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【商用车】2025年9月轻型商用车市场预测研究报告
乘联分会· 2025-10-16 08:40
Industry Insights - SAIC-GM-Wuling launched the "Wuling Yangguang Champion Edition" on September 8, featuring the CATL Tianxing battery system, with prices set at 83,800 yuan for the 310km closed version and 85,800 yuan for the 310km passenger version [3] - On August 29, JAC's new energy pickup trucks, the Hantu PHEV and Hantu EV, were globally launched starting at 159,800 yuan, with the PHEV based on the "H-Power" hybrid architecture [5] Product Analysis - The sales proportion of new energy light trucks ranks second only to light passenger vehicles, with a penetration rate exceeding 20% [7] - New energy light truck sales are projected to exceed 100,000 units in 2024, with a growth rate of 123.3%. For the first eight months of 2025, sales reached 105,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 94.2% [9] - The overall penetration rate of light trucks reached 23.6% in the first eight months of 2025, an increase of 5.1 percentage points from 2024 [9] - New energy commercial vehicle sales have maintained growth, with 2024 sales expected to reach 607,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 71.4% [10] Regional Distribution - Guangdong Province is the main market for new energy light trucks, with significant sales leading other provinces. Key markets include Beijing, Zhejiang, and Hainan, while growth markets like Yunnan and Henan show potential with growth rates exceeding 100% [12] Product Strategy - The product strategy focuses on precise targeting of niche markets, strong product capabilities, and a rich product matrix [14] Service Strategy - The service strategy emphasizes enhancing financial support, extending warranty periods for key components, and continuously improving the new energy service system [16] Sales Forecast - The light commercial vehicle market is expected to develop steadily in 2025, with total sales projected at 2.814 million units, a year-on-year increase of 3.3% [21]
【新能源周报】新能源汽车行业信息周报(2025年10月6日-10月12日)
乘联分会· 2025-10-15 08:37
Industry Information - Botai Car Union and SenseTime signed a cooperation framework agreement to promote AI applications in intelligent connected vehicles [8] - The first large-capacity sodium-ion energy storage power station in China has been put into operation, capable of reducing coal consumption by 9,000 tons and CO2 emissions by 13,500 tons annually [11] - The "Weihai-Dalian" new energy vehicle transportation route has been opened, enhancing logistics for electric vehicles in northern China [12] - In August, China's automotive parts exports reached $8.41 billion, with a year-on-year increase of 4.7% [13] - During the National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival holiday, the charging volume for new energy vehicles on highways exceeded 1.2 billion kWh, marking a historical high [14] - CATL has repurchased shares worth 4.386 billion yuan and its subsidiary completed a financing round of 2 billion yuan [17][18] - The global strategic cooperation between CATL and Maersk aims to optimize supply chain management [14] - Hunan Province plans to narrow the gap in new energy vehicle penetration rate with the national average to within 6% by the end of 2025 [20] - The second phase of CATL's Luoyang base has officially commenced production, with an expected annual output increase of 30 GWh [21] Policy Information - Wenzhou has suspended the implementation of the automobile replacement subsidy policy starting from October 10, 2025 [24] - The Ministry of Finance announced adjustments to the technical requirements for the exemption of vehicle purchase tax for new energy vehicles for 2026-2027 [26][27] - Shanghai has adjusted the rules for the 2025 automobile trade-in subsidy program, implementing a public lottery system for qualification [31] - The first international standard for "Intelligent Mobility Service Safety and Privacy" has been successfully established, led by China [36] - The Ministry of Commerce and the General Administration of Customs announced export controls on lithium batteries and artificial graphite anode materials, effective from November 8, 2025 [38] Company Information - Li Auto plans to launch 105 new charging stations by the 40th week of 2025, bringing the total to over 3,400 [47] - BYD's monthly sales in the UK have surpassed 10,000 units for the first time, with the Song Plus DM-i model ranking sixth in the top ten single model sales [45] - Tesla is planning to introduce a lower-priced version of the Model Y to adapt to changes in U.S. electric vehicle incentives [45] - Geely's Galaxy brand has become the fastest to reach annual sales of one million new energy vehicles [48] - NIO is set to launch the 2.0 version of its world model, enhancing its AI capabilities [49] - Xiaopeng Motors will announce significant breakthroughs in physical AI at its upcoming AI Technology Day [49]
【快讯】每日快讯(2025年10月15日)
乘联分会· 2025-10-15 08:37
Domestic News - The total number of motor vehicles in China has reached 460 million, with 360 million being cars and 550 million drivers, making it the largest in the world [6] - In September, China's power battery installation volume was 76.0 GWh, a year-on-year increase of 39.5% and a month-on-month increase of 21.6% [7] - JD.com, in collaboration with CATL and GAC, announced the launch of a new electric vehicle named "National Good Car," which will be exclusively sold on JD's platform [8][9] - Zhengzhou Nissan has established a new R&D center for light commercial vehicles (LCV) in Zhengzhou, marking a strategic shift towards innovation [10] - Dongfeng Motor has officially entered the Tunisian market, launching three popular models to cater to local consumer needs [11] - Li Auto has opened its first overseas retail center in Tashkent, Uzbekistan, marking a significant step in its global expansion strategy [12] - Toyota's Platinum Smart 3X has officially launched in Hong Kong, potentially serving as a gateway to global markets [13] - Tesla has achieved full coverage of its charging network in Jiangxi province, with 36 stations and 145 charging piles [14][15] International News - Germany has reinstated electric vehicle purchase subsidies, allocating €3 billion (approximately $3.5 billion) to incentivize low-income families to buy electric cars [16] - Stellantis Group plans to invest $13 billion in the U.S. over the next four years, aiming to increase production by 50% and create over 5,000 jobs [17] - General Motors has decided to halt the development of hydrogen fuel cell systems, focusing instead on electric vehicle technology due to commercialization uncertainties [18] - Kia plans to significantly increase electric vehicle production at its Slovakia plant, aiming for an annual output of around 100,000 units by 2027 [20] Commercial Vehicles - Dongfeng Commercial Vehicle has signed a strategic cooperation agreement with CATL to enhance electric vehicle technology and market expansion [21][22] - Guangdong province is offering subsidies of up to 140,000 yuan for the replacement of old heavy-duty trucks, encouraging the transition to new energy vehicles [23] - Mercedes-Benz has launched multiple eActros 400 electric heavy trucks based on the eActros 600 platform, expanding its electric truck offerings [24] - Scania's new production facility in Rugao has officially opened, with an annual capacity of 50,000 units, marking a significant commitment to the Chinese market [25]
【宏观经济】一周要闻回顾(2025年10月1日-10月15日)
乘联分会· 2025-10-15 08:37
Transportation Economic Operation in August - In August, the overall transportation economic operation continued to show a recovery trend, with stable growth in freight volume and cross-regional personnel flow, and a rapid increase in port cargo throughput [7] - The completed operating freight volume in August reached 5.06 billion tons, a year-on-year increase of 3.6%, with road freight volume at 3.75 billion tons (up 3.9%) and waterway freight volume at 0.85 billion tons (up 1.2%) [7] - The port cargo throughput in August was 1.59 billion tons, a year-on-year increase of 4.7%, with container throughput at 31.49 million TEUs, up 6.5% [5] Foreign Trade Performance in the First Three Quarters - In the first three quarters, China's total goods trade import and export reached 33.61 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4%, with exports at 19.95 trillion yuan (up 7.1%) and imports at 13.66 trillion yuan (down 0.2%) [11] - The growth rate of imports and exports accelerated quarterly, with the third quarter showing a growth of 6%, marking eight consecutive quarters of year-on-year growth [12] - The diversification of markets continued, with trade with countries involved in the Belt and Road Initiative reaching 17.37 trillion yuan, up 6.2%, accounting for 51.7% of total trade [12] Consumer Price Index (CPI) Trends - In September 2025, the national consumer price index (CPI) decreased by 0.3% year-on-year, with urban prices down 0.2% and rural prices down 0.5% [14] - Food prices fell by 4.4%, while non-food prices increased by 0.7%, leading to an average CPI decline of 0.1% from January to September [15] - The prices of various goods and services showed mixed trends, with fresh vegetable prices down 13.7% and pork prices down 17.0%, impacting the CPI significantly [16] Industrial Producer Price Trends - In September 2025, the industrial producer ex-factory price decreased by 2.3% year-on-year, with the decline narrowing by 0.6 percentage points from the previous month [20] - The average industrial producer ex-factory price from January to September fell by 2.8%, with the purchase price down by 3.2% [20] - The prices of production materials decreased by 2.4%, with mining industry prices down 9.0% and raw material industry prices down 2.9% [21]
【周度分析】车市扫描(2025年10月1日-10月12日)
乘联分会· 2025-10-15 08:37
Market Overview - In the first 12 days of October, the national retail sales of passenger cars reached 686,000 units, a year-on-year decrease of 8%, but a month-on-month increase of 12%. Cumulative retail sales for the year reached 17.694 million units, up 8% year-on-year [2][4] - Wholesale sales of passenger cars during the same period totaled 546,000 units, down 11% year-on-year and down 15% month-on-month. Year-to-date wholesale sales reached 21.393 million units, an increase of 12% year-on-year [2][6] New Energy Vehicle (NEV) Performance - Retail sales of new energy vehicles (NEVs) in the first 12 days of October were 367,000 units, a year-on-year decrease of 1%, but a month-on-month increase of 1%. The retail penetration rate for NEVs reached 53.5%, with cumulative retail sales for the year at 9.236 million units, up 23% year-on-year [2][4] - Wholesale sales of NEVs were 328,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 1%, but a month-on-month decrease of 11%. The wholesale penetration rate for NEVs was 60.2%, with cumulative wholesale sales for the year at 10.775 million units, up 31% year-on-year [2][4] Sales Trends and Seasonal Effects - The first week of October saw an average daily retail of 44,000 units, down 18% year-on-year, while the second week saw an average daily retail of 85,000 units, up 7% year-on-year [4] - The traditional peak season of "Golden September and Silver October" is expected to boost sales, but tightening subsidy standards and the impending expiration of vehicle purchase tax incentives may gradually release consumer purchasing enthusiasm [4][6] Price Competition and Promotions - The price competition in the passenger car market has returned to rationality, with a moderate scale of new car price reductions. In the first nine months of 2025, 148 new car models saw price cuts, with an average reduction of 21,000 yuan, representing a 10.8% decrease [8][9] - In September 2025, the average price reduction for new energy vehicles was 19,000 yuan, with a reduction rate of 9.8%, while conventional fuel vehicles saw an average reduction of 11,000 yuan, with a reduction rate of 5.9% [8][9] Export Performance - The export market for Chinese automobiles has shown strong growth, particularly in Southeast Asia, Africa, and the EU. In the first eight months of 2025, the overseas sales of Chinese self-owned brands reached 2.1 million units, up 11% year-on-year [11] - The strategy for exporting Chinese automobiles has evolved, focusing on local assembly and production, with companies like SAIC, Geely, Great Wall, and Chery achieving significant success in overseas markets [11]
【行业政策】一周要闻回顾(2025年10月6日-10月12日)
乘联分会· 2025-10-14 08:43
点 击 蓝 字 关 注 我 们 本文全文共 4817 字,阅读全文约 16 分钟 关于《道路机动车辆生产企业及产品公告》(第400批)和《享受车船税减免优惠的节约能源 使用 新能源汽车车型目录》(第七十九批)拟发布内容的公示 10月9日,工业和信息化部装备工业一司公布"关于《道路机动车辆生产企业及产品公告》(第400批)和 《享受车船税减免优惠的节约能源 使用新能源汽车车型目录》(第七十九批)拟发布内容的公示"。 公示称,根据道路机动车辆生产企业及产品准入管理和《财政部 税务总局 工业和信息化部 交通运输部关 于节能 新能源车船享受车船税优惠政策的通知》(财税〔2018〕74号)、《工业和信息化部 财政部 税务总局 关于调整享受车船税优惠的节能 新能源汽车产品技术要求的公告》(2024年第10号)等有关要求,现将《道 路机动车辆生产企业及产品公告》(第400批)和《享受车船税减免优惠的节约能源 使用新能源汽车车型目 录》(第七十九批)拟发布内容予以公示,请社会各界监督,如有异议,请在公示期内以传真、电子邮件形式 或通过网上意见征求系统反馈。 本批申请新产品准入的车辆生产企业共计569户,其中 汽车生产企业43 ...
【联合发布】新能源商用车周报(2025年10月第2周)
乘联分会· 2025-10-14 08:43
Core Insights - The article discusses the rapid growth and trends in the new energy commercial vehicle market, particularly focusing on electric trucks and the impact of government policies on this sector [4][21]. Policy and Regulations - The Ministry of Transport and six other departments have jointly issued implementation opinions on "AI + Transportation," aiming for widespread application of AI in the transportation sector by 2027 and deep integration by 2030 [6][8]. - The National Development and Reform Commission has announced measures to regulate price competition, urging operators to adhere to pricing guidelines to maintain market order [9][11]. Market Insights - From January to August 2025, sales of new energy tractors increased by 243.5% year-on-year, reaching 85,100 units, with a penetration rate of 31.9% [21][25]. - The mainstream products in the market are those with battery capacities between 301-430 kWh, while products with capacities of 500-600 kWh are rapidly gaining traction [25][31]. - Traditional heavy truck manufacturers are accelerating their entry into the new energy vehicle market, intensifying competition [25][32]. - Future demand is expected to shift from short-distance transport to long-haul transportation scenarios [33][35]. Company Monitoring - Changan Automobile has launched new models, including the "Xingta" and "Kua Yue Xingguang," focusing on user experience and comfort [38][40]. - Zhongtong Bus has introduced the H12E-Plus and N12D electric buses, specifically designed for the European market [42][48]. - Supao Technology has partnered with Alltrucks to provide comprehensive service support for its electric truck customers across Europe [46][50].
【快讯】每日快讯(2025年10月14日)
乘联分会· 2025-10-14 08:43
Domestic News - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology plans to comprehensively enhance the intelligence and connectivity capabilities of automotive enterprises, raising production access thresholds and emphasizing cybersecurity and data security requirements [7] - In the first three quarters, the export share of domestic brand electric vehicles reached 59.5%, reflecting a significant increase compared to the previous year [8] - Starting November 1, the Ministry of Public Security will implement a fully digital process for new car registration, allowing users to complete the process without leaving home [9] - China has established the world's largest charging network, with 17.348 million charging facilities, equating to two charging stations for every five vehicles [10] - Seres Group has made significant progress in its listing process on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, planning to issue up to 331 million shares [11] - XPeng Motors has begun exporting its MONA series to the Middle East and Africa, marking its expansion in overseas markets [12] - Tesla's Shanghai Gigafactory has initiated production capacity expansion for the fourth quarter of 2025 [13] - BYD's flagship store in South Africa has officially opened, indicating the company's growth in the African market [13] International News - The average price of new cars in the U.S. has surpassed $50,000 for the first time, driven by increased sales of luxury and electric vehicles [15] - The Manitoba provincial government in Canada is urging the federal government to eliminate the 100% tariff on Chinese electric vehicles, citing adverse effects on bilateral trade [16] - Renault plans to launch a new electric vehicle model priced below $20,000, leveraging advancements in battery technology to reduce production costs by 40% [17] - SK On is expanding its battery production facility in Georgia, USA, to include capabilities for both electric vehicle batteries and energy storage systems [18][19] Commercial Vehicles - Weishi Energy and the Brazilian Institute of Technology have announced a strategic partnership to promote the commercialization of hydrogen-powered heavy trucks in Brazil [20] - Dongfeng Commercial Vehicle has formed a strategic cooperation with Shijiazhuang Anruike to develop integrated vehicle and trailer solutions, promoting the use of clean energy [21] - The Remote Star Intelligent F3E has been launched in northern and eastern regions, addressing operational challenges faced by local users [22] - Shenzhen will implement a full ban on National III diesel trucks starting January 1, 2026, following previous restrictions [23]
【月度排名】2025年9月厂商销量排名快报
乘联分会· 2025-10-14 08:43
点 击 蓝 字 关 注 我 们 本文全文共469 字,阅读全文约需 2 分钟 据中国汽车流通协会乘用车市场信息联席分会最新销量数据统计,2025年9月份国内狭义乘用车市场 零售 销量达224.4万辆,同比增长6.4%,环比增长11.2%;1-9月份累计销量1700.8万辆,同比增长9.2%。 | 9月销量 | | 1-9月累计销量 | | --- | --- | --- | | 224.4万5两 | | 1700.8万辆 | | 同比16.4% | | 同比↑9.2% | | 环比↑11.2% | | | | 各车型大类 | | | | 9月指量 | | 1-9月累计销量 | | 474 | 102.1万辆 | 780.0万辆 | | 同比↑4.9% 环比↑13.1% | | 同比↑8.5% | | MPV | 9.2万辆 | 78.2万辆 | | 同比↓ 4.9% 环比↑ 3.5% | | 同比↑ 3.8% | | SIM | 113.0万辆 | 842.6万辆 | | 同比↑ 8.9% 环比↑ 10.1% | | 同比↑ 10.4% | | NEV | 129.9万辆 | 886.9万辆 | | 同比↑ ...
【地方市场】2025年8月北京汽车市场分析
乘联分会· 2025-10-13 02:01
点 击 蓝 字 关 注 我 们 本文全文共 1782 字,阅读全文约需 6 分钟 新车交易情况 。 8月份北京新车交易5.71万辆,环比下降5.41%,同比下降9.85%。环比增幅低于全国15.51个百分 点,同比增幅低于全国26.25个百分点 。 1—8月北京累计交易新车42.17万辆,同比去年43.89万辆下降3.93%,增幅低于全国16.53个百分点 进口车销售情况 8月份北京市进口车交易2268辆,环比下降7.69%,同比下降20.59% 。 1-8月北京市进口车累计交易1.92万辆,同比下降21.01% 。 8月北京进口车销量占北京新车交易总量的3.97%,占有率环比下降0.1个百分点,同比下降0.54个百 分点 。 新能源汽车销售情况 8月份北京市新能源汽车共交易3.67万辆,环比下降7.17%,同比增长1.17%,占新车总交易量的 64.23%。纯电动汽车销售2.36万辆,占新能源汽车销量61.89% 。 1-8月北京市新能源汽车累计交易25.05万辆,同比增长16.21%,占新车总交易量的59.04% 。 二手车交易情况 8月份北京市二手车成交过户5.43万辆次,环比下降11.15%,同比下降 ...