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【周度分析】车市扫描(2025年7月14日-7月20日)
乘联分会· 2025-07-23 11:52
Group 1: Overview of the Automotive Market - From July 1 to 20, 2025, the national retail sales of passenger cars reached 978,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 11%, but a month-on-month decrease of 12% [1] - Cumulative retail sales for the year reached 11.88 million units, also reflecting an 11% year-on-year growth [1] - For the same period, wholesale sales of passenger cars were 960,000 units, up 22% year-on-year but down 12% month-on-month [1] Group 2: New Energy Vehicle (NEV) Market - Retail sales of new energy passenger cars from July 1 to 20 reached 537,000 units, a 23% year-on-year increase, with a penetration rate of 54.9% [1] - Cumulative retail sales of NEVs for the year reached 6.006 million units, showing a 32% year-on-year growth [1] - Wholesale sales of NEVs during the same period were 514,000 units, up 25% year-on-year, with a penetration rate of 53.6% [1] Group 3: Market Trends and Predictions - The automotive market is expected to stabilize with a strong performance in July 2025, supported by favorable economic conditions and improved exports [4] - The market is entering a consolidation phase, with traditional fuel vehicle inventories being reduced due to market pressures [4] - The "trade-in" policy is anticipated to have a stronger impact in the second half of the year, with government policies aimed at stabilizing the market [4][5] Group 4: Wholesale Sales Analysis - Daily average wholesale sales for the first three weeks of July were 39,000, 46,000, and 58,000 units respectively, showing year-on-year growth of 39%, 31%, and 8% [6] - Cumulative wholesale sales for the year reached 14.24 million units, reflecting a 13% year-on-year increase [6] - The automotive industry is increasingly driven by both domestic and international demand, with a notable improvement in industry order [6] Group 5: Commercial Vehicle Market - In June 2025, domestic commercial vehicle sales reached 260,000 units, a 17% year-on-year increase [7] - The first half of 2025 saw commercial vehicle sales of 1.52 million units, a 6% year-on-year growth [7] - The penetration rate of new energy commercial vehicles reached 24% in the first half of 2025, indicating strong growth [7] Group 6: Registration and Ownership Data - By June 2025, the total number of vehicles in China reached 359 million, with new energy vehicles accounting for 10.27% of this total [8] - The first half of 2025 saw 5.622 million new energy vehicles registered, a 27.86% year-on-year increase [8] - The rapid growth in vehicle scrappage rates indicates a dynamic market environment, with a net increase of 6.5 million vehicles expected this year [8] Group 7: International Market Insights - In Russia, the automotive market saw a significant increase in Chinese brand market share, reaching 57% in June 2025 [9] - The total automotive sales in Russia for the first half of 2025 were 600,000 units, a 29% year-on-year decline [9] - Chinese exports to Russia have shown strong growth, with significant increases in market penetration for Chinese brands [9]
【宏观经济】一周要闻回顾(2025年7月16日-7月22日)
乘联分会· 2025-07-22 14:28
Core Viewpoint - In the first half of 2025, China attracted foreign investment amounting to 423.23 billion RMB, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 15.2% despite an increase in the number of newly established foreign-invested enterprises by 11.7% [3][5]. Group 1: Foreign Investment Overview - In the first half of 2025, a total of 30,014 new foreign-invested enterprises were established, marking an 11.7% increase year-on-year [3]. - The actual foreign investment utilized was 423.23 billion RMB, which represents a decline of 15.2% compared to the previous year [3][5]. Group 2: Sector Analysis - The manufacturing sector attracted 109.06 billion RMB in foreign investment, while the service sector received 305.87 billion RMB [5]. - High-tech industries saw a total of 127.87 billion RMB in foreign investment, with notable growth in specific sectors: e-commerce services (127.1%), chemical pharmaceuticals (53%), aerospace manufacturing (36.2%), and medical instruments (17.7%) [5]. Group 3: Source of Investment - Investment from ASEAN countries increased by 8.8%, while investments from Switzerland, Japan, the UK, Germany, and South Korea grew by 68.6%, 59.1%, 37.6%, 6.3%, and 2.7% respectively [6]. Group 4: Electricity Consumption - In June 2025, the total electricity consumption in China reached 867 billion kWh, showing a year-on-year growth of 5.4% [7]. - Cumulatively, from January to June 2025, total electricity consumption was 48,418 billion kWh, reflecting a 3.7% increase year-on-year [7].
【商用车】2025年6月轻型商用车市场预测研究报告
乘联分会· 2025-07-22 14:28
Industry Insights - XCMG launched the new generation of its light truck brand "HanJie" on May 27, focusing on improving logistics efficiency through technological innovations, with cargo box length increased from 4.2 meters to 4.4 meters [2] Product Analysis - The small truck market has shown an overall declining trend from 2019 to 2023, with a significant drop of 8.1% expected in 2024, and a further decline of 1.4 percentage points in the first five months of 2025 [4][6] - Market share for small trucks rose from 23% in 2019 to 33.1% in 2023, but is projected to decrease to 30.6% by May 2025 due to the recovery of the light truck market [7] - Sales of fuel and natural gas small trucks are declining, while the sales of new energy small trucks are increasing rapidly, although growth has slowed down in early 2025 [9] - Sales are concentrated in five provinces: Shandong, Hebei, Henan, Guangdong, and Sichuan, with Guangdong leading at 9,229 units sold in early 2025, a year-on-year increase of 11.6% [12] Market Strategy Recommendations - Traditional companies should maintain their presence in traditional energy markets while actively transitioning to new energy vehicles, as the shift towards electrification in commercial vehicles is inevitable [15] Sales Forecast - The light commercial vehicle market is expected to stabilize in 2025, with a projected total sales volume of 2.81 million units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.1% [21]
【新能源周报】新能源汽车行业信息周报(2025年7月14日-7月20日)
乘联分会· 2025-07-22 14:28
Industry Information - CATL and BYD's Fudi Battery have partnered with BHP to accelerate the electrification of the global mining industry, focusing on electric mining equipment and fast-charging infrastructure [7][8] - As of June 2025, the total number of motor vehicles in China reached 460 million, with 55 million drivers, marking a record high in new energy vehicle registrations [9][10] - China's new energy vehicle ownership reached 36.89 million by June 2025, accounting for 10.27% of total vehicles, with a year-on-year growth of 27.86% in new registrations [9][10] - The export volume of automobiles from China increased by over 10% in the first half of 2025, totaling 3.083 million vehicles [11] - Rho Motion reported that global new energy vehicle sales reached 9.1 million in the first half of 2025, with China contributing 5.5 million, a 32% increase year-on-year [12][13] Policy Information - Gansu province has adjusted the pricing mechanism for electric vehicle charging services to a model of "electricity cost + service fee," effective from August 1, 2025 [25][26] - The State Council has mandated the establishment of a working group to regulate competition in the new energy vehicle industry, focusing on cost investigation and price monitoring [17] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology will assist companies in rapid listing verification and precise subsidies for vehicle trade-ins [14][15] - New energy vehicle charging infrastructure subsidies have been announced in various regions, including a 1.49 million yuan subsidy in Zhejiang and a 960,000 yuan subsidy in Shanxi [39][40] Company Information - Xpeng Motors has completed a $250 million Series B financing round to accelerate the development and mass production of its flying car [16] - NIO has launched the world's highest-altitude battery swap station in Tibet, enhancing its service network [7] - Geely has signed a merger agreement with Zeekr Technology, aiming to strengthen its market position [7] - Ideal Auto reported a cash reserve of 110.7 billion yuan, leading in the number of self-built fast-charging stations among automakers [7] - The first model of Huawei's HarmonyOS vehicle, named Shangjie H5, has been officially announced [15]
【快讯】每日快讯(2025年7月22日)
乘联分会· 2025-07-22 14:28
Domestic News - The coverage rate of charging piles in highway service areas has reached 98.4%, with 62,000 charging parking spaces built, alleviating "range anxiety" for electric vehicles, which now account for about 20% of daily highway traffic [4] - Guangdong and Anhui provinces are implementing measures to promote healthy development in the automotive industry, including commitments from companies like GAC, BYD, and Xpeng to optimize payment processes for suppliers [5] - GAC Group has established a new energy technology company focusing on AI applications, IoT technology development, and related services [6] - BYD's high-end brand Yangwang will enter the European market, targeting luxury brands like Bentley and Porsche with high-tech and high-performance models [7] - Toyota and Sheneng Co. signed a strategic cooperation agreement to explore the application of Toyota's nickel-hydrogen batteries in energy storage systems [8] - Hongmeng Zhixing reported over 600 user centers nationwide and integrated over 1,100 Huawei supercharging stations, creating an efficient charging network [9] - WeRide has formed strategic partnerships with Guanggu Intelligent Manufacturing Park and Hubei Science Investment to deepen collaboration in battery asset management and capital markets [12] International News - The EU plans to mandate that rental companies only purchase electric vehicles starting in 2030, accelerating the phase-out of internal combustion engine vehicles [13] - The UK is seeking public input on a licensing plan for autonomous vehicle services, with the first services expected to launch in spring 2026 [14] - Canada's share of North American automotive production has dropped to a 30-year low of 7.6%, with a 6.4% decline in production [15] - Tesla has upgraded its Robotaxi service to allow for more precise passenger pickups based on user location, enhancing user experience [16] Commercial Vehicles - Supa and TÜV Nord have partnered to enhance the efficiency of global certification for new energy heavy trucks [17] - SAIC Yuejin launched two new energy light trucks, T2 and T3, aimed at covering various logistics needs [18] - Shandong Heavy Industry's heavy truck exports accounted for 61.3% of the national total, with a 3% increase in export revenue [19] - Fast Intelligent Brake Company received recognition as an advanced intelligent factory, marking a significant achievement in smart manufacturing [20]
【快讯】每日快讯(2025年7月21日)
乘联分会· 2025-07-21 08:45
Domestic News - The three departments held a seminar on the electric vehicle industry to promote sustainable development and strengthen industry supervision and self-discipline [4][5] - Chongqing government issued measures to boost consumption, including subsidies for scrapping and replacing old vehicles, and promoting online vehicle registration [6] - Chengdu's electric vehicle ownership reached 1.08 million, accounting for 15.1% of total vehicles, achieving its 2025 target ahead of schedule [7][8] - BMW established a global IT research and development center in Nanjing, marking it as the largest in Asia and the only one in China [9] - Dongfeng Group increased its investment in Lantu Automotive by 1 billion yuan, raising its stake to approximately 79.69% [10] - Land Rover announced a full luxury car tax subsidy policy for specific models purchased within a limited time [11] - Xiaopeng Motors has built over 12,700 self-operated charging piles across 420 cities, aiming for 10,000 charging stations by 2026 [12][13] - Toyota's subsidiary announced a 3.7 billion yuan investment to build a battery factory in Dalian for electric vehicles [14] International News - The UK plans to launch its first autonomous vehicle services in spring 2026, with a focus on regulatory frameworks [15] - Tesla opened its first "Supercharger restaurant" in Los Angeles, allowing customers to charge their vehicles while dining [16] - Stellantis plans to double the production capacity of its Moroccan plant to 535,000 vehicles, increasing electric vehicle output significantly [17] - Tesla's FSD will integrate technology from the Austin Robotaxi project, enhancing its capabilities [18] Commercial Vehicles - The New Energy Commercial Vehicle Industry Technology Innovation Strategic Alliance was established to promote technological innovation and industry integration [21] - Geely's methanol hydrogen technology completed a third round of financing exceeding 200 million USD, focusing on product development and ecosystem construction [22] - The first Chinese diesel engine oil standard was published, enhancing domestic engine performance and reducing maintenance costs [23] - The new Remote Super Energy VAN model was launched in the southern region, gaining significant attention in the industry [24]
【联合发布】新能源商用车周报(2025年7月第3周)
乘联分会· 2025-07-21 08:45
Core Insights - The article highlights the rapid growth of the new energy commercial vehicle market in China, particularly focusing on the significant increase in sales and market penetration of new energy heavy trucks in the first half of 2025 [13][23][26]. Policy and Regulations - The State Council meeting emphasized the need to promote high-quality development in the new energy vehicle industry and to regulate competition within the sector [11][16]. - Hebei province has issued a plan to enhance the safety management of charging infrastructure, aiming to improve the quality of charging products [17][18]. - Chongqing is working on developing a recycling industry for new energy vehicle batteries, with a goal to establish a robust recycling system by 2027 [19][20]. Market Insights - In the first half of 2025, domestic sales of new energy heavy trucks reached 79,191 units, marking a year-on-year increase of 185.8%, with a market penetration rate of 22.3% [23][31]. - Shanghai led the market with a staggering 5,161% year-on-year increase in new energy heavy truck sales, achieving a penetration rate of 60.5% [26][29]. - The market is characterized by a high concentration of sales in specific regions, with significant growth observed in East and South China, where sales increased by over 200% [31]. Company Monitoring - FAW Jiefang launched four new "Smart Power Domain" products, creating a dual-line matrix of traditional and new energy vehicles [41][43]. - Zhengzhou Yutong introduced the T6 light truck, enhancing its product lineup for comprehensive long-range solutions [44]. - BYD has launched the T5 light truck, with prices starting at 276,800 yuan for the pure electric version and 193,800 yuan for the plug-in hybrid version [46][47].
【行业政策】一周要闻回顾(2025年7月14日-7月20日)
乘联分会· 2025-07-21 08:45
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses recent announcements from the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and the Ministry of Transport regarding the approval of new energy vehicle models, tax exemptions, and standards for vehicle efficiency testing, indicating a strong push towards promoting energy-efficient and new energy vehicles in China [2][4][10]. Group 1: New Energy Vehicle Announcements - On July 15, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology released the 396th batch of vehicle production enterprises and products, along with directories for energy-saving and new energy vehicles eligible for tax exemptions [2][4]. - The directory for energy-saving and new energy vehicles includes 342 models, with 25 energy-saving models and 317 new energy models, highlighting a diverse range of vehicle types [6]. - The directory for vehicle purchase tax exemptions lists 476 compliant models, including 388 pure electric vehicles and 75 plug-in hybrid vehicles, showcasing the government's commitment to supporting the new energy vehicle sector [6]. Group 2: Standards and Regulations - The Ministry of Transport announced the 77th batch of compliant road transport vehicle models, which includes 325 models across various categories, emphasizing the importance of compliance with technical standards [10]. - New regulations regarding the consumption tax on super-luxury vehicles have been introduced, adjusting the threshold for taxation to vehicles priced at 900,000 yuan and above, which aims to guide reasonable consumption [12][14]. - The article also discusses the solicitation of opinions on two industry standards related to passenger car transmission efficiency testing and electronic shift mechanisms, indicating ongoing efforts to standardize and improve vehicle technology [17][20].
【联合发布】2025年6月OTA监测月报
乘联分会· 2025-07-21 08:45
Core Insights - The article discusses the monthly OTA (Over-The-Air) monitoring report released by the China Automobile Circulation Association and Guangzhou Weierbo Information Technology Co., Ltd, focusing on the trends and updates in the automotive industry regarding OTA upgrades [1]. Industry Overview - In June 2025, the industry updated a total of 463 features, a decrease from 498 in the previous month. The "assisted driving" module regained the top position in upgrade share, with urban NOA (Navigation on Autopilot) features accounting for approximately 30% of the upgrades [4]. - New force brands updated a total of 133 features in June 2025, down from 200 in the previous month. The competition in the intelligent driving sector reignited among various new force brands, while upgrades in voice assistants, navigation, and ecosystem applications were minimal [6]. - Domestic brands updated 269 features in June 2025, with 13 brands pushing OTA upgrades. The focus remained on enhancing intelligent cockpit experiences and ecosystem refinement, while the competition in assisted driving gradually warmed up [8]. - Joint venture and luxury brands updated 61 features in June 2025, a significant increase from 9 in the previous month. Notably, Nissan and Toyota launched their first OTA upgrades for locally developed new energy models [10]. OTA Iteration Speed - The report indicates a notable increase in the speed of OTA iterations across various brands, reflecting a growing emphasis on enhancing vehicle functionalities and user experiences [12]. OTA Operational Activities - Nissan held a significant OTA upgrade event for the N7 model on June 30, 2025, promoting the new features through various channels, including a live-streamed launch event [20][26]. - Post-OTA push, Nissan initiated long-term operational activities to encourage user engagement, including video contests and experience-sharing topics, focusing on automotive media platforms [27][31]. Upcoming OTA Upgrades - Several brands have scheduled OTA upgrades for various models in the upcoming months, including features like full-scene navigation and advanced driver assistance systems [30][32]. User Feedback - User feedback highlighted both satisfaction and areas for improvement regarding the new features, with specific mentions of the intelligent driving indicator and the overall experience of the upgraded functionalities [34][36][39][49].
【快讯】每日快讯(2025年7月18日)
乘联分会· 2025-07-18 08:55
Domestic News - The Ministry of Finance and the State Taxation Administration have adjusted the consumption tax policy for super luxury cars, now applying to vehicles with a retail price of 900,000 yuan (excluding VAT) and above, effective from July 20, 2025 [6] - China's L2 level assisted driving penetration rate has exceeded 50%, the highest globally, with emerging technologies like parking assistance exceeding 20% in mid-to-high-end models [7] - In the first half of 2025, Shanghai port exported 1.275 million vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 13%, leading the nation in export volume [9] - In Sichuan, the production value of new energy vehicles increased by 11.0%, with the output of new energy vehicles reaching 144,000 units, accounting for 27.6% of the province's total vehicle production [10] - By 2027, Chongqing aims to achieve a 90% coverage rate for the recycling network of new energy vehicle batteries [11] - China and the EU have agreed to establish a working group to cooperate on cross-border data flow in the automotive sector [12] - FAW Hongqi has surpassed 2 million users, becoming the first Chinese luxury car brand to reach this milestone [13] - GAC Group is entering the UK market with plans to launch two Aion electric vehicle models [14] International News - In June, Japan's automobile exports to the US increased in volume by 4.6% but saw a decline in export value by 25.3% due to tariffs [15] - South Africa's electric vehicle sales are expected to grow exponentially in the coming years, supported by government policies promoting local production [15] - Stellantis plans to double the production capacity of its Moroccan factory with an investment of 1.2 billion euros, creating 3,100 direct jobs [15] - Mitsubishi Motors will launch hybrid models in North America by the end of 2025, transitioning its Outlander SUV to hybrid from the 2026 model year [16] Commercial Vehicles - FAW Jiefang has launched new products and technologies at its "Future Factory" in Changchun, showcasing advancements in commercial vehicle power systems [17][18] - Xiamen King Long has been awarded the "Harmonious and Beneficial" title for its sustainable development practices in the automotive industry [19] - XCMG has opened a direct sales store for its new energy heavy trucks, enhancing customer experience and promoting green transportation [20] - The Remote Super Energy VAN has officially launched in the western market, expanding its product matrix for urban logistics [21]