Market Trends and Highs - The report tracks stocks, industries, and sectors reaching new highs, indicating market trends and hotspots [1][4] - As of January 9, 2026, major indices such as the Shanghai Composite and Shenzhen Component are at 0.00% distance from their 250-day highs, while the CSI 300 is at 0.66% [5][23] - Among the CITIC first-level industry indices, home appliances, defense, non-ferrous metals, media, and electronics are closest to their 250-day highs, while food and beverage, banking, pharmaceuticals, real estate, and utilities are further away [8][24] High-Performing Stocks - A total of 911 stocks reached 250-day highs in the past 20 trading days, with the highest numbers in machinery, electronics, and basic chemicals [2][13] - The highest proportion of new high stocks is found in the defense, non-ferrous metals, and oil and petrochemical sectors, with respective proportions of 48.36%, 43.09%, and 32.00% [13][24] - The manufacturing and technology sectors have the most stocks reaching new highs this week, with respective counts of 323 and 241 [15] Stable High-Performing Stocks - The report identifies 50 stable high-performing stocks based on analyst attention, relative strength, price path stability, and continuity of new highs [3][19] - The cyclical and technology sectors have the most stocks selected, with 22 and 14 respectively, and the non-ferrous metals and electronics industries leading within these sectors [19][24]

Group 1: Dividend Progress of Constituent Stocks - As of January 7, 2026, there are no companies in the proposal, decision, or implementation stages for dividends in the Shanghai 50 Index, and 4 companies do not plan to distribute dividends [1][3] - In the CSI 300 Index, there are also no companies in the proposal, decision, or implementation stages, with 25 companies not distributing dividends [1][3] - The CSI 500 Index has 1 company in the proposal stage, with 63 companies not distributing dividends [1][3] - The CSI 1000 Index has 1 company in the proposal stage, with 187 companies not distributing dividends [1][3] Group 2: Dividend Yield Comparison by Industry - The current dividend yield statistics show that the coal, banking, and steel industries rank the highest in terms of dividend yield among disclosed dividend proposals [4] Group 3: Realized and Remaining Dividend Yields - As of January 7, 2026, the realized dividend yield for the Shanghai 50 Index is 0.00%, with a remaining yield of 2.34% [8] - The CSI 300 Index has a realized yield of 0.00% and a remaining yield of 1.85% [8] - The CSI 500 Index shows a realized yield of 0.00% and a remaining yield of 1.14% [8] - The CSI 1000 Index has a realized yield of 0.00% and a remaining yield of 0.89% [8] Group 4: Tracking of Index Futures Premium/Discount - As of January 7, 2026, the annualized discount for the IH main contract is 0.28%, for the IF main contract is 2.69%, for the IC main contract is 2.47%, and for the IM main contract is 12.36% [1][3] - The report will regularly track the premium/discount levels of index futures, considering the impact of dividends on the index [2] Group 5: Methodology for Dividend Point Estimation - The report outlines a methodology for estimating dividend points, which is crucial for accurately assessing the premium/discount of index futures [28] - The methodology includes obtaining constituent stock weights, dividend amounts, total market capitalization, and index closing prices [30] - The estimation process involves predicting net profits and dividend payout ratios based on historical data [33][38] Group 6: Historical Accuracy of Dividend Point Estimation - The accuracy of the dividend point estimation model has been analyzed, showing that predictions for the Shanghai 50 and CSI 300 indices are generally accurate within 5 points, while the CSI 500 and CSI 1000 indices have a slightly larger error margin of around 10 points [44] - The model demonstrates good predictive accuracy for the main contracts of index futures [44]

Market Performance - The overall market rose on January 6, 2026, with the CSI 500 index performing well, increasing by 2.13%. The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.50%, and the Shenzhen Composite Index increased by 1.40% [1][6] - Among sectors, non-ferrous metals, non-bank financials, defense and military industry, oil and petrochemicals, and basic chemicals showed strong performance with returns of 4.25%, 3.82%, 3.30%, 2.85%, and 2.69% respectively. In contrast, communication, food and beverage, home appliances, banking, and consumer services sectors performed poorly with returns of -0.87%, 0.45%, 0.48%, 0.50%, and 0.61% respectively [1][8] - Concept themes such as stock trading software, titanium dioxide, vanadium-titanium, PTA, and rare metals performed well with returns of 9.18%, 6.09%, 6.02%, 5.81%, and 5.75% respectively, while concepts like optical modules, base stations, optical communication, Google supply chain, and Shein partners performed poorly with returns of -1.85%, -1.13%, -0.92%, -0.91%, and -0.85% respectively [1][11] Market Sentiment - Market sentiment was high on January 6, 2026, with 141 stocks hitting the daily limit up and 2 stocks hitting the limit down. Stocks that were limit up the previous day opened higher and closed with a return of 5.76%, while limit down stocks had a return of 0.26% [2][15][18] - The sealing rate was 83%, up 7% from the previous day, and the consecutive sealing rate was 41%, up 11% from the previous day, indicating a strong market sentiment and a new high for the consecutive sealing rate in nearly a month [2][20] Market Capital Flow - As of January 5, 2026, the margin trading balance was 25,606 billion yuan, with a financing balance of 25,434 billion yuan and a securities lending balance of 172 billion yuan. The margin trading balance accounted for 2.6% of the circulating market value, and margin trading accounted for 11.4% of the market transaction volume [3][25] Premium and Discount - On January 5, 2026, the bank AH preferred ETF had the highest premium at 2.19%, while the Hong Kong-Shenzhen 300 ETF had the highest discount at 1.11%. The average discount rate for block trades over the past six months was 6.66%, with a discount rate of 9.01% on that day [4][30][32] - The annualized discount rates for the main contracts of the SSE 50, CSI 300, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 index futures were 0.85%, 3.79%, 11.15%, and 13.61% respectively. On January 6, 2026, the annualized premium rate for the SSE 50 index futures was 0.51%, while the CSI 300 and CSI 500 index futures had annualized discount rates of 1.41% and 1.89% respectively [4][36] Institutional Attention and Rankings - In the past week, the stocks with the most institutional research were Guangliwei, Tianyang Technology, Dingtong Technology, Liugong, Zhumi Group, Puris, Zhongke Jiangnan, and Hengyi Petrochemical, with Guangliwei being researched by 96 institutions [5][37] - On January 6, 2026, the top ten stocks with net inflow from institutional special seats included Liou Shares, Haige Communication, Daoshi Technology, and others, while the top ten stocks with net outflow included Tongyu Communication, Yingliu Shares, and others [5][41][44]

Market Review - The A-share market showed a mixed performance last week, with the Shanghai Composite Index, CSI 500, and SME Index gaining 0.13%, 0.09%, and -0.01% respectively, while the ChiNext, CSI 300, and SZSE Component Index fell by -1.25%, -0.59%, and -0.58% respectively [5][12] - The financial, oil and petrochemical, and defense industries performed well, with returns of 5.13%, 3.92%, and 3.83% respectively, while retail, utilities, and food and beverage sectors lagged with returns of -3.13%, -2.35%, and -2.28% respectively [5][18] - The People's Bank of China conducted a net reverse repurchase of 1.171 trillion yuan, with a total of 1.3236 trillion yuan maturing, resulting in a net open market injection of 152.6 billion yuan [20] Fund Performance - Last week, actively managed equity, flexible allocation, and balanced mixed funds reported returns of -0.71%, -0.38%, and -0.56% respectively [30] - Year-to-date, alternative funds have shown the best performance with a median return of 52.59%, while actively managed equity, flexible allocation, and balanced mixed funds have median returns of 29.97%, 23.26%, and 16.21% respectively [32] Fund Issuance - A total of 35 new funds were established last week, with a total issuance scale of 11.916 billion yuan, a decrease from the previous week [41] - The majority of new funds were passive index funds (12 funds) and equity mixed funds (8 funds), with issuance scales of 4.116 billion yuan and 0.473 billion yuan respectively [42] Regulatory Updates - The China Securities Regulatory Commission revised the "Regulations on the Management of Sales Fees for Publicly Offered Securities Investment Funds," effective January 1, 2026, to lower investor costs and standardize the sales market [6][10] - E Fund announced a collective name change for its 45 ETF products, becoming the first company to complete standardized naming for all its ETFs [7] Industry Developments - China Construction Bank launched the "Longying Plan" on January 1, 2026, aimed at providing customized FOF market services, marking a significant move into wealth management by state-owned banks [8]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes the performance of the "brokerage golden stocks" and their ability to track the performance of mixed equity funds, showcasing the analytical capabilities of brokerage firms [2][7][28] - In December 2025, the top-performing stocks in the brokerage golden stock pool included XW Communication, Maiwei Co., and Yaxiang Integration, with significant monthly increases [1][3][4] - The top three brokerages by monthly returns were Huachuang Securities, Guojin Securities, and Changcheng Securities, with returns of 17.26%, 12.74%, and 11.36% respectively, compared to 3.06% for the mixed equity fund index and 2.28% for the CSI 300 index [6][10] Group 2 - The brokerage golden stock pool showed a high allocation in the electronics (14.04%), non-ferrous metals (9.93%), and basic chemicals (8.96%) sectors, with notable increases in non-ferrous metals (+3.13%) and defense industry (+1.93%) [25][18] - The performance of the brokerage golden stock performance enhancement portfolio yielded an absolute return of 5.24% for December 2025 and 40.66% for the year, outperforming the mixed equity fund index by 2.18% and 7.47% respectively [33][27] - The article highlights the importance of analyst recommendations, noting that stocks with fewer prior recommendations tend to gain more market attention once included in the golden stock pool [22][20]

一、本周指数增强组合表现 沪深300指数增强组合本周超额收益-0.59%，本年超额收益20.90%。 中证500指数增强组合本周超额收益-0.54%，本年超额收益5.45%。 中证1000指数增强组合本周超额收益-0.19%，本年超额收益15.64%。 中证A500指数增强组合本周超额收益-0.24%，本年超额收益10.26%。 二、本周选股因子表现跟踪 沪深300成分股中标准化预期外盈利、DELTAROA、DELTAROE等因子表现 较好。 中证500成分股中SPTTM、单季SP、单季营收同比增速等因子表现较好。 中证1000成分股中非流动性冲击、三个月机构覆盖、三个月反转等因子表现 较好。 中证A500指数成分股中特异度、SPTTM、标准化预期外盈利等因子表现较 好。 公募基金重仓股中一年动量、单季EP、股息率等因子表现较好。 三、本周公募基金指数增强产品表现跟踪 沪深300指数增强产品本周超额收益最高0.59%，最低-0.68%，中位 数-0.01%。 中证500指数增强产品本周超额收益最高0.28%，最低-0.84%，中位 数-0.39%。 中证1000指数增强产品本周超额收益最高0.52%，最低-1 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is to track the performance of various active quantitative strategies developed by GuoXin JinGong, which aim to outperform the median returns of actively managed equity funds [2][3] - The report includes four main strategies: Excellent Fund Performance Enhancement Portfolio, Super Expected Selection Portfolio, Broker Golden Stock Performance Enhancement Portfolio, and Growth Stability Portfolio [2][3] Group 2 Excellent Fund Performance Enhancement Portfolio - This portfolio aims to benchmark against the median returns of actively managed equity funds, utilizing a quantitative approach to enhance performance based on the holdings of top-performing funds [7][33] - As of this week, the portfolio achieved an absolute return of -0.14% and a relative excess return of 0.50% against the mixed equity fund index [10][19] - Year-to-date, the portfolio's absolute return is 31.88%, with a relative excess return of -1.31%, ranking in the 47.33 percentile among active equity funds [10][19] Super Expected Selection Portfolio - This portfolio selects stocks based on super expected events and analyst profit upgrades, focusing on both fundamental and technical criteria to identify stocks with strong support [12][39] - This week, the portfolio recorded an absolute return of -1.52% and a relative excess return of -0.89% against the mixed equity fund index [19][40] - Year-to-date, the portfolio's absolute return is 42.21%, with a relative excess return of 9.02%, ranking in the 30.33 percentile among active equity funds [19][40] Broker Golden Stock Performance Enhancement Portfolio - This portfolio is constructed using a selection of stocks from the broker golden stock pool, optimized to minimize deviation from the pool while aiming to outperform the ordinary equity fund index [16][42] - This week, the portfolio achieved an absolute return of -0.67% and a relative excess return of -0.04% against the mixed equity fund index [20][43] - Year-to-date, the portfolio's absolute return is 40.66%, with a relative excess return of 7.47%, ranking in the 32.60 percentile among active equity funds [20][43] Growth Stability Portfolio - This portfolio employs a two-dimensional evaluation system for growth stocks, prioritizing stocks closer to their earnings report dates to capture excess returns effectively [28][46] - This week, the portfolio recorded an absolute return of 0.09% and a relative excess return of 0.73% against the mixed equity fund index [28][47] - Year-to-date, the portfolio's absolute return is 55.66%, with a relative excess return of 22.47%, ranking in the 14.93 percentile among active equity funds [28][47]

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Group 1 - The robot sector has significantly strengthened since 2025, becoming a key market theme, with humanoid robot and Yuzhu robot indices achieving maximum gains of 52.20% and 70.19% respectively in the first quarter, and year-to-date gains of 38.97% and 45.60%, outperforming the CSI 300 index [1][3][63] - National strategies continue to provide strong momentum for the long-term development of the robot industry, with a comprehensive policy framework evolving from the "14th Five-Year" plan to specific guidelines for humanoid robots and the "15th Five-Year" planning suggestions [1][8][63] - The production capacity in the robot industry is accelerating, with record-breaking output for industrial and service robots, and approximately two-thirds of the companies in the CSI Robot Index reporting year-on-year revenue growth [1][10][63] Group 2 - The CSI Robot Index (H30590.CSI) reflects the overall performance of core listed companies in the robot industry, with an average market capitalization of 20.643 billion and a diverse market cap distribution among its constituents [1][11][33] - The index is concentrated in the machinery (46.48%), computer (18.49%), and power equipment and new energy (16.17%) sectors, with expected net profit growth rates of 57.35% and 31.56% for 2025 and 2026 respectively [21][31][63] - The index has shown strong performance with an annualized return of 4.76% and a Sharpe ratio of 0.30, outperforming the CSI 500 and CSI 1000 indices over the long term [37][64] Group 3 - The Huaxia CSI Robot ETF (562500.SH) is a passive index fund that closely tracks the CSI Robot Index, launched on December 29, 2021, and currently managed by Mr. Hualong [43][65] - As of Q3 2025, the fund's size reached 22.798 billion, accounting for 57% of the total market size of funds tracking the CSI Robot Index, making it the largest passive product in this category [54][65] - The fund has maintained a low annualized tracking error of 0.36% since Mr. Hualong took over management, achieving an annualized excess return of 0.65% relative to its benchmark [66][67]

Market Review - The A-share market saw all major broad-based indices rise, with the CSI 500, ChiNext Index, and SME Index leading gains at 4.03%, 3.90%, and 3.88% respectively, while the Shanghai Composite, CSI 300, and Sci-Tech 50 lagged behind with returns of 1.88%, 1.95%, and 2.85% [5][12] - The trading volume of major broad-based indices increased, with all indices positioned within the 60%-85% historical percentile over the past 52 weeks [13] - The People's Bank of China conducted a net withdrawal of 34.8 billion yuan through reverse repos, with a total of 457.5 billion yuan maturing and a net open market injection of 422.7 billion yuan [20] Fund Issuance - A total of 65 new funds were established last week, with a combined issuance scale of 27.594 billion yuan, showing an increase from the previous week [3] - 77 funds were reported for issuance, including 1 REIT, 2 QDIIs, and 8 FOFs, indicating a rise in the number of funds being submitted for approval [4][5] Fund Performance - The median returns for active equity, flexible allocation, and balanced mixed funds were 2.57%, 2.14%, and 1.88% respectively last week [31] - Year-to-date, alternative funds have shown the best performance with a median return of 57.87%, while active equity, flexible allocation, and balanced mixed funds had median returns of 30.89%, 23.88%, and 16.45% respectively [31][37] ETF Market - As of December 26, 2025, the total scale of China's ETF market reached 6.03 trillion yuan, a significant increase of 61% from 3.73 trillion yuan at the end of 2024, marking a net increase of 2.29 trillion yuan [10] Fund Sales Subsidiaries - The number of public fund sales subsidiaries has expanded to 9, with recent approvals for subsidiaries from E Fund and Huitianfu [8][9] Industry Performance - In terms of industry performance, non-ferrous metals, national defense, and basic chemicals led with returns of 6.45%, 6.39%, and 5.41% respectively, while retail, banking, and coal lagged with returns of -1.31%, -0.89%, and -0.89% [18][19] - Year-to-date, non-ferrous metals, telecommunications, and electronics have shown the highest cumulative returns of 96.17%, 90.48%, and 45.21% respectively [18]