源汽车行业信息周报(2025年11月10日-11月16日)
乘联分会· 2025-11-18 09:03
Industry Information - As of the end of 2024, the installed capacity of new energy storage will account for over 40% of the global total installed capacity, reaching 73.76 million kilowatts or 168 million kilowatt-hours, which is 20 times that of 2020 [9][10] - China's combination driving assistance technology has reached an international leading level, with a market penetration rate of 62.58% for passenger cars equipped with such systems [8] - The global installed capacity of power batteries increased by 35% year-on-year in the first three quarters of 2025, with China leading significantly [10][15] - In October, the domestic power battery installation volume reached 84.1 GWh, a year-on-year increase of 42.1% [15] - The first "all-in-one battery hospital" has been established in Yibin, focusing on intelligent testing and verification of battery performance [14][17] - The global automotive roll-on/roll-off capacity at Shanghai Port continues to expand, with a significant increase in the volume of electric vehicles being shipped [8] Policy Information - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has set the new energy vehicle credit ratio requirements at 48% for 2026 and 58% for 2027 [25] - The State Council has issued opinions to accelerate the cultivation of new application scenarios for clean energy vehicles in various sectors [27] - The implementation of the 2025 automobile scrapping and updating subsidy policy has been suspended in several provinces, including Hubei and Beijing [28][33] - Inner Mongolia aims for 35% of new cars to be new energy vehicles by 2027 [34] Company Information - CATL has begun mass production of its fifth-generation lithium iron phosphate battery, achieving breakthroughs in energy density and cycle life [12][21] - Harmony Auto has received a strategic investment of $40 million (approximately 284 million RMB) for its overseas new energy vehicle business platform [11] - BYD's total installed capacity of power batteries and energy storage batteries has exceeded 230 GWh as of October [15] - Xpeng Motors' Guangzhou factory has entered the trial production phase, aiming for mass production of flying cars [22]
【快讯】每日快讯(2025年11月18日)
乘联分会· 2025-11-18 09:03
Domestic News - Momenta and BMW Group announced the development of a new generation of intelligent driving assistance solutions, set to be first implemented in the domestically produced BMW iX3, with production planned for 2026 [7] - Xiaomi's HAD driving assistance system is set to upgrade to the new XLA architecture in Q4 2025, with an initial investment of 5.79 billion yuan and a team of over 1,800 people [8] - Geely plans to launch approximately ten new models in 2026, with a focus on expanding its export capabilities to build a million-unit export system by 2027 [9] - GAC Group announced a new leadership team, aiming for a market-oriented management approach to drive reform [10] - CATL and Haibos have signed a ten-year strategic cooperation agreement to explore new business models in the energy storage sector [11] - Aptiv announced the establishment of a new factory in Wuhan, expected to start production in the second half of 2026, focusing on automotive wiring harness development and manufacturing [12] - Huawei's market share in the ADAS sector reached 4.6% in the first nine months of 2025, with a significant presence in the lidar market, holding a combined 75% market share with Hesai Technology [13] - Magic Vision Technology has secured contracts to provide intelligent driving systems for multiple mainstream models from Chery [15] International News - Canada reported a record high in zero-emission vehicle sales for September 2025, reaching 17,192 units, with a market penetration rate of 10.2% [16] - Hyundai Motor Group plans to invest 125.2 trillion won (approximately 605.8 billion yuan) in South Korea from 2026 to 2030, focusing on AI, SDV, electrification, and hydrogen energy [17] - Turing, a Japanese AI startup, has partnered with Denso to develop fully autonomous vehicles following a new funding round of 9.77 billion yen (approximately 63 million USD) [18] - Ford has officially opened its new global headquarters in Michigan, designed to enhance collaboration and support its electric vehicle strategy [20] Commercial Vehicles - King Long launched a new generation of RVs, the C6E, at an event in Xiamen, marking a significant breakthrough in the RV sector [21] - Weishi Energy signed strategic cooperation agreements in Brazil to promote hydrogen energy and fuel cell technology in the Latin American market [22] - Xinyuan Automotive is conducting a promotional campaign offering substantial discounts on both new energy and fuel vehicles [23][24][25][26] - Chery Commercial Vehicles and Qingzhou Zhihang have signed a strategic cooperation agreement to advance the commercialization of unmanned logistics vehicles [27]
【深度分析】2025年10月份全国乘用车市场深度分析报告
乘联分会· 2025-11-18 09:03
Overall Market - The narrow passenger car production and sales data for October 2025 shows a total production of 2,949,257 units and wholesale of 2,928,989 units, with retail sales reaching 2,250,157 units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 11.3% in production and 7.5% in wholesale [6][9]. - The broad passenger car market also demonstrated growth, with a total production of 2,974,154 units and wholesale of 2,951,825 units, indicating a year-on-year increase of 11.0% in production [9][11]. Model Category Segmentation - The market share changes among different vehicle categories indicate that SUVs continue to dominate with a share of 50.7%, while sedans and MPVs hold 45.5% and 4.5% respectively [12][15]. - In terms of sales volume for October 2025, SUVs sold 1,141,804 units, while sedans and MPVs sold 1,022,863 and 85,490 units respectively, with SUVs showing a slight increase of 0.4% year-on-year [12][15]. Country Segmentation - The market share by country shows that domestic brands have a significant presence, with a total retail sales volume of 2,250,157 units, accounting for 51.9% of the total market [20][21]. - The year-on-year growth for domestic brands is 8.0%, while foreign brands such as German and Japanese brands have seen declines in their market shares [20][21]. Brand Positioning Segmentation - The luxury brand segment, which includes brands like Mercedes-Benz and BMW, has shown a year-on-year growth of 8.0%, with total retail sales reaching 2,250,157 units [26][29]. - Domestic brands have captured a significant market share of 47.3%, indicating strong performance in the competitive landscape [26][29]. Price Positioning Segmentation - The market share across different price segments shows that vehicles priced between 10-20 million yuan have the highest sales volume, with a total of 1,537,431 units sold, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 10.6% [33][34]. - The segment for vehicles priced above 40 million yuan has seen a decline, with sales dropping by 9.7% year-on-year [33][34].
【行业政策】一周要闻回顾(2025年11月10日-11月16日)
乘联分会· 2025-11-17 08:55
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is the announcement by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology regarding the average fuel consumption and new energy vehicle credit management for passenger car enterprises for the years 2026 and 2027, with specific credit ratio requirements set at 48% for 2026 and 58% for 2027 [1][3] Group 2 - For domestic passenger car manufacturers with production volumes below 2000 units, if their average fuel consumption decreases by more than 4% compared to the previous year, their compliance standards will be relaxed by 60% [3] - If the decrease is between 2% and 4%, the compliance standards will be relaxed by 30% [3] Group 3 - The calculation of new energy vehicle credits for passenger car enterprises will follow the specified methods outlined in the relevant documents, with low fuel consumption vehicles counted at 0.1 times their production or import volume [3] - The credit calculation for new energy passenger car models will be determined according to the specified calculation methods [3] Group 4 - The announcement includes details on the standard model credits for different vehicle types, such as pure electric vehicles, plug-in hybrid vehicles, and fuel cell vehicles, with specific formulas provided for each type [4] Group 5 - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology also published a public notice regarding the 401st batch of vehicle production enterprises and products, as well as the 80th batch of energy-saving and new energy vehicle models eligible for tax reductions [8][9]
【联合发布】新能源商用车周报(2025年11月第2周)
乘联分会· 2025-11-17 08:55
Core Insights - The article emphasizes the rapid growth and opportunities in the new energy commercial vehicle market, particularly in the heavy-duty truck segment, driven by supportive government policies and increasing market demand [5][20][29]. Policy and Regulations - The National Energy Administration has released guidelines to promote the integrated development of distributed renewable energy, encouraging the construction of energy facilities in transportation hubs [7][10]. - The State Council has issued opinions to accelerate the cultivation and opening of new application scenarios, focusing on clean energy applications in various transportation sectors [11][12]. Market Insights - In the first ten months of 2025, sales of new energy heavy-duty trucks reached approximately 158,000 units, marking a year-on-year increase of 178.1% [17][20]. - XCMG regained the top position in sales, with over 25,000 units sold, reflecting a growth of 165% year-on-year [20][21]. - Deepway, a new player in the market, reported a 153% increase in sales and plans to list in Hong Kong [23][24]. Competitive Strategies - The article discusses the competitive landscape, highlighting the need for differentiated competition and the expansion of application scenarios to maintain market share [29]. - Companies are encouraged to innovate their business models and enhance service networks to improve customer experience and loyalty [29]. Company Developments - Dongfeng Motor launched a new brand and strategy for light commercial vehicles, aiming for over 60% penetration of new energy vehicles by 2030 [31][32]. - Foton Motors introduced a comprehensive product matrix aimed at global commercial vehicle markets, with a focus on new energy solutions [34]. - Zero One Automotive unveiled its electric heavy-duty truck, emphasizing its technological advantages and market positioning [36][37]. - Jianghuai Automobile released the new energy light truck Kunkun ET9, developed in collaboration with CATL, addressing performance challenges in the sector [38][39].