乘联分会
Search documents
【周度分析】车市扫描(2025年9月22日-9月27日)
乘联分会· 2025-09-30 09:36
Group 1: Market Overview - In the period from September 1 to 27, 2025, the national retail sales of passenger cars reached 1.776 million units, showing a year-on-year growth of 0% and a month-on-month increase of 12% [1] - Cumulative retail sales for the year reached 16.54 million units, reflecting an 8% year-on-year increase [1] - For the same period, wholesale sales of passenger cars amounted to 2.103 million units, with a year-on-year growth of 1% and a month-on-month increase of 16% [1] Group 2: New Energy Vehicles - Retail sales of new energy vehicles from September 1 to 27 reached 1.039 million units, marking a 9% year-on-year increase and a 17% month-on-month increase [1] - The penetration rate of new energy vehicle retail sales was 58.5%, with cumulative retail sales for the year at 8.609 million units, a 24% year-on-year growth [1] - Wholesale sales of new energy vehicles during the same period were 1.154 million units, reflecting a 12% year-on-year increase and a 21% month-on-month increase [1] Group 3: Sales Trends - The first week of September saw an average daily retail of 43,885 units, a 10% year-on-year decline [3] - The second week recorded an average daily retail of 48,652 units, showing a 1% year-on-year increase [3] - The third week had an average daily retail of 59,236 units, with a 9% year-on-year growth [4] Group 4: Wholesale Trends - The first week of September had an average daily wholesale of 44,984 units, a 5% year-on-year decline [8] - The second week recorded an average daily wholesale of 67,580 units, a 1% year-on-year decline [8] - The fourth week saw an average daily wholesale of 132,397 units, reflecting a 2% year-on-year increase [8] Group 5: Export Performance - In August 2025, China exported 764,000 vehicles, a 25% year-on-year increase, with cumulative exports from January to August reaching 4.94 million units, a 21% year-on-year growth [4] - The top ten countries for vehicle exports included Russia, UAE, and Mexico, with significant increases in exports to Australia and Algeria [10] - The export of new energy vehicles showed strong performance, particularly in markets like Belgium and the Philippines [12] Group 6: Market Dynamics - The introduction of new models at the Chengdu Auto Show has led to increased sales, although the overall contribution of new models has been below expectations due to a lack of entry-level popular models [5] - The traditional peak season of "Golden September and Silver October" is expected to boost sales, aided by national and local subsidies [6] - The market is experiencing a shift towards larger family vehicles, driven by changing family structures and increased demand for comfort and space [13]
【宏观经济】一周要闻回顾(2025年9月24日-9月30日)
乘联分会· 2025-09-30 09:36
Group 1: Industrial Profit Growth - In the first eight months of 2025, the total profit of industrial enterprises above designated size reached 46,929.7 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.9% [2][4] - State-owned enterprises reported a profit of 15,156.5 billion yuan, down 1.7% year-on-year, while private enterprises saw a profit increase of 3.3% to 13,076.1 billion yuan [2][4] - The manufacturing sector achieved a profit of 35,233.5 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 7.4% [4] Group 2: R&D Investment - In 2024, China's R&D expenditure reached 36,326.8 billion yuan, an increase of 8.9% compared to the previous year [6][7] - The intensity of R&D investment, measured as a percentage of GDP, rose to 2.69%, up by 0.11 percentage points [6] - Basic research funding grew by 10.7% to 2,500.9 billion yuan, while applied research funding increased by 17.6% to 4,305.5 billion yuan [6][7] Group 3: Electricity Market Transactions - In the first eight months of 2025, the total electricity market transaction volume was 43,442 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 7.0% [9] - By August 2025, the electricity market transaction volume reached 6,550 billion kWh, reflecting an 11.6% increase year-on-year [9] Group 4: Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) - In September 2025, the manufacturing PMI was recorded at 49.8%, indicating a slight improvement in manufacturing sentiment [13][21] - The non-manufacturing business activity index stood at 50.0%, showing stability in the non-manufacturing sector [18][20] - The comprehensive PMI output index was 50.6%, suggesting continued expansion in production activities [21]
【联合发布】2025年8月价格/优惠指数走势报告
乘联分会· 2025-09-29 08:46
Core Viewpoint - The overall passenger car market in August 2025 shows a decline in both transaction prices and discount levels, indicating a competitive market environment with varying trends across different vehicle segments [4][10]. Group 1: Overall Market Price Changes - The overall market price change index for August 2025 is -3.28, with an average transaction price of 153,300 yuan, reflecting a month-on-month decrease of 1,330 yuan or 0.86% [4]. - The sedan market price index is -5.88, with an average transaction price of 125,600 yuan, continuing a trend of price declines [3][4]. - The SUV market shows a slight increase in transaction prices by 448 yuan, with an average price of 170,000 yuan, indicating a mixed performance [10]. Group 2: Discount Changes - The overall market discount change index for August 2025 is -0.76, with an average discount of 26,500 yuan, which is a decrease of 1,032 yuan or 3.74% from the previous month [4]. - Discounts in the sedan and SUV markets have notably weakened, with reductions of 4.1% and 4% respectively, while the MPV market saw an increase in discounts by 3.3% [4][10]. Group 3: Segment-Specific Insights - In the sedan market, the average transaction price decreased by 2,043 yuan, with a significant drop of 4.3% in the C-class segment [5]. - The MPV market experienced an increase in average transaction price by 2,325 yuan, reaching 273,200 yuan, with a discount index of 2.6, indicating a positive trend [9][10]. - The overall price change index for the new energy vehicle market is -4.63, with an average transaction price of 155,400 yuan, reflecting a decrease of 2,855 yuan [11]. Group 4: New Energy Vehicle Market - The new energy sedan market shows a price decrease of 2,513 yuan, with an average price of 112,400 yuan, and a discount index of 0.72, indicating a slight reduction in discounts [11]. - The new energy SUV market has a price change index of -2.09, with an average price of 188,500 yuan, and a significant discount reduction of 15.64% [11]. - The new energy MPV market shows a price increase of 5,933 yuan, reaching 329,200 yuan, with a discount index of 1.66, indicating a stable demand [15].
【快讯】每日快讯(2025年9月29日)
乘联分会· 2025-09-29 08:46
Domestic News - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) of China will deepen cooperation in the automotive industry, supporting collaboration in capital, technology, management, and talent between domestic and foreign enterprises [2] - Porsche launched a new generation of a car infotainment system exclusive to China, marking a new phase in its localization strategy [3] - Dongfeng Motor and Tencent signed a strategic cooperation agreement to integrate their core strengths in automotive R&D and digitalization [4] - Mercedes-Benz acquired a stake in Qianli Technology to enhance cooperation in intelligent driving and cockpit technology [5] - The Tianjin International Auto Show will take place from September 30 to October 6, showcasing 920 vehicles, including 480 new energy vehicles [6] - Huawei's CEO of the Automotive Business Unit stated that L3 autonomous driving will achieve scale by 2027, with a phased plan for commercial deployment [7] - The largest compressed air energy storage power station in China has successfully started operation, with a total volume of 1.2 million cubic meters, capable of storing 2.8 million kWh of electricity [8] - As of the end of June, the total number of 4S stores in China was approximately 32,000, reflecting a 1.9% decrease from the end of 2024 [10] International News - In the U.S., Q3 new car sales are expected to remain robust, with electric vehicle sales projected to grow by 21% year-on-year [11] - France's new car sales are predicted to decline, with a 7% drop in the first eight months of the year [12] - Mitsubishi is phasing out its Colt model based on the Renault Clio, shifting focus to SUVs [13] - India proposed to relax strict fuel efficiency standards for small cars, allowing for additional carbon reduction incentives [14] Commercial Vehicles - Weichai Power and Sinotruk launched a new heavy-duty truck featuring the Weichai WP15NG-4.0 engine [15] - The Ministry of Transport is encouraging four major online freight platforms to reduce their fees in response to driver complaints [16] - Scania established an industrial battery division to expand its electrification business into non-road and industrial applications [17] - Yuchai's YC6TFM methanol engine received certification, becoming the largest power single methanol engine in China [18]
【联合发布】新能源商用车周报(2025年9月第4周)
乘联分会· 2025-09-29 08:46
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the rapid growth and market penetration of new energy commercial vehicles, particularly in the cold chain transportation sector, driven by policy support and technological advancements. Policy and Regulations - The State Administration for Market Regulation has revised and published two national standards to enhance vehicle safety, effective from November 1, 2025 [6][12] - The National Energy Administration and other departments are promoting high-quality development of energy equipment, focusing on technological innovation and upgrading product quality in key industries [11][13] Market Insights - Light trucks and small trucks are the main models in the new energy cold chain transportation market, with significant sales growth observed in 2025 [15][16] - From January to August 2025, sales of new energy light cold chain trucks reached 12,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 118.7%, with a penetration rate of 46.4% [16] - Sales of new energy small cold chain trucks reached 4,447 units, a year-on-year increase of 223.9%, with a penetration rate of 56.0% [22] - The penetration rates for new energy medium and heavy trucks are significantly lower at 0.4% and 7.4%, respectively, due to various factors [24][26] Company Monitoring - New models launched include: - Remote Automotive's Star Intelligence F3E, designed for urban logistics with advanced smart features [31][32] - Foton's Aoling Zhiluan EL-plus, tailored for mountainous regions [35] - Shaanxi Automobile's Zhiyun Kunshi light truck, featuring advanced energy efficiency technologies [39] - Changan Automobile's strategic plans for electric and intelligent pickup trucks, focusing on user needs and market expansion [46]
【行业政策】一周要闻回顾(2025年9月22日-9月28日)
乘联分会· 2025-09-29 08:46
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent announcements from the Ministry of Transport and the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology regarding standards and regulations for various automotive components and technologies, emphasizing the importance of safety, environmental impact, and technological advancement in the automotive industry [3][11][17]. Group 1: Announcement of Standards - On September 22, the Ministry of Transport published the 79th batch of compliant road transport vehicle models, which includes a total of 1,712 models: 114 passenger vehicles, 38 passenger cars, 1,031 cargo vehicles, 257 tractors, and 272 trailers [5]. - The announcement also includes the withdrawal of 5 non-compliant vehicle models [5]. Group 2: Automotive Chip Standards - On September 23, the National Automotive Standardization Technical Committee released a draft for public consultation regarding the technical requirements and testing methods for automotive SerDes (Serializer/Deserializer) chips, with a deadline for feedback set for November 3, 2025 [8][9]. - The SerDes chips are crucial for high-speed serial data communication between in-vehicle sensors and controllers, and the standard aims to enhance the technology's reliability and performance [9][10]. Group 3: Safety Standards for Vehicle Components - On September 24, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology announced a public consultation for the mandatory national standard on automotive door handle safety, with feedback due by November 22, 2025 [11][12]. - The standard aims to improve the safety performance of vehicle door handles, particularly in response to new technologies and safety requirements [12]. Group 4: Environmental Standards - On September 26, the National Automotive Standardization Technical Committee published a draft for the quantification methods and requirements for the carbon footprint of automotive air conditioning systems, with a consultation deadline of November 6, 2025 [17][18]. - This standard is intended to provide a unified approach to carbon footprint assessment in the automotive industry, promoting low-carbon and sustainable development practices [18].
【乘联会论坛】从市场销售看车企低碳转型现状---解析1-8月TOP10批发与零售
乘联分会· 2025-09-28 08:39
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the rapid transformation of China's automotive industry towards electrification, intelligence, and connectivity, highlighting the significant growth in the new energy vehicle (NEV) sector, which now accounts for a substantial portion of global sales [2]. Group 1: Industry Overview - In the first eight months of 2025, China's automotive sales accounted for approximately 33-34% of global sales, with NEV sales representing about 65-70% of the global market [2]. - The top four companies with over 50% NEV sales include BYD, Tesla, Geely, and SAIC-GM-Wuling, while Changan is close to the 50% mark [2]. Group 2: Company Performance - **BYD**: Achieved 100% NEV sales in 2025, with a wholesale volume of 282.6 thousand units, marking a significant increase from previous years [4][5]. - **Tesla**: Also reached 100% NEV sales, with a wholesale volume of 51.6 thousand units in 2025, and domestic sales accounted for 70.1% of total sales [5][6]. - **Geely**: Increased its NEV sales ratio to 53% in 2025, up from 40.8% in 2024, driven by the launch of five new models [7][8]. - **SAIC-GM-Wuling**: Achieved a NEV sales ratio of 73% in wholesale and 85% in retail, reflecting its commitment to low-carbon transformation [8][9]. Group 3: Other Companies - **Chery**: Ranked third in wholesale sales with a 27% NEV ratio, indicating a strong domestic market presence [9]. - **Changan**: Achieved a 49% NEV ratio in wholesale and 54% in retail, showcasing significant progress in electrification [9]. - **Great Wall Motors**: Maintained a 35% NEV ratio in wholesale, with a similar domestic ratio [9]. Group 4: Joint Ventures - Joint ventures like FAW-Volkswagen, SAIC Volkswagen, and FAW Toyota show minimal differences in ICE and NEV sales ratios, indicating a stable market presence for traditional fuel vehicles [10]. - The article emphasizes that fuel vehicles remain a crucial part of the automotive market, contributing significantly to tax revenue and industry competition [10].
【快讯】每日快讯(2025年9月28日)
乘联分会· 2025-09-28 08:39
Domestic News - The purchase tax for new energy vehicles will be halved to 5% from January 1, 2026, to December 31, 2027, with a maximum tax reduction of 15,000 yuan per vehicle [3] - Four departments have decided to implement export license management for pure electric passenger vehicles starting January 1, 2026, to promote healthy development in the new energy vehicle trade [4] - Jiangsu province has suspended its vehicle replacement subsidy policy effective September 28, 2025, requiring consumers to submit applications by October 20, 2025, for purchases made during the eligible period [5] - Guangzhou has established the largest V2G microgrid in the country, which is the first centralized V2G system integrated project to achieve 10kV medium voltage grid connection [7] - Hyundai Motor has announced a long-term strategy to launch localized electric vehicles in the Chinese market, aiming for 60% of global sales to be electric models by 2030 [8] - BAIC Group has successfully developed a 55,000 RPM electric vehicle drive motor, which has potential applications in various sectors including aviation [9] - Zhibra Intelligent and Qualcomm have jointly launched the Auto Omni, a comprehensive solution for intelligent cockpit experiences [10] - Pony.ai has received permission for Robotaxi road testing in Dubai, aiming to integrate L4 autonomous driving technology into the local transportation network [11] International News - Nissan plans to launch its next-generation ProPILOT advanced driving assistance system in the fiscal year 2027, with prototype testing already underway [12] - The first batch of Tesla Model Y vehicles has been delivered in India, all produced at the Shanghai Gigafactory, with prices starting at approximately 499,000 yuan [13] - Thailand's automotive market saw a 5% year-on-year increase in August, driven by a 27% rise in pure electric vehicle sales [14] - The UK government has committed to providing £1.5 billion (approximately $2 billion) in loan guarantees to Jaguar Land Rover to support its supply chain following production disruptions [15] Commercial Vehicles - President Trump announced a 25% tariff on all imported heavy trucks, effective October 1, 2025, citing national security concerns [16][17] - Beiben Heavy Truck has signed a framework cooperation agreement with the China Automotive Technology Research Center to enhance industry development [18] - The Ministry of Transport plans to complete the standardization and improvement of 1,000 "Driver Homes" across the country this year to enhance services for truck drivers [19][20] - BAIC Foton has launched new products in Kenya, marking a significant step in its localization strategy in the region [21]
【快讯】每日快讯(2025年9月26日)
乘联分会· 2025-09-26 09:18
Domestic News - The State Administration for Market Regulation has initiated a special quality inspection for new energy vehicle products to curb irrational competition and prevent low-quality risks [3] - Chongqing aims to achieve a 90% coverage rate of the power battery recycling network across districts and counties by 2027, encouraging the establishment of recycling service points [4] - XPeng Motors and Alibaba Cloud have signed a post-quantum security technology cooperation agreement to enhance automotive safety algorithms [5] - Geely has reported that over 4 million vehicles globally are using the CMA architecture, which enhances modularity and reduces R&D costs [6] - Seres has received approval from the China Securities Regulatory Commission for the issuance of H-shares, planning to issue up to 331,477,235 shares [7] - Avatr has launched the AVATR.OS 4.7.0 version update for its entire model lineup, introducing new features for enhanced user experience [8] - CATL and Shouqi Group have signed a strategic cooperation agreement to promote electric vehicle transformation and battery recycling [9] - Loongson has obtained the first autonomous driving test license in Dubai, marking a significant milestone in its operations [10] International News - Bentley has announced a strategic shift, postponing its electric vehicle plans and retaining fuel-powered models to meet market demand [11] - Panasonic and Marubeni will launch an electric vehicle battery diagnostic service in Thailand to help maintain commercial fleets [12] - Zoox is seeking broader approval from the NHTSA to deploy its autonomous vehicles, indicating preparations for larger-scale commercial deployment [13] - VinFast's Indian subsidiary has partnered with the Reserve Bank of India to expand electric vehicle financing services [14] Commercial Vehicles - Weichai has launched the Blue Power X7 Southwest Mountain Edition, targeting high-end light truck markets with customized solutions [15] - HOWO TX7-N has been released with a thermal efficiency of 54.16%, aimed at enhancing resource transportation efficiency [16] - In Hunan, owners of National III pickup trucks can receive subsidies of up to 33,000 yuan for vehicle scrapping and replacement [17] - Volvo Trucks has upgraded its driver assistance system with eye-tracking technology to improve road safety [18]
【联合发布】一周新车快讯(2025年9月20日-9月26日)
乘联分会· 2025-09-26 09:18
Core Viewpoint - The article provides a comprehensive overview of upcoming vehicle models from various manufacturers, detailing their specifications, market segments, and expected launch dates. Group 1: Upcoming Vehicle Models - Changan Automobile will launch the Deep Blue S07 on September 19, 2025, positioned as a B SUV with a price range of 156,900 to 173,900 CNY [12]. - GAC Passenger Vehicle is set to release the GAC Trumpchi Xiangwang S9 on September 19, 2025, classified as a C SUV, with prices ranging from 229,900 to 259,900 CNY [20]. - Jiangling Ford will introduce the Ford Lema on September 19, 2025, categorized as a B SUV, with a price range of 386,600 to 436,600 CNY [28]. - NIO will launch the ES8 on September 20, 2025, a D SUV priced between 406,800 and 446,800 CNY [36]. - NIO's ET9 will also debut on September 20, 2025, classified as a D NB with a price of 818,000 CNY [44]. - Avita Technology will release the Avita 07 on September 20, 2025, a B SUV with prices from 219,900 to 279,900 CNY [52]. - Chery New Energy will launch the iCAR V23 on September 21, 2025, an A SUV priced between 122,800 and 174,800 CNY [60]. - Geely Automobile will introduce the Lotus ELETRE on September 21, 2025, a C SUV with a price range of 558,000 to 863,000 CNY [68]. - Geely will also launch the Lotus EMEYA on September 21, 2025, a D NB priced between 538,000 and 873,000 CNY [76]. - Dongfeng Honda will release the CR-V on September 22, 2025, an A SUV with prices ranging from 185,900 to 239,900 CNY [84]. - SAIC General Motors will launch the Buick GL8 on September 22, 2025, a C MPV priced between 309,900 and 369,900 CNY [91]. - GAC Aion will introduce the Aion RT on September 22, 2025, an A NB with prices from 99,800 to 123,800 CNY [96]. - SAIC General Motors will also release the Cadillac XT5 on September 23, 2025, a B SUV priced between 379,900 and 459,900 CNY [103]. - GAC Toyota will launch the Fenglanda on September 23, 2025, an A SUV with prices ranging from 132,800 to 172,800 CNY [114]. - GAC Toyota will also release the Sienna on September 23, 2025, a C MPV priced between 299,800 and 393,800 CNY [130]. - GAC Toyota will introduce the Camry on September 23, 2025, a B NB priced at 191,800 CNY [138]. - Geely will launch the Starry on September 23, 2025, an A NB with prices ranging from 98,700 to 138,700 CNY [145]. - Geely will also release the Xingyue L on September 23, 2025, an A SUV priced between 158,700 and 179,700 CNY [151]. Group 2: Specifications and Features - The Deep Blue S07 features a pure electric engine with a maximum power of 200 kW and a range of 550 km [12]. - The GAC Trumpchi Xiangwang S9 is equipped with a 1.5T plug-in hybrid engine, offering a maximum power of 118 kW and an electric range of 252 km [20]. - The Ford Lema has a 2.3T engine with a maximum power of 202 kW and a torque of 429 N·m [28]. - The NIO ES8 offers a maximum power of 520 kW and a torque of 700 N·m, with a battery capacity of 102 kWh and a range of 635 km [36]. - The Avita 07 features a pure electric engine with a maximum power of 252 kW and a range of 610 km [52]. - The iCAR V23 has a maximum power of 185 kW and offers a range of 550 km [60]. - The Lotus ELETRE features a maximum power of 450 kW and a range of 650 km [68]. - The CR-V offers a 1.5T engine with a maximum power of 174 kW and a torque of 350 N·m [84]. - The Buick GL8 has a 2.0T engine with a maximum power of 174 kW and a torque of 350 N·m [91]. - The Aion RT features a pure electric engine with a maximum power of 150 kW and a range of 650 km [96].