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偏债混合基金的“遇冷一日”
经济观察报· 2025-11-04 12:20
在市场利率持续下行的今天,被市场视为"进可攻、退可守"、 承接投资者稳健理财需求转型的偏债混合型基金,理论上应是 投资者追捧的对象。然而,两家基金公司同日发布的两则公 告,却为这一热门赛道泼了一盆冷水。 作者: 洪小棠 封图:图虫创意 在市场利率持续下行的今天,被市场视为"进可攻、退可守"、承接投资者稳健理财需求转型的偏债混合型 基金,理论上应是投资者追捧的对象。然而,两家基金公司同日发布的两则公告,却为这一热门赛道泼了 一盆冷水。 2025年11月4日,申万菱信基金与中加基金发布公告,前者宣布旗下正在发行的申万菱信宁通六个月持有 期混合型基金延长募集期,后者则计划召开持有人大会,审议关于终止中加邮益一年持有期混合型基金合 同的事项。 这两只基金同为偏债混合型产品。同日发生的两起"冷遇"事件,或映射出偏债混合基金在理论光环之下, 正在新发与存续两个维度面临严峻考验。 新发延期与存续清盘 当前的市场环境,从理论上看,本应是偏债混合型基金发展的沃土。市场利率持续处于低位,使得货币基 金、纯债基金等传统稳健型产品的收益率吸引力大不如前,而权益市场赚钱效应显著,投资者对收益有了 更高的期望。 偏债混合型基金通常将大部 ...
伊利前三季度营收 905.64 亿元,扣非净利首超百亿
经济观察报· 2025-11-04 10:47
前三季度,伊利股份实现营业总收入905.64亿元,同比增长 1.71%;扣非归母净利润首超百亿,达101.03亿元,同比增 长18.73%,经营业绩韧性向上,势头稳健。同期,伊利发布 中期分红预案,拟派发现金红利总额为30.36亿元。 作者: 冯科瀚 封图:图片资料室 伊利股份 于近日发布的 2025 年前三季度业绩报告,向行业再次展示了品类均衡布局、培育创新增长线带来的稳步增长。 财报显示,前三季度伊利 实现营业总收入 905.64 亿元,同比增长 1.71% ;扣非归母净利润首超百亿,达 101.03 亿元,同比增长 18.73% 。 与此同时,伊利 发布中期分红预案,拟派发现金红利总额为 30.36 亿元。 据悉, 自上市以来,伊利已累计实施 25 次分红,分红总额高达 585.66 亿元,连续 6 年分红比率超过 70% 。 奶粉、冷饮、奶酪的新看点 伊利的强者愈强,源于极具韧性的 " 均衡系统 " 。不同于依赖单一品类的传统乳企,伊利的全品类均衡布局不断进阶,在液体乳、冷饮等业务稳居行 业领先的同时,也在关键战略品类上持续实现突破。 其中 ,前三季度伊利的液体乳实现营收 549.39 亿元,作为该公 ...
“失速”与“领跑”:“达链”公司的股价“见顶”了吗?
经济观察报· 2025-11-04 08:38
Core Viewpoint - The performance of "Dachain" companies shows a mixed picture, with some experiencing significant year-on-year profit growth while facing sequential declines, raising questions about whether this is a temporary adjustment or a sign of peak industry conditions driven by AI demand [2][3][4]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q3, several "Dachain" companies reported impressive year-on-year profit growth: Shenghong Technology (300476.SZ) up 260.52%, Xinyi Technology (300502.SZ) up 205.38%, Zhongji Xuchuang (300308.SZ) up 124.98%, and Industrial Fulian (601138.SH) up 62.04% [3]. - Despite strong year-on-year growth, the market reacted negatively, with significant stock price declines for many companies, including a combined market value loss of over 140 billion yuan for leading firms in the optical module segment [3][4]. - Sequentially, Shenghong Technology's net profit fell by 9.88%, Xinyi's revenue decreased by 4.97%, and Tianfu Communication's revenue dropped by 3.18% [4][6]. Group 2: Industry Dynamics - The PCB segment, crucial for AI servers, is showing signs of pressure, with Shenghong Technology citing product upgrades and increased labor costs as reasons for its sequential decline [6][7]. - New Yisheng experienced its first sequential revenue drop after nine consecutive quarters of growth, attributed to changes in product shipment schedules [7]. - The liquid cooling segment, led by Yingweike, also faced sequential declines, with revenue down 11.44% in Q3 [8]. Group 3: Market Trends and Future Outlook - Zhongji Xuchuang and Industrial Fulian emerged as leaders, with Zhongji's net profit up 124.98% and Industrial Fulian's net profit surpassing 10 billion yuan for the first time [8][9]. - The demand for 800G optical modules is expected to continue growing, with significant orders anticipated for next-generation 1.6T products [9][10]. - The industry is witnessing a shift towards "Scale-up" scenarios, where high bandwidth connections between GPUs are becoming critical for AI model training [10]. Group 4: Inventory and Financial Pressure - Companies are facing financial pressure due to increased inventory levels, with Industrial Fulian's inventory rising to 164.66 billion yuan, leading to higher short-term borrowings [12][13]. - New Yisheng reported a significant increase in asset impairment losses due to rising inventory write-downs, indicating potential financial risks [13]. Group 5: Shareholder Behavior - There has been a notable increase in shareholding among retail investors, while major shareholders and executives have begun to reduce their stakes, indicating a potential shift in market sentiment [14]. - The number of shareholders for New Yisheng surged by 58.46% to 155,300, reflecting growing retail interest in the sector [14]. Group 6: Market Projections - TrendForce analysts predict a 20% increase in global AI server shipments in 2026, with a significant rise in the value of AI servers driven by higher-priced integrated solutions [15]. - The growth rate of ASIC chip shipments is expected to surpass that of GPUs, potentially impacting Nvidia's market share [15].
重组支付出现新方案 *ST宇顺加快并表标的进程
经济观察报· 2025-11-04 02:02
回顾本次交易,*ST宇顺拟以支付现金方式33.5亿元购买中恩云(北京)数据科技有限公司等3家 公司100%股权。此前,*ST宇顺已根据协议支付了第一期暂存交易价款3.35亿元。 按照原本的安排,在标的公司解除在中信银行的股权质押前提下,*ST宇顺应于10月31日前,将第 二期暂存交易价款30.15亿元支付至监管账户。 根据现有规则,*ST宇顺可能凭借本次收购提前"摘帽脱星", 而非须等到明年的年报披露季。 作者: 黄一帆 封图:图虫创意 自*ST宇顺(002289.SZ)重大资产重组事项获得股东会通过后,市场最为关心的问题就是股权对 价付款的进度。*ST宇顺付款节奏的快慢,直接决定了标的股权交割的时间,从而最终影响并表的 时点。 11月3日,*ST宇顺公告称,当天董事会召开紧急会议,经审议,同意与交易对手签订《支付现金 购买资产协议之备忘录》(以下简称"《备忘录》")并生效。该《备忘录》延长了第二期暂存交易 价款支付期限至2025年11月25日,明确债权债务处理等事项。 但实际上,投资者在10月31日原定付款期限前并未等来付款成功的消息。"从此前公司披露的协 议,可能是中恩云的股权解押环节出了问题。"一位投资 ...
财政部债务司成立 改变政府债务多头管理现状
经济观察报· 2025-11-03 14:30
Core Viewpoint - The establishment of the Debt Management Division within the Ministry of Finance is a significant optimization of China's government debt management system, addressing issues of multi-head management and enhancing efficiency in local fiscal management [1][5]. Group 1: Establishment and Structure - The Debt Management Division has been officially included in the Ministry of Finance's organizational structure, consisting of six departments: Comprehensive Department, Central Debt Department, Local Debt Department I, Local Debt Department II, Issuance and Payment Department, and Monitoring Management Department [2][3]. - The main responsibilities of the new division include formulating and executing domestic debt management policies, compiling debt balance limit plans, managing government debt issuance and repayment, and monitoring hidden debt risks [3][5]. Group 2: Historical Context and Significance - The establishment of the Debt Management Division is seen as a response to the challenges posed by fragmented debt management across various departments, which previously included the Budget Division, Treasury Division, Financial Division, and International Financial Cooperation Division [5][6]. - Experts believe that government debt has become a crucial part of the modern fiscal system, and the restructuring aims to enhance management efficiency and mitigate local debt risks [6]. Group 3: Current Debt Situation - As of the end of 2024, China's total government debt is projected to reach 92.6 trillion yuan, comprising 34.6 trillion yuan in national debt, 47.5 trillion yuan in legal local government debt, and 10.5 trillion yuan in hidden local government debt, with a government debt ratio of 68.7% [6].
双11调研:回归功能本质 服饰护肤“参数消费”渐显 近八成消费者好评京东标准
经济观察报· 2025-11-03 14:09
Core Viewpoint - The 2025 Double 11 shopping season reflects a significant shift in consumer behavior towards data-driven and rational consumption, moving away from impulse buying and subjective preferences to a focus on product ingredients and quantifiable benefits [2][4][6]. Consumer Behavior Trends - Nearly 90% of consumers participated in Double 11, with over half making decisive purchases and more than one-third adding desired items to their carts, indicating strong shopping enthusiasm [2]. - In the apparel and beauty sectors, over 75% of consumers plan to purchase autumn and winter clothing, while 47.2% are focused on skincare products, emphasizing a responsible approach to self-care [2][14]. - The rise of "parameter-driven" consumers is evident, as traditional impulsive and subjective buying behaviors decline [2][4]. Ingredient and Parameter Focus - In the beauty sector, nearly 70% of consumers prioritize ingredients like hyaluronic acid and collagen when making purchasing decisions, indicating a strong awareness of product efficacy [3][9]. - In apparel, 74.3% of consumers now check data such as down fill weight and fabric composition, showcasing a shift towards informed decision-making based on product specifications [3][10]. - Platforms are responding by standardizing parameters and enhancing trust through professional selections, with 79.7% of consumers viewing platforms like JD as reliable sources for product specifications [3][19]. E-commerce Platform Dynamics - The shift towards rational consumption has created a positive feedback loop among platforms, brands, and consumers, where brands optimize parameters to meet consumer expectations, and platforms enhance trust through professional curation [4][22]. - Consumers express a need for transparent parameter information, with 36.8% concerned about parameter fraud and 32.8% finding it difficult to obtain accurate information [22][24]. - Leading e-commerce platforms are addressing these challenges by providing clear, certified parameters, which helps consumers make informed choices and reduces the risk of misleading information [23][28]. Seasonal Shopping Insights - During the 2025 Double 11, 65.2% of consumers plan to purchase skincare products, while 61.2% intend to buy winter clothing, reflecting a trend towards "image investment" and self-care [14][18]. - The focus on quality over quantity is evident, with 60.5% prioritizing high-quality materials in winter clothing purchases [18]. - The demand for specific parameters in winter apparel, such as down fill weight and fabric breathability, is high, with 79.7% of consumers considering these factors crucial in their purchasing decisions [12][19].
郑丽文为什么愿意访问大陆100次
经济观察报· 2025-11-03 14:09
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the political landscape in Taiwan following the appointment of Zheng Liwen as the chairperson of the Kuomintang (KMT), emphasizing the trend towards cross-strait unification and the importance of political dialogue to achieve this goal [2][8]. Summary by Sections Zheng Liwen's Leadership - Zheng Liwen officially took office as the chairperson of the KMT on November 1, with a four-year term ahead [2]. - She expressed her willingness to visit mainland China multiple times, even up to 100 visits, to promote peace across the Taiwan Strait [3][6]. Political Reactions - Reactions to Zheng's leadership are polarized, with supporters viewing her positively while opponents criticize her alignment with mainland policies [4]. - Notable absences from her inauguration included key figures from the KMT, indicating a potential divide within the party [4]. Media Engagement - A local journalist from Deutsche Welle engaged in a heated interview with Zheng, focusing on her intentions to visit mainland China and the implications of such visits [5][6]. - The interview highlighted the complexities of cross-strait relations and the necessity for ongoing dialogue to resolve historical differences [6]. Future Implications - The article suggests that the political climate in Taiwan is shifting, with a growing acceptance of dialogue with mainland China as a viable path forward [7][8]. - It posits that Zheng's success in fostering cross-strait relations could significantly impact the KMT's performance in upcoming elections, including the 2026 local elections and the 2028 presidential election [8][9]. Conclusion - The article concludes with anticipation regarding when Zheng Liwen will make her first visit to mainland China, indicating that her actions will be closely monitored as a reflection of her leadership and the KMT's future direction [10].
比亚迪的“刀片”和日本市场的“铠甲”
经济观察报· 2025-11-03 14:09
Core Viewpoint - BYD has established a dual product line of pure electric and hybrid vehicles in Japan, with the introduction of the K-EV model catering to local travel needs [1][6]. Group 1: Market Presence and Competition - At the 2025 Japan Mobility Show, BYD was the only Chinese automaker present, while Japanese automakers showcased a variety of electric and hybrid vehicles [2][3]. - The Japanese automotive market is conservative, with local brands holding a dominant market share of over 90%, making it challenging for non-Japanese brands like BYD to gain traction [4][10]. - BYD has been in the Japanese market for over 20 years, initially focusing on battery technology before entering the electric bus and passenger vehicle segments in recent years [5][10]. Group 2: Product Strategy - BYD has launched several models in Japan, including the K-EV BYD PACCO and the Sealion 6 DM-i, aiming to create a product lineup that aligns with local consumer preferences [6][8]. - The K-Car segment, which accounts for 35% to 40% of the Japanese market, is a key focus for BYD, as the K-EV offers a pure electric range of 180 kilometers and features that differentiate it from traditional small displacement fuel vehicles [10][11]. Group 3: Sales Performance and Future Plans - Since entering the Japanese market, BYD has sold approximately 7,100 vehicles, which is modest compared to its performance in other global markets [10][13]. - BYD plans to expand its product offerings in Japan to 7 to 8 models by 2027 and aims to increase its sales points from 66 to 100 within the year [8][10]. - In September, BYD's monthly sales in Japan exceeded 800 units, indicating growing brand recognition and acceptance in the market [13].
“安全是无价的”:理想主动召回背后的价值观抉择
经济观察报· 2025-11-03 14:09
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that recalls are not inherently negative actions but rather a proactive way for companies to take responsibility, especially in the context of the electric vehicle industry [1][23]. Group 1: Incident Overview - On October 31, Li Auto announced a voluntary recall of certain Li MEGA 2024 models following a fire incident in Shanghai [2][7]. - The fire incident occurred on October 23, and fortunately, there were no casualties [7]. - Li Auto's proactive approach to the recall is highlighted, as they acted swiftly upon identifying potential risks [3][11]. Group 2: Company Response and Decision-Making - Li Auto's CEO, Li Xiang, stated that the recall was initiated due to identified safety risks, emphasizing the importance of prioritizing safety over costs [4][9]. - The decision to recall was made quickly after internal discussions, with a focus on aligning actions with the company's values regarding safety [9][19]. - The company has a policy that any costs related to safety do not require approval, reflecting their commitment to user safety [9][19]. Group 3: Technical Findings and Actions - An internal investigation revealed that a specific batch of vehicles had inadequate corrosion resistance in the coolant, which could lead to safety hazards [8][15]. - Li Auto plans to replace the coolant, battery, and motor controller for the affected 11,411 vehicles, with a repair time of approximately one working day per vehicle [15]. - The company is enhancing its quality control measures and will implement stricter testing standards for chemical materials to prevent similar issues in the future [16]. Group 4: Safety Commitment and Strategic Importance - Li Auto's commitment to safety is not new; they have been focusing on safety since their inception, with rigorous testing standards that exceed industry norms [18][19]. - The MEGA model was designed with safety as a core principle, achieving high safety ratings in various tests [19]. - The company aims to communicate effectively with users to address concerns and reinforce their commitment to safety during the recall process [20][21].
中华遗嘱库里,30万老人主动立遗嘱
经济观察报· 2025-11-03 05:11
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the increasing necessity for elderly individuals, particularly empty-nest seniors, to establish wills to avoid disputes and simplify inheritance processes, highlighting a growing trend in will-making among this demographic [1][3][8]. Group 1: Demand for Wills - The primary reason for empty-nest seniors to create wills is to prevent disputes and simplify procedures, with a significant portion also aiming to isolate their children's marital risks [8]. - As of 2024, over 40,176 wills were established in the Chinese Will Library, with 60.28% of these being from empty-nest seniors [8]. - The number of elderly individuals seeking will consultations has surged, with the Chinese Will Library providing services to 572,000 individuals and managing 357,000 wills, of which over 70% are from seniors [2][3]. Group 2: Changing Attitudes Towards Wills - There has been a notable shift in societal attitudes, with more ordinary seniors viewing wills as essential legal tools rather than omens of bad luck [3][7]. - The increasing complexity of family structures and asset types necessitates formal wills, as traditional verbal agreements are inadequate for addressing inheritance issues [3][8]. - The Chinese Will Library has observed a rise in will-making among younger demographics, indicating a broader acceptance of the concept of wills among the population [15][19]. Group 3: Legal and Social Implications - The article highlights the correlation between the lack of wills and rising inheritance disputes, with over 110,000 inheritance cases reported annually in recent years [7][8]. - The Chinese Will Library aims to provide a structured and secure process for will-making to mitigate future inheritance conflicts [22][24]. - The organization has established 56 service centers nationwide, but recognizes the vast potential for growth in will-making services, estimating a demand for approximately 170 million wills in urban households alone [27]. Group 4: Innovations in Will-Making - The introduction of the "WeChat Will" feature allows users to leave non-legal messages for loved ones, reflecting a growing trend of younger individuals engaging with the concept of wills [12][15]. - The diversity of assets included in wills has expanded, now encompassing real estate, bank deposits, company shares, and even virtual assets, indicating a shift in how individuals view their legacies [8][16]. - The Chinese Will Library has implemented a rigorous process for will registration, including identity verification and mental assessments, to ensure the validity of the wills created [22][24].