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【周度分析】车市扫描(2025年9月15日-9月21日)
乘联分会· 2025-09-24 08:36
Group 1: Market Overview - From September 1 to 21, 2025, the national passenger car retail market reached 1.191 million units, a year-on-year increase of 1% and an 8% increase compared to the previous month. Cumulative retail for the year is 15.955 million units, up 9% year-on-year [2][5] - During the same period, wholesale of passenger cars reached 1.307 million units, showing no year-on-year growth but a 16% increase from the previous month. Year-to-date wholesale totals 19.349 million units, up 12% year-on-year [2][9] Group 2: New Energy Vehicles - Retail sales of new energy passenger vehicles from September 1 to 21 reached 697,000 units, a 10% year-on-year increase and an 11% increase from the previous month. The penetration rate for new energy vehicles is 58.5%, with cumulative retail for the year at 8.267 million units, up 24% year-on-year [2][5] - Wholesale of new energy vehicles during the same period was 724,000 units, also a 10% year-on-year increase and a 19% increase from the previous month. Year-to-date wholesale totals 9.668 million units, up 31% year-on-year [2][5] Group 3: Market Trends and Challenges - The market is experiencing a stable start in September 2025, with performance similar to 2023 but weaker than September 2024. The "trade-in" policy initiated in late July 2024 has positively impacted sales, but some regions are cautious about the sustainability of subsidies [5][6] - The introduction of new models at the Chengdu Auto Show has generated significant interest, but the overall contribution of new models is below expectations due to a lack of entry-level popular models [6] Group 4: Wholesale Trends - Daily average wholesale for passenger cars in the first three weeks of September showed a mixed performance, with a decline in the first week but growth in the subsequent weeks. The cumulative wholesale for the first 21 days is 1.307 million units, reflecting a 0% year-on-year change [9][10] - Major manufacturers are focusing on maintaining price stability and reducing dealer inventory pressure, indicating cautious optimism in domestic sales growth [9] Group 5: Commercial Vehicles - The domestic commercial vehicle market saw a 14% year-on-year increase in insurance data, with August sales reaching 246,000 units. Year-to-date sales for commercial vehicles are 2.01 million units, up 8% year-on-year [10][11] - The penetration rate of new energy commercial vehicles has significantly increased, reaching 25% in the first eight months of 2025, indicating strong growth in this segment [11] Group 6: Future Outlook - The "14th Five-Year Plan" anticipates a total automotive sales volume of 40 million units, with an average annual growth rate of 3%. The growth is expected to be driven by increased domestic demand and exports [12][13] - The potential for growth in the automotive market is attributed to the expansion into lower-tier cities, the impact of electrification on vehicle ownership cycles, and the increasing share of Chinese brands in international markets [13] Group 7: International Market Analysis - The Russian automotive market saw a significant increase in sales in 2024, with a total of 1.83 million units sold, but a decline in 2025. Chinese brands have captured over 60% of the market share in Russia, indicating strong performance [14][15] - Chinese automakers are adopting various strategies to enhance their presence in the Russian market, including local production and supply chain restructuring to mitigate risks associated with tariffs and delivery times [16]
【快讯】每日快讯(2025年9月24日)
乘联分会· 2025-09-24 08:36
Domestic News - The penetration rate of passenger cars with combined driving assistance systems in the new car market has exceeded 60%, with 7.76 million units sold from January to July, an increase of 5.7 million units and 40 percentage points compared to the same period in 2021 [2] - China is accelerating the construction of 20 "vehicle-road-cloud integration" pilot cities, with 17 national-level testing demonstration zones established and over 35,000 kilometers of testing roads opened [3] - Beijing is promoting the development of intelligent connected vehicles, focusing on high-standard construction of "smart" cities and enhancing core technology in key areas such as vehicle-grade chips and complex environment perception [4] - Mercedes-Benz and ByteDance have announced an upgraded strategic cooperation to promote the integration of artificial intelligence technology across various business areas [5] - FAW-Volkswagen has exported its first batch of 554 Magotan and Sagitar vehicles to the Middle East, marking a significant step in its overseas business strategy [6][7] - Ford has established a wholly-owned sales service company in China to manage marketing, sales, and service for its brand vehicles [8] - GAC Toyota's 2026 global car will deeply integrate into Huawei's terminal ecosystem, featuring Huawei's HiCar 5.0 and T-BOX communication module [9] - CATL has established a new company focused on the sales of new energy vehicles and related services [10] International News - Malaysia's new car sales slightly increased in August, rising from 72,580 units to 73,041 units year-on-year, supported by inventory improvements and new model launches [12] - California will not extend its electric vehicle tax credit policy, which could impact the market for electric vehicles in the state [13] - Hyundai plans to launch its first rear-wheel-drive luxury hybrid vehicle next year as part of its mid-to-long-term strategy [14] - Volvo Cars will produce a new model in the U.S. by 2030, adapting to tariff policies and enhancing production capacity [15] Commercial Vehicles - Cummins has launched new low-carbon power solutions for the non-road market, including a new generation hydraulic matching control system and a 19L methanol industrial engine [18] - Shaanxi Automobile has released its new energy light truck, featuring advanced technologies for improved range and reliability [19] - Beiqi Foton has signed an order for 125 heavy-duty trucks with a Southeast Asian mining client, marking a significant step in its market expansion [21] - Volvo Construction Equipment and Jiefang Power have officially launched a cooperation project aimed at enhancing global market presence and technological innovation [24]
【新能源周报】新能源汽车行业信息周报(2025年9月15日-9月21日)
乘联分会· 2025-09-23 08:39
Industry Information - Multiple automakers, including Seres, BYD, and Xiaomi, have actively responded to the China Automobile Industry Association's initiative on supplier payment norms [8] - In August, the production of 3D printing equipment, new energy vehicles, and industrial robots in China increased by 40.4%, 22.7%, and 14.4% year-on-year, respectively [11] - The "Australian Cars Northbound" policy has seen over 50,000 vehicles registered at the Gongbei Customs since its implementation [11] - The phenomenon of insurance losses in the new energy vehicle sector is gradually improving, with leading insurance companies moving towards profitability [11] - NIO's subsidiary in Nanjing has increased its registered capital to 250 million RMB, a 1150% increase [12] - The number of new energy vehicles in Beijing has surpassed 1.19 million, nearly tripling since the end of the 13th Five-Year Plan [13] - CATL has signed multiple projects, including a 2 billion RMB investment in a new energy battery production line [14] - The total number of electric vehicle charging infrastructure in China reached 17.348 million, a year-on-year increase of 53.5% [18] - China's cumulative sales of new energy vehicles have exceeded 40 million units [21] Policy Information - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and seven other departments issued a "Work Plan for Stable Growth in the Automotive Industry (2025-2026)", aiming for 32.3 million vehicle sales in 2025, with new energy vehicle sales of 15.5 million [28] - The government of Henan province is promoting the intelligent and connected upgrade of new energy vehicles [30] - Guangzhou is advancing the large-scale application of bidirectional interaction between new energy vehicles and the power grid [31] Company Information - NIO's joint venture with JAC has officially been dissolved, marking the end of the "OEM cooperation model" [35] - Huawei and BAIC are establishing a strategic community for the "Xiangjie" brand, planning to invest 20 billion RMB over three years [36] - Tesla's Supercharger network has achieved coverage in all 14 prefecture-level cities in Liaoning province, with a total of 39 Supercharger stations [36] - XPeng Motors has launched its first localized production project in Europe, with the first G6 and G9 models rolling off the production line [36] - Geely's merger agreement with Zeekr has been approved by 94.2% of Zeekr's shareholders [37]
【联合发布】2025年8月OTA监测月报
乘联分会· 2025-09-23 08:39
Core Insights - The article discusses the significant growth in Over-The-Air (OTA) updates in the automotive industry, particularly highlighting the contributions from BYD and its sub-brands, which accounted for 54% of the total updates in August 2025 [4][13]. Industry Overview - In August 2025, the total number of updated features reached 1,403, a substantial increase from 1,031 in the previous month, marking the highest level since monitoring began [4]. - The increase in OTA updates is primarily driven by the BYD brand, focusing on "smart driving" and "vehicle-to-vehicle connectivity" [4]. New Forces - New force brands updated a total of 261 features in August 2025, a decrease from 382 in the previous month, indicating a shift in focus from new generation smart driving architectures to a more balanced distribution across smart driving and smart cabin modules [6]. Domestic Brands - Domestic brands collectively updated 1,079 features in August 2025, up from 631 in July, with a notable emphasis on smart driving capabilities, representing the highest proportion of smart driving upgrades in 25 years [13]. Joint Venture & Luxury Brands - Joint venture and luxury brands updated 63 features in August 2025, a significant increase from 18 in July, with seven brands participating in OTA updates, the highest number in a year. However, the updates were mostly routine, focusing on basic "ecosystem applications" and "system settings" [12]. OTA Iteration Speed - The article highlights the rapid iteration speed of OTA updates across various brands, showcasing the competitive landscape in the automotive sector [15]. OTA Operational Activities - Tengshi has initiated OTA experience camps for internal testing, with a stable incentive mechanism for participants, indicating a proactive approach to enhance user engagement and feedback [20][23]. - The company has also launched a long-term discussion topic on its app to encourage user interaction regarding OTA experiences, emphasizing the brand's commitment to innovation and customer satisfaction [25]. Upcoming OTA Updates - A detailed schedule of upcoming OTA updates for various brands and models is provided, indicating a robust pipeline of enhancements aimed at improving user experience and vehicle functionality [28][29]. User Feedback - User feedback from brands like Wei and Zeekr indicates mixed experiences with new features, particularly regarding the effectiveness of smart driving capabilities and the usability of new functions like memory parking and vehicle-to-vehicle navigation [31][33][42].
【快讯】每日快讯(2025年9月23日)
乘联分会· 2025-09-23 08:39
Domestic News - Five departments, including the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, have issued a plan to increase product and application standards in key industries such as automotive, machinery, and home appliances, targeting an average annual growth of 4% in the steel industry over the next two years [7] - The State Administration for Market Regulation has revised and published national standards for urban public transport and car rental services, effective November 1, which include new requirements for car rental platforms to verify operators and prevent malicious competition [8] - Zhengzhou Airport Economic Comprehensive Experimental Zone has announced measures to support the production capacity of auto parts companies, offering financial rewards for achieving certain sales milestones [9] - Dongfeng Motor and Huawei have established a joint innovation laboratory to enhance digitalization and innovation in the automotive value chain [10] - FAW Group has acquired a 35.80% stake in Zhuoyue Technology, gaining joint control of the company [11] - CATL has signed a strategic cooperation agreement with the People's Government of Milin City, focusing on new energy projects and clean energy initiatives [12] - WeRide has partnered with Grab to launch the Ai.R autonomous driving service in Singapore, marking the first consumer-facing autonomous ride service in the region [13] - ZF has signed an investment agreement with Zhangjiagang Economic Development Zone to expand its local production capabilities in intelligent chassis technology [14] International News - Turkey has announced additional tariffs on imported vehicles, with traditional fuel and hybrid vehicles facing a 25% tariff, while plug-in hybrids and electric vehicles will incur a 30% tariff [15] - South Korea's automotive exports increased by 14.9% year-on-year in the first 20 days of September, despite an overall decline in daily exports due to new tariffs from the U.S. [16] - Porsche has decided to adjust the timeline for its electric platform development plan, extending the lifecycle of existing internal combustion engine models while introducing new hybrid models [17] - Tesla has begun construction on its first V4 Supercharger station in California, featuring 16 charging stalls and a new V4 charging cabinet [18] Commercial Vehicles - Shenzhen has launched its first megawatt supercharging station for electric heavy trucks, demonstrating a significant advancement in charging infrastructure for electric logistics [19] - A forum on the development of the second-hand commercial vehicle industry was successfully held, focusing on future growth paths and innovative models [20] - Scania has revealed its localization strategy in China, aiming to create a complete commercial ecosystem from R&D to sales and service [21] - Remote's alcohol-hydrogen electric technology has won two awards at the 2025 Engineering Machinery Brand Conference, highlighting its innovation and leadership in the industry [23]
【宏观经济】一周要闻回顾(2025年9月17日-9月23日)
乘联分会· 2025-09-23 08:39
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the growth in tax revenue and public budget income in China for the first eight months of 2025, indicating a stable economic recovery and increased activity in various sectors, particularly manufacturing and capital markets [2][3][4]. Tax Revenue Summary - Tax revenue for the first eight months of 2025 increased by 2% year-on-year, with significant growth observed in July and August [2][3]. - Major tax categories such as domestic value-added tax, domestic consumption tax, corporate income tax, and personal income tax all showed positive growth [2]. - Manufacturing and financial sectors contributed to a robust tax revenue increase, with high-end manufacturing sectors like railways, shipbuilding, and aerospace seeing tax revenue growth exceeding 30% [2][3]. Public Budget Income and Expenditure - The general public budget revenue for the first eight months reached 148,198 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 0.3% [4][6]. - Tax revenue accounted for 121,085 billion yuan, with a slight increase of 0.02%, while non-tax revenue was 27,113 billion yuan, growing by 1.5% [6]. - Central government budget revenue decreased by 1.7% to 64,268 billion yuan, while local government revenue increased by 1.8% to 83,930 billion yuan [6]. Key Tax Revenue Items - Domestic value-added tax amounted to 47,389 billion yuan, growing by 3.2% [7]. - Domestic consumption tax reached 11,523 billion yuan, with a growth of 2% [8]. - Corporate income tax totaled 31,477 billion yuan, showing a modest increase of 0.3% [9]. - Personal income tax grew significantly by 8.9%, totaling 10,547 billion yuan [10]. - Notably, securities transaction stamp duty surged by 81.7%, amounting to 1,187 billion yuan [15]. Government Fund Budget - Government fund budget revenue for the first eight months was 26,449 billion yuan, a decrease of 1.4% [33]. - Fund budget expenditure increased significantly by 30%, totaling 62,602 billion yuan [34]. Foreign Investment Overview - In the first eight months of 2025, foreign investment in China reached 506.58 billion yuan, with a decrease of 12.7% year-on-year [35][38]. - The manufacturing sector attracted 129.03 billion yuan, while the service sector received 366.19 billion yuan in foreign investment [38]. E-commerce Development - E-commerce in China continued to grow steadily, with online retail sales increasing by 9.6% in the first eight months [41]. - The growth in online sales of digital products was particularly strong, with smart wearables, computers, and mobile phones seeing increases of 25.2%, 23.7%, and 20.2% respectively [41]. - The article also notes the significant role of artificial intelligence in enhancing e-commerce operations and consumer engagement [41].
【快讯】每日快讯(2025年9月22日)
乘联分会· 2025-09-22 08:40
Domestic News - In Guangdong, the production of new energy vehicles increased by 21.9% from January to August 2025, with the manufacturing sector growing by 2.6% overall [3] - Fujian Province's automobile export value reached 13.53 billion, marking a 55.9% increase in the first eight months of 2025, with significant growth in exports to the EU and Middle East [4] - Avita's Strategy 2.0 was launched, aiming for global sales of 400,000 units by 2027 and 800,000 units by 2030, with plans to introduce 17 new models by 2030 [5] - Xiaomi Auto is collaborating with Apple to enhance CarPlay experience, integrating features that allow seamless use of Apple services in their vehicles [6][7] - GAC Group signed an agreement to establish an assembly plant in Cambodia with an annual capacity of 15,000 units, expected to start production in January 2026 [8] - Li Auto added 768 new supercharging stations in the past three months, bringing the total to 3,219 stations across 264 cities [9] - NIO opened its 3,500th battery swap station in Hangzhou, achieving over 86 million battery swaps and expanding its charging network significantly [10] - WeRide and Pony.ai are set to launch autonomous driving services in Singapore, marking a significant step in the region's autonomous vehicle deployment [11][12] International News - Tesla received approval to test autonomous vehicles in Arizona, a crucial step for expanding its Robotaxi service [12] - BMW has begun trial production of its third-generation hydrogen fuel cell system, set to launch in 2028 [13] - Stellantis introduced a new electric vehicle battery that is lighter, charges faster, and does not require separate inverters or chargers [14] - Hyundai and General Motors plan to jointly develop five models for the Americas starting in 2028, aiming for an annual sales target of 800,000 units [15] Commercial Vehicles - The launch of the Remote Star F3E marks a new entry in the commercial vehicle market, focusing on long-range and efficient logistics solutions [16] - FAW Jiefang's Eagle series was unveiled, emphasizing large space, low weight, and low energy consumption across its full energy range [17] - GAC Commercial Vehicle's financial services successfully launched, providing flexible financing solutions to reduce operational costs for logistics companies [18] - Beiben Truck signed a strategic cooperation agreement with China Henan International Group to enhance service and support for overseas projects [19][20]
【行业政策】一周要闻回顾(2025年9月15日-9月21日)
乘联分会· 2025-09-22 08:40
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the public consultation for the mandatory national standard on "Safety Requirements for Integrated Driving Assistance Systems in Intelligent Connected Vehicles," initiated by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, aiming to enhance safety and standardization in the automotive industry [3][4]. Group 1: Standard Overview - The draft standard includes twelve chapters covering scope, normative references, terminology, safety requirements for various driving assistance systems, testing methods, user notifications, and implementation dates [4]. - Six appendices provide detailed safety requirements, simulation testing credibility assessments, functional safety requirements, and data recording requirements [4]. Group 2: Industry Context - The penetration rate of Level 2 driving assistance systems in new energy vehicles exceeds 50%, with expectations for continued growth, improving driving experience but also raising safety concerns due to system limitations and user errors [5][6]. - Existing national standards related to driving assistance systems include GB/T 44461.1-2024 and GB/T 44461.2-2024, focusing on single-lane and multi-lane driving control, respectively [7]. Group 3: Implementation Timeline - The proposed implementation date for the new standard is January 1, 2027, with specific compliance timelines for new and existing vehicle models [9][10][11].
【联合发布】新能源商用车周报(2025年9月第3周)
乘联分会· 2025-09-22 08:40
Core Insights - The article highlights the significant growth in the domestic new energy heavy-duty dump truck market, with a year-on-year increase of 75.9% in sales from January to August 2025, achieving a penetration rate of 35.7% [6][22][23]. Policy and Regulations - The China Automobile Industry Association (CAAM) released a payment standard initiative aimed at regulating the payment processes between automobile manufacturers and suppliers, particularly benefiting small and medium-sized suppliers [8][9]. - Four energy policy documents were published simultaneously, focusing on the coordinated development of the new energy system, including new energy storage, power equipment stability, and market mechanisms [15][17][19][20]. Market Insights - The sales of new energy heavy-duty dump trucks reached 14,000 units from January to August 2025, with August alone seeing sales of 1,897 units, marking a 113.6% year-on-year increase [23][31]. - The dominant battery capacity in the market is between 401-600 kWh, which accounts for 34.3% of sales, while products with over 600 kWh are rapidly penetrating the market [26][30]. - Sales are concentrated in the Southwest, North China, and Central China regions, with Yunnan province leading in sales growth at 629.3% year-on-year [31][40]. Company Developments - XCMG achieved sales of over 3,000 units, ranking first in the market with a year-on-year growth of 112.2% [33][40]. - BYD launched the e-Bus platform 3.0 and the pure electric C11 bus, which boasts a range of up to 730 km [42][45]. - Weichai's new energy commercial vehicle, the Weichai Blue Whale X7 pure electric light truck, was officially launched in the Fujian region [45][47]. - EVE Energy's first sodium-ion battery energy storage system has been successfully connected to the grid, marking a significant step in commercial operation [49][51].
【联合发布】2025年8月新能源汽车三电系统洞察报告
乘联分会· 2025-09-22 08:40
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant growth and structural changes in China's new energy vehicle (NEV) market, driven by policy support, consumer acceptance, and technological advancements in battery systems [5][7]. Group 1: Market Trends - In the first eight months of 2025, China's NEV production reached 9.382 million units, marking a year-on-year increase of 31.4%, with a cumulative penetration rate of 45.0% [5]. - The market structure shows that in August 2025, the share of cars (CAR) was 45.1%, down 2 percentage points from the previous year, while SUVs and MPVs accounted for 44.1% and 3.6%, respectively [11]. - The commercial vehicle segment, particularly trucks, has seen a significant increase in market share, driven by policy support and improvements in battery range [11]. Group 2: Battery Technology and Market - In August 2025, the installed capacity of NEV power batteries reached 60.9 GWh, a year-on-year increase of 29.8%, with a growth rate of 39.9% in the first eight months [17]. - The average battery capacity per vehicle was 51.6 kWh, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 17.0% [17]. - The market share of square battery cells was 98.6%, while lithium iron phosphate (LFP) batteries continued to gain traction due to their safety and cost advantages [18]. Group 3: Key Players in Battery Supply - The top three battery manufacturers held a market share of 74.2%, with CATL leading at 42.8% [20]. - BYD, Tesla, and Xiaomi were identified as the main contributors to the installed capacity of power batteries [17]. - The growth rates for companies like Xinwanda and Ruipu Lanjun were notably high, at 108.1% and 86.1%, respectively [20]. Group 4: Electric Motor Supply - In August 2025, the top ten electric motor suppliers accounted for 62.4% of the market share, with several companies experiencing a month-on-month increase in supply [23]. - Companies like Huichuan United Power and Huawei faced declines in supply due to reduced sales from specific vehicle brands [23]. Group 5: Solid-State Battery Development - Solid-state batteries are advancing rapidly, with various electrolyte types being explored, including sulfide, oxide, polymer, and composite electrolytes [35]. - The core advantages of solid-state batteries include high safety, high energy density, and improved performance metrics compared to liquid batteries [37]. - The global market for solid-state batteries is projected to reach 614 GWh by 2030, with a market size of 250 billion yuan and a penetration rate of 10% [39].