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车市开年遇冷:政策换挡致市场大跌 销售人员称已做好“过冬”准备
经济观察报· 2026-01-31 04:01
Core Viewpoint - Despite the current pain in the automotive market due to policy shifts, experts believe this is a phase of adjustment that will ultimately benefit the market's transition to high-quality development [1][12]. Group 1: Current Market Conditions - The automotive market is experiencing a significant downturn, with retail sales of passenger vehicles dropping to 679,000 units in early January 2026, a decrease of 28% year-on-year and 37% month-on-month [3]. - New energy vehicles (NEVs) have seen a rare and substantial decline, with retail sales at 312,000 units, down 16% year-on-year and 52% month-on-month, leading to a drop in NEV penetration rate from 59.1% in December to 45.9% in January [3][5]. Group 2: Policy Adjustments - The decline in the automotive market is largely attributed to policy adjustments, including a transitional period where local governments' subsidy policies were not yet in place, causing consumers to delay purchases [5]. - From January 1, 2026, the exemption from purchase tax for NEVs has ended, with a new 5% tax introduced, increasing the cost of purchasing NEVs significantly [5][6]. - The new subsidy policy has shifted from fixed amounts to a percentage of the new car price, resulting in reduced subsidies for certain models and further increasing purchase costs [6]. Group 3: Manufacturer Responses - In response to the policy changes, several automakers have introduced temporary subsidy measures to mitigate the impact on consumers, such as increasing discounts on specific models [9]. - Many manufacturers are offering purchase tax subsidies and trade-in incentives to help offset the increased costs for consumers [9]. Group 4: Future Market Outlook - Experts predict that the automotive market will see a shift towards higher-end models due to the new subsidy policies, which favor mid to high-end vehicles, while low-end models may face pressure [12]. - The overall sales volume for 2026 is expected to remain flat or see slight growth, with a projected retail volume of approximately 24 million units, and NEV sales expected to reach 14.6 million units, a 13% increase year-on-year [14].
【全球商业领袖】精工爱普生公司总裁𠮷田润吉:比起担心风险,我更愿意推进创新
经济观察报· 2026-01-31 04:01
自1988年加入爱普生,田润吉,先后在(爱普生)美国和新加坡任职,在海外工作12年后回到 日本。最近四年,他担任打印解决方案事业部执行官,除打印业务外,也深度参与爱普生各项业务 的战略制定。2025年4月,田润吉被任命为精工爱普生公司总裁兼代表董事、首席执行官。 在全球经济和地缘政治带来不确定性的环境下,我们继续聚焦 那些全球化企业的领导者,听他们分享在企业生存与发展过程 中所做的艰难决策,讲述那些充满挑战的自我颠覆与变革。他 们的经历向我们证明,优秀的领导者,不会一味重复过去的成 功,而是带领企业用自身资源、技术、能力、人才为未来担 当;他们的经历,让我们看到企业家精神在不同时代的价值, 还有未来的样子。——编者按 作者:沈建缘 封图:图片资料室 2025年末,冬天的深圳绿意盎然。即便地缘政治带来复杂影响,田润吉仍未改变自己的行程 ——作为新一任精工爱普生公司总裁,到深圳与当地员工一起为爱普生在中国的首个生产基地—— 爱普生技术(深圳)有限公司成立四十周年庆生。 刚刚过去的2025年,是爱普生品牌建立50周年。过去50年间,爱普生已将开发石英表过程中发明 并发展出的精密机械加工技术,延展到了液晶技术和半导体 ...
山东挑大梁,工业焕新机
经济观察报· 2026-01-31 02:16
Core Viewpoint - The economic performance of major provinces in 2025 reflects both the expectation and capability of these provinces to drive national economic growth, with a notable contribution to GDP from the top ten provinces [2][4]. Economic Growth Performance - In 2025, seven major provinces achieved GDP growth rates between 5.3% and 5.6%, surpassing the national average growth rate of 5% [2]. - Shandong, as a key economic province, has shown significant growth, with its GDP share of the national total increasing from 7.19% to 7.36% during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period [2]. Industrial Strength - Shandong is the only province in China with all 41 industrial categories, and its industrial added value is expected to grow by 7.6% in 2025, exceeding the national average by 1.7 percentage points [3][6]. - The province's manufacturing sector is undergoing transformation, with high-tech industries accounting for over 55% of industrial output [3][7]. Government Initiatives - The 2026 Shandong government work report emphasizes the importance of economic growth, industrial optimization, and green transformation, targeting a GDP growth of 5.5% and reaching a total of 10.3 trillion yuan [4][10]. - Shandong plans to implement 12 key industry growth plans and aims to complete over 3,000 technology transformation projects in 2026 [10][11]. Technological Innovation - The focus on technological innovation is crucial for Shandong's industrial development, with the province's artificial intelligence sector growing at an annual rate of over 30% [11]. - The government aims to enhance traditional industries while fostering new and future industries, contributing to a stable economic environment [11].
“大V带货”遭监管重拳:基金销售擦边球玩到头了
经济观察报· 2026-01-30 15:16
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the challenges faced by fund sales in balancing scale-driven growth and investor protection, highlighting recent regulatory actions against misconduct in the industry [2][3]. Group 1: Regulatory Actions - On January 29, the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) released a report targeting a fund company for exceeding 10 billion yuan in daily subscriptions due to improper practices [2]. - The report indicates that the fund company collaborated with unqualified internet influencers to create a buying frenzy for high-risk products [2][7]. - Regulatory measures include a combination of corrective actions and product registration suspensions, emphasizing a "zero tolerance" approach to sales misconduct [10]. Group 2: Sales Practices and Trends - Internet influencers, referred to as "Big Vs," have gained credibility by showcasing their real fund trading accounts, which has led to a surge in follower engagement and imitation of their investment strategies [5][6]. - The use of real-time valuation features and rankings on platforms has been criticized for encouraging short-term, emotional trading, which contradicts long-term investment principles [8]. - Despite regulations prohibiting misleading promotional language, some sales channels continue to use tactics that emphasize past performance while downplaying risks [8]. Group 3: Industry Transformation - The tightening of regulations is expected to cause significant changes in the industry, as traditional sales models relying on traffic and short-term incentives face challenges [13]. - The new regulatory framework encourages a shift from a scale-oriented approach to one focused on client interests, promoting long-term investment strategies [13][14]. - The article suggests that the future of fund sales will depend more on professional advisory services and long-term client relationships rather than mere marketing tactics [13][14].
华强北不知何为“AI泡沫”
经济观察报· 2026-01-30 14:33
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights a significant surge in the prices of server components, particularly storage chips and graphics cards, driven by supply constraints and increased demand from AI infrastructure investments. This price volatility is causing challenges for both buyers and sellers in the market [2][3][20]. Price Trends - A single server equipped with eight NVIDIA RTX 5090 graphics cards has seen its price rise from 300,000 yuan to 400,000 yuan within a month, indicating a 33.3% increase [2]. - The price of DDR4 64G server memory has doubled from approximately 1,500 yuan to 3,100 yuan in two months, reflecting a 106.7% increase [4]. - High-frequency DDR5 memory prices have surged to over 13,000 yuan for second-hand parts, with new products priced above 25,000 yuan (approximately 18,000 yuan) [6]. Market Behavior - Sellers are hesitant to stock inventory due to unpredictable price fluctuations, leading to a shift from traditional order placements to same-day pricing validity [3][4]. - Payment terms have become stricter, with sellers requiring a 50% deposit upon order and full payment before shipment [4]. Supply Chain Dynamics - Major semiconductor companies are issuing price increase notices, with adjustments ranging from 15% to 80% due to rising costs and supply chain pressures [10][11]. - The demand for AI-related chips is causing a supply crunch, with manufacturers like TSMC and Samsung reporting record profits and high demand for high-value products [17][18]. Impact on End Products - The rising costs of memory and storage are expected to increase the prices of consumer electronics, with estimates suggesting a potential 10% to 20% increase in product prices [13]. - The notebook computer market is projected to face significant challenges, with expected shipment declines of 9.4% in 2026 due to rising component costs [21]. Industry Outlook - The current chip price surge is anticipated to persist throughout 2023, with supply chain constraints and high demand from AI investments driving ongoing price increases [14][20].
机器人“烧钱”也要上春晚打拳
经济观察报· 2026-01-30 12:36
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the shift in sponsorship dynamics for the CCTV Spring Festival Gala, highlighting the emergence of embodied intelligence companies as new sponsors, replacing traditional internet giants. This change reflects a broader trend in the technology industry and the urgent need for these companies to demonstrate their capabilities to investors and the market [2][6]. Group 1: Sponsorship Dynamics - The 2024 Spring Festival Gala will feature several embodied intelligence companies, including Yushutech, Galaxy General, Magic Atom, and Songyan Power, showcasing humanoid robots performing various acts [2][4]. - The shift from internet companies like Alibaba and JD to embodied intelligence firms as sponsors indicates a transformation in the tech landscape, with these companies eager to prove their value to capital and B-end markets [2][6]. - The sponsorship fees for the Spring Festival Gala have significantly increased over the years, with internet companies historically spending billions, while embodied intelligence companies are now attempting to gain visibility despite their smaller budgets [12][19]. Group 2: Market Implications - The global humanoid robot market is projected to generate $440 million (approximately 3.15 billion RMB) in total revenue by 2025, indicating a nascent but growing industry [9]. - Companies like Yushutech and ZhiYuan Robotics are expected to surpass 1 billion RMB in annual sales by 2024 and 2025, yet they still lag behind the revenue levels of traditional internet giants [9][12]. - The article notes that the Spring Festival Gala serves as a platform for these companies to showcase their products and capabilities, potentially attracting investment and government support [6][19]. Group 3: Audience Engagement and ROI - The effectiveness of Spring Festival Gala sponsorship in driving user engagement and sales has been questioned, with many companies reassessing their return on investment (ROI) from such high-profile advertising [19][20]. - Historical data shows that while companies like Baidu and Kuaishou experienced spikes in user activity during the gala, the long-term retention of these users was often disappointing [20][21]. - The article suggests that the current trend of relying on "red envelope rain" for user acquisition may not be sustainable, as it can lead to user dissatisfaction and does not guarantee growth [21][22].
北京人熟悉的三元,用一杯“最干净”的酸奶重新定义自己
经济观察报· 2026-01-30 11:02
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the strategic transformation of Sanyuan Foods, focusing on the launch of two key products, "Beijing Fresh Milk" and "Beijing Yogurt," which signify the company's commitment to deepening its presence in the low-temperature dairy market in Beijing [1][4][11]. Product Development - The introduction of "Beijing Yogurt," which is the first low-temperature yogurt in China to receive both "Clean Label Level 0" and "Natural Ingredient Food" certifications, marks a significant technological breakthrough in the low-temperature dairy sector [2][6]. - The development of "Beijing Yogurt" involved extensive research and testing, including over a hundred iterations of strain selection to ensure the product meets high standards for taste and texture without additives [9][10]. Market Strategy - Sanyuan Foods' strategy emphasizes "focusing on Beijing and deepening low-temperature products," which has been validated by the successful market performance of "Beijing Fresh Milk," launched in September 2025 [13][16]. - The company has streamlined its organizational structure, reducing the number of departments from 21 to 14 and cutting personnel by 46%, to enhance agility and resource allocation [18]. Financial Performance - Sanyuan Foods reported a revenue of 48.7 billion yuan for the third quarter of 2025, a 9.7% year-on-year decrease, but a significant increase in net profit by 128.2% to 2.36 billion yuan [16][17]. - The company's market share in low-temperature fresh milk in Beijing reached 58.3%, demonstrating its strong brand presence and competitive advantage in the region [15][21]. Strategic Partnerships - The launch of "Beijing Yogurt" was accompanied by a strategic partnership with JD.com, aimed at enhancing distribution and leveraging both companies' strengths in technology and branding [19][21]. - Sanyuan Foods is positioned as a leader in the Beijing dairy market, with a focus on innovation and quality, which is expected to drive future growth as consumer preferences shift towards natural and clean-label products [10][21].
特斯拉2025年净利腰斩:Model S/X要停产,马斯克称中国机器人将是劲敌
经济观察报· 2026-01-30 10:43
特斯拉在财报中表示,营收下降是由于车辆交付量减少以及监管补贴收入降低等原因,而净利润下 降是由于受到比特币持仓公允价值变动支出的负面影响。 官方数据显示,2025年,特斯拉交付163.61万辆汽车,同比下降8.55%,其中中国市场销量为 62.6万辆,同比下降4.8%。 在财报电话会议上,特斯拉CEO埃隆·马斯克并未对公司2025年汽车业务下滑表现出太多担忧, 特斯拉正从汽车公司转型为机器人公司。 马斯克宣布,特斯拉将在今年二季度停产Model S/X车型,其美国加州弗里蒙特工厂的Model S/X生产线会被替换为Optimus(擎天柱)机器人生产线,长期目标是在原址实现年产100万台 Optimus机器人。 Model S/X是特斯拉旗下的高端车型,其中Model S自2012 年开始生产,Model X自 2015年开 始生产。这两款车型的停产并不令外界意外。自2025年4月起,在特斯拉中国官网,Model S/X 就已不再提供单独的"订购新车"选项。 特斯拉的汽车业务正在转型。特斯拉车辆工程副总裁拉斯·莫拉维在财报电话会议上表示,外界必 须开始将特斯拉看作提供"交通即服务(TaaS)"的供应商,而不仅仅 ...
病人离院后的99%时间,华为擎云如何“接管”?
经济观察报· 2026-01-30 10:43
华为擎云将"主动健康"转化为一种普惠服务,这是"科技向 善"最具体的体现,智能硬件正在演变为延长人类健康周期的 伙伴。 作者:冯科翰 封图:企业供图 2025年,"新质生产力"成为产业界出现频率最高的词汇,而在医疗健康领域,这一概念正落子于 具体的诊疗环节。 温州市人民医院的冠心病患者董先生(化名),就在近期刚经历了一次险情。 今年51岁的董先生(化名)不久前才完成心脏支架手术,处于出院后的康复期,按照惯例,这个 阶段的患者通常会与医院"失联",复诊与否全靠自觉。但在一个看似平常的午后,董先生(化 名)佩戴的华为擎云智能穿戴设备在后台捕捉到了一组异常数据:血氧饱和度持续低于90%。 通过成熟的商用终端和数字化技术,医疗机构能够将服务边界从医院内部延伸到患者生活中,将分 散在院外的健康数据转化为可用的医疗资源,从某种程度上来说,提升医疗服务能力,除了增加床 位之外,通过技术挖掘数据价值,同样能让有限的资源服务更多的人群。 破局:从"断连"到"互联" 长期以来,心血管疾病等慢病管理的难点在于"离院即脱管"。 这组数据通过标准接口,实时同步至温州市人民医院的诊后管理平台,几分钟后,医院管理团队的 电话打了进来,医生 ...
“1元”拍个公司当老板,靠谱吗
经济观察报· 2026-01-30 10:43
这些低价股权,背后藏着巨额债务、无法过户等诸多风险,但 依然吸引了不少竞买人报名参拍。 作者:牛钰 封图:图虫创意 1元钱能干什么?可以买一颗土豆,也可能买下一个公司当老板。 近期,在阿里资产、京东资产交易等法拍平台,持续涌现出"土豆价"的公司股权标的,起拍价格 最少仅需1元。其中部分标的价格为每股1元,更多的标的则是:1元打包带走相关公司一定比例的 股权,甚至100%的股权。 据经济观察报不完全统计,2026年初至2026年2月底,上述两个法拍平台共有超60个1元起拍的 标的进入正式竞价拍卖阶段。 这家企业没有可变现的核心资产、没有经营收入、没有实际办公和运营团队,仅存一个"房地产企 业"的工商主体身份。究竟是谁买下了这笔债务? 1月29日至30日,有3个1元股权正在拍卖中。其中最"热闹"的标的是四川轩域置业有限责任公司 (下称"轩域置业")66%股权,该标的获得了2.66万次围观,14人报名。保证金为1000元,起 拍价为1元,加价幅度是1元及其整数倍。 1月29日上午10点一开拍,竞价明细就在持续变动,1元、2元、3元……9位竞拍人角逐了23轮竞 价后,1元涨至1050元,但在接近1月30日10点拍卖即 ...