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公募基金量化遴选类策略指数跟踪周报(2025.05.25):权益市场遇阻力回调,关注短期逢低布局机会-20250527
HWABAO SECURITIES· 2025-05-27 07:13
Group 1 - The report indicates that the A-share market has faced downward pressure due to domestic and international events, leading to a market pullback after approaching previous highs [3][4] - Defensive sectors such as banking and dividends have shown relative stability amidst the market fluctuations, while sectors that rebounded significantly after tariff impacts have experienced larger corrections [3][4] - The report maintains a relatively optimistic view on A-shares, suggesting that the recent pullback has absorbed some of the risks accumulated since April [4][5] Group 2 - The quantitative strategy allocation suggests prioritizing stock enhancement strategies over low-volatility strategies and overseas equity strategies [4] - The report highlights that the low-volatility strategy has performed well, achieving a return of 0.647% this week, indicating strong defensive characteristics [6][12] - The overseas equity allocation strategy has faced challenges, recording a return of -0.412% this week, but the long-term outlook remains positive due to the potential for recovery in the U.S. market [6][20] Group 3 - The report outlines the performance of various fund strategies, with the low-volatility fund strategy showing a year-to-date return of 1.351% and a cumulative return of 9.264% since its inception [12][14] - The stock enhancement fund strategy has a year-to-date return of 1.863% and a cumulative return of 9.541% since its inception, indicating potential for future performance improvement [12][16] - The cash enhancement fund strategy has consistently outperformed its benchmark, accumulating an excess return of 0.408% since its inception [12][17] Group 4 - The report emphasizes the importance of a quantitative approach in constructing fund strategies to meet diverse investor needs in varying market conditions [21][22] - The low-volatility fund strategy aims to provide stable returns while minimizing volatility, making it suitable for risk-averse investors [25] - The overseas equity allocation strategy focuses on selecting QDII funds based on market trends and momentum, enhancing global investment opportunities [28]
公募基金权益指数跟踪周报(2025.05.19-2025.05.23):市场缩量震荡,红利、消费轮动显著-20250526
HWABAO SECURITIES· 2025-05-26 11:41
2025 年 05 月 26 日 证券研究报告 | 公募基金周报 市场缩量震荡,红利、消费轮动显著 公募基金权益指数跟踪周报(2025.05.19-2025.05.23) 分析师:王骅 分析师登记编码:S0890522090001 电话:021-20321067 邮箱:wanghua@cnhbstock.com 分析师:宋逸菲 分析师登记编码:S0890524080003 电话:021-20321087 邮箱:songyifei@cnhbstock.com 权益市场观察:小微盘调整但韧性仍在;"新消费"并非"赛道投资";创新药利 好持续;红利板块分化暂缓 1 、《 ETF 策 略 指 数 跟 踪 周 报 — 公募基金市场动态:《推动公募基金高质量发展行动方案》发布后,26 只浮动管 理费基金获批 主动权益基金指数表现跟踪 歧阻力或带来逢低布局机会 —公募 基金量化遴选类策略指数跟踪周报 3 、《 ETF 策 略 指 数 跟 踪 周 报 — 4、《经贸会谈缓解关税紧张局势,持 续关注逢低布局机会 —公募基金量 化 遴 选 类 策 略 指 数 跟 踪 周 报 5 、《 ETF 策 略 指 数 跟 踪 周 报 — ...
新股发行及今日交易提示-20250526
HWABAO SECURITIES· 2025-05-26 09:23
New Stock Issuance - New stock issuance for 优优绿能 (code: 301590) at a price of 89.60 on May 26, 2025[1] - ST立方 (code: 300344) announced on May 14, 2025, with a link to the latest announcement[1] - 联合化学 (code: 301209) announced on May 23, 2025, with a link to the latest announcement[1] Market Alerts - 南京港 (code: 002040) reported severe abnormal fluctuations on May 23, 2025[1] - 利君股份 (code: 002651) reported severe abnormal fluctuations on May 23, 2025[1] - 成飞集成 (code: 002190) reported severe abnormal fluctuations on May 19, 2025[1] Additional Announcements - 京华激光 (code: 603607) announced on May 24, 2025, with a link to the latest announcement[1] - 海辰药业 (code: 300584) announced on May 23, 2025, with a link to the latest announcement[1] - 海森药业 (code: 001367) announced on May 23, 2025, with a link to the latest announcement[1]
ETF策略指数跟踪周报-20250526
HWABAO SECURITIES· 2025-05-26 03:13
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report The report presents several ETF - based strategy indices and tracks their performance and holdings on a weekly basis to help investors make investment decisions by converting quantitative models or subjective views into practical investment strategies [11]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 ETF Strategy Index Tracking - **Overall Performance Last Week**: - The table shows the performance of different ETF strategy indices last week, including their index returns, benchmark returns, and excess returns. For example, the Huabao Research Size Rotation ETF Strategy Index had a last - week index return of - 0.12%, a benchmark (CSI 800) return of - 0.41%, and an excess return of 0.30% [12]. 3.1.1 Huabao Research Size Rotation ETF Strategy Index - **Strategy Principle**: It uses multi - dimensional technical indicator factors and a machine - learning model to predict the return difference between the Shenwan Large - Cap Index and the Shenwan Small - Cap Index, and decides positions based on the weekly output signal [3][13]. - **Performance**: As of May 23, 2025, the excess return since 2024 was 16.48%, the excess return in the past month was - 0.14%, and the excess return in the past week was 0.30%. The index's return in the past week was - 0.12%, compared to - 0.41% of the CSI 800 [3][13][16]. - **Position**: As of May 23, 2025, it held 100% of the CSI 300 ETF [16]. 3.1.2 Huabao Research SmartBeta Enhanced ETF Strategy Index - **Strategy Principle**: It uses price - volume indicators to time the self - built Barra factors and maps the timing signals to ETFs according to their exposures on 9 major Barra factors to obtain excess returns [3]. - **Performance**: As of May 23, 2025, the excess return since 2024 was 18.52%, the excess return in the past month was 0.39%, and the excess return in the past week was 1.29%. The index's return in the past week was 0.88%, compared to - 0.41% of the CSI 800 [3][17]. - **Position**: As of May 23, 2025, it held 100% of the Dividend Low - Volatility ETF [21]. 3.1.3 Huabao Research Quantitative Fire - Wheel ETF Strategy Index - **Strategy Principle**: It starts from a multi - factor perspective, including the grasp of medium - and long - term fundamentals, the tracking of short - term market trends, and the analysis of the behavior of various market participants. It uses valuation and crowding signals to prompt industry risks and digs out potential sectors [4]. - **Performance**: As of May 23, 2025, the excess return since 2024 was 2.95%, the excess return in the past month was 1.33%, and the excess return in the past week was 1.25%. The index's return in the past week was 0.84%, compared to - 0.41% of the CSI 800 [4][21]. - **Position**: Specific positions are provided in the report, but details are not fully summarized here [24]. 3.1.4 Huabao Research Quantitative Balance - Art ETF Strategy Index - **Strategy Principle**: It uses a multi - factor system including economic fundamentals, liquidity, technical aspects, and investor behavior to build a quantitative timing system for equity market trend judgment and adjusts the equity market position distribution by predicting the market size - style [4]. - **Performance**: As of May 23, 2025, the excess return since 2024 was 0.31%, the excess return in the past month was - 1.63%, and the excess return in the past week was 0.10%. The index's return in the past week was - 0.07%, compared to - 0.18% of the SSE 300 [4][24]. - **Position**: As of May 23, 2025, it held various ETFs such as the CSI 1000ETF, Enhanced 500ETF, etc., with different weights [26]. 3.1.5 Huabao Research Hot - Spot Tracking ETF Strategy Index - **Strategy Principle**: It tracks and digs out hot - spot index target products through strategies such as market sentiment analysis, industry event tracking, and policy changes to build an ETF portfolio that can capture market hot - spots [5]. - **Performance**: As of May 23, 2025, the excess return in the past month was 1.07%, and the excess return in the past week was 1.60%. The index's return in the past week was 0.90%, compared to - 0.70% of the CSI All - Share Index [5][29]. - **Position**: As of May 23, 2025, it held real estate ETF, Hong Kong stock consumption ETF, etc., with different weights [30]. 3.1.6 Huabao Research Bond ETF Duration Strategy Index - **Strategy Principle**: It uses bond market liquidity and price - volume indicators to select effective timing factors and predicts bond yields through machine learning. When the expected yield is lower than a certain threshold, it reduces the long - duration positions in the bond portfolio [5]. - **Performance**: As of May 23, 2025, the excess return in the past month was 0.14%, and the excess return in the past week was 0.11%. The index's return in the past week was 0.06%, compared to - 0.05% of the ChinaBond Aggregate Index [5][31]. - **Position**: As of May 23, 2025, it held short - term financing ETF, 10 - year Treasury bond ETF, etc., with different weights [33].
市场活跃度回落,欲扬或需先抑
HWABAO SECURITIES· 2025-05-25 11:45
2025 年 05 月 25 日 证券研究报告 | 策略周报 市场活跃度回落,欲扬或需先抑 策略周报 分析师:郝一凡 分析师登记编码:S0890524080002 电话:021-20321080 邮箱:haoyifan@cnhbstock.com 分析师登记编码:S0890524100002 电话:021-20321091 邮箱:liufang@cnhbstock.com 销售服务电话: 相关研究报告 【股市方面】短期波动加大,静待调整压力释放。近期市场缩圈至更为极致 的"杠铃"策略——大盘权重+微盘,即以银行为代表的权重以及以微盘股指 数为代表的方向表现更为突出。但这一趋势当前面临风险收益性价比偏低的阻 力,导致市场活跃度下降、小微盘题材方向轮动加快,对赚钱效应形成拖累, 处于高位的大盘权重、微盘风格或面临短期调整压力。建议短期内可耐心等待 更具性价比的配置机会,市场调整压力释放后可继续关注银行、题材(新消 费、科技、化工等)及宽基指数的布局机会。 风险提示:经济修复不及预期的风险,政策效果不及预期的风险,关税博弈 反复的风险,地缘政治风险,海外经济衰退风险,外部政策不确定性风险。 敬请参阅报告结尾处免责声 ...
2025年4月银行理财市场月报:理财规模季节性显著回升,固收+产品为发行主力
HWABAO SECURITIES· 2025-05-23 10:23
2025 年 05 月 23 日 证券研究报告|银行理财月报 理财规模季节性显著回升,固收+产品为发行主力 2025 年 4 月银行理财市场月报 分析师:蔡梦苑 分析师登记编码:S0890521120001 电话:021-20321004 邮箱:caimengyuan@cnhbstock.com 分析师登记编码:S0890525040001 电话:021-20321070 邮箱:zhoujiahui@cnhbstock.com 销售服务电话: 021-20515355 相关研究报告 1、《理财规模稳中有升,目标盈类理 财增幅较大—2024 年 12 月银行理财 市场月报》2025-01-24 理财发行增多—2024 年 11 月银行理 财市场月报》2024-12-26 净值修复—2024 年 9 月银行理财市场 月报》2024-10-16 化—2024 年 8 月银行理财市场月报》 2024-09-08 5、《无风险收益再下,"金融+慈善" 产品模式探索—2024 年 7 月银行理财 市场月报》2024-08-09 投资要点 监管政策及资管市场要闻解读: 分析师:周佳卉 4 月 21 日,中国银行间市场交易商 ...
2025年4月银行理财市场月报:理财规模季节性显著回升,固收+产品为发行主力-20250523
HWABAO SECURITIES· 2025-05-23 08:27
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the banking wealth management industry Core Insights - The banking wealth management market experienced a significant seasonal rebound in April 2025, with a month-on-month increase of 7.58% to reach 31.09 trillion yuan, reflecting an 8.05% year-on-year growth [4][19] - The issuance of fixed income plus (固收+) products dominated the new product offerings, indicating a shift in investor preference towards products that balance liquidity and yield [5][35] - Regulatory changes are expected to limit the operational space for banks to smooth returns through valuation techniques, impacting future product offerings [12][10] Regulatory Policies and Asset Management Market News - On April 21, the China Interbank Market Dealers Association released self-regulatory guidelines for bond valuation, emphasizing the need for standardized net asset value measurement [10][11] - On May 7, the central bank introduced a series of monetary policy measures aimed at stabilizing market expectations, which may have a dual effect on the banking wealth management market [13][14] - The China Securities Regulatory Commission announced an action plan for the high-quality development of public funds, indicating a shift towards long-term performance evaluation and transparency [15][16] Market Performance - The total market for wealth management products saw a significant recovery in April, with cash management products experiencing a decline in yield, while fixed income products saw an increase [22][26] - The annualized yield for cash management products fell to 1.49%, while fixed income products rose to 2.74%, indicating a divergence in performance [22][26] - The market's overall performance is influenced by the ongoing low interest rate environment and regulatory changes affecting product structures [26][31] New Product Issuance - In April, the issuance of new wealth management products decreased compared to March, with fixed income plus products leading the market [35][36] - The new issuance of fixed income plus products amounted to 272.99 billion yuan, significantly higher than pure fixed income products [35][36] - The majority of new products were in the 1-3 year maturity range, reflecting a trend towards medium-term investments in a declining interest rate environment [35][36] Product Maturity and Compliance - The compliance rate for wealth management products reached 74.75% in April, an increase of 7.05% from March, attributed to the recovery in the bond market [44][48] - Short-term products maintained higher compliance rates due to their flexibility in adjusting performance benchmarks in response to market fluctuations [44][48]
新股发行及今日交易提示-20250523
HWABAO SECURITIES· 2025-05-23 06:53
New Stock Issuance - Zhongce Rubber (证券代码: 732049) issued at a price of 46.50 on May 23, 2025[1] - ST Cube (证券代码: 300344) announced rights issue on May 14, 2025[1] - San Sheng Guo Jian (证券代码: 688336) announced rights issue on May 23, 2025[1] Trading Alerts - Li Jun Co. (证券代码: 002651) reported severe abnormal fluctuations on May 23, 2025[1] - Chengfei Integration (证券代码: 002190) announced trading alerts on May 19, 2025[1] - ST Er Ya (证券代码: 600107) issued trading alerts on May 15, 2025[1] Market Trends - Multiple companies including Nanjing Port (证券代码: 002040) and Chongqing Port (证券代码: 600279) reported trading alerts on May 23, 2025[1] - A total of 20 companies reported abnormal trading activities on May 23, 2025, indicating potential market volatility[1]
华宝聚合系列科普文章:可转债投资中如何实现绝对收益型策略?
HWABAO SECURITIES· 2025-05-22 10:14
2025 年 05 月 22 日 证券研究报告 | 私募基金专题报告 可转债投资中如何实现绝对收益型策 略? 华宝聚合系列科普文章 分析师:程秉哲 分析师登记编码:S0890522110001 电话:021-20321297 邮箱:chengbingzhe@cnhbstock.com 研究助理:张君睿 邮箱:zhangjunrui@cnhbstock.com 销售服务电话: 1、《市场中性策略多头端解析:量化选股 模型如何决定你的收益上限—华宝聚合 系列科普文章》2025-05-15 2、《从隐含波动率到价格的预测—期权 策略系列观察(三)》2024-08-20 3、《隐含波动率跟踪与期权产品分类— 期权策略系列观察(二)》2024-07-31 4、《期权价值的理论与现实—期权策略 系列观察(一)》2024-07-05 投资要点 风险提示:本报告根据历史公开数据及定期报告整理,存在失效风险,不代表 对基金未来资产配置情况的预测,不构成投资建议; 基金的过往业绩及基金经 理管理其他产品的历史业绩不代表未来表现;本报告涉及私募基金相关内容, 若您非合格投资者,请勿阅读本报告; 敬请参阅报告结尾处免责声明 华宝证券 ...
海外市场观察系列之一:2025年美债到期压力有多大?
HWABAO SECURITIES· 2025-05-22 10:14
2025 年 05 月 22 日 证券研究报告 | 策略专题报告 2025 年美债到期压力有多大? 海外市场观察系列之一 分析师:蔡梦苑 分析师登记编码:S0890521120001 电话:021-20321004 邮箱:caimengyuan@cnhbstock.com 分析师登记编码:S0890524100002 电话:021-20321091 邮箱:liufang@cnhbstock.com 021-20515355 投资要点 分析师:刘芳 美债实际的到期压力相对可控。尽管美债 5-7 月存在集中到期的压力,但短 债占比较高。考虑到短债市场流动性相对充足,展期压力整体可控。除短期国 债外,美国其他期限的国债到期分布相对较为平稳,未出现集中兑付峰值,到 期压力不高。由于一年以内利率上升的幅度有限,短期国债到期滚续带来的额 外利息支出压力有限。后续利息支出负担增加的压力主要来源于中期国债的到 期,2025 年来源于美国中期国债的新增利息支出约为 266 亿美元。 销售服务电话: 相关研究报告 2025 年美债到期引发的流动性冲击整体可控,当前可以择机进行美债配 置。当前 10 年期美债收益率受到评级下调、减 ...