有色金属 报告日期：2025 年 05 月 13 日 证券研究报告 贵金属主升浪带动业绩大增，工业金属静待需求复苏 ——有色金属行业 2024 年年报及 2025 年一季报综述 华龙证券研究所 最近一年走势 摘要： 执业证书编号：S0230523080001 邮箱： ngdy@h zq.com 有色金属行业周报》2025.05.06 加剧—有色金属行业周报》2025.04.28 报》2025.04.07 请认真阅读文后免责条款 投资评级：推荐（维持） 2024 年，以金、铜为代表的主要金属品类价格显著上涨，带动相 关上市公司整体业绩增长。其中，贵金属价格较 2023 年增长 20% 以上，主要上市公司量价齐升，同时经营水平稳步提升、降本增 效成果显著，贵金属上市公司归母净利润增速超过 40%。铜、铝 价格分别同比上涨 7.89%、7.53%，铅、锌价格跌、涨互现，工业 金属上市公司归母净利润同比增长超 30%，弹性较大。能源金属 方面，电池级碳酸锂和氢氧化锂价格跌超 60%，行业上市公司归 母净利润下滑 97.88%，行业盈利水平仍在筑底中。维持行业"推 荐"评级。 分析师：景丹阳 相关阅读 《美国关税预期缓 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Recommended" (maintained) [5][32]. Core Insights - Major manufacturing and technology companies such as Midea, Huawei, and BYD are accelerating their investments in the humanoid robotics sector, indicating a strong growth trajectory for the industry [5][32]. - Midea's humanoid robot can replace three skilled workers, with plans to deploy 200 robots across 12 factories, aiming for a 15% increase in labor productivity and an 8% reduction in energy consumption [5][19]. - Huawei's Hubble Technology has acquired a 1.43% stake in Qianxun Intelligent, a humanoid robot developer, which is set to launch its first commercial humanoid robot, Moz1, featuring 26 degrees of freedom and industry-leading capabilities [5][20]. - BYD has invested over 100 million yuan in Pacini Perception Technology, becoming its largest external shareholder, focusing on sensors and dexterous hands for humanoid robots [5][28]. Summary by Sections Market Review - From May 6 to May 9, 2025, the humanoid robot index increased by 2.63%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index and Shenzhen Component Index [12][5]. Industry Dynamics - Midea's humanoid robot, weighing 68 kg and standing 1.9 meters tall, is designed for tasks such as equipment inspection and simple assembly, achieving an assembly precision of ±0.02mm [17][19]. - Qianxun Intelligent's upcoming robot, Moz1, is built on advanced AI technologies and is expected to excel in speed, precision, and safety [20][5]. - Strong Brain Technology has launched the Revo2 dexterous hand, which is 30% lighter than the industry average and features advanced tactile sensing capabilities [23][5]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies with high certainty and incremental technology, particularly tracking Tesla's Optimus production progress and developments from domestic players like Huawei and Yushulian [32][5]. - Key stocks to watch include those in the Tesla chain, Yushulian chain, Huawei chain, and Zhiyuan chain, with specific companies highlighted for their growth potential [6][32].

执业证书编号：S0230523110001 邮箱：yangy@hlzq.com 证券研究报告 人形机器人 报告日期：2025 年 05 月 12 日 华为哈勃入股千寻智能，大厂加速人形机器人布局 ——人形机器人行业专题研究周报 华龙证券研究所 执业证书编号：S0230124020003 邮箱：lihy@hlzq.com 相关阅读 《整机&零部件&应用场景，车企多环节 布局机器人赛道—人形机器人行业专题 研究周报》2025.04.14 《应用端逐步落地，短期调整不改长期 趋势—人形机器人专题周报》2025.03.24 《智元推出通用具身大模型，重视人形 机器人大脑发展—人形机器人行业专题 研究周报》2025.03.11 请认真阅读文后免责条款 摘要： 5 . 投资评级：推荐（维持） 最近一年走势 行情回顾：2025 年 5 月 6 日至 2025 年 5 月 9 日，人形机器人指 数涨跌幅+2.63%。同期沪深 300 涨跌幅+2.00%，上证综指涨跌幅 +1.92%，深证成指涨跌幅+2.29%，创业板指涨跌幅+3.27%，科创 50 涨跌幅-0.60%。 分析师：杨阳 美的人形机器人进厂，单台可替代 3 名熟 ...

证券研究报告 钢铁 报告日期：2025 年 05 月 12 日 铁水日产高位微增，关注淡季需求支撑 ——钢铁行业周报 华龙证券研究所 投资评级：推荐（维持） 最近一年走势 执业证书编号：S0230523080001 邮箱：jingdy@hlzq.com 执业证书编号：S0230124010004 邮箱：pengy@hlzq.com 同推进化解过剩产能—钢铁行业周报》 2025.04.01 行业周报》2025.03.18 《以高质量供给引领需求，综合整治"内 卷式"竞争—钢铁行业点评报告》 2025.03.05 摘要： 供给端：截至 2025 年 5 月 9 日，五大钢材合计产量 874.17 万吨， 周环比下降 1.08%，同比下降 1.31%;247 家钢铁企业铁水日均产 量 245.64 万吨，周环比上升 0.09%，同比上升 4.75%;247 家钢铁 企业高炉产能利用率 92.09%，周环比上升 0.09 pct，同比上升 4.42 pct;87 家独立电弧炉钢厂产能利用率 55.08%,周环比下降 0.38 pct,同比上升 3.20 pct。本周五大钢材中除热轧冷轧卷板 外，其他钢材供给周环比下降 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the automotive industry [2]. Core Viewpoints - Geely plans to fully acquire Zeekr, aiming for internal resource integration to enhance efficiency during the current market elimination phase [5][15]. - The reduction of the reserve requirement ratio for automotive finance companies from 5% to 0% is expected to stimulate automotive consumption demand [16]. - The collaboration between Pony.ai and Uber to deploy Robotaxi services in the Middle East marks a significant step in the autonomous driving sector [17]. Summary by Sections Industry News - Geely's potential privatization of Zeekr is anticipated to maximize resource utilization and reduce related transactions during the market's elimination phase [5][15]. - The People's Bank of China has announced a temporary reduction in the reserve requirement ratio for automotive finance companies, which is expected to lower financing costs and enhance credit supply for automotive consumption [16]. - Pony.ai and Uber's partnership will introduce Robotaxi services in the Middle East, with plans for expansion into other international markets [17]. Market Performance - From May 6 to May 9, 2025, the automotive sector outperformed the CSI 300 index, with a gain of 2.03% compared to the index's 2.00% [33][34]. - The automotive sector's PE ratio (TTM) stands at 26.1, reflecting a decrease from the previous week [41]. Data Tracking - In March 2025, retail sales of passenger vehicles reached 1.9374 million units, marking a year-on-year increase of 14.25% [46]. - The retail penetration rate for new energy passenger vehicles reached 51.2% in March 2025, with retail sales of 991,200 units, up 38.78% year-on-year [58]. - The penetration rate for vehicles equipped with L2.5 and above intelligent driving systems reached a historical high of 17.10% in February 2025 [67].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the automotive industry [2]. Core Viewpoints - Geely plans to fully acquire Zeekr, aiming for internal resource integration to address the current market elimination phase, focusing on maximizing resource utilization [5][15]. - The privatization of Zeekr is expected to enhance operational efficiency and reduce related transactions, allowing Geely to consolidate its supply chain and improve procurement collaboration [5][15]. - The automotive financial companies' reserve requirement ratio has been reduced from 5% to 0%, which is anticipated to stimulate automotive consumption demand [16][17]. - The report highlights the significant sales performance of new energy vehicles, with retail sales reaching 99.12 million units in March 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 38.78% [58]. Summary by Sections Industry News - Geely's acquisition of Zeekr is a strategic move to enhance operational efficiency during a market consolidation phase [5][15]. - The reduction of the reserve requirement ratio for automotive financial companies is expected to lower financing costs and boost consumer demand [16]. - Partnerships such as the one between Pony.ai and Uber for deploying Robotaxi services in the Middle East are noted as significant developments in the industry [17]. Market Performance - The automotive sector outperformed the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index, with a weekly increase of 2.03% from May 6 to May 9, 2025 [33]. - The report indicates that the price-to-earnings ratio (PE) for the automotive sector is currently at 26.1, showing a decrease from the previous week [41]. Data Tracking - In March 2025, retail sales of passenger vehicles reached 193.74 million units, marking a year-on-year increase of 14.25% [46]. - The penetration rate of new energy vehicles in retail sales reached 51.2%, indicating a growing trend towards electric vehicles [58]. - The report also notes that the sales of heavy trucks decreased by 3.69% year-on-year in March 2025, reflecting ongoing challenges in the freight market [79].

证券研究报告 钢铁 报告日期：2025 年 05 月 12 日 铁水日产高位微增，关注淡季需求支撑 ——钢铁行业周报 华龙证券研究所 投资评级：推荐（维持） 最近一年走势 执业证书编号：S0230523080001 邮箱：jingdy@hlzq.com 执业证书编号：S0230124010004 邮箱：pengy@hlzq.com 同推进化解过剩产能—钢铁行业周报》 2025.04.01 行业周报》2025.03.18 《以高质量供给引领需求，综合整治"内 卷式"竞争—钢铁行业点评报告》 2025.03.05 请认真阅读文后免责条款 供给端：截至 2025 年 5 月 9 日，五大钢材合计产量 874.17 万吨， 周环比下降 1.08%，同比下降 1.31%;247 家钢铁企业铁水日均产 量 245.64 万吨，周环比上升 0.09%，同比上升 4.75%;247 家钢铁 企业高炉产能利用率 92.09%，周环比上升 0.09 pct，同比上升 4.42 pct;87 家独立电弧炉钢厂产能利用率 55.08%,周环比下降 0.38 pct,同比上升 3.20 pct。本周五大钢材中除热轧冷轧卷板 外，其他钢 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (首次覆盖) [4] Core Views - The company reported significant growth in performance and improved profitability, with a Q1 2025 revenue of 4.479 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 32.42%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 730 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 108.52% [4][6] - The demand for fiberglass in the wind power and new energy vehicle sectors is strong, and price increases in fiberglass products are expected to enhance profitability in 2025 [6] - The company adheres to a strategic framework of "one core, two chains, three highs, and four transformations" to strengthen its core fiberglass business and build a comprehensive industrial ecosystem [6] Financial Performance Summary - Q1 2025 financial results: - Revenue: 4.479 billion yuan, up 32.42% year-on-year - Net profit: 730 million yuan, up 108.52% year-on-year [4][6] - Revenue growth forecast for 2025-2027: - 2025: 19.106 billion yuan (20.50% growth) - 2026: 20.633 billion yuan (7.99% growth) - 2027: 22.071 billion yuan (6.97% growth) [7] - Net profit forecast for 2025-2027: - 2025: 3.216 billion yuan - 2026: 3.592 billion yuan - 2027: 3.934 billion yuan [7] - Current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for 2025-2027 are projected at 14.6, 13.1, and 12.0 respectively [6][7] Comparable Company Valuation - The average P/E ratio for comparable companies is 58.3 times for 2025, indicating a significant valuation gap compared to the company's current P/E [8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (首次覆盖) [3][6]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 3.524 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 3.4%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 22.08% to 249 million yuan [3][5]. - The company benefits from the domestic high-end and new high-temperature alloy production scale, with significant growth in overseas markets, particularly in sectors related to the Belt and Road Initiative, where revenue growth reached 54.08% [5][6]. - The industry outlook is positive, with a strong upward trend in demand for military and civil aviation engines, supported by a 7.2% increase in national defense spending in 2025 [5][6]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue for 2024 was 3.524 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 3.4%. The forecast for 2025 is 3.824 billion yuan, reflecting an expected growth rate of 8.51% [7]. - The net profit for 2024 was 249 million yuan, with projections of 288 million yuan for 2025, indicating a recovery with a growth rate of 15.93% [7]. - The company's gross margin is expected to improve, with a forecasted gross margin of 30.40% in 2025 [10]. Market and Product Insights - The company focuses over 60% of its products on the aerospace sector, which is expected to see robust growth in both military and civil aviation engine demands [5][6]. - The company is actively expanding its domestic and international markets, with significant potential in low-altitude economy and gas turbine sectors [5][6]. - The product structure is anticipated to optimize further, enhancing overall profitability and net profit margins in the coming years [5][6].

Core Insights - The report emphasizes the need for a "certain" approach to counter external "uncertainties" in the economic environment, highlighting the importance of stabilizing domestic demand and preparing for international trade challenges [5][12][13] - The first quarter of 2025 showed a GDP growth of 5.4%, surpassing the national target of 5% for 2024, indicating a positive economic trend [12][18] - The report outlines a collaborative effort between fiscal and monetary policies, with an emphasis on timely implementation and the introduction of new structural monetary policy tools [14][15] Market Analysis - The report notes that the A-share market has shown stability, with major indices experiencing slight increases during the observation period [21] - The industrial sector has seen a turnaround in profits, with Q1 2025 industrial profits increasing by 0.8% compared to a decline of 3.3% in 2024 [18][19] - The manufacturing sector, particularly high-tech manufacturing, has demonstrated significant profit growth, with high-tech manufacturing profits turning from a decline of 5.8% to an increase of 3.5% in Q1 2025 [19] Policy Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on sectors related to technological innovation and advanced manufacturing, particularly in electronics and digital economy [25] - It highlights the importance of expanding domestic demand, particularly in consumer goods such as home appliances and automobiles [25] - The report also emphasizes the need for risk mitigation in key areas such as real estate and capital markets, advocating for policies that stabilize these sectors [15][16]