Group 1 - Shein is considering a listing in Hong Kong, which has sparked discussions about its compliance and regulatory challenges in the UK and Europe [1][5][14] - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) has a "Special Technology Companies" listing route, but Shein does not fit the defined criteria for this category [2][4] - Shein's growth has slowed significantly, with projected revenue growth dropping to 19% in 2024 and a nearly 40% decline in net profit [4][15] Group 2 - Shein has faced multiple compliance issues, including a €40 million fine in France for misleading commercial practices, which raises concerns for HKEX [6][8][9] - The company is under investigation for privacy violations and has been accused of using deceptive marketing practices that may infringe on consumer rights [8][9] - Shein's legal troubles extend to intellectual property disputes in both the US and Europe, with numerous lawsuits filed against it [9][10] Group 3 - Shein has been criticized for its "de-China" stance, distancing itself from its Chinese roots to appeal to Western regulators [10][12][13] - The company has been accused of supporting policies that could harm the interests of the Chinese market, which has led to backlash [12][13] - There are concerns that Shein's potential listing could negatively impact the reputation of HKEX due to its ongoing controversies [14] Group 4 - Shein's valuation target of $50 billion is considered inflated, with a more reasonable estimate around $30 billion based on industry standards [15][18] - The company reportedly has $12 billion in cash, indicating it does not have an urgent need for capital, suggesting the listing may primarily benefit existing shareholders [18] - The HKEX's "Special Technology Companies" route is intended for genuine tech firms, and Shein's listing may undermine the integrity of this initiative [18]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) has announced the latest list of members for its Listing Committee, which consists of 28 members, effective from July 4, 2025, highlighting the committee's composition and its role in overseeing the listing process and regulatory compliance [1][5][9]. Group 1: Committee Composition - The new chairman of the Listing Committee is Huang Jiaxin, with Terence Keyes and Liu Guoxian serving as vice-chairmen [5][8]. - The committee includes a diverse range of professionals from finance, law, and accounting, with a total of 28 members, including 8 investor representatives and 19 industry representatives [7][9]. - The committee has seen the addition of 5 new members with backgrounds in investment, private equity, and law, while 5 members have retired [6][9]. Group 2: Member Selection and Criteria - The selection process for committee members is competitive, with a success rate of 9.4% for the 2025 applications, indicating a rigorous vetting process [7][9]. - Members are required to have significant experience in legal, financial, auditing, or corporate governance fields, with a preference for candidates from top investment banks, law firms, and leading funds [7][9]. - The committee aims for a balance of expertise, with a focus on professional independence and representation from various sectors [9][13]. Group 3: Responsibilities and Functions - The Listing Committee is responsible for approving listing applications, enforcing listing rules, handling significant listing matters, interpreting and amending listing rules, and ensuring market fairness and investor protection [11][12]. - The committee evaluates whether companies meet the necessary financial and governance standards for listing, and it has the authority to impose disciplinary actions for non-compliance [12][13]. - The decision-making process is structured as a closed-loop system involving pre-review, deliberation, voting, and review, ensuring confidentiality and integrity in the decision-making process [13]. Group 4: Market Trends and Future Outlook - The Hong Kong IPO market is showing signs of recovery, with an increasing number of Chinese companies considering re-listing in Hong Kong amid geopolitical tensions [9][10]. - The committee's focus on candidates with expertise in specialized technology and ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) disclosures reflects the evolving needs of the market [10][13]. - As cross-border restructuring and compliance issues become more complex, the committee's members will need to integrate legal, financial, and industry knowledge to address these challenges effectively [10].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is the performance of the CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Non-Bank Financial Theme Index, which has shown significant growth in recent months, indicating a positive trend in the non-bank financial sector within the Hong Kong market [1][2] - The CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Non-Bank Financial Theme Index increased by 2.9% to 3900.59 points, with a trading volume of 61.334 billion yuan on July 11 [1] - Over the past month, the index has risen by 7.55%, by 38.24% over the last three months, and by 30.42% year-to-date [1] Group 2 - The index comprises up to 50 listed companies that meet the non-bank financial theme criteria, reflecting the overall performance of this sector within the Hong Kong Stock Connect [1] - The top ten weighted companies in the index include China Ping An (15.49%), Hong Kong Exchanges (14.08%), AIA Group (13.98%), China Life (8.51%), and others, indicating a concentration in major financial institutions [1] - The index is fully composed of financial sector companies, with a 100% allocation to this industry [2] Group 3 - The index samples are adjusted biannually, with changes implemented on the next trading day following the second Friday of June and December [2] - In special circumstances, the index may undergo temporary adjustments, such as removing companies that are delisted or adding new companies that meet the criteria [2] - The handling of mergers, acquisitions, and other corporate actions is governed by specific calculation and maintenance guidelines [2]

Core Insights - On July 11, 2025, Zhongzhou Securities (01375), Guotai Junan International (01788), and Juxing Legend (06683) were the top three companies by trading volume in the Southbound Stock Connect, with trading amounts of 85.75 billion, 83.76 billion, and 51.63 billion respectively [1] - In the Southbound Stock Connect for the Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect, Guotai Junan International (01788), Zhongzhou Securities (01375), and Alibaba-W (09988) led the trading volume, with amounts of 31.31 billion, 31.15 billion, and 22.84 billion respectively [1] Southbound Stock Connect (Shanghai-Hong Kong) - Top active trading companies included: - Zhongzhou Securities (01375): 85.75 billion, net buy of +2.29 billion - Guotai Junan International (01788): 83.76 billion, net sell of -131.407 million - Juxing Legend (06683): 51.63 billion, net sell of -127.556 million - Alibaba-W (09988): 37.09 billion, net sell of -9.13 billion - Meituan-W (03690): 23.18 billion, net buy of +4.02 billion [2] Southbound Stock Connect (Shenzhen-Hong Kong) - Top active trading companies included: - Guotai Junan International (01788): 31.31 billion, net buy of +1.84 billion - Zhongzhou Securities (01375): 31.15 billion, net sell of -45.3737 million - Alibaba-W (09988): 22.84 billion, net buy of +7.30 billion - Tencent Holdings (00700): 18.63 billion, net sell of -66.2962 million - Juxing Legend (06683): 15.78 billion, net buy of +1.48114 million [2]

Group 1 - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) announced the appointment of a new listing committee for the Main Board and GEM on July 4, 2025 [1] - Mr. Fang Yuan has been appointed as a member of the listing committee, marking him as the first member from the fund of funds industry [1] Group 2 - The "2025 Investment Institutions Soft Power Ranking" evaluation has been launched [3] - The "2025 Fund of Funds Annual Forum" is set to commence, gathering significant Chinese influence [3] - There is a growing trend among listed companies to engage in merger and acquisition funds this year [3]

Group 1: Market Overview - On July 11, the Hong Kong stock market saw a net inflow of 1.744 billion HKD from northbound trading, with the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect recording a net outflow of 2.197 billion HKD and the Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect showing a net inflow of 3.941 billion HKD [1] - The most bought stocks by northbound investors included Meituan-W (03690), Ping An of China (02318), and Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (00388) [1] - The most sold stocks included Xiaomi Group-W (01810), Alibaba-W (09988), and Tencent (00700) [1] Group 2: Stock Performance - Meituan-W (03690) received a net inflow of 715 million HKD, while Alibaba-W (09988) faced a net outflow of 183 million HKD [4] - Ping An of China (02318) saw a net inflow of 523 million HKD, benefiting from the Ministry of Finance's enhanced long-term assessments for state-owned commercial insurance companies [5] - Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (00388) experienced a net inflow of 255 million HKD, supported by continued inflows from southbound funds and increased IPO activity [5] Group 3: Sector Insights - The brokerage sector saw net inflows, with Zhongzhou Securities (01375) and Guotai Junan (02611) receiving net inflows of 183 million HKD and 2.06 million HKD, respectively [6] - The IPO market remains robust, with June seeing 150 IPO applications, accounting for 85% of the total for the first half of the year [6] - Xiaomi Group-W (01810) faced a significant net outflow of 738 million HKD, despite reporting over 300,000 cumulative deliveries of its electric vehicles [6]

Core Viewpoint - Bank of America has reduced its stake in Bilibili-W from 6.25% to 6.07% as of July 8 [1] Company Summary - The reduction in Bank of America's holding indicates a slight decrease in confidence or a strategic shift regarding Bilibili-W [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (HKEX) is expected to report strong earnings growth in Q2 2025, with a projected year-on-year increase of 31% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 1% [1] - For Q2 2025, total revenue is anticipated to reach HKD 68.7 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 27% and a flat quarter-on-quarter performance, while the main fee income is expected to be HKD 54.8 billion, up 30% year-on-year [1] - The trading activity in spot and commodity markets remains high, while derivatives trading shows a marginal decline; spot trading ADT is projected to be HKD 2,381 billion, a 96% increase year-on-year [1] Group 2 - The IPO market is expected to remain active, with 27 IPOs completed in Q2 2025, raising HKD 884 billion, which is a significant increase of 932% year-on-year [1] - The investment income is projected to grow by 15% year-on-year to HKD 13.9 billion, driven by a favorable interest rate environment and increased margin requirements in a high volatility market [1] - The long-term growth potential for HKEX is supported by the expected increase in daily trading volume, with a projected CAGR of 14% for the next decade, leading to a profit CAGR of 12% [2] Group 3 - The current valuation of HKEX is at 34x/32x P/E for 2025/2026, with a target price of HKD 465, indicating an 11% upside potential [2]

Core Viewpoints - Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) reported a significant increase in market activity, with the average daily turnover (ADT) reaching HKD 2,376.77 billion in Q2 2025, a year-on-year increase of 95.46% [1][2][3] - The influx of southbound capital has contributed to high trading volumes, with a total net purchase of HKD 2,728.63 billion from April to June 2025, marking a 24.77% increase year-on-year [3][4] - The number of new IPOs in Q2 2025 rose to 27, up by 9 from the same period last year, with total IPO fundraising amounting to HKD 880.43 billion, a year-on-year increase of 906.67% [1][3][5] Market Performance - As of June 2025, the market capitalization of the Hong Kong securities market stood at HKD 42.68 trillion, reflecting a 6.84% increase quarter-on-quarter and a 32.82% increase year-on-year [2] - The Hang Seng Index increased by 4.12% in Q2 2025, while the Hang Seng Tech Index experienced a slight decline of 1.70% [2] IPO and Trading Activity - The surge in IPO activity was driven by major A-share companies listing in Hong Kong, including notable firms like CATL and Hengrui Medicine, which collectively raised HKD 737.72 billion, accounting for 83.79% of the total IPO fundraising in Q2 [3][5] - Derivatives and commodity contracts saw increased trading volumes due to heightened demand for risk hedging, with average daily trading volumes for futures and options reaching 1.54 million contracts in Q2, a 15.34% increase year-on-year [3][4] Investment and Future Outlook - Despite a decline in investment returns due to lower HIBOR rates, the overall yield remains high, with expectations of continued growth in Q2 performance [4][5] - The company maintains a "buy" rating, projecting a target price of HKD 480.08 per share based on a 40x PE ratio for 2025, indicating a favorable outlook for future market activity and valuation recovery [7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Hong Kong Exchanges is "Buy" with a 12-month target price of HK$450, indicating an upside potential of 10.2% from the current price of HK$408.20 [3][2]. Core Insights - The report revises the earnings per share (EPS) estimates for Hong Kong Exchanges for 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E down by -1.8%, -1.5%, and -1.2% respectively, based on updated volume data for June 2025 and July 2025 [1][2]. - The investment income estimates have also been updated to reflect the latest HIBOR forecasts, but the overall investment thesis remains unchanged [1]. - The target price is derived from a 3-stage Dividend Discount Model (DDM), implying a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 37X for 2026E [2][3]. Financial Projections - Market capitalization is reported at HK$517.5 billion (approximately $65.9 billion) [3]. - Revenue projections for the upcoming years are as follows: 2024E at HK$22,374 million, 2025E at HK$25,351.9 million, 2026E at HK$26,573 million, and 2027E at HK$28,025.7 million [3]. - EPS estimates are revised to HK$10.32 for 2025E, HK$11.49 for 2026E, and HK$12.04 for 2027E [3]. - The report indicates a dividend per share (DPS) of HK$9.26 for 2025E, with a projected dividend yield of 3.5% [3]. Risks and Methodology - The report identifies potential downside risks including increased competition from onshore capital markets, lower trading velocity in the cash market, fee pressure from reduced fees in China, and a sustained deflationary environment in China [2]. - The methodology for the target price is based on a 3-stage DDM approach, which is a standard valuation method used in the industry [2].