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胡启朝提出的“第零原理”:用AI盒子重建电池研发
高工锂电· 2025-12-07 11:46
当胡启朝拿着一个盒子走上台,很少有人意识到,电池的创新范式发生了怎样的巨变。 "我们擅长从第一原理出发做研发,但AI让我们可以从第零原理出发。" 11月,SES AI创始人兼CEO胡启朝博士,在2025高工锂电年会闭幕式上如是说。 而当他带着一个盒子走上台时,很少有人意识到,电池的创新范式发生了怎样的巨变。 01 重新定义创新的起点 传统电池研发的模式已为行业所熟知。实验室、中试线、生产线的紧密配合,依靠科研人员的经验积累和物理化学规律的探索,在无数次试错中寻找 突破。 "我们擅长这个,"胡启朝说,"但代价是巨大的设备、人才和场地投入,以及超过90%的失败率。" 然而,AI带来了一种截然不同的思考方式。 "AI捕捉的不是物理化学规律,而是实验数据背后的数学规律。"胡启朝这样描述其中的差异。传统方法或许能发现十几个物理化学规律,而AI系统 却能揭示上千个数学规律。 "第零原理"的核心在于,它比"第一原理"更为基础。如果"第一原理"是从已知的科学、物理化学规律出 发进行推演 ,那么"第零原理"则是从数据 中直接发现那些尚未被人类归纳的底层模式,这是一种更为本质的创新起点。 "听起来很抽象,但其实他也可以有物理形态 ...
GGII:1-10月全球动力电池装机867.4GWh
高工锂电· 2025-12-07 11:46
Core Insights - The article highlights the dominance of domestic power battery installations in the global market, accounting for 63.3% of the total, with six out of the top ten companies being Chinese [2][4]. Global Power Battery Installation Data - According to the Global Power Battery Installation Monthly Database by GGII, the significant decline in sales in the UK and the US in October led to a drop in their power battery installations by 53% and 52% respectively, resulting in a year-on-year growth rate of only 22% for global power battery installations in October, a noticeable decrease from the previous month [3]. - From January to October 2025, global cumulative sales of new energy vehicles reached 16.091 million units, a year-on-year increase of 24%, driving global power battery installations to approximately 867.4 GWh, which is a 34% year-on-year growth [3][9]. Market Share Analysis - The combined market share of the three major South Korean battery companies—LGES, SK On, and Samsung SDI—was 16.2% from January to October 2025, a decline of nearly 1 percentage point compared to the same period last year [5]. - Specifically, SK On dropped from sixth to seventh place, while Samsung SDI fell from eighth to ninth in the global rankings [6]. Installation and Sales Growth - The year-on-year growth rates for power battery installations and sales from January to October 2025 were 34% and 24% respectively [9]. - The top ten countries for power battery installations in GWh include China (549.0 GWh), the US (103.5 GWh), Germany (33.1 GWh), and the UK (30.8 GWh) [11].
一家负极独角兽,30年磨一“硅”的故事
高工锂电· 2025-12-06 11:07
摘要 时间是盟友,更是壁垒。 2025 年的夏天,硅基负极进入了它的第二轮扩产周期。 反向赌注的开始 时间倒回至两年前,彼时硅基负极赛道热度初显。 基于多孔碳骨架和硅烷气、采用 CVD (化学气相沉积)法制备新型硅碳负极,能够实现高膨 胀率瓶颈的攻克,最终兼顾比能与循环性能——这一全新工艺路线的确定,让硅碳负极的产业 化前景豁然开朗。 在同样的积极气氛中,有一家硅基负极做出了一个让许多投资人费解的反向赌注。 彼时, 作为中科院物理所硅基负极唯一产业化平台的天目先导,已经基于长久以来纳米硅、 CVD 工艺上的先发认知与技术突破,完成了早期的产业探索。 第一轮是路线之争: 谁敢在多孔碳骨架上押注 CVD ,谁先把比容量做上去; 第二轮开始变成结构之争: 谁能在万吨级扩产、出海布局和头部客户绑定之间建立起真正的 护城河。 半年内,超过四百亿元的投资、四十万吨以上的规划产能涌入这一赛道,硅基负极从 "少数人 的选择题"变成"多数人的标配项": 比容量普遍突破 2000mAh/g ,是传统石墨的五倍有余;百公斤级的流化床设备已进入产线 验证;部分企业甚至宣布自建、绑定上游硅烷气产能,以示其垂直整合的决心。 作为终端企业 ...
12月12日相聚深圳 2025高工钠电年会议程更新
高工锂电· 2025-12-06 11:07
会议倒计时6天 峰会背景 ● 商业化破冰,头部企业牵引 2025 年以来,头部电池企业已从技术牵引走向产品 落地 。中科海钠发布"海星"钠离子电池商用车解决方案、宁德时代"钠新"电池瞄准电动重卡启 停及乘用车场景、亿纬锂能聚阴离子钠电储能成功并网运行。 钠电正在打破市场疑虑,实现初步的商业应用,如同破冰船开辟航道。 ● 产业化攻坚,产能规模初显 万吨级正负极材料产线、 GWh 级电芯产能的集中开工、投产,标志着产业正式从 " 实验室 - 中试 " 迈入 " 规模化制造 " 新阶段 。 更多企业则选择在专业化细分领域深耕,共同推动产业链生态趋于成熟与稳定。 产业链上下游需要打破成本、供应链、规模的瓶颈,实现产业发展 的决定性突破。 2025高工钠电年会 商业化破冰 产业化攻坚 生态化拓圈 主办单位: 高工钠电、高工产业研究院(GGII) 专场冠名: 众钠能源、 容百科技 会议时间: 2025年 12月12日 会议地点 : 深圳机场凯悦酒店L层宴会厅 同期活动: 2025 高工储能年会暨高工金球奖颁奖典礼( 12 月 9-11 日) | | | 卡儿酷科技 | 董 | | --- | --- | --- | -- ...
容百科技看好钠电成长:10年后有望占比储能6成市场份额
高工锂电· 2025-12-05 07:28
摘要 到2035年,储能市场有望撬动2000万吨钠电正极材料需求。 高工产研( GGII )数据显示,今年前三季度,储能电池合计出货达 430GWh ,已全面超过 2024 年全年的出货总量。储能市场带动锂电池需求高 涨,带动材料需求。 其中,作为三元材料头部企业的 容百科技 , 已从 单一的三元材料企业,转型为一家平台型的多技术路线、多材料品种的体系化公司。 此外,容百科技还在建立一个体系化、全球化的商业模式,通过打造全球制造体系、全球供应链体系、全球营销网络,以平台赋能业务的快速发展。 在高工锂电年会上, 容百科技董事长兼总裁白厚善 介绍,转型为平台型材料企业的容百科技,首先是一个产业投资运营平台,包含三元、钠电、磷酸 锰铁锂、磷酸铁锂等材料领域 。 在钠电领域 , 容百科技近期与宁德时代签订了钠电正极材料协议,宁德时代将容百科技作为其钠电正极粉料第一供应商 ,并承诺每年从容百科技的 采购量不低于宁德时代总采购量的 60% 。 白厚善还判断,未来 3-5 年能源奇点时代即将 来临。 容百展望储能:钠电大有可为 订单与产能共振 ,容百科技 6000 吨聚阴离子正极材料建设项目已于今年 7 月在湖北仙桃正式开 ...
锂电极片切割进入绿光时代
高工锂电· 2025-12-05 07:28
Core Viewpoint - High-power pulsed fiber green laser has gradually become the preferred solution for high-precision cutting of lithium battery electrode sheets after three years of industrial application advancement [1][4]. Group 1: Lithium Battery Market Demand - The lithium battery industry in China has achieved rapid development over the past 15 years, growing from less than 2 GWh to over 2000 GWh [6][7]. - The industry has produced several leading global players and showcased China's strong industrial capabilities and continuous technological innovation [7][8]. Group 2: Development of Cutting Technology - The cutting technology for lithium battery electrode sheets has evolved from traditional blade cutting to laser cutting, with recent advancements moving towards short-wavelength and ultrafast laser applications [3][9]. - The current cutting process requires high-power, high-beam quality infrared nanosecond lasers, but there is a pressing need for technological iteration to reduce burrs and molten beads, which can lead to safety issues [9][10]. Group 3: Advantages of Green Laser Cutting - Green laser cutting offers better performance due to its high absorption rate in metals like copper and aluminum, resulting in higher energy density and better cutting quality compared to infrared lasers [11][12]. - The green laser cutting process has shown significant advantages in various battery types, including cylindrical, stacked, and prismatic batteries [12]. Group 4: Performance Comparison - In cutting negative electrode sheets, green laser cutting achieves a cutting efficiency of 150 m/min with a burr size of 0-5 μm and a production yield exceeding 99.99%, compared to infrared's 90 m/min and 5-10 μm burr size [42][43]. - The green laser's cutting depth is ±1.0 mm, while infrared only achieves ±0.3 mm, enhancing cutting stability and yield [42][43]. Group 5: Application in Positive Electrode Cutting - Green laser technology also shows superior potential in cutting positive electrode materials, particularly in ceramic layers, reducing burr size and thermal impact, which positively affects battery safety [50][51]. Group 6: Commercialization of Green Laser Technology - The high-power green laser technology has been successfully adopted by several leading manufacturers in the lithium battery electrode sheet cutting field, marking a significant step towards precision, efficiency, and reliability in the industry [53].
宁德时代“船-岸-云”一体化是什么?
高工锂电· 2025-12-05 07:28
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the launch of CATL's "Ship-Shore-Cloud" zero-carbon shipping and smart port integrated solution, marking a significant step in the company's efforts to extend electrification from land to water, thereby promoting a green, intelligent, and sustainable path for global shipping [3][12]. Group 1: Challenges in Shipping Industry - The shipping industry faces three core anxieties: initial purchase cost and investment return concerns, insufficient refueling infrastructure leading to mileage anxiety, and safety reliability issues in complex water environments [5][6]. - The operational difficulties of "unable to afford ships, unable to charge, and unable to calculate costs" are identified as the main bottlenecks hindering the large-scale development of zero-carbon shipping [6]. Group 2: Integrated Solution Overview - CATL's "Ship-Shore-Cloud" integrated solution aims to address these challenges through a combination of commercial and technological innovations [7]. - The solution includes offerings such as batteries, power systems, and intelligent navigation systems on the ship side; self-developed megawatt-level supercharging equipment and containerized battery swap networks on the shore side; and real-time monitoring and intelligent scheduling through the "Cloud Sail" management platform and "Beichen" navigation system on the cloud side [8]. Group 3: Cost Reduction and Efficiency - The integrated system aims to reduce the total lifecycle operating costs (TCO) of cargo ships by over 33% and tugboats by over 50%, achieving "extreme economic efficiency" [8]. - The "Jining 6006" pure electric multipurpose cargo ship project is highlighted as a landmark achievement, being the first globally to achieve "full-stack and full-scenario delivery" [9][10]. Group 4: Safety and Innovation - To address safety concerns, CATL has enhanced safety design standards, including increasing the salt spray protection test standard for battery packs to 1000 hours, exceeding the industry standard of 670 hours [11]. - The company has established the first domestic land-based joint debugging laboratory capable of simulating real ship electromagnetic and vibration environments, significantly reducing the traditional system debugging cycle from 45 days to 15 days [11]. Group 5: Future Directions - CATL's current focus is on inland and coastal operations, with plans to expand into offshore projects within the next three years, aiming for near-sea pure electric solutions [11]. - For deep-sea navigation, the company is exploring hybrid power solutions that integrate "investment, generation, distribution, and storage" or connect with other green energy sources [11]. Group 6: Industry Leadership - Since entering the shipping sector in 2017, CATL has delivered nearly 900 electric ships, maintaining a leading position in the global electric ship battery market [12]. - The company has achieved numerous industry firsts, including the largest pure electric inland passenger ship and the first mixed-power tugboat in China, showcasing its technological and market leadership [12][13].
丰元锂能谈磷酸铁锂:逆周期要大胆,顺周期要理性
高工锂电· 2025-12-04 12:40
Core Viewpoint - The lithium battery industry is entering an upward cycle centered around lithium iron phosphate (LFP) batteries, driven by strong demand in both the power and energy storage markets, with LFP models accounting for over 80% of new energy vehicle sales and registrations [2]. Industry Overview - The demand for LFP batteries is expected to exceed 1.3 TWh in China by the end of the year, with the demand for cathode materials projected to surpass 3.5 million tons [2]. - The expansion of production capacity among LFP material manufacturers is crucial for entering the supply chain of leading battery companies, with scale becoming a key competitive factor [2][3]. Company Focus: Fengyuan Lithium Energy - Fengyuan Lithium Energy, a Shandong-based LFP material company, secured a three-year long-term supply agreement with BYD, which aims to sell 5.5 million vehicles by 2025, indicating significant upstream material demand [3]. - The company has aggressively expanded its production capacity from 10,000 tons in 2021 to a target of 300,000 tons by the end of 2024, demonstrating a commitment to meeting future demand despite industry challenges [3][11]. Production and Technology Strategy - Fengyuan is focusing on mid-to-high-end LFP demand and has invested in versatile equipment to prepare for future product iterations, ensuring that production capabilities align with market advancements [4][10]. - The company has successfully achieved mass production of its fourth-generation LFP batteries, which offer an 8-10% increase in energy density compared to third-generation products, catering to high-voltage platforms and large-capacity energy storage needs [5][14]. Market Dynamics and Competitive Landscape - The current industry cycle is characterized by more rational expansion compared to previous cycles, with companies avoiding reckless competition and focusing on sustainable growth [6][7]. - The competitive barriers in the LFP market are primarily based on technological advancement, production scale, and cost efficiency, with a focus on maintaining a healthy competitive environment [9][10]. Future Outlook - Fengyuan's strategy includes targeting both leading companies and niche market leaders, with a strong emphasis on the energy storage market as a key growth driver [15]. - The company plans to complete its LFP production capacity of 300,000 tons by the end of the year and is also investing in solid-state battery materials, indicating a forward-looking approach to innovation and market demands [16][17].
化工、材料与能源交汇:打开电池创新边界
高工锂电· 2025-12-04 12:40
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the advancements and challenges in the lithium battery industry, emphasizing the importance of material innovation and safety measures in enhancing battery performance and reliability [3][4][7][9]. Group 1: Material Innovation - The value of composite conductive fluids lies in integrating safety, rate capability, and energy density through structural design [3]. - The lithium battery industry has faced unprecedented pressure due to overcapacity and raw material price volatility, but companies like Fengyuan Lithium Energy remain optimistic about future technological innovations [4]. - Solid-state battery technology requires advancements beyond just changing copper foil thickness; it necessitates the development of various types of copper foils to meet diverse application requirements [7]. - Innovations such as solid-state electrolytes and in-situ polymerized gel electrolytes are crucial for improving lithium battery performance across various applications [9]. Group 2: Safety Enhancements - The development of fire-retardant tapes that can actively extinguish flames represents a significant advancement in battery safety, transitioning from passive to active protection [13]. - The reliability of thermal runaway protection materials must be based on both material and structural integrity to ensure battery safety [16]. - The integration of thin film sensors in batteries can provide early warnings of abnormal conditions, enhancing proactive safety measures [17]. Group 3: Performance Optimization - The ability to control molecular weight, particle size, cross-link density, and functional monomers is critical for producing high-performance lithium battery binders [12]. - High-structure conductive agents can replace traditional systems while maintaining performance, demonstrating the importance of material structure in enhancing conductivity [20]. - Customizable formulations for dry electrode coatings can significantly improve performance across various applications, showcasing the need for tailored solutions in the industry [21].
美国启动能源版“曼哈顿计划”,举国搭建AI4S平台
高工锂电· 2025-12-04 12:40
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the launch of the Genesis Mission by the U.S. government, which aims to establish a national-level discovery platform integrating AI, quantum computing, and advanced experimental facilities to enhance AI for Science (AI4S) as a national strategic priority [2]. Group 1: Platform Objectives - The platform aims to break data silos and create a closed-loop system consisting of "data, computing power, and experiments" [3]. - The data layer will aggregate decades of classified and proprietary research data from the federal government to build high-quality scientific models, addressing the challenge of AI lacking high-quality training data [3]. - The computing power layer will involve partnerships with tech giants like NVIDIA, AMD, Microsoft, Google, and AWS to provide GPUs, cloud platforms, and engineering teams [4]. - The physical layer will deploy robotic chemists and automated synthesis facilities to create a "wet-dry closed loop," enabling AI-generated formulas to be automatically synthesized and validated [5]. Group 2: Implementation Timeline - The executive order sets an aggressive timeline: within 60 days, the Department of Energy must submit a list of at least 20 "national challenges" covering advanced nuclear energy, grid modernization, critical materials, semiconductors, and high-end manufacturing [6]. - Within 90 days, a comprehensive inventory of federal computing and data resources must be completed [6]. - A complete implementation plan and budget pathway must be presented within 9 months, defining platform architecture, data access rules, and methods for engaging industries and universities [7]. Group 3: Focus Areas - The initiative highlights several key areas for energy and materials: 1. Accelerating fusion and advanced nuclear energy research using AI and high-performance computing, including reactor design and materials development [8]. 2. Optimizing grid operations and planning with AI under the "grid modernization" framework to enhance supply efficiency and stability amid rising electricity demand and increasing renewable energy share [8]. 3. Designing alternative solutions for critical materials and optimizing resource utilization and recycling processes with AI to reduce dependence on foreign supply chains [8]. Group 4: Challenges and Concerns - The plan addresses two major pain points in AI4S: breaking data silos and overcoming synthesis bottlenecks, as the lack of high-quality, standardized experimental data and slow validation processes are significant obstacles [9]. - There is a concern that the public research infrastructure may evolve into a data and computing power flywheel dominated by a few tech giants [11]. - The quality of data and classification levels will determine whether this platform can genuinely transform the research paradigm [11].