集思录
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用一年多的工资增购一辆车过分不?
集思录· 2025-08-14 14:50
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the dilemma of spending versus saving, emphasizing that while time can be a friend of compound interest, it can also be an enemy of life, suggesting that money should be spent to enjoy life rather than hoarded as mere numbers [1][2]. Group 1: Spending Philosophy - The notion that money not spent is essentially meaningless, as it represents a debt owed by society that remains unfulfilled [2]. - The idea that delaying spending reduces the joy derived from that spending, as happiness diminishes over time [4]. - A perspective that suggests individuals should prioritize spending on quality products, such as Tesla for electric vehicles and Apple or Samsung for phones [7]. Group 2: Personal Financial Guidelines - Recommendations for car purchases suggest that spending on a vehicle should ideally not exceed a certain percentage of annual income, with specific thresholds mentioned (e.g., cars under 300,000 should not exceed annual income) [9]. - A common guideline among investors is to limit personal consumption to a small percentage of total assets, typically around 1% to 5% [11][13]. - The article highlights that the decision to buy should be based on personal feelings and circumstances rather than external standards, emphasizing individual needs [13]. Group 3: Emotional Considerations - The emotional aspect of purchasing decisions is highlighted, suggesting that if one feels conflicted about a purchase, it may be better to refrain from buying [13]. - The joy derived from experiences and purchases in the present is argued to outweigh potential future gains, advocating for enjoying life now rather than postponing happiness [14].
牛市该如何全身而退
集思录· 2025-08-13 14:58
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses strategies for investors to exit the market during a bull run while preserving profits and managing risks effectively [2][5]. Group 1: Exit Strategies - Gradual profit-taking method: Investors should set a safety line for their principal (e.g., recover principal when total assets reach 130% of the principal) and have profit targets (e.g., sell in batches when profits reach 50% or 100%) [3]. - Technical signal assistance: Investors should monitor key moving averages and chart patterns (e.g., M-top, head and shoulders) to identify potential market tops [3]. - Emotional indicators: Increased public discussion about the stock market and extreme optimism in broker reports can signal a market top [3]. Group 2: Options Hedging Strategies - Options can provide a form of insurance against market downturns, allowing investors to maintain exposure while limiting losses [4][14]. - The use of synthetic long positions (buying calls and selling puts) can help mitigate risks associated with ETF options trading [4]. - The debate exists regarding the effectiveness of options in slow-moving markets, where premium decay can significantly impact returns [4]. Group 3: Market Top Characteristics - Policy signals such as regulatory crackdowns and changes in monetary policy can indicate a market top [4]. - Large-scale selling by institutional investors and rising government bond yields are also warning signs [4]. - Structural performance issues, such as stagnation in brokerage stocks and a lack of broad market participation, can signal caution [4]. Group 4: Investor Sentiment Management - Common pitfalls include attempting to perfectly time the market top and the dangers of premature exits [5]. - Discipline is crucial; investors should wait for the right moment to re-enter the market after exiting [5]. - Acknowledging that profits can be made without trying to catch every market movement is essential for long-term success [5]. Group 5: Additional Strategies - Transitioning to defensive stocks and short-term bond funds can help lock in profits during uncertain market conditions [5]. - Preparing for extreme scenarios and maintaining a cautious approach can safeguard against potential downturns [5]. - The importance of having a clear trading plan and executing it rigorously is emphasized [5].
8月14日投资提示:华康洁净实控人被留置
集思录· 2025-08-13 14:58
Group 1 - The actual controller of Huakang Clean, Mr. Tan Pingtao, is under investigation and has been placed under detention by the Guangdong Provincial Supervisory Committee [1] - The company received a notification regarding the investigation and detention of its chairman, which may impact its operations and investor confidence [1] Group 2 - Limin Convertible Bond and Xinhua Convertible Bond will not be forcibly redeemed [2][3] - Zhengfan Technology plans to acquire 62.23% of Hanjing Semiconductor for 1.12 billion [2] - Jialitu's controlling shareholder intends to reduce its stake by no more than 1% [2] - Yongji Co., Ltd. is planning to acquire control of Tena Fei Electronics Technology and will be suspended from trading starting August 14 [2] - Zhigao Machinery has listed new shares on the Beijing Stock Exchange [2] Group 3 - A detailed table of various convertible bonds is provided, including their current prices, redemption prices, last trading dates, conversion values, and remaining scales [5][7]
那些找不到工作的大学生后来都怎么样了?
集思录· 2025-08-12 13:53
Group 1 - The article discusses the challenges faced by recent graduates in finding suitable employment and the psychological impact of unemployment on them and their families [1][2][11] - It highlights the pressure from family and peers, as well as the struggle for self-worth when unable to secure a job [2][11] - The narrative includes personal experiences of individuals who have navigated similar situations, emphasizing the importance of finding any job to regain a sense of normalcy and social interaction [10][11] Group 2 - The article reflects on the societal expectations placed on graduates, suggesting that many have unrealistic views of job opportunities and the labor market [9][11] - It points out the structural issues in the economy that contribute to the difficulties in job hunting, indicating that these challenges are not solely the responsibility of the individuals [11][12] - The discussion includes varying perspectives on the choices available to graduates, with some arguing that taking any job is better than remaining unemployed, while others suggest that not all jobs are worth pursuing due to poor returns on investment [13][14]
13日投资提示:天业转债提议下修
集思录· 2025-08-12 13:53
Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - The article discusses recent developments in convertible bonds, including proposals for adjustments and shareholder actions regarding stock holdings. Group 1: Convertible Bond Adjustments - Tianye Convertible Bond has proposed a downward adjustment [1] - Lithium Science and Lek Convertible Bonds will not undergo adjustments [1] Group 2: Shareholder Actions - Baichuan Co., Ltd.'s actual controller plans to reduce holdings by no more than 3% of the company's shares [1] - Taiping Bird's shareholder also intends to reduce holdings by no more than 3% of the company's shares [1] Group 3: Convertible Bond Market Data - Various convertible bonds are listed with their current prices, redemption prices, last trading dates, and conversion values, indicating market performance and investor interest [4][6]
你相信别人晒的高收益吗?
集思录· 2025-08-11 13:55
论坛经常有股神们晒高收益,五年十倍之类的,多数集友似乎不相信。 个人也感觉不用杠 杆,挣钱太难,年化10%都很难实现。 北交所打新账户,由于大额资金进出,收益率更是惨 不忍睹。 这个是华泰北交所打新账户,14年开户,年化只有3.31%。券商软件统计结果,显示跑赢 92.31%的华泰股友。 还有一个华泰账户,资金进出不多,收益率要好些。 gukuaijia 在网上晒高收益的目的是吸粉,开群,收费赚钱! 真正在股市赚到A8以上,已经财务自由,不缺钱了!在网上瞎晒自己的生命财产都不安全 了,终有人能顺网线找到你!中国有一句俗话,不怕贼偷就怕贼惦记! 这个逻辑下,网上晒高收益的两种人:傻子和骗子! 天道忌巧 大资金长期高收益(20%以上),我是不信的,但不排除有人做到,我现在追求每年(5至 10)%,没有杠杆。 只为愿相信我的人帮忙,当然会有一定奖励,至今每人都是盈利的,他 们很感谢我,我心里也满足! 到集思录发言,也只是心里傻,有发言欲望而己。 19年底年开户,年化只有7.23%。券商软件统计结果,显示跑赢93.421%的华泰股友。 还 有一个1997年海通开的户。E海通财没有开户以来统计结果。只显示2016年以来 ...
12日投资提示:泰福泵业股东拟合计减持不超1.63%股份
集思录· 2025-08-11 13:55
Group 1 - The frequency of new stock offerings on the Beijing Stock Exchange has increased from once a month to twice a week [1] - The strong redemption of Kaineng Convertible Bonds and Qizheng Convertible Bonds has been announced [1] - Chongqing Bank's shareholder, Chongqing Water Investment Group, plans to reduce its stake by no more than 1.5% [1] Group 2 - The following convertible bonds have been announced for strong redemption: Kaineng Convertible Bonds, Qizheng Convertible Bonds, and Jineng Convertible Bonds [1] - The subscription for new stocks on the Beijing Stock Exchange is set for August 13 [1] - The last trading day for Hexion Convertible Bonds and Liancheng Convertible Bonds is August 12 [1] Group 3 - The current prices and redemption prices of various convertible bonds have been listed, with notable examples including Lian De Convertible Bonds at 139.299 and Yong An Convertible Bonds at 152.289 [4] - The remaining scale and market value ratios of several convertible bonds have been detailed, indicating their liquidity and market presence [4][6]
股市赚钱后,你会买更大的房子吗?
集思录· 2025-08-10 17:51
Group 1 - The article discusses the current real estate market, highlighting significant discounts on properties, such as a 140 square meter flat with a parking space selling for 1.4 million and a 180+60 square meter villa for 2.6 million, with rental prices ranging from 1,500 to 4,000 [1] - Opinions vary on whether to rent or buy, with some individuals advocating for renting due to the potential risks associated with property ownership, such as troublesome neighbors [3][4] - There is a belief that the real estate market will rebound, with expectations of rising prices during the next economic upturn, making it a good time to consider purchasing properties [5] Group 2 - Some individuals prefer renting as it minimizes financial risk, suggesting that renting a top-floor flat reduces the likelihood of encountering difficult neighbors [4] - Others argue that owning a home improves quality of life, as it encourages investment in home furnishings and creates a more comfortable living environment [10][15] - The article also mentions that the choice between renting and buying can depend on personal circumstances, such as lifestyle preferences and family needs [19]
11日投资提示:报告领导,100元以下转债已被消灭
集思录· 2025-08-10 17:51
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant reduction in the number of convertible bonds priced below 100 yuan, with only one bond, Zhongzhuang Convertible Bond 2, trading at 99.4 yuan before its adjustment, indicating a shift in the market dynamics of convertible bonds [1]. Summary by Sections Recent Developments in Convertible Bonds - Zhongzhuang Convertible Bond 2 has undergone a downward adjustment, with its conversion value exceeding 102 yuan, leading to no convertible bonds priced below 100 yuan in the market [1]. - The article lists several convertible bonds with important announcements, including Titan Convertible Bond (not subject to forced redemption) and Zhongzhuang Convertible Bond (adjustment announcement) [2]. Convertible Bond Market Overview - The article provides a table summarizing various convertible bonds, including their current prices, forced redemption prices, last trading dates, last conversion dates, conversion values, remaining scales, and the proportion of convertible bonds to the underlying stocks [4]. - Notable convertible bonds include: - Lian De Convertible Bond priced at 139.299 yuan with a conversion value of 140.93 yuan [4]. - Yong An Convertible Bond priced at 152.289 yuan with a conversion value of 153.66 yuan [4]. - Z Qilu Convertible Bond priced at 122.209 yuan with a conversion value of 122.20 yuan [4]. Shareholder Actions - Shareholders of Liyang Chip and Xingrui Technology plan to collectively reduce their holdings by no more than 3.94% and 1.67% of the company's shares, respectively [3]. Additional Information - The article mentions the renaming of Jidong Cement's securities to "Jinyu Jidong" [3]. - It also includes a list of convertible bonds that are not subject to downward adjustments, such as Hongtu Convertible Bond and Heda Convertible Bond [3].
牛市狂欢中,我选择默默离场!
集思录· 2025-08-08 14:28
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current bull market and the author's decision to reduce positions, emphasizing the importance of recognizing market peaks and the risks associated with chasing profits at high valuations [1][2][3]. Market Analysis - The current bull market is characterized by a significant increase in margin trading, surpassing 2 trillion, raising concerns about who will buy stocks from new investors [2]. - Historical bull markets show varying durations and returns, with the shortest being a 107% increase from 1664.93 to 3454.02 between November 2008 and July 2009, and the longest being a 513.5% increase from 998 to 6124.04 from June 2005 to October 2007 [2]. - The current market sentiment is compared to the 5.19 market, which also occurred under poor economic conditions, driven by policy, liquidity, and technology narratives [2]. Investment Strategy - The author has adopted a balanced investment strategy, achieving approximately 200% returns in a high-risk account and over 10% in a defensive account, indicating a cautious approach to market fluctuations [3]. - The article emphasizes the importance of realizing profits rather than holding onto paper gains, suggesting that the peak of market greed often coincides with the highest risks [3]. - The author plans to allocate freed-up capital towards new stock subscriptions on the Beijing Stock Exchange, indicating a shift in focus towards new investment opportunities [3]. Market Dynamics - The article posits that bull markets primarily result in wealth transfer, where new entrants often lose money to those who have held positions since market lows [3][5]. - It highlights that the stock market, in the short term, operates as a zero-sum game, where the gains of some come at the expense of others [3]. - Long-term, the stock market is viewed as a positive-sum game, with rising company revenues and profits leading to increased market valuations [4].