足及起 2026 年 01 月 12 日 朱赫 A0230524070002 zhuhe@swsresearch.com 联系人 朱赫 A0230524070002 zhuhe@swsresearch.com 申万宏源研究微信服务号 游戏 行业高 证券分析师 王璐 A0230516080007 wanglu@swsresearch.com 莫龙庭 A0230523080005 molt@swsresearch.com 傅浩玮 A0230522010001 fuhw@swsresearch.com 朱赫 A0230524070002 zhuhe@swsresearch.com 研究支持 看好 相关研究 环保:《固体废物综合治理行动计划》发布，再生资源化是进一步方向。行动计划提出，到 2030 年，重点领域固体废物专项整治取得明显成效，大宗固体废弃物年综合利用量达到 45 亿吨，主要 再生资源年循环利用量达到 5.1 亿吨，固体废物综合治理能力和水平显著提升。当前在基础设施投 放下降、城市生活垃圾焚烧建设已经基本完成的背景下，由发改委牵头出台的"固废十条"，指向 的不再是财政买单的大型工程建设项目，而是要重整经济 ...

行 业 及 产 业 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 - 证券分析师 zhuhe@swsresearch.com 2026 年 01 月 12 日 固体废物综合治理行动计划发布 全 球气价普跌 看好 —— 申万公用环保周报(26/01/05~26/01/09) 本期投资提示： 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 王璐 A0230516080007 wanglu@swsresearch.com 莫龙庭 A0230523080005 molt@swsresearch.com 傅浩玮 A0230522010001 fuhw@swsresearch.com 朱赫 A0230524070002 zhuhe@swsresearch.com 研究支持 朱赫 A0230524070002 zhuhe@swsresearch.com 联系人 朱赫 A0230524070002 证 券 研 究 报 告 公用事业 相关研究 ⚫ 环保：《固体废物综合治理行动计划》发布，再生资源化是进一步方向。行动计划提出，到 2030 年，重点领域固体废物专项整治取得明显成效，大宗固体废弃物 ...

瑞银发布研报称，维持对中国燃气(00384)的"买入"评级，并将目标价由8.2港元上调至8.9港元，基于其 股息收益率达7%，高于同业平均的4%至5%。管理层指引截至2026年3月财年每股股息为0.5港元，该行 相信此股息水平可于未来几年持续，即使在基本面偏弱下仍能提供下行支持。 ...

智通财经APP获悉，瑞银发布研报称，维持对中国燃气(00384)的"买入"评级，并将目标价由8.2港元上 调至8.9港元，基于其股息收益率达7%，高于同业平均的4%至5%。管理层指引截至2026年3月财年每股 股息为0.5港元，该行相信此股息水平可于未来几年持续，即使在基本面偏弱下仍能提供下行支持。 ...

值得注意的是，中国燃气作为国内领先的跨区域综合能源服务商，已成为工商业用户侧储能领域备受投 资者关注的玩家。 依托技术积累与全产业链布局优势，中国燃气打造了"源-网-荷-储"多元化服务体系，实现从设备运营到 综合能源服务的升级，这让其在工商业储能细分领域展现出技术和运维优势。 今年初，国家发改委与国家能源局联合发布的《关于深化新能源上网电价市场化改革 促进新能源高质 量发展的通知》（以下简称"136号文"）提出，推动新能源上网电量参与市场交易、建立新能源可持续 发展价格结算机制，并明确不得将配置储能作为新建新能源项目核准、并网、上网等的前置条件。 这促使储能项目从单纯满足政策合规性，转向聚焦于为用户和电力系统创造实际收益，其中，峰谷套 利、现货交易价差、调频辅助服务等组成了多元化的收益组合。 储能技术加持，全生命周期服务满足用户需求 中国燃气在储能解决方案上的竞争力，最终体现在持续为企业能源管理创造价值。 "峰谷套利"是首要的收益来源。以湖南某电子厂项目为例，该厂配电容量为240MVA，储能装机容量为 10MW/20MWh，每日谷时8h充电，平时4h充电，峰时分两段时间放电3h+5h，年运行天数330天，从而 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report from Daiwa upgrades the outlook for the mainland natural gas industry to "neutral," anticipating improvements in the fundamentals of companies by 2026 [1] Industry Summary - It is expected that the sales volume of major natural gas companies in mainland China will see low single-digit growth compared to last year's low base by 2026 [1] - The gas price margin is projected to increase by 1 to 2 cents year-on-year, assuming a mild winter and no significant deterioration in competition [1] - The new connection volume for major companies is expected to decline by low to mid-double digits year-on-year, although its impact is gradually diminishing [1] Company Summary - Major companies are expected to maintain stable or slightly increased dividends year-on-year [1] - The report favors high-yield stocks such as China Gas (00384) and Hong Kong and China Gas (00003), with target prices set at HKD 8.3 and HKD 7.7 respectively, both rated as "outperform" [1] - The rating for Hong Kong and China Gas has been upgraded from "hold" to "outperform" due to potential turnaround in its EcoCeres business [1]

Core Viewpoint - Daiwa has upgraded its view on the mainland natural gas industry to "neutral," anticipating improvements in the fundamentals of companies by 2026 [1] Industry Summary - It is expected that the sales volume of major natural gas companies in the mainland will see low to mid-single-digit growth compared to last year's low base by 2026 [1] - The gas price differential is projected to increase by 1 to 2 cents year-on-year, assuming a mild winter and no significant deterioration in competition [1] - The new connection volume for major companies is expected to decline by low to mid-double digits year-on-year, although the impact is gradually diminishing [1] Company Summary - Major companies are expected to maintain stable or slightly increased dividends year-on-year [1] - The company prefers high-yield stocks such as China Gas and Towngas, with target prices set at HKD 8.3 and HKD 7.7 respectively, both rated as "outperform" [1] - Towngas's rating has been upgraded from "hold" to "outperform" due to potential turnaround in its EcoCeres business [1]

人民财讯1月6日电，记者从中国银行间市场了解到，1月6日，中国燃气控股有限公司正式启动了两笔熊 猫债的发行工作，每笔发行金额皆为5亿元人民币。此次募集到的资金将统一归集至发行人在境内开立 的NRA账户，并专项用于偿还发行人即将到期的债务融资工具。据悉，此举标志着2026年度熊猫债发 行的正式拉开序幕。 ...

股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年12月31日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 中國燃氣控股有限公司 呈交日期: 2026年1月5日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 2. 股份分類 | 優先股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | 否 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | N/A | 說明 | 優先股B | | | | | | | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）數目 | | 庫存股份數目 | | 已發行股份總數 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 56,402,477 | | 0 | | 56,402,477 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 0 | | 0 | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 56,402,477 | | 0 | | 56,402,477 | | 3. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | 是 | | | -- ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the power and gas sectors, indicating potential investment opportunities in these areas [1]. Core Insights - The 2026 long-term electricity prices are under pressure, with significant declines observed in transaction prices across various provinces, reflecting a shift in the power generation model from reliance on thermal power to a more diversified income structure [6][7]. - Natural gas consumption saw a year-on-year increase of 5.1% in November 2025, indicating a recovery in demand, particularly due to heating needs during the winter season [34]. - The report highlights the importance of optimizing the electricity market mechanism and restructuring the power generation mix as key future trends [7]. Summary by Sections 1. Electricity: 2026 Long-term Electricity Prices - The annual transaction results for 2026 show a total transaction volume of 2,724.81 billion kWh in Jiangsu, with a weighted average price of 344.19 yuan/MWh, down 16.55% from the previous year [6][8]. - Similar trends are observed in Guangdong and Anhui, with prices decreasing by 5.03% and 10.09% respectively [6][8]. - The report suggests that coastal provinces will face significant pricing pressure in 2026, as the role of thermal power shifts from being the main energy source to a regulatory support role [7]. 2. Gas: November Natural Gas Consumption - In November 2025, the apparent consumption of natural gas reached 362.8 billion m³, marking a 5.1% increase year-on-year, while the total consumption from January to November was 3,880 billion m³, a slight decline of 0.1% [34]. - The report notes that the increase in consumption is attributed to a low base from the previous year and a recovery in industrial gas demand [34]. - The report also highlights a favorable trend in natural gas pricing, with a decrease in costs due to lower international oil prices and improved supply conditions [36]. 3. Investment Analysis Recommendations - For thermal power, the report recommends companies with integrated coal and power operations, such as Guodian Power and Inner Mongolia Huadian, as well as those with significant large unit ratios like Datang Power and Huaneng International [10]. - In the hydropower sector, companies like Yangtze Power and Guotou Power are recommended due to their sufficient capacity and expected improvements in profit margins [10]. - The report suggests focusing on nuclear power companies like China Nuclear Power and China General Nuclear Power, which have stable cost structures and high utilization hours [10]. - For green energy, companies such as Xintian Green Energy and Longyuan Power are highlighted for their stable returns and increasing operational benefits from environmental value releases [10].