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人工智能:开启企业 IT 效率与创新的新篇章
科尔尼管理咨询· 2025-10-22 09:53
数十年来,信息技术(IT)一直是推动企业效率提升的核心力量。如今,新的篇章正在展开:人工智能(AI) 正成为下一个战略突破口 —— 它不仅能强化 IT 的职能、实现规模化效率提升,还能开辟适应性与创新的新领 域。研究显示, 超过 60% 的 IT 领导者将运营效率列为首要任务,这一数据反映出 IT 职能正从 "维持运转" 向 "驱动转型" 加速转变。 [1] 推动这一演变的核心诉求简单却有力:助力业务更快响应市场、更智能地运营,并 实现规模化价值交付。 从历史来看,IT 运营预算的很大一部分都用于维持现状 —— 即 "基础保障型支出"(Keep the Lights On, KTLO),包括运行现有系统、保障基础设施安全以及管理复杂的应用组合。这些职责至今仍至关重要。但与 此同时,IT 领域也需要一种思维转变: 不再将系统单纯视为成本中心,而是将其视作提升效率与生产力的关 键杠杆。 IDC2025年《中国企业 AI 应用报告》显示,2025年上半年,已有45%的中国金融、能源行业企业部署了 智能主体系统用于 IT 安全运维,其安全事件平均响应时间从原来的 4.2 小时缩短至 12 分钟,漏洞修复 率提升至 9 ...
能源化工资产运营新篇章:如何利用好规范性分析
科尔尼管理咨询· 2025-10-21 09:40
Core Insights - The article emphasizes the need for process manufacturing companies, such as those in energy and chemicals, to make long-term decisions amidst a volatile market environment, highlighting the importance of appropriate technologies to achieve "right the first time" outcomes [1][4] Market Environment - The current geopolitical instability underscores the necessity for local production capacity and flexible supply chains, with significant structural supply-demand shifts occurring [1] - By 2030, the chemical product markets in China and India are expected to grow annually by 7%, with China likely becoming the largest chemical market globally [1] - The Middle East is also projected to see significant growth, with an annual increase of 5% by the end of the decade [1] Challenges Faced - Global chemical companies are facing heightened challenges due to diverging factor costs and environmental regulations, particularly in Europe, where the market has significantly declined in 2023 [2] - European chemical companies are contending with some of the highest energy and raw material costs globally, leading to considerations of shutting down outdated production lines or reducing capacity [2] Key Design Elements for Process Manufacturing - Five critical design elements are identified for process manufacturing companies to focus on: 1. **Capital Roadmap**: High-interest environments typically slow capital expenditures, while declining interest rates can accelerate investment plans [4] 2. **Cross-Network Strategic Planning**: Companies may need to temporarily or permanently close factories or production lines to enhance profitability and cash flow [4] 3. **Manufacturing Plant Allocation**: Precise cost/benefit calculations are necessary when changing production locations, considering factors like workforce availability and capital expenditures [4] 4. **Personnel Planning**: Understanding personnel needs and costs is crucial when operational scopes and manufacturing capacities change significantly [4] 5. **Value Chain Adjustment**: Companies may pursue backward integration to reduce operational costs or streamline compliance processes [4] Prerequisites for Network Redesign - Successful network redesign requires rigorous data acquisition, wise selection of analytical tools, cross-functional collaboration, and a clear decision-making process [7][8] - Stakeholders from various departments should be involved in the redesign process to provide diverse perspectives and insights [7] - Flexibility and agility are essential for maximizing the value of scenario planning, necessitating repeatable models and effective processes to translate insights into actionable roadmaps [8] Conclusion - Despite the challenging environment, if approached correctly, network redesign can enhance operational efficiency and strengthen competitive positioning [10]
中国城市创新动能强劲,潜力排名跃升——科尔尼发布2025年全球城市指数报告
科尔尼管理咨询· 2025-10-20 08:18
Core Insights - The report emphasizes that urban competition is increasingly driven by the effective integration of infrastructure, renewable energy, and talent resources, particularly in the context of artificial intelligence opportunities and risks [1][16] - The top five cities in the Global Cities Index (GCI) remain unchanged, with New York, London, Paris, Tokyo, and Singapore leading, highlighting the importance of digital infrastructure adaptability, climate resilience, and institutional flexibility [1][2][7] - Emerging cities like Almaty, Taipei, and Rio de Janeiro are rising in rankings, indicating a shift in global influence towards distributed and regional clusters [1][5] Global Cities Comprehensive Ranking (GCI) - The top three cities (New York, London, Paris) maintain their positions, while Tokyo and Singapore are fourth and fifth, respectively, reinforcing their roles in global economics and governance [2][3] - Hong Kong has improved its ranking by two places to seventh, while Los Angeles has dropped two places to ninth [7] Global Cities Potential Ranking (GCO) - The GCO reveals significant changes in global dynamics, with traditional leading cities facing challenges while Middle Eastern and Asian hubs gain momentum through investments in infrastructure, talent, and digital readiness [8][9] - Beijing has surged 26 places in the GCO, ranking fifth in the innovation dimension based on patent indicators, showcasing China's strategic importance in the global innovation landscape [3][11] Trends in Asian and Emerging Market Cities - A notable trend is the differentiated development of Asian and emerging market cities, indicating a new phase of urban competition characterized by stable core cities and the rise of new forces [5][9] - Cities in Central Asia and Latin America are enhancing their competitiveness through demographic advantages, digital advancements, and sustainable transportation investments [6] China's Urban Performance - Chinese cities exhibit a mix of strengths and challenges, with Beijing and Shanghai showing significant improvements in global rankings, particularly in innovation and economic status [11][13] - Despite advancements, some Chinese cities still need to enhance governance efficiency and resident well-being to achieve comprehensive leadership [13] Role of Artificial Intelligence - The report highlights that AI is becoming a core engine driving urban competitiveness, transforming economic growth paths and public governance [16] - Cities that can effectively integrate energy security, renewable energy investments, and talent development into a unified strategy will define the next phase of global competitiveness [16]
地缘政治新常态重塑旅游零售商业模式——科尔尼2025全球旅游零售报告(上)
科尔尼管理咨询· 2025-10-15 09:50
Core Insights - The travel retail industry is experiencing a structural disconnection between passenger volume and retail sales, with global passenger numbers reaching a record high of 9.5 billion in 2024, while travel retail sales only reached $74.1 billion, down 13% from 2019 [2][14] - The disparity in travel retail performance varies by region, with the Asia-Pacific region facing declines due to policy resistance and weak consumer spending from mainland China, while India shows strong growth [2][21] - External structural factors such as geopolitical tensions, economic fragmentation, and technological advancements are exerting continuous pressure on the travel retail sector [4][6] Passenger Behavior and Shopping Trends - Passenger shopping frequency is declining at an annual rate of 4%, and the value proposition of travel retail is weakening, with nearly 40% of travelers questioning the actual savings from duty-free shopping [3][39] - Different consumer segments exhibit varied spending behaviors, with Gen Z travelers showing purposeful spending on relevant and unique items, while older travelers are more conservative and price-sensitive [3][44] Regional Performance Disparities - The Asia-Pacific region, despite having the largest travel retail market valued at approximately $31 billion, saw a 2% decline in retail sales in 2024 compared to 2019 [20][21] - Europe, the Middle East, and Africa are experiencing synchronized growth in travel retail and passenger volumes, with Europe seeing a 9.2% increase in retail sales [22][23] - The Americas are at a critical turning point, with retail sales slightly exceeding pre-pandemic levels, but facing challenges such as fragmented retail layouts and limited digital channels [27][28] Category Performance Variability - The perfume and cosmetics category accounts for over one-third of global travel retail sales, with a slight decline in overall sales, while the tobacco category saw a 13% increase [30][31] - The candy and gourmet food categories grew by 8%, driven by promotional sales and the influence of younger consumers [31] - High-end products are gaining traction, while mid-tier categories are shrinking, indicating a polarization in consumer spending [47][49] Consumer Confidence and Value Perception - The average spending per traveler has decreased significantly, dropping to $15.5 in 2024, down 17% from 2019 [36][39] - The perception of value in travel retail is shifting, with consumers increasingly skeptical about the price advantages of duty-free shopping compared to local retail channels [42][55] - Clear pricing and value propositions are essential for driving consumer confidence and conversion rates in travel retail [52][56] Evolving Business Models and Strategies - The travel retail business model is evolving slowly, with a need for strategic reassessment to adapt to changing consumer behaviors and market dynamics [5][6] - Companies must focus on building resilient operations that can thrive amid ongoing disruptions and volatility [7][6] - The integration of dining experiences within retail spaces is emerging as a key strategy to enhance consumer engagement and drive sales [57][62]
生物医药行业决策者最高议程:战略先行的四大必修课
科尔尼管理咨询· 2025-10-09 10:21
Core Insights - The biopharmaceutical industry is facing unprecedented strategic challenges, with over $200 billion in market value evaporating in 2024 due to R&D setbacks, pricing pressures, and geopolitical fluctuations [1] - CEOs must focus on a few critical strategic issues to avoid strategic blind spots and ensure strong corporate performance [1] Strategic Agenda 1: Disruptive Change in Drug Development through AI - Artificial intelligence (AI) is transforming the biopharmaceutical industry, particularly in drug discovery, enhancing early R&D efficiency and reducing pre-validation failure risks [2] - The AI-driven drug discovery market is expected to grow at over 25% annually, reaching $6.3 billion by 2029, with TechBio companies emerging as key players [3] Strategic Agenda 2: Geopolitical Changes and Value Chain Restructuring - Geopolitical risks are prompting CEOs to adapt short-term responses and long-term strategic adjustments, as traditional models of innovation and production are being challenged [14] - China's rise as a biotech powerhouse is reshaping global competition, with significant investments from multinational companies into local R&D centers and partnerships [15] - The U.S. is responding to geopolitical risks with legislative measures and tariffs, creating uncertainty in the biopharmaceutical value chain [17] Strategic Agenda 3: Building a Bidirectional R&D Pipeline - The industry is undergoing a paradigm shift in disease prevention and management, with therapies like GLP-1 and oral PCSK9 inhibitors reshaping treatment approaches [20][21] - Companies must align their strategies with the trend towards proactive health management and ensure their decisions in R&D and market strategies reflect this shift [23] Strategic Agenda 4: Restructuring Talent Systems to Maintain Organizational Effectiveness - The biopharmaceutical industry faces a systemic talent challenge, with traditional workforce models becoming ineffective under current pressures [26] - Companies need to rethink their talent acquisition strategies, focusing on emerging markets and integrating AI into workflows to enhance efficiency [29] - A strategic approach to human resource planning is essential for aligning talent capabilities with business objectives and innovation goals [30] Conclusion - The future will clearly differentiate between industry leaders and followers, with only those companies that act decisively and maintain a clear vision able to thrive in the evolving landscape [31]
科心同映月长满,国盛业兴万家宁
科尔尼管理咨询· 2025-09-30 10:13
Group 1 - The article expresses well wishes for happiness and health during the festive season, emphasizing family unity and joy [2] - The company aims to achieve its goals and contribute positively to the community [1] - The message reflects a commitment to fostering a supportive environment for families and businesses alike [1][2]
科尔尼《全球供应链战略报告》重磅发布 (下):企业供应链战略升级的十大核心策略
科尔尼管理咨询· 2025-09-26 09:40
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the transformation of global supply chain strategies from a focus on efficiency and cost to a balanced approach that includes resilience, efficiency optimization, and sustainable development [3][58]. Group 1: Supply Chain Strategy Transformation - The global supply chain development logic is shifting fundamentally, requiring companies to adopt a top-level strategic design for comprehensive upgrades rather than relying on localized adjustments [3][4]. - Companies face challenges such as regional restructuring, high operational costs, and persistent uncertainties, necessitating a systemic upgrade across the entire supply chain [3][4]. Group 2: Ten Core Strategies for Supply Chain Upgrade - The ten core strategies for upgrading supply chain management are categorized into three main areas: strategic models, tactics and systems, and support systems [6][8]. - Strategic models include balancing lean and resilient supply chains, global supply chain mode combinations, integrated planning platforms, and the art of reserving resources in critical supply chain segments [6][9][15]. - Tactics and systems cover product design driven by supply chain considerations, decentralized procurement across multiple regions, manufacturing network flexibility, and global logistics availability [7][8][42]. - Support systems focus on organizational innovation in supply chains and the establishment of digital command centers to enhance strategy execution efficiency [7][8][56]. Group 3: Implementation Paths and Tools - Companies should establish end-to-end visibility systems to break down data silos and track potential disruptions in the supply chain [11][31]. - Scenario planning is essential for preparing for extreme situations such as geopolitical conflicts or public health emergencies, allowing companies to develop flexible response plans [11][31]. - The article outlines various procurement models, including global technology capture, cost and supply balance, localized agile response, and global price comparison procurement [39][41]. Group 4: Organizational and Technological Innovations - The need for organizational restructuring is highlighted, with a focus on creating agile, resilient, and collaborative supply chain organizations [52][53]. - The digital command center is crucial for transitioning from visibility to actionable insights, enabling companies to predict risks and optimize responses [54][56]. - The article discusses the importance of integrating risk detection, collaborative control, and cost accounting capabilities into supply chain management [54][56]. Group 5: Conclusion - The global supply chain is at a critical transformation point, moving from passive risk management to actively building competitive advantages [58]. - The ten upgrade strategies serve as a dynamic toolbox for companies to achieve multiple objectives, including resilience, efficiency, and sustainability [58].
科尔尼《全球供应链战略报告》重磅发布 (上):洞察全球供应链的十大趋势与挑战
科尔尼管理咨询· 2025-09-25 09:41
Core Insights - The article discusses the transformation of global supply chains from a focus on efficiency and cost to resilience, efficiency optimization, and sustainable development due to geopolitical tensions, technological advancements, and climate crises [3][31]. Group 1: Key Issues in Global Supply Chains - Four core issues are identified in the current global supply chain landscape: structural issues, risk control issues, efficiency issues, and sustainability issues [4][5]. - Structural issues are driven by geopolitical tensions leading to a shift from globalization to regionalization, increasing trade costs and necessitating fundamental adjustments in supply chain layouts [5][10]. - Risk control issues highlight the normalization of vulnerabilities and disruptions, with a significant increase in supply chain interruption events, leading to substantial revenue losses for companies [6][10]. - Efficiency issues arise from rising operational costs and declining collaboration efficiency within supply chains, exacerbated by regionalization and fragmentation [7][10]. - Sustainability issues are characterized by increased pressure for green transformation and compliance costs, as regulations evolve into market entry barriers [8][10]. Group 2: Trends and Challenges - The article outlines ten trends and challenges that are reshaping supply chain dynamics and competitive rules globally [9][10]. - Trend 1 emphasizes the shift towards regionalization and shorter supply chains, with global trade growth entering a plateau phase [10][13]. - Trend 2 discusses the restructuring of value chains within economic regions, with different countries assuming new roles in the value chain [16][18]. - Trend 3 highlights the imbalance in labor and capacity layouts, leading to labor shortages and mismatched production capabilities in emerging markets [18][19]. - Trend 4 focuses on the structural upgrade of Chinese enterprises going abroad, transitioning from traditional exports to more complex models [19][21]. - Trend 5 addresses the increasing uncertainty in global economic policies, which has become a new norm for supply chains [21][23]. - Trend 6 outlines the compounded risks facing global supply chains, including trade policy impacts and labor shortages, leading to systemic disruptions [23][25]. - Trend 7 discusses the dual-edged effects of digitalization and automation technologies on supply chains, enhancing efficiency while introducing new risks [25][26]. - Trend 8 presents the rise of flexible supply chains to adapt to rapid market changes and mitigate risks [26][27]. - Trend 9 highlights the pressures of green transformation and compliance costs as ESG standards become stringent market requirements [27][28]. - Trend 10 points out the differentiation and complexity of ESG standards across regions, creating compliance barriers for businesses [28][30]. Conclusion - The article concludes that the global supply chain is undergoing a critical transformation, necessitating a strategic upgrade for companies to navigate the intertwined challenges and trends effectively [31][32].
社招 I 科尔尼2025全职咨询顾问招募【高级商业分析师】
科尔尼管理咨询· 2025-09-22 09:40
Group 1 - Kearney is a leading global management consulting firm with branches in 40 countries, offering comprehensive consulting services across various industries [3] - The firm focuses on helping clients achieve transformation and upgrade while exploring the potential of each member in their journey of innovation and value creation [3] - Kearney is currently hiring for the position of Senior Business Analyst, targeting candidates with a strong interest in management consulting and a drive for personal and professional growth [3][4] Group 2 - Applicants must have a bachelor's degree or higher, be fluent in both Chinese and English, and possess strong analytical, communication, and problem-solving skills [4] - A minimum of 2.5 years of full-time experience in management consulting is required, with preference given to candidates with international consulting experience [4] - Candidates must be Chinese nationals or hold valid work permits for mainland China [4] Group 3 - Required documents for application include a bilingual resume in PDF format, detailing educational background and full-time work experience [5] - The application process can be initiated by clicking on the provided link to the application website [6]
湍流中的重构(下):金融企业“四化联动”穿越周期之道
科尔尼管理咨询· 2025-09-17 09:41
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the unprecedented challenges faced by Chinese financial enterprises due to macroeconomic adjustments, financial market volatility, and policy misalignment, emphasizing the need for a strategic transformation through the "Four Integration Strategies" to achieve sustainable growth [1][3][24]. Group 1: Challenges and Opportunities - Chinese financial enterprises are encountering significant external pressures, including divergent monetary policies globally and tightening domestic regulations, leading to a shrinking net interest margin and increased risk exposure [1][3]. - The rapid development of financial technologies such as AI, big data, and blockchain presents both challenges and opportunities for financial enterprises to innovate their business models and risk management [1][3]. Group 2: Four Integration Strategies - The "Four Integration Strategies" proposed for financial enterprises include ecological integration, deep industry engagement, batch expansion, and model innovation, which are essential for navigating through economic cycles and building strategic resilience [3][24]. Ecological Integration - Financial institutions should break the limitations of single product offerings by integrating resources and services to create differentiated value propositions, thus enhancing customer loyalty and reducing price sensitivity [5][6]. - A comprehensive resource integration mechanism should be established, linking internal financial services with external industry and technology platforms to form a robust resource network [6][7]. Deep Industry Engagement - Financial enterprises must adopt a deep understanding of industry dynamics to create competitive advantages, transitioning from being mere financial intermediaries to becoming value partners within industries [9][11]. - A thorough industry research approach is necessary to identify genuine opportunities and avoid following trends blindly, ensuring that financial services align with actual market needs [11][13]. Batch Expansion - The strategy of batch expansion focuses on collective customer development and standardized product offerings to meet the dual demands for scale and efficiency in the financial sector [15][16]. - Financial enterprises should leverage industry chain leaders to reach small and medium-sized enterprises effectively, enhancing operational efficiency and reducing costs [17][19]. Model Innovation - Model innovation is crucial for financial enterprises to adapt to market changes, involving innovations in product design, marketing services, and operational management to create a sustainable competitive edge [20][21]. - Emphasizing the integration of environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors into business decisions aligns with the growing trend of sustainable development, enhancing both commercial and social value [21]. Conclusion - The "Four Integration Strategies" are not merely additive but interlinked, creating a comprehensive growth loop that emphasizes ecological foundations, industry core capabilities, batch expansion, and continuous innovation, essential for achieving sustainable growth in the financial sector [24].