经济观察报
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这类保险产品,结算利率超4%
经济观察报· 2026-02-06 11:22
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the rising interest in exclusive commercial pension insurance products due to their attractive settlement interest rates, with over 80% of the products showing rates above 3% and some reaching as high as 4.55% for aggressive accounts [4][6]. Group 1: Product Performance - Recent data shows that among 39 exclusive commercial pension insurance products, more than 80% have settlement interest rates above 3%, with some aggressive accounts achieving rates of 4.55% [4][6]. - The average settlement interest rate for these products has shown a downward trend over the past five years, but there is a slight recovery expected in 2025, with rates projected to rise to 3.4% from 3.30% in 2024 [9]. Group 2: Investment Structure - Exclusive commercial pension insurance products are designed to cater to diverse retirement needs, particularly for new economy workers and flexible employment individuals, featuring a dual-account model with stable and aggressive investment options [6][8]. - The stable account primarily invests in fixed-income assets, providing a higher guaranteed interest rate, while the aggressive account allocates a higher proportion to equity assets, offering greater potential returns [6][9]. Group 3: Market Trends - The article notes a "migration" of resident savings towards various financial products, including bank wealth management, insurance, index funds, and the stock market, driven by the expiration of large deposits and a declining interest rate environment [4][6]. - The exclusive commercial pension insurance products were first piloted in 2021 and expanded nationwide in March 2022, indicating a growing market presence and increasing product offerings [8][9]. Group 4: Consumer Insights - A case study of a consumer, Mr. Zhang, illustrates the appeal of these products, as he invested in a specific exclusive commercial pension insurance product with a settlement interest rate of 4.01% for the stable account [6][11]. - Despite the attractive rates, consumers like Mr. Zhang express concerns about the long-term commitment required for these products, balancing their investment with the need for liquidity due to other financial obligations [11][12].
警告!1.7亿吨铁矿石,正“绑架”中国钢厂
经济观察报· 2026-02-06 08:05
Core Viewpoint - The iron ore market is experiencing an unusual "reverse game" characterized by high prices and record inventories, leading to a complex interplay between supply and demand dynamics [2][3][5]. Inventory Situation - As of February 5, 2026, iron ore inventories at 45 major ports in China reached 170.22 million tons, with 47 ports totaling 177.58 million tons, both surpassing the 170 million ton mark and hitting a two-year high [3][4]. - The inventory increase is attributed to stable supply from major global mines and a seasonal slowdown in demand as steel mills prepare for the upcoming Spring Festival [8]. Price Dynamics - The price of 62% Australian iron ore remained high at $102.70 per ton as of February 5, 2026, despite the high inventory levels [2]. - The market is characterized by a standoff where buyers are reluctant to purchase at high prices due to the inventory situation, while sellers, particularly those with higher-cost inventory, are hesitant to sell at lower prices [12][24]. Steel Mills' Strategies - Steel mills are facing pressure to manage procurement carefully, balancing the risk of inventory devaluation against the need to ensure raw material availability during production [14][15]. - The procurement strategies have shifted towards risk management, utilizing long-term contracts and futures to stabilize costs and mitigate price volatility [16][18]. Market Outlook - The iron ore market is expected to experience a phase of supply surplus, particularly in the second half of 2026, as new capacities come online, which may limit price increases [20]. - The interplay between steel mill production rates and inventory replenishment will significantly influence short-term price movements, with expectations of price fluctuations rather than a clear upward trend [25].
20多家游戏公司年终发黄金
经济观察报· 2026-02-05 14:00
今年已经有22家游戏公司把黄金当成年终奖励。游戏公司发黄 金背后,是行业整体回暖。 作者:任晓宁 封图:图虫创意 1月30日,等着看年会线上演出的沐瞳科技员工小决(化名)开场便收到惊喜。公司CEO宣布, 给每位员工发一条5克黄金手链作为全员奖。按照当天1685元/克的首饰金价格,这条手链价值 8425元。 不止是沐瞳科技,据经济观察报不完全统计,今年已经有22家游戏公司把黄金当成年终奖励。 游戏公司发黄金背后,是行业整体回暖。2025年中国游戏市场收入3507.89亿元,同比增长 7.68%;用户规模6.83亿,同比增长1.35%,两项数据均创历史新高。多家游戏上市公司在2025 年度业绩预告中宣布扭亏为盈。 要发就发硬通货 一家上海游戏公司的HR告诉记者,年会发黄金是老板的决定。之前他们年会以数码产品为主,比 如显卡、电脑、手机三件套,或是游戏机、无人机、耳机等,从未发过黄金。 黄金在2025年受到游戏公司青睐,与金价暴涨走势有关。2025年黄金价格屡次刷新历史纪录,成 为全民疯抢的理财产品。在这种环境下发黄金,能给员工提供一种额外的情绪价值。 小决说,公司年会发的黄金手链是与周大福定制的,不仅保值,日常也 ...
心理咨询室挤满大学生
经济观察报· 2026-02-05 12:58
Core Insights - The article highlights a significant increase in mental health issues among university students, with a 60% rise in psychological counseling requests in one institution alone, indicating a broader trend across multiple universities [3][13] - The underlying causes of these mental health challenges are linked to high academic pressure, lack of social skills, and inadequate support systems during formative years [9][19] Group 1: Mental Health Trends - In 2025, among over 200 students managed by a counselor, 7 reported suicidal thoughts, attributed to academic stress, relationship issues, and roommate conflicts [2][3] - A key university in Jiangsu reported a 30% increase in psychological counseling requests from 2019 to 2025, outpacing enrollment growth [3] Group 2: Social Skills and Communication - Many students lack basic social skills, often avoiding direct communication with roommates, leading to conflicts that escalate to requests for room changes or even police involvement [5][6] - Students exhibit a tendency to feel overwhelmed by peer pressure, leading to feelings of inadequacy and jealousy, which further exacerbates mental health issues [7][9] Group 3: Family Influence and Background - A significant number of students diagnosed with mental health disorders come from high-pressure family environments, often referred to as "tiger parents," which contributes to their struggles in university [9][10] - The article discusses individual cases, such as a student who faced severe familial expectations and violence, leading to long-term psychological issues [10][11] Group 4: Resource Allocation and Professional Support - The demand for psychological counseling in universities has outstripped available resources, with some students facing long wait times for appointments [13][14] - There is a noted shortage of qualified mental health professionals in educational institutions, leading to increased pressure on existing staff [13][14] Group 5: Stigma and Acceptance of Mental Health Issues - There is a growing acceptance of mental health issues among students, with more individuals seeking help compared to previous years, indicating a shift in societal attitudes [20] - The article emphasizes the importance of emotional intelligence and interpersonal skills in preventing mental health issues, suggesting that current educational systems focus too heavily on academic performance [19][20]
期末考试分数不公布,就不卷了吗
经济观察报· 2026-02-05 11:47
Core Viewpoint - The anxiety surrounding education has not been eliminated but merely postponed, as the evaluation system based on scores remains unchanged for high school entrance exams and college entrance exams, leading to potential gaps in students' academic and psychological readiness [1][4]. Group 1: Parental Concerns - Parents in various regions, including Sichuan, are expressing confusion over the lack of specific scores in exams, feeling that without concrete numbers, they cannot accurately assess their children's learning progress [2]. - The policy of not publishing scores is seen as a way to alleviate anxiety and reduce competition, but many parents question its effectiveness, especially in light of the rigid selection process for high school and college [3][4]. Group 2: Educational System and Social Anxiety - The current educational policies reflect a broader societal anxiety, where parents extend their competitive pressures onto their children's education, hoping for a pathway to a more comfortable future through prestigious universities and jobs [4]. - The ultimate solution may lie in creating a society where all types of work are respected and can provide a decent living, thus reducing the pressure on education as a means to achieve success [4]. Group 3: The Role of Scores - Scores are not inherently negative; they serve as a neutral metric for assessing learning outcomes, and students have the right to know their scores to evaluate their knowledge [5]. - The real pressure comes from external judgments associated with scores, rather than the scores themselves, highlighting the need for a shift in how scores are perceived and discussed [5]. Group 4: Balanced Approach to Evaluation - A more nuanced approach to handling exam results is suggested, advocating for differentiated strategies based on educational stages, such as descriptive evaluations in early grades and gradually increasing score transparency in higher grades [6]. - The deeper solution involves broadening the definition of success and allowing for a more relaxed educational environment, free from the burdens of excessive competition [6].
领先一步的先导智能
经济观察报· 2026-02-05 10:54
Core Viewpoint - The company, XianDao Intelligent, is expected to achieve a significant increase in net profit for 2025, projecting between 1.5 billion to 1.8 billion yuan, representing a growth of 424.29% to 529.15% year-on-year, which defies the prevailing industry trend of "increased revenue without increased profit" [1][3][4]. Group 1: Industry Context - The past two years in the new energy sector have been characterized by intense competition and overcapacity, leading to price declines and pressure on profits, even for leading companies [2]. - Equipment manufacturers, particularly those in the upstream supply chain, face greater volatility as clients reduce spending and slow down expansion [2]. Group 2: Company Performance - XianDao Intelligent's performance forecast indicates a V-shaped recovery in 2025, with a notable increase in quarterly profits and positive cash flow, contrasting with the industry's general order delays and acceptance slowdowns in 2024 [5]. - The company has successfully broken the stereotype of the equipment industry by focusing on R&D and expanding its sales network internationally, rather than engaging in domestic price wars [4][5]. Group 3: Technological Advancements - The company has invested significantly in R&D, with 1.671 billion yuan allocated in recent years, resulting in a research expense ratio of 14.1%, which is notably high for the equipment industry [10]. - XianDao Intelligent has developed the LEADACE platform, which utilizes AI to enhance defect detection accuracy in battery manufacturing, achieving a classification accuracy of over 95% and reducing material waste significantly [12][13]. - The introduction of digital twin technology allows the company to create virtual factories, improving equipment delivery efficiency by 50% and overall equipment effectiveness by 35% [14]. Group 4: Next-Generation Technology Positioning - The company has proactively developed processes for next-generation solid-state batteries, establishing a complete set of manufacturing techniques with 100% proprietary intellectual property [15][23]. - XianDao Intelligent has delivered the world's first automotive-grade solid-state battery production line, addressing critical manufacturing challenges and entering the supply chains of leading global battery manufacturers [16][24]. - The company’s equipment for dry electrode production has been validated to reduce production energy consumption by over 35% and overall manufacturing costs by more than 15% [20]. Group 5: Strategic Global Positioning - The decision to pursue a listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange is aimed at attracting long-term international capital and enhancing the company's global credibility [26][27]. - The company’s history reflects a strategic alignment with industry trends, allowing it to adapt and expand its business across various sectors, including logistics systems and 3C intelligent equipment, contributing to its revenue diversification [29].
业绩暴增,投资者焦虑喊话:券商股为啥不涨?
经济观察报· 2026-02-05 10:54
Core Viewpoint - Despite the positive earnings forecasts from 28 brokerage firms, investor anxiety persists as stock prices continue to decline even with increasing profits [1][2]. Group 1: Earnings Performance - As of February 4, 2026, 29 brokerage firms have reported significant earnings growth, with CITIC Securities achieving a net profit exceeding 30 billion yuan, setting a new industry record [2][6]. - The overall performance of the brokerage sector has been lackluster, with the CSI Securities Index showing a year-to-date decline of 1.83%, underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index, which rose by 3.36% [2][11]. - Notably, the net profit of Guolian Minsheng surged by 406%, highlighting the disparity in performance among different firms [2][7]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - On February 2, 2026, while the A-share market experienced a pullback, brokerage stocks also dipped, but on February 3, they continued to decline despite a market rebound [3][4]. - The CSI Securities Index saw a collective rise on February 4, with all 49 constituent stocks closing in the green, indicating a potential recovery in sentiment [4][5]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Analysts predict that the brokerage sector will experience a significant earnings growth of approximately 46% in 2025, driven by improved market conditions and policy benefits [8][9]. - The brokerage industry's profitability is expected to be bolstered by three main factors: improved market conditions, optimized business structures, and ongoing policy support [9][12]. - Current valuations of brokerage stocks are considered low, with a price-to-book ratio of 1.36, suggesting potential for recovery as the sector enters a new growth cycle [11][12].
保护“吹哨人”就是保护民营经济
经济观察报· 2026-02-05 10:54
Group 1 - The healthy development of the private economy relies on a fair competitive market environment under the rule of law, with internal corruption being a significant threat to this environment [1][27] - Protecting whistleblowers and encouraging insiders to bravely expose illegal activities is crucial for breaking the corruption black box and achieving a combination of corporate self-purification and social supervision [1][27] - The new regulations by the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) significantly increase the maximum reward for whistleblowers to one million yuan, marking a notable shift in the capital market's focus [2][4] Group 2 - The increase in reward limits and proportions aims to address the previous inadequacies in incentivizing whistleblowers, as evidenced by only eight publicly rewarded cases in the past twelve years [4][9] - The U.S. whistleblower protection framework, established post-Enron and the 2008 financial crisis, offers a contrasting model with a profit-sharing approach and open reward limits, highlighting a difference in institutional philosophy [5][6] Group 3 - The new regulations show progress in protecting whistleblowers, including anonymous management of identities and prohibiting retaliation against whistleblowers, but the effectiveness of these principles in practice remains to be seen [5][12] - The challenges of ensuring confidentiality and preventing soft retaliation against whistleblowers are significant, particularly in tightly-knit organizational cultures [11][12] Group 4 - The practical implementation of the new regulations faces obstacles, such as the high evidence threshold for whistleblowers and the lack of feedback on the status of their reports, which may discourage future cooperation [13][10] - Future improvements could include higher-level legislative protections, the establishment of an independent whistleblower reward fund, and detailed operational guidelines for handling whistleblower reports [14][19] Group 5 - The conflict between whistleblowing and the protection of trade secrets poses a dilemma for potential whistleblowers, as revealing internal documents may lead to legal repercussions [16][18] - Establishing a clear legal framework for whistleblower immunity regarding trade secrets is essential for encouraging reporting of illegal activities without fear of retaliation [19][20] Group 6 - The fight against internal corruption in private enterprises has evolved into a comprehensive effort to build a sustainable governance system, emphasizing proactive prevention rather than reactive punishment [22][25] - Companies like Tencent demonstrate effective anti-corruption practices through clear guidelines, protected reporting channels, and technology-driven risk monitoring, creating a supportive environment for whistleblowers [22][23][24] Group 7 - The future of the whistleblower system in China requires collaboration among legislative, regulatory, and corporate entities to enhance legal frameworks, ensure the fulfillment of protection promises, and integrate whistleblower protection into corporate culture [29][28]
港股惊现“合作打新”:“账户借出去,赚了平分,亏损有人兜底?”
经济观察报· 2026-02-05 10:54
2025年,港股IPO市场回暖,打新收益走高,但中签率却越来 越低。于是,就有人以"亏了兜底、赚了平分"为诱饵招募合作 打新,以提升港股中签概率。当然,这种看似诱人的合作打新 背后也暗藏多重法律风险。 作者:老盈盈 封图:图虫创意 最近,小海一位有多年股票投资经验的大学同学问她,是否有兴趣一起合作港股打新。经这位同学 介绍,小海才了解到有些人会通过操作多账户申购的方式进行港股打新,从而提高中签率。而她的 这位同学手里就有十几个账户在同时操作,所以才想拉小海一起,让小海开通香港证券账户并出 资,由这位同学来实际操作,并约定如果中签盈利了就和小海对半分,如果出现了亏损则由这位朋 友兜底。 但小海本身不炒股票,平时只买些指数基金,也没接触过港股打新,且认为上述过程会涉及个人隐 私信息,就没有答应。但小海也了解到,她的这位同学已经找过不少昔日的同学希望合作,大部分 人也都没有答应,而其手头上掌握的这些账户,都是身边的亲戚朋友帮忙开立的。 2025年以来,港股IPO市场显著回暖,破发率大幅降低。华泰证券的相关研报数据显示,港股IPO 打新收益率明显上升,2025年港股IPO开盘的平均收益率约40%,破发率降至28%的历 ...
多省下调2026年GDP增速目标意味着什么
经济观察报· 2026-02-05 07:38
从更长远视角看,调整GDP增速目标可能意味着更务实的政绩 观的建立。2026年开年以来,从中央到地方的多次会议均强 调"树立正确的政绩观"。 作者:田进 封图:图虫创意 据经济观察报《 多个经济大省下调2026年GDP增速目标 》报道,在GDP总量排名前十的经济省 份中,6省下调了2026年增速目标数值,2省虽未调整数值但措辞趋于审慎,只有山东、上海维持 增长目标。 经济大省是全国经济发展的"发动机"和"压舱石",这一轮广泛而同步的目标调整可能释放了这样 的信息:一方面,地方政府开始以更加积极务实的态度追求经济增长。另一方面,在"量的合理增 长"之外,各地开始加强对"质的有效提升"的关注。 经济大省的GDP增速绝大多数时候都超过全国平均水平,但由于此前自身设置的目标较高,实际 增速不达预期的现象屡有出现。2025年年底举行的中央经济工作会议提出"要坚持积极务实的目 标导向",从这个角度看,适度调整经济增速目标设置,正是"务实"态度的体现。 保险公司干不好宠物险:医院太乱 从现实角度看,2025年消费、投资增速的走势反映出新的一年中国经济依旧面临一定挑战。设定 审慎务实的GDP增速目标,有助于防止地方政府不切实 ...