Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for Chuanheng Co., Ltd. (002895.SZ) for the first time [1][10]. Core Views - The significant increase in phosphoric acid production and sales has driven the company's high growth in performance, with a total revenue of 5.906 billion yuan in 2024, up 36.72% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 956 million yuan, up 24.80% year-on-year [1][2]. Summary by Sections Revenue Growth - The company's revenue increased by 1.586 billion yuan year-on-year, primarily due to the production launch of the 200,000 tons/year semi-hydrated and dihydrate phosphoric acid and deep processing project by its subsidiary, Guangxi Pengyue. This new capacity significantly boosted product sales [2]. - Phosphoric acid production and sales grew by 96.57% and 107.89% year-on-year, contributing 1.872 billion yuan to revenue, a year-on-year increase of 120.63% [2]. - Feed-grade dicalcium phosphate production and sales increased by 23.11% and 15.81%, contributing 1.445 billion yuan to revenue, a year-on-year growth of 20.16% [2]. - Monoammonium phosphate production and sales rose by 23.57% and 15.68%, contributing 1.176 billion yuan to revenue, a year-on-year increase of 26.21% [2]. Cost and Cash Flow - The overall expense ratio decreased, with sales, management, and financial expense ratios down by 0.11%, 1.42%, and 1.36% respectively, while R&D expenses remained stable [3]. - The net cash flow from operating activities for 2024 was 859 million yuan, an increase of 331 million yuan year-on-year, mainly due to increased sales profits and government subsidies [3]. Shareholder Returns and R&D Investment - The company maintained a stable dividend policy, distributing 12.00 yuan (including tax) per 10 shares, with a payout ratio of 67.58% and a dividend yield of 4.88% [4]. - R&D expenses increased by 37.37% year-on-year, focusing on projects such as the stability research of semi-hydrated phosphogypsum filling bodies and new crystallization processes [4]. Profit Forecast - The company is expected to gradually expand its phosphate rock production capacity, with projected net profits attributable to shareholders of 1.217 billion yuan, 1.407 billion yuan, and 1.688 billion yuan for 2025-2027, corresponding to PE ratios of 10.2, 8.8, and 7.3 times respectively [10][12].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for Zhejiang Longsheng [9] Core Views - The company demonstrates resilience with counter-cyclical growth and diversified layout, achieving a global sales volume increase of 7.17% in the dye business despite industry challenges [2] - The company has established a comprehensive global R&D system supported by nearly 1900 domestic and international patents, creating a strong technical barrier for its product matrix [2] - The real estate business has seen significant revenue growth of 87.26% year-on-year, contributing to overall performance [2] - Operating cash flow has increased significantly, with a net cash flow of 9.265 billion, up 236.79% year-on-year, aided by substantial prepayments from real estate projects [3] - The company is focused on green manufacturing and low-carbon transformation, leveraging technology to enhance competitiveness and sustainability [4] - Future profit forecasts indicate a steady increase in net profit, with projections of 2.07 billion, 2.21 billion, and 2.39 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [9] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved total revenue of 15.884 billion, a year-on-year increase of 3.80%, and a net profit of 2.030 billion, up 32.36% [1] - The fourth quarter of 2024 saw a revenue of 5.274 billion, reflecting a 17.90% year-on-year increase and a 44.29% quarter-on-quarter increase [1] Business Segments - The dye and additive revenue grew by 0.94% and 7.63% respectively, outperforming industry averages [2] - The intermediate business experienced a sales volume increase of 16.55% and revenue growth of 4.58% [2] - The company’s overseas market revenue accounted for 42.15%, with the U.S. being a key sales region [2] Cost Management - The company effectively controlled costs, with a decrease in total cash outflow by 10.91% year-on-year [3] - Financial expenses decreased due to increased interest income, aiding in profit enhancement [3] Technological Innovation - The company is advancing its green manufacturing capabilities through innovative technologies and a comprehensive production system [4] - Plans for future development include a dual approach of independent research and strategic acquisitions to enhance service offerings [4]

2025 年 04 月 18 日 双融日报 --鑫融讯 分析师：万蓉 S1050511020001 wanrong@cfsc.com.cn 市场情绪：55 分（中性） 最近一年大盘走势 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 (%) 沪深300 资料来源：Wind，华鑫证券研究 相关研究 ▌ 华鑫市场情绪温度指标：（中性） 华鑫市场情绪温度指标显示，昨日市场情绪综合评分为 55 分，市场情绪处于"中性"。历史市场情绪趋势变化可参 考图表 1。 ▌ 热点主题追踪 今日热点主题：跨境支付、虚拟电厂、农业 1、跨境支付主题：关税政策增加了贸易的不确定性和成 本，企业需要更高效、稳定的支付系统来应对复杂的贸易环 境。CIPS 系统功能不断丰富，业务量稳步增长，网络覆盖的 广度和深度持续提升，能够为跨境贸易、投融资、金融市场 交易等各类型业务提供安全、高效、便捷的人民币跨境支付 服务。相关标的：跨境通（002640）、青岛金王（002094） 2、虚拟电厂主题：近日，国家发展改革委、国家能源局 发布《关于加快推进虚拟电厂发展的指导意见》。其中提 到，到 2027 年，虚拟电厂建设运行管理机制成熟规范，参与 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the food and beverage industry, indicating an expected outperformance of over 10% compared to the market index [10]. Core Insights - The March retail sales data exceeded expectations, with a total of 40,940 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5.9%, driven by the effects of the "old-for-new" policy [5]. - The restaurant sector showed strong resilience, with March dining revenue reaching 4,235 billion yuan, a 5.6% increase year-on-year, supported by policies aimed at expanding domestic demand [6]. - The report highlights specific investment opportunities in various segments, including high-performance liquor brands and efficient dairy producers, as well as emerging snack and beverage companies [7]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The food and beverage sector has shown mixed performance over different time frames, with a decline of 2.9% over the last month and a 5.7% increase over the last three months, while the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index has decreased by 5.6% in the last month but increased by 5.8% over the last year [1]. Retail Sales Data - In the first quarter of 2025, the total retail sales amounted to 124,671 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 4.6% [5]. - The significant growth in retail sales of optional consumer goods, such as home appliances and furniture, was noted, with increases of 35.1%, 29.5%, and 28.6% respectively [5]. Investment Opportunities - The report recommends specific companies within the liquor sector, such as Shanxi Fenjiu and Shede Liquor, which are expected to show high performance due to low base effects [7]. - In the dairy sector, companies like Modern Farming and Youran Dairy are highlighted for their cost efficiency and production advantages [7]. - The snack food segment is also seen as having growth potential, with recommendations for companies like Wancheng Group and Youyou Foods, which are expected to benefit from channel expansions and new product categories [7].

2025 年 04 月 17 日 投资要点 ▌核心主业韧性凸显，磷矿业务成长为第二曲线 作为国内首家复合肥行业上市公司，2024 年公司各业务条线 表现稳健。全年化肥制造/磷矿采选/新能源材料板块产量分 别为 77.15/140.03/0.32 万吨，销量分别为 76.63/99.82/ 0.07 万吨，营业收入分别达 26.02/7.06/0.05 亿元。复合肥 作为营收占比 76.60% 的支柱产品，虽营收同比下滑 7.41%， 但依托技术创新与市场布局维持了稳定的市场份额，彰显传 统业务强劲韧性。磷矿采选业务营收同比增长 81.62%，逐步 成长为公司业绩增长第二核心。主要得益于公司前瞻性布局 上游稀缺磷矿资产，公司依托贵州小高寨优质磷矿资源打通 上下游产业链，有望逐步实现磷矿石自给。年内公司磷矿石 产 量 同 比 增 长 46.88% ， 磷 精 矿 产 量 / 销 量 同 比 增 长 325.47%/338.03%。磷矿产销量的爆发式增长不仅直接拉动营 收，更通过上下游协同优化公司整体毛利率，强化公司护城 河。目前公司持有的小高寨磷矿储量共计 6392 万吨，小高寨 磷矿 200 万吨扩建项目已于 ...

2025 年 04 月 17 日 磷矿构筑第二曲线，智慧农业转型开拓新空间 —芭田股份（002170.SZ）公司事件点评报告 买入(首次) 事件 芭田股份发布年度业绩报告：2024 年全年实现营业总收入 33.13 亿元，同比增长 2.15%；实现归母净利润 4.09 亿元，同 比增长57.67%。其中2024Q4单季度实现营业收入8.80亿元， 同比增长 20.71%，环比下滑 0.31%，实现归母净利润 2.05 亿 元，同比增长 199.92%，环比增长 278.12%。 投资要点 ▌核心主业韧性凸显，磷矿业务成长为第二曲线 作为国内首家复合肥行业上市公司，2024 年公司各业务条线 表现稳健。全年化肥制造/磷矿采选/新能源材料板块产量分 别为 77.15/140.03/0.32 万吨，销量分别为 76.63/99.82/ 0.07 万吨，营业收入分别达 26.02/7.06/0.05 亿元。复合肥 作为营收占比 76.60% 的支柱产品，虽营收同比下滑 7.41%， 但依托技术创新与市场布局维持了稳定的市场份额，彰显传 统业务强劲韧性。磷矿采选业务营收同比增长 81.62%，逐步 成长为公司业绩增长第 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company's revenue and profit have shown significant improvement in Q1 2025, with revenue reaching 382 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 29.8%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 40 million yuan, marking a return to profitability [5] - The company is leveraging the "experience economy" to drive new business growth, focusing on upgrading existing projects and expanding into new cultural and technological consumption scenarios [6] - The establishment of the "Embodied Intelligence Research Institute" and strategic partnerships aim to enhance the company's capabilities in providing integrated solutions for cultural venues and new tourism projects [7][8] - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are projected at 1.725 billion, 2.114 billion, and 2.490 billion yuan respectively, with net profits expected to be 208 million, 301 million, and 427 million yuan, indicating a strong growth trajectory [9][11] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 382 million yuan, a 29.8% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 40 million yuan, indicating a turnaround from previous losses [5] - The gross margin and net margin for Q1 2025 were 31.49% and 10.53% respectively, showing continuous improvement [5] Business Strategy - The company is deepening its core business by integrating "IP + technology + operations" to drive growth through existing exhibition content updates and technological upgrades [6] - New cultural and technological consumption scenarios are being developed to stimulate domestic demand, with projects like "Dream Back to the Yuanmingyuan VR Large Space" and offline exhibitions of popular IPs [6] Market Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from the ongoing demand for immersive and interactive digital exhibitions, with a focus on enhancing digital technology capabilities and building a digital art IP matrix [9] - The projected PE ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 25.7, 17.7, and 12.5 respectively, indicating an attractive valuation as the company continues to recover and grow [9]

2025 年 04 月 17 日 主业向好 以体验经济为支点撬动业务新增量可 期 买入(维持) 事件 分析师：朱珠 S1050521110001 zhuzhu@cfsc.com.cn | 基本数据 | 2025-04-16 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价（元） | 8.96 | | 总市值（亿元） | 53 | | 总股本（百万股） | 595 | | 流通股本（百万股） | 595 | | 52 周价格范围（元） | 6.58-12.8 | | 日均成交额（百万元） | 213.68 | 市场表现 -50 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 (%) 风语筑 沪深300 资料来源：Wind，华鑫证券研究 相关研究 1、《风语筑（603466）：业绩预告 落地 2025 年体验经济新需求与新供 给有望助力主业修复》2025-01-18 2、《风语筑（603466）：主业在手 订单充沛静待经营拐点》2024-04- 25 3、《风语筑（603466）：2023 主业 修复喜人 2024 年有望再创佳绩》 2024-01-25 —风语筑（603466.SH）公司事件点评报告 上海风语 ...

Core Insights - The report indicates that the current market sentiment is rated at 35 points, categorized as "cold," suggesting a cautious investment environment [6][11][23] - Recent trends show that when sentiment falls below or near 30 points, the market tends to find support, while levels above 90 points may indicate resistance [11][23] Industry Themes Tracking - **Cross-Border Payment**: Increased tariff policies have raised trade uncertainties and costs, necessitating more efficient payment systems. The CIPS system is expanding its functionalities and business volume, providing secure and efficient RMB cross-border payment services. Related companies include Cross-Border Communication (002640) and Qingdao Kingking (002094) [7] - **Virtual Power Plants**: The National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration have issued guidelines to accelerate the development of virtual power plants. By 2027, the capacity is expected to exceed 20 million kilowatts, and by 2030, it should reach over 50 million kilowatts. Related companies include Guoneng Rixin (301162) and Kehua Data (002335) [7] - **Agriculture**: The Central Committee and the State Council have released a plan to strengthen the agricultural sector from 2024 to 2035, focusing on independent innovation in seed industry and resource protection. Related companies include Dabeinong (002385) and Fengle Seed Industry (000713) [7] Market Capital Flow - The report lists the top ten stocks with the highest net inflow of funds, with notable mentions such as Julu Intelligent (60,852.40 thousand) and Lianyungang (46,491.91 thousand) [12][13] - It also highlights the top ten stocks with the highest net outflow, including Hangang Co. (63,168.94 thousand) and Luxshare Precision (59,596.49 thousand) [14][24] Financing and Margin Trading - The report provides insights into margin trading, indicating that net buying typically reflects investor optimism, while net selling suggests a bearish outlook. The net buying amount is calculated as financing net buying minus margin selling [25]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for Dongpeng Beverage [2][10] Core Views - The company continues to deliver strong performance with revenue and net profit for Q1 2025 reaching 4.848 billion and 980 million yuan, respectively, representing year-on-year growth of 39.2% and 47.6% [6] - The decline in raw material prices has improved profitability, with gross margin and net margin at 44% and 20%, respectively, showing increases of 1.7 and 1.1 percentage points year-on-year [6] - The company is expanding its product categories and geographic reach, with significant growth in its direct sales and online channels [8] Summary by Sections Performance Overview - Q1 2025 total revenue and net profit were 4.848 billion and 980 million yuan, with year-on-year growth of 39.2% and 47.6% [6] - Gross margin and net margin improved to 44% and 20%, with increases of 1.7 and 1.1 percentage points year-on-year [6] - Operating cash flow decreased by 26.5% year-on-year to 631 million yuan due to high pre-receivable bases and increased tax payments [6] Product Performance - Revenue from energy drinks, electrolyte drinks, and other beverages for Q1 2025 were 3.901 billion, 570 million, and 375 million yuan, with year-on-year growth of 26%, 261%, and 73% respectively [7] - The main product, Dongpeng Special Drink, continues to grow rapidly, while the new product "Brew Water" is in a high-growth phase [7] Channel and Regional Growth - Revenue from distribution, direct sales, and online channels for Q1 2025 were 4.283 billion, 457 million, and 104 million yuan, with year-on-year growth of 37%, 63%, and 54% respectively [8] - Revenue from the Guangxi and Guangdong regions and other regions reached 1.503 billion and 3.342 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth of 24% and 48% respectively [8] Profit Forecast - The company is expected to continue gaining market share in the energy drink sector, with electrolyte water becoming a second growth curve [10] - The EPS forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted to 8.67, 11.20, and 14.18 yuan, with corresponding PE ratios of 31, 24, and 19 times [10]