Core Viewpoint - The report tracks the performance of various active quantitative strategies by GuoXin Securities, focusing on their absolute and relative returns against benchmarks, particularly the active equity fund median [2][3]. Group 1: Performance Overview - The "Excellent Fund Performance Enhancement Portfolio" achieved an absolute return of 1.20% this week and 13.04% year-to-date, with a relative underperformance of -0.53% and -2.98% against the mixed equity fund index respectively [1][10]. - The "Super Expected Selection Portfolio" recorded an absolute return of 1.66% this week and 29.80% year-to-date, outperforming the mixed equity fund index by 13.79% this year [1][19]. - The "Brokerage Golden Stock Performance Enhancement Portfolio" had an absolute return of 2.51% this week and 18.31% year-to-date, with a relative outperformance of 2.29% against the mixed equity fund index [1][20]. - The "Growth and Stability Portfolio" achieved an absolute return of 3.30% this week and 35.91% year-to-date, outperforming the mixed equity fund index by 19.89% this year [1][27]. Group 2: Strategy Summaries - The "Excellent Fund Performance Enhancement Portfolio" aims to outperform the median returns of active equity funds by utilizing a quantitative approach based on the holdings of top-performing funds [7][33]. - The "Super Expected Selection Portfolio" selects stocks based on positive earnings surprises and analyst upgrades, focusing on both fundamental and technical criteria to build a robust stock selection [13][39]. - The "Brokerage Golden Stock Performance Enhancement Portfolio" is constructed using a selection of stocks from the brokerage's recommended list, optimizing for minimal deviation from the benchmark [16][43]. - The "Growth and Stability Portfolio" employs a two-dimensional evaluation system for growth stocks, prioritizing those with upcoming earnings announcements to capture potential excess returns [25][47].

Group 1 - The report tracks stocks, industries, and sectors that are reaching new highs, indicating market trends and hotspots [1][4][26] - As of August 8, 2025, the distance to the 250-day new high for major indices is as follows: Shanghai Composite Index 0.12%, Shenzhen Component Index 3.19%, CSI 300 3.55%, CSI 500 0.53%, CSI 1000 0.35%, CSI 2000 0.23%, ChiNext Index 8.48%, and STAR 50 Index 7.39% [6][26] - The industries closest to their 250-day new highs include machinery, non-ferrous metals, basic chemicals, light industry manufacturing, and textile and apparel, while food and beverage, coal, real estate, consumer services, and comprehensive finance are further away [9][26] Group 2 - A total of 1,336 stocks reached a 250-day new high in the past 20 trading days, with the most in the pharmaceutical, machinery, and basic chemicals sectors [2][14][26] - The highest proportion of new high stocks is found in the steel, defense, and non-ferrous metals industries, with respective proportions of 54.72%, 47.06%, and 43.55% [14][16] - The manufacturing and cyclical sectors had the most new high stocks this week, with 437 and 310 stocks respectively [16][26] Group 3 - The report identifies 50 stable new high stocks based on analyst attention, relative strength, trend continuity, price path stability, and new high sustainability [3][21][27] - The manufacturing sector had the most stable new high stocks, particularly in the machinery industry, while the cyclical sector's highest was in basic chemicals [21][27]

Core Viewpoint - The article outlines the agenda for the 2025 Quantitative Salon in Shanghai, focusing on various investment strategies and risk management techniques in the financial sector [1][2]. Group 1: Event Details - The event is scheduled for August 13, 2025, from 13:30 to 17:00 at the Jinling Zijinshan Hotel in Shanghai [1]. - The agenda includes multiple sessions led by experts from Guosen Securities, covering topics such as stock selection strategies, multi-strategy enhancement, and risk models [1][2]. Group 2: Session Summaries - The first session will discuss "Steady Stock Selection Strategies" led by Zhang Xinwei, the Chief Analyst of Financial Engineering at Guosen Securities [1]. - The second session will focus on "Multi-Strategy Enhanced Portfolio from a Heuristic Perspective," also presented by Zhang Xinwei [1]. - The third session will cover "Alpha Information Contained in Intraday Special Moments," presented by Neng Yu, Co-Chief Analyst of Financial Engineering [1]. - The fourth session will address "Comprehensive Guide to Risk Models," led by Zhang Yu, Co-Chief Analyst of Financial Engineering [2]. - The fifth session will explore "Expansion and Enhancement of Alpha Factors in Financial Statements," also by Zhang Yu [4]. - The sixth session will discuss "Contrarian Investment Ability and Performance of Fund Managers," presented by Chen Mengqi, an Analyst at Guosen Securities [4]. - The final session will focus on "Unified Improvement Framework for Selection Factors from the Perspective of Hidden Risks," led by Hu Zhichao, an Analyst at Guosen Securities [4]. Group 3: Participation and Benefits - Participation is limited, and interested attendees must register through a specific process to ensure a good experience [2]. - Attendees who successfully register and attend will receive a copy of the "Selected Research Report of Guosen Financial Engineering Team for 2025" [5].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the increasing demand for stable asset allocation due to ongoing volatility in the equity market and declining yields in traditional fixed-income assets [1][2][4][61] - The major broad-based indices (CSI 300, CSI 500, CSI 1000) have experienced multiple annual drawdowns exceeding 10% since 2020, with maximum drawdowns generally exceeding 35%, indicating a high level of market volatility [2][61] - The 10-year government bond yield has decreased from 3.14% at the end of 2020 to 1.65% by mid-2025, creating significant pressure on traditional fixed-income products and prompting institutions to seek diversified asset allocation [4][61] Group 2 - The implementation of asset management regulations in 2018 has broken the rigid repayment mechanism, prohibiting guaranteed returns and promoting net value management, which has led to a transformation in the asset management industry [6][10][12] - The personal pension system was established in 2022, leading to a significant expansion of target funds, with the number of target date FOFs increasing from 44 in 2020 to 119 by 2025, and target risk FOFs growing from 52 to 154 in the same period [13][14][62] - Current target risk and mixed bond FOFs show room for improvement in drawdown control, with only 3.50% of target risk FOFs and 10.71% of mixed bond FOFs managing to keep maximum drawdowns under 1% [17][62] Group 3 - The "Invesco Great Wall Conservative Pension Target One-Year Holding" (Fund Code: 019665.OF) is a target risk FOF fund launched on March 20, 2024, with a current scale of 358 million yuan as of Q2 2025 [21][63] - The fund has achieved a cumulative return of 6.66% since inception, with a one-year return of 5.13% and a maximum drawdown of only 0.88%, indicating strong performance in terms of risk-adjusted returns [31][63] - The fund employs a diversified asset allocation strategy, combining strategic and tactical approaches, and focuses on risk control and volatility management to achieve stable returns [25][64]

Group 1: Monthly Performance of US Public Funds - In June 2025, US equity funds outperformed international equity funds, bond funds, and asset allocation funds, with median returns of 4.48%, 3.59%, 1.10%, and 3.32% respectively [1][7][9]. Group 2: Fund Flows and Trends - In June 2025, the US fund market saw a net inflow of $696 billion into passive funds, while active funds experienced a net outflow of $231 billion [8][21]. - The total number of new funds established in June 2025 was 94, comprising 79 ETFs and 15 open-end funds, with 65 new equity funds, 21 bond funds, and 8 asset allocation funds [3][44]. Group 3: Insights from Leading Asset Management Firms - Key themes from leading asset management firms include the outlook on US macroeconomic conditions, stock market perspectives, and the impact of geopolitical events on inflation and investment strategies [4][46][49]. - Firms like PIMCO and Capital Group emphasize the importance of maintaining a balanced portfolio amid economic uncertainties and market volatility [49][50].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is to track and analyze the performance of various index enhancement portfolios and stock selection factors across different indices, highlighting their excess returns and factor performance [2][3][20]. Group 2 - The performance of the HuShen 300 index enhancement portfolio showed an excess return of 0.47% for the week and 9.69% year-to-date [8][24]. - The performance of the Zhongzheng 500 index enhancement portfolio showed an excess return of 0.92% for the week and 10.86% year-to-date [8][26]. - The Zhongzheng 1000 index enhancement portfolio had an excess return of 0.08% for the week and 15.70% year-to-date [8][30]. - The Zhongzheng A500 index enhancement portfolio reported an excess return of 1.00% for the week and 10.95% year-to-date [8][31]. Group 3 - In the HuShen 300 component stocks, factors such as single-season ROA, standardized expected external income, and single-season revenue year-on-year growth performed well [9][11]. - For Zhongzheng 500 component stocks, factors like standardized expected external income, single-season net profit year-on-year growth, and standardized expected external profit showed strong performance [11][12]. - In the Zhongzheng 1000 component stocks, standardized expected external income, standardized expected external profit, and single-season revenue year-on-year growth were notable [11][14]. - The Zhongzheng A500 index component stocks had strong performances in single-season ROA, DELTAROA, and DELTAROE [11][17]. Group 4 - The public fund index enhancement products for HuShen 300 showed a maximum excess return of 1.58% and a minimum of -0.61% for the week, with a median of 0.13% [24]. - The Zhongzheng 500 index enhancement products had a maximum excess return of 1.06% and a minimum of -0.83% for the week, with a median of 0.16% [26]. - The Zhongzheng 1000 index enhancement products reported a maximum excess return of 1.08% and a minimum of -0.54% for the week, with a median of 0.21% [30]. - The Zhongzheng A500 index enhancement products had a maximum excess return of 0.86% and a minimum of -0.58% for the week, with a median of 0.09% [31].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is to track the performance of various active quantitative strategies developed by GuoXin Securities, focusing on outperforming the median returns of actively managed equity funds [2][3][31] - The report includes four main strategies: Excellent Fund Performance Enhancement Portfolio, Super Expectation Selected Portfolio, Broker Golden Stock Performance Enhancement Portfolio, and Growth Stability Portfolio [2][3][31] Group 2 Excellent Fund Performance Enhancement Portfolio - This strategy aims to benchmark against the median returns of actively managed equity funds, utilizing quantitative methods to enhance performance based on the holdings of top-performing funds [6][31] - As of this week, the portfolio has an absolute return of -1.03% and a relative excess return of -0.65% compared to the mixed equity fund index [10][34] - Year-to-date, the portfolio has achieved an absolute return of 11.69% and ranks in the 46.32 percentile among active equity funds [10][35] Super Expectation Selected Portfolio - This strategy selects stocks based on exceeding expectations and analyst upgrades, focusing on both fundamental and technical criteria to build a portfolio [13][38] - This week, the portfolio has an absolute return of 2.16% and a relative excess return of 2.55% compared to the mixed equity fund index [18][34] - Year-to-date, it has achieved an absolute return of 27.67% and ranks in the 11.53 percentile among active equity funds [18][39] Broker Golden Stock Performance Enhancement Portfolio - This strategy utilizes a stock pool from broker recommendations, optimizing the portfolio to minimize deviations from the stock pool while aiming to outperform the average performance of ordinary equity funds [16][40] - This week, the portfolio has an absolute return of -0.62% and a relative excess return of -0.24% compared to the mixed equity fund index [19][34] - Year-to-date, it has achieved an absolute return of 15.41% and ranks in the 33.73 percentile among active equity funds [19][41] Growth Stability Portfolio - This strategy focuses on growth stocks, prioritizing those with upcoming earnings announcements to capture excess returns during favorable periods [24][44] - This week, the portfolio has an absolute return of 1.23% and a relative excess return of 1.61% compared to the mixed equity fund index [27][34] - Year-to-date, it has achieved an absolute return of 31.57% and ranks in the 8.19 percentile among active equity funds [27][45]

Group 1 - The report tracks stocks, industries, and sectors that are reaching new highs, serving as market indicators and highlighting the effectiveness of momentum and trend-following strategies [1][4] - As of August 1, 2025, the distance to the 250-day new high for major indices is as follows: Shanghai Composite Index at 1.54%, Shenzhen Component Index at 4.38%, CSI 300 at 4.73%, CSI 500 at 2.25%, CSI 1000 at 1.53%, CSI 2000 at 1.08%, ChiNext Index at 8.93%, and STAR Market 50 Index at 7.99% [6][25] - Among the CITIC first-level industry indices, Media, Communication, Pharmaceuticals, Defense, and Steel are closest to their 250-day new highs, while Food & Beverage, Coal, Real Estate, Home Appliances, and Transportation are further away [9][25] Group 2 - A total of 1,239 stocks reached a 250-day new high in the past 20 trading days, with the highest number of new highs in the Pharmaceuticals, Machinery, and Basic Chemicals sectors [2][14] - The sectors with the highest proportion of new high stocks are Banking, Steel, and Non-ferrous Metals, with respective proportions of 64.29%, 56.60%, and 41.94% [14][16] - The manufacturing and cyclical sectors had the most new high stocks this week, with 381 and 297 stocks respectively, while the proportion of new high stocks in the CSI 2000, CSI 1000, CSI 500, CSI 300, ChiNext, and STAR Market indices are 21.85%, 20.30%, 21.80%, 19.33%, 16.00%, and 14.00% respectively [16][25] Group 3 - The report identifies 50 stocks that have shown stable new highs, including Shenghong Technology, Borui Pharmaceuticals, and Feilihua, with the most new high stocks in the Manufacturing and Technology sectors, totaling 15 and 14 respectively [3][21][26] - The Machinery industry had the highest number of new highs within the Manufacturing sector, while the Electronics industry led in the Technology sector [21][26]

Group 1 - The A-share market has experienced a strong rebound since September 24, 2023, driven by significant policy measures, with core broad indices recording over 20% gains, while the CSI 2000 index, which covers small and micro-cap companies, has surged over 64% [1][2][68] - The CSI 2000 index is characterized by low market capitalization and high elasticity, making it a key driver of the current market rally [1][2][68] - The People's Bank of China has implemented a moderately loose monetary policy, with M2 balance growing by 8.3% year-on-year as of June 2025, indicating continued liquidity support [1][3][68] Group 2 - The number of specialized and innovative enterprises within the CSI 2000 index has reached 521, accounting for 26.05%, primarily benefiting from targeted fiscal support and technological advancements [1][5][68] - The focus on specialized and innovative policies has been instrumental in promoting small and micro enterprises, aligning with the direction of "new quality productivity" [5][7][68] Group 3 - Institutional investors have shown increased interest in small-cap stocks, with the market capitalization of actively managed funds in the CSI 2000 index rising significantly since Q4 2024 [8][10][69] - The trading volume of the CSI 2000 index has increased from less than 10% in 2021 to nearly 30% of the total market trading volume, reflecting heightened investor activity [10][12][69] Group 4 - The CSI 2000 index, launched on August 11, 2023, selects 2000 securities with smaller market capitalizations and good liquidity, focusing on emerging industries [14][70] - As of July 18, 2025, the average market capitalization of the CSI 2000 index components is 5.355 billion, significantly lower than other indices like CSI 1000 and CSI 500 [17][70] Group 5 - The CSI 2000 index has shown superior long-term performance compared to other broad indices, with an annualized return of 9.29% since its inception [39][70] - The index's high growth potential is expected to offset its high valuation, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 138.35 as of July 18, 2025 [22][70] Group 6 - The Huaxia CSI 2000 ETF, launched on September 6, 2023, aims to track the CSI 2000 index and has achieved a cumulative excess return of 30.46% since its inception [43][71] - The ETF's excess returns are primarily attributed to stock selection, demonstrating effective management and strategy [55][71]

Group 1 - The article highlights the increasing frequency of "black swan" events in the A-share market, leading to significant drawdowns in excess returns for public index-enhanced products in 2024, marking the largest historical drawdown [1][4][6] - The "black swan index" has shown a higher proportion of extreme events occurring in 2024 compared to previous years, indicating a substantial increase in the probability of extreme tail risks [1][10][14] Group 2 - The evolution of risk models has transitioned from single-factor to multi-factor approaches, and from explicit to implicit risks, reflecting a deeper understanding of market risks [18][19][21] - Implicit risks are defined as those that change with market conditions and are not fully captured by traditional explicit risk models, making them crucial for comprehensive risk management [46][52] Group 3 - A comprehensive risk control process is proposed, consisting of three stages: preemptive measures, in-process control, and post-event handling, aimed at effectively managing both explicit and implicit risks [60][63] - The introduction of a full-process risk control model has shown to significantly reduce drawdowns and volatility without adversely affecting long-term returns [3][61] Group 4 - The traditional multi-factor index-enhanced model has demonstrated an annualized excess return of 18.77% with a maximum drawdown of 9.68%, while the model incorporating full-process risk control has achieved an annualized excess return of 16.51% with a maximum drawdown of only 4.90% [3][5] - The performance metrics indicate that the full-process risk control model enhances the stability of excess returns while minimizing drawdowns and volatility [3][5][61]