经济观察报
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香农芯创股价暴涨背后:存储芯片“批发商”是如何被推上风口的?
经济观察报· 2025-10-27 12:38
Core Viewpoint - The storage chip market is experiencing significant price increases, yet this has not translated into proportional financial performance for Shannon Chip Innovation, which reported a revenue increase but a decline in net profit [2][3]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, Shannon Chip Innovation achieved a revenue of 26.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 59.90%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 359 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 1.36% [2]. Stock Performance - On October 27, 2025, the stock price of Shannon Chip Innovation rose by 4.77%, reaching 133.66 yuan per share, with a cumulative increase of 234% from September 5 to October 27, 2025, compared to a 9.89% increase in the ChiNext Index during the same period [2]. Business Model - The company's revenue is primarily derived from "electronic component distribution," which accounted for 97.03% of total revenue, while its original "reducer business" contributed only 0.93% [5]. - Shannon Chip Innovation operates mainly as a middleman, purchasing from manufacturers like SK Hynix and selling to major clients such as Alibaba and Huacomm [5][6]. Inventory Management - The company employs two procurement models: "order-based procurement" to minimize inventory risks and "stock procurement" based on market demand forecasts [6][7]. - The management indicated that the decline in net profit is due to high margins in the previous year, and current margins are improving on a quarter-over-quarter basis [5][6]. Market Positioning - Shannon Chip Innovation is focusing on self-developed chips and AI computing, with its brand "Haipu Storage" targeting the enterprise SSD market [10][11]. - The company is also involved in a joint venture for AI computing, indicating a strategic shift towards higher value-added services [11][12]. Industry Outlook - The storage chip market is expected to remain strong, with predictions of price increases for DRAM in Q4 2025, driven by supply constraints and rising demand from cloud service providers [16][17]. - Industry leaders express optimism about the semiconductor market in 2026, suggesting a favorable environment for companies like Shannon Chip Innovation [16][18].
【首席观察】CPI降了,金价却跌了,黄金还能买吗?
经济观察报· 2025-10-27 12:29
从百年黄金周期视角观察,其价格驱动逻辑正在从单纯的"避 险资产"转向"多重属性博弈"。 作者: 欧阳晓红 封图:图虫创意 利好数据下,黄金为何下跌? 尚未从"大开大合"的黄金震荡调整中回神的投资者,又遇关税缓和变量。 据新华社消息,当地时间10月25日至26日,中美双方在吉隆坡举行经贸磋商。商务部国际贸易谈判代表兼副部长李成钢在磋商结束后对中外媒体记者 表示,双方就妥善解决彼此关注的多项重要经贸议题达成初步共识,下一步将履行各自国内批准程序。 10月24日,美国公布9月CPI(消费者价格指数)环比增长0.3%,同比增长3%,核心CPI环比降至0.2%,均低于市场预期。这一数据本应强化美联储降 息预期,推升黄金价格,但伦敦现货黄金价格当日不涨反跌,从4124美元/盎司回落至4112美元/盎司。10月27日,伦敦现货黄金价格再次下跌,截至下 午5点,跌幅达1.54%。 与此同时,全球风险资产狂欢。10月24日,A股创业板指上涨3.57%,上证指数站上3950点,美股指数等全线走高,避险资产承压,黄金盘整,美元指 数持平。10月27日,上证指数上涨1.18%,收于3996.94点,离4000点近在咫尺。 资产价格表 ...
中国药促会宋瑞霖:如果手机价格被管控 就不会有今天的华为
经济观察报· 2025-10-27 11:25
Core Viewpoint - The key to the pharmaceutical industry's leap lies in improving market mechanisms, as highlighted by the comparison with successful companies like Huawei and BYD [2]. Group 1: Market Mechanism and International Comparison - The U.S. has successfully attracted significant investments from major pharmaceutical companies by establishing price benchmarks and tariff threats, leading to 60% of their profits coming from the U.S. market [2]. - In contrast, Europe’s social welfare policies have led to a "decentralization" of the pharmaceutical industry, with major companies like Roche and Novartis choosing to launch new drugs in the U.S. due to its larger and more attractive market [2][3]. - China's per capita spending on innovative drugs is significantly lower than that of Japan, with Japan's per capita spending being 24.4 times higher despite having a GDP 3.9 times that of China [3]. Group 2: Challenges in China's Pharmaceutical Industry - China excels in the invention and transformation stages of the pharmaceutical chain but struggles in the commercialization phase, often acting merely as a "project provider" [4]. - The current pricing negotiation process for innovative drugs in China begins with price reductions, unlike the U.S., where there is a stable pricing period post-launch [3]. Group 3: Recommendations for Improvement - The first recommendation is to reform the approval and evaluation mechanisms for innovative drug reimbursement, suggesting a direct connection between drug approval and insurance coverage [5]. - A proposed solution includes allowing innovative drugs to enter the insurance system at the price of similar existing drugs, with subsequent evaluations based on real-world data to adjust reimbursement prices accordingly [6]. - The second recommendation emphasizes the development of commercial health insurance, which could potentially raise significant funds if the middle class participates [6][7]. Group 4: Financial Implications and Social Equity - If 350 million middle-class individuals in China each spend 800 yuan monthly on commercial insurance, it could generate over 3.4 trillion yuan annually, surpassing current health insurance funding [7]. - Concerns about commercial insurance benefiting only the wealthy are addressed by comparing it to private cars versus public transport, suggesting that it could enhance basic medical coverage for those in greater need [7]. - Achieving reimbursement levels similar to Japan could position the pharmaceutical industry as a true economic pillar, allowing companies to contribute more in taxes and better support public welfare [7].
万字专访许纪霖:“我爽就行”的年轻人,还要精神导师吗?
经济观察报· 2025-10-27 10:24
Core Viewpoint - The task of intellectuals today may no longer be to "illuminate" but to "approach," with "empathic enlightenment" replacing "overlooking guidance" [3][29] Group 1: Understanding Youth Culture - The focus on youth culture stems from personal experiences as a father and teacher, leading to an understanding that youth culture is not just consumer labels but a generational worldview [2][6] - Young people are highly sensitive to emotional nuances and resist being guided, yet they do not reject understanding [3][11] - The current generation exhibits a preference for "light assets" and functional relationships, reflecting a fear of deep emotional investment [11][12] Group 2: Emotional Needs of the Youth - The core emotional demands of young people are "understanding" and "companionship," contrasting with the previous generation's authoritative teaching style [25][32] - Young individuals often seek a sense of "rescue" and connection, which is evident in their relationships with idols and peers [31][26] - The phenomenon of idol worship has evolved into a deeper emotional connection, where fans feel they grow alongside their idols [26][27] Group 3: The Role of Intellectuals - Intellectuals are encouraged to adopt a more empathetic approach rather than a prescriptive one, recognizing the need for mutual understanding between generations [3][39] - The role of knowledge providers is shifting towards being facilitators of dialogue rather than authoritative figures [38][39] - There is a recognition that traditional knowledge frameworks must adapt to contemporary realities, including the rise of platform-based intellectuals [40][41]
和平统一有“七好”,“台独”统统不接受
经济观察报· 2025-10-27 10:24
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the reckless actions of Lai Ching-te's administration in Taiwan, highlighting their rejection of China's proposals for peaceful unification and their provocative stance towards the One China principle [2][12]. Group 1: Mainland China's Position - On October 25, a conference commemorating the 80th anniversary of Taiwan's liberation was held, where mainland China emphasized seven benefits of peaceful unification for Taiwan, including better economic development, energy supply, infrastructure, security, diplomatic relations, and improved living standards for Taiwanese people [4]. - The article suggests that if unification were to occur, Taiwan would gain significantly more than just the stated "seven benefits" [4]. Group 2: Taiwan's Response - Lai Ching-te's administration and pro-independence forces in Taiwan have completely rejected mainland China's outlook on unification, with the Taiwan People's Party sarcastically thanking China for its concern while asserting that "no China is better" [5][6]. - The Mainland Affairs Council of Taiwan reiterated that the Republic of China and the People's Republic of China are not subordinate to each other and dismissed the benefits proposed by China as attempts to lure Taiwan into unification [6]. Group 3: Escalation of Tensions - The article notes that Lai Ching-te's administration has responded to mainland China's military displays and calls for peaceful unification with a hardline stance, including a commitment to never surrender in the event of a conflict and plans to increase Taiwan's defense budget significantly [7][8]. - Following the mainland's proposals, Lai Ching-te's administration has continued to take actions that escalate tensions, such as sentencing a retired military officer who advocated for unification to a lengthy prison term [9]. Group 4: International Perspective - The article references a piece from the U.S. think tank Defense Priorities, which criticized Lai Ching-te as a reckless leader, indicating that even international observers are concerned about his administration's approach [10]. - A significant report in Time magazine highlighted the looming threat of conflict over Taiwan, further emphasizing the precarious situation [11].
商用车从“油改电”向原生纯电升级
经济观察报· 2025-10-27 10:24
Core Viewpoint - The commercial vehicle industry is experiencing a shift towards new energy vehicles (NEVs), driven by both policy and market forces, with significant competition emerging among leading companies like Foton and Yutong, as well as new entrants like Farizon New Energy [2][3]. Group 1: Market Trends - The penetration rate of NEVs in the commercial vehicle market is expected to exceed 10% in 2024, marking a critical transition from early adoption to mainstream acceptance [2]. - It is projected that NEV sales in the commercial vehicle sector will reach 940,000 units this year, with a penetration rate increase of 11.8 percentage points to 23% [2]. Group 2: Competitive Landscape - Foton and other leading companies are accelerating the development of new technologies and products to address rising operational costs and shrinking profit margins in the light truck market, which holds about 40% of the commercial vehicle market share [2][3]. - Foton's new electric light truck platform, "Qimingxing," was unveiled at a product launch event, emphasizing the need for original development rather than transitional technologies [3]. Group 3: Technological Innovations - The "Qimingxing" platform features innovative technologies, including a central distributed drive architecture with a total efficiency of 95.7%, and an integrated electronic architecture that supports advanced driving capabilities [3]. - Foton aims to launch a pure electric heavy truck platform by 2026, creating a comprehensive product matrix for NEVs in the commercial vehicle sector [3]. Group 4: Industry Performance - In September, China's NEV light truck sales reached 16,600 units, a year-on-year increase of 60%, with total sales from January to September amounting to 122,000 units, up 88% [4]. - Farizon New Energy led the NEV light truck market with sales of 24,933 units, followed closely by Foton with 21,153 units [4].
惠民保十年启示:让市场的部分归市场
经济观察报· 2025-10-27 10:24
Core Insights - The article discusses the challenges faced by Huiminbao, a type of supplementary health insurance in China, which cannot freely price or manage risks like commercial insurance, nor can it enforce participation and provide fiscal backing like social insurance [1][2]. Group 1: Market Trends - Huiminbao, introduced in Shenzhen in 2015 and expanded nationwide in 2020, is currently in a market adjustment phase, with the proportion of operational products decreasing from 74.3% in 2023-2024 to 66.78%, and further to 65.54% in 2024-2025 [2]. - As of July 2023, there are 313 Huiminbao products with over 171 million participants, highlighting its role in alleviating high out-of-pocket medical expenses [2][3]. Group 2: Challenges and Risks - The average participation rate for 53 publicly available Huiminbao products in 2023 was only 18.9%, significantly below the critical threshold of 70%-80% needed for effective risk dispersion [3]. - Many Huiminbao projects are facing a "death spiral" due to low participation rates and high claim thresholds, with some regions requiring a payout rate of 80%, leading to increased financial strain on these programs [3][4]. Group 3: Strategies for Improvement - To enhance participation rates, some regions have expanded eligibility to flexible employment groups and allowed the use of personal medical account balances for payments, although these measures may face diminishing returns [4]. - Insurance companies are encouraged to transition towards health management service providers, utilizing data analytics for better risk management and offering value-added services to increase user engagement [5]. Group 4: Future Directions - The article suggests that the government should focus on long-term institutional support rather than short-term interventions, allowing the market to operate more freely while enhancing the role of commercial insurers in Huiminbao projects [4][5]. - There is a call for greater clarity in coverage responsibilities, improved pricing models based on demographic factors, and a reduction in product homogeneity to restore consumer confidence and industry reputation [4][5].
数据对不上,税务部门提醒部分平台商户更正错误涉税申报
经济观察报· 2025-10-27 08:16
据了解,平台内超过九成的经营者都是中小微企业,在现行一系列税收优惠政策支持下,其所需缴 纳的税款较少或者基本不用缴纳。本次税务部门发送服务提醒的对象,主要是今年第三季度自行申 报收入与平台报送收入差额达到一定金额以上的少数平台内经营者,对平台内中小微企业基本没有 影响。 按照国务院今年6月发布的《互联网平台企业涉税信息报送规定》要求,10月1日起,平台企业首 次向税务部门报送平台内经营者和从业人员的身份信息和收入信息。 中国政法大学财税法研究中心主任施正文表示,按照税法规定,增值税纳税义务发生时间为收讫销 售款项或者取得销售款项索取凭据的当日;先开具发票的,为开具发票的当日。平台内经营者应当 据此如实申报线上和线下发生应税交易取得的全部价款。 税务部门提醒,平台内经营者如收到合规申报提醒,应当及时 核对其在各平台及线下取得的收入,确认是否存在少申报情 况。如属申报错误,需及时依法更正申报,以避免产生滞纳 金。 作者: 杜涛 封图:图虫创意 10月27日,经济观察报从税务部门获悉,截至目前已有6500多家平台报送了相关涉税信息,超过 应报送平台总数的95%。 记者了解到,为帮助平台内经营者防范化解涉税风险,对少 ...
主权财富基金投资模式谋变
经济观察报· 2025-10-26 05:27
Core Viewpoint - Sovereign wealth funds are exploring new paths to balance long-term financial investments with diverse development goals in a complex global environment [4][3]. Investment Trends - The global sovereign wealth fund asset management scale has increased from $3 trillion during the 2008 financial crisis to approximately $13 trillion currently, with the number of funds growing from fewer than 30 to over 100 [3]. - There has been a significant shift in investment strategies, with a growing emphasis on alternative assets such as private equity, infrastructure, and commodities, reflecting a pursuit of excess returns and an increased risk tolerance [3]. ESG Integration - Sovereign wealth funds are increasingly incorporating ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) factors into their investment decision-making frameworks, actively investing in clean energy, energy efficiency, and environmental protection [4]. - Investments in renewable energy by sovereign wealth funds have exceeded traditional oil and gas investments for three consecutive years [4]. Changes in Funding Sources - The funding sources for sovereign wealth funds, particularly those from oil-producing countries, have shifted from primarily relying on revenues from oil and gas exports to include foreign exchange reserves, fiscal surpluses, and state-owned asset returns [7]. - The roles of these funds have evolved to include supporting national development needs, promoting industrial transformation, and facilitating technological innovation [7]. Enhanced Investment Capabilities - Sovereign wealth funds are increasing their self-managed investment proportions, with self-managed public market stock investments rising from 34% to 54% and private equity direct investments from 28% to 50% [8]. Investment Challenges - Gaining investment from sovereign wealth funds is challenging, as they conduct thorough due diligence, focusing on team stability, past performance, investment strategy execution, and compliance with international standards [11]. - There is a growing emphasis on aligning ESG principles between Chinese enterprises and sovereign wealth funds, which may have differing expectations regarding environmental standards [12]. New Collaborative Investment Models - Sovereign wealth funds are evolving from traditional joint investments to deeper strategic collaborations, including partnerships with other sovereign wealth funds and private entities [15]. - The focus is shifting towards building a technology ecosystem through systematic investments across the technology supply chain, from research and development to application [15]. Role Transition of Sovereign Wealth Funds - Some sovereign wealth funds are transitioning from being mere limited partners (LPs) to becoming general partners (GPs) in investment management, seeking to guide their investments actively [16]. - For instance, the Abu Dhabi Investment Authority made a strategic investment of $1.5 billion in the logistics investment and management firm Prologis, indicating a desire to influence investment directions in national infrastructure projects [16].
车企“偷换”电池背后:产能不足还是另有隐情
经济观察报· 2025-10-26 05:27
Core Viewpoint - The recent battery supplier changes by automotive companies reflect consumer concerns about the protection of their rights and interests in the context of battery supply shortages [2][4]. Group 1: Battery Supplier Changes - Two automotive brands, SAIC MG and Zhijie, have recently switched their battery suppliers to CATL due to reported production capacity shortages from their original suppliers [4][5]. - The MG4 model, which was initially set to use Ruipulan batteries, has now been equipped with CATL batteries to meet delivery commitments [5]. - The change in battery suppliers has raised questions about whether automotive companies can freely switch batteries without proper notification or approval [8][9]. Group 2: Industry Trends and Capacity Issues - The battery industry is currently facing structural capacity issues, with an oversupply of certain types of batteries while high-performance batteries remain in short supply [11][12]. - The rapid expansion of battery production capacity since 2016 has led to a significant mismatch between planned capacity and actual market demand, resulting in a surplus of low-end battery production [12]. - The emergence of the energy storage market has created new dynamics, with increased demand for energy storage batteries leading to a unique supply chain challenge [13][14]. Group 3: Market and Policy Influences - Recent policy changes, such as the new regulations on lithium-ion battery production capacity utilization rates, are influencing the operational strategies of battery manufacturers [14][15]. - The shift towards larger battery sizes and fast-charging technologies is posing challenges for manufacturers, requiring adjustments in production lines and technology [13][15]. - The recent export controls on lithium batteries and related materials are creating uncertainty in the market, prompting companies to adapt their strategies accordingly [16].