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申万宏源:维持香港交易所(00388)“买入”评级 3Q25现货股票ADT高基数下延续同环比高增
智通财经网· 2025-11-06 08:06
Core Viewpoint - The report from Shenwan Hongyuan raises the profit forecast for Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (00388) and maintains a "buy" rating, citing strong trading activity in the Hong Kong stock market and expectations for continued market engagement due to the return of quality Chinese assets and the extension of cross-border connectivity to IPOs [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the first nine months of 2025 (9M25), Hong Kong Exchanges reported total revenue of HKD 21.85 billion, a year-on-year increase of 37%, with main revenue at HKD 20.44 billion, up 41% [2]. - Net profit for 9M25 reached HKD 13.42 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 45% [2]. - In the third quarter of 2025 (3Q25), main revenue was HKD 7.48 billion, up 54% year-on-year and 13% quarter-on-quarter, while net profit was HKD 4.90 billion, increasing by 56% year-on-year and 10% quarter-on-quarter [2]. Revenue Breakdown - Revenue sources for 9M25 include: trading fees at HKD 7.83 billion (39%), clearing and settlement fees at HKD 5.27 billion (26%), investment income at HKD 3.89 billion (19%), listing fees at HKD 1.27 billion (6%), and market data fees at HKD 0.87 billion (4%) [3]. - Year-on-year growth rates for various fees include: trading fees +57%, clearing and settlement fees +66%, listing fees +17%, and market data fees +8% [3]. Trading Activity - The average daily turnover (ADT) for Hong Kong stocks in 9M25 was HKD 238.7 billion, a year-on-year increase of 132%, with 3Q25 ADT reaching a record high of HKD 267.9 billion, up 150% year-on-year [3]. - Southbound ADT for 9M25 was HKD 125.9 billion, up 229%, while northbound ADT was RMB 206.4 billion, up 67% [3]. IPO Market - In 9M25, the Hong Kong IPO market raised HKD 188.3 billion, three times the amount raised in the same period last year, with 69 new IPOs [5]. - As of the end of 3Q25, there were 297 IPO applications in process, compared to 84 at the end of 2024 [5]. Investment Income - Investment income for 3Q25 was HKD 1.02 billion, down 16% year-on-year and 34% quarter-on-quarter, contributing 21% to net profit [6]. - The decline in investment income was attributed to reduced external fund composition and narrowed exchange rate gains [6].
高盛11月港股优选:友邦、联想、小米等成布局重点
智通财经网· 2025-11-06 07:53
Group 1 - Goldman Sachs has raised GDP growth expectations for China and India due to manufacturing and export growth [1] - The report expresses a more favorable outlook for the technology, materials, insurance, and industrial sectors this month [1] - Ratings for the energy sector and other industries have been downgraded [1] Group 2 - Goldman Sachs has released a new list of buy-rated stocks in the Hong Kong market, including AIA (01299.HK), Techtronic Industries (00669.HK), China Pacific Insurance (02328.HK), and Lenovo Group (00992.HK) among others [2] - The list features a total of 25 companies, indicating a diverse range of sectors and investment opportunities [2][3]
瞄准科技 + 材料 + 保险!高盛 11 月力推这些港股标的
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-06 07:47
Group 1 - Goldman Sachs has raised GDP growth expectations for China and India due to manufacturing and export growth [1] - The report expresses a positive outlook for the technology, materials, insurance, and industrial sectors this month [1] - Ratings for the real estate and energy sectors have been downgraded [1] Group 2 - A list of recommended stocks for investment in the Hong Kong market includes: AIA (01299.HK), Xiaomi-W (01810.HK), Hong Kong Exchanges (00388.HK), Ping An (02318.HK), Zijin Mining (02899.HK), Techtronic Industries (00669.HK), China Pacific Insurance (02328.HK), China Life Insurance (02601.HK), Lenovo Group (00992.HK), Luoyang Molybdenum (03993.HK), Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347.HK), Zhaojin Mining (01818.HK), Chalco (02600.HK), Weichai Power (02338.HK), CICC (03908.HK), Jiangxi Copper (00358.HK), AAC Technologies (02018.HK), Conch Cement (00914.HK), BYD Electronics (00285.HK), Minmetals Resources (01208.HK), CRRC (01766.HK), JD Logistics (02618.HK), Swire Properties A (00019.HK), China National Building Material (03323.HK), and Times Electric (03898.HK) [1]
香港交易所(00388):2025 三季报点评:ADT相关业务持续改善,估值有提升空间
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-11-06 07:40
Investment Rating - The investment rating for Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report highlights a significant improvement in ADT-related businesses, indicating potential for valuation uplift. The company's revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025 reached HKD 218.5 billion and HKD 134.2 billion, respectively, representing year-on-year increases of 37% and 45% [5][6] - The report anticipates continued high growth in the company's fundamentals, driven by a recovery in IPO activities and sustained inflows of southbound capital, with a forecasted increase in ADT for 2025-2027 [5][6] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q1-Q3 2025, trading, settlement, listing, custody, data, and other investment income grew by 57%, 66%, 16%, 25%, 8%, 10%, and 4% year-on-year, respectively. The core driver of revenue growth is the significant increase in trading and settlement fees directly linked to ADT [5][6] - The company has revised its ADT assumptions for 2025-2027 to HKD 2,580 billion, HKD 2,620 billion, and HKD 2,700 billion, reflecting year-on-year growth of 96%, 2%, and 3% [5][6] Market Outlook - The primary market for Hong Kong stocks is experiencing high demand, with 69 new listings in Q1-Q3 2025, a 53% increase year-on-year, and total fundraising amounting to HKD 1,883 billion, more than three times that of the same period in 2024 [7] - The report notes that the trading volume is expected to remain active due to the influx of quality assets from Chinese concept stocks returning to Hong Kong and the wave of A-share listings in Hong Kong [7] Valuation and Dividend - The expected dividend yield for 2025 is 3.0%, assuming a constant payout ratio of 90%. The report suggests that a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve could drive foreign capital back into the Hong Kong market, benefiting the exchange [8] - The current PE ratio is 31.2, which is at the 22nd percentile of the past ten years, indicating room for valuation improvement [8]
开源证券:维持港交所(00388)“买入”评级 25Q3业绩符合预期
智通财经网· 2025-11-06 07:13
Core Viewpoint - The report from Kaiyuan Securities indicates that the Hong Kong stock market is experiencing long-term asset expansion driven by the AtoH wave and the return of Chinese concept stocks, alongside sustained net inflows from southbound capital, leading to increased trading volume and high growth in related revenues for Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (HKEX) [1] Group 1: Revenue and Trading Volume Growth - The active spot ADT has driven significant increases in trading and settlement revenues, with trading fees and system usage fees reaching HKD 7.8 billion, a year-on-year increase of 57%, including spot/derivatives/commodity revenues of HKD 4.7 billion/HKD 2.0 billion/HKD 1.1 billion, reflecting increases of 116%/15%/6% respectively [2] - The trading volume for Hong Kong stocks reached new highs, with southbound ADT at HKD 1,259 billion, a year-on-year increase of 229%, and northbound ADT at RMB 2,060 billion, a year-on-year increase of 67% [2] - The primary market for Hong Kong stocks remains robust, with 69 new listings in the first three quarters of 2025, a 53% increase year-on-year, and total fundraising amounting to HKD 1,883 billion, more than three times that of the same period in 2024 [2] Group 2: Investment Returns and Dividend Expectations - The investment return rate for HKEX has decreased, with net investment income of HKD 3.89 billion in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 4%, and project investment/margin investment returns at 4.7%/2.0%, down from 5.7%/2.2% in the first half of 2025 [3] - The expected dividend yield for 2025 is 3.0%, assuming a constant payout ratio of 90%, with the current U.S. Treasury yield at 4.10% [3] - The current PE-TTM is 31.2 times, positioned at the 22nd percentile over the past decade, with a dynamic PE of 30.2 times, indicating potential for valuation improvement [3]
开源证券:维持港交所“买入”评级 25Q3业绩符合预期
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-06 07:11
Core Viewpoint - The report from Open Source Securities indicates that the combination of the AtoH wave and the return of Chinese concept stocks is driving long-term asset expansion in the Hong Kong stock market, leading to sustained net inflows of southbound funds and active trading volumes in the market. The Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) is expected to benefit from the anticipated foreign capital inflow due to potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, maintaining a high level of business performance and a "buy" rating for the stock [1]. Group 1 - The active spot ADT is driving significant increases in trading and settlement revenues, with trading fees and system usage fees reaching HKD 7.8 billion, a year-on-year increase of 57%, including spot/derivatives/commodity revenues of HKD 4.7 billion/HKD 2.0 billion/HKD 1.1 billion, which are year-on-year increases of 116%/15%/6% [2]. - The Hong Kong stock market is experiencing a high level of activity, with 69 new listings in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 53%, and total fundraising amounting to HKD 188.3 billion, more than three times that of the same period in 2024 [2]. - The report highlights that the trading volume increase indirectly boosts custodial, trustee, and agent service fees, as well as market data fees, which have seen year-on-year increases of 25% and 8%, respectively [2]. Group 2 - The investment yield of HKEX has decreased, with a projected dividend yield of 3.0% for 2025, indicating potential for valuation improvement. The net investment income for the first three quarters of 2025 is HKD 3.89 billion, a year-on-year increase of 4% [3]. - The expected dividend yield for 2025, assuming a constant payout ratio of 90%, is 3.0%, while the current yield on U.S. Treasury bonds is 4.10%. The anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve are expected to drive foreign capital back into the Hong Kong stock market [3]. - The current price-to-earnings ratio (PE-TTM) for the company is 31.2 times, which is at the 22nd percentile of the past ten years, with a dynamic PE of 30.2 times, indicating potential for valuation enhancement [3].
文远知行正式在香港交易所挂牌上市 每股定价27.1港元
Feng Huang Wang· 2025-11-06 06:33
本次港股上市,公司全球发售股份总数(绿鞋前)为8825万股,触发回拨机制后公开发售股份为1765万 股,国际配售股份7060万股,每股定价27.1港元,募资总额(绿鞋前)达23.9亿港元。 凤凰网科技讯 11月6日,文远知行正式在香港交易所挂牌上市,股票代码0800.HK。继在纳斯达克上市 成为全球Robotaxi第一股后,文远知行成为港股Robotaxi第一股,也是全球首家在"美股+港股"双重主要 上市的自动驾驶科技企业。 据官方介绍,文远知行成立于2017年,于2024年10月25日在纳斯达克证券交易所挂牌上市,成为全球 Robotaxi第一股、全球通用自动驾驶第一股。目前,文远知行旗下产品获得中国、阿联酋、新加坡、法 国、沙特、比利时、美国七国自动驾驶牌照,L4级别自动驾驶车队规模超过1,500辆,其中Robotaxi超 过700辆。 ...
权重股香港交易所三季报发布、业绩大幅增长,香港证券ETF(513090)备受关注
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-06 05:37
Core Insights - The Hong Kong Securities ETF (513090) has risen by 2.1%, leading the market in terms of growth and achieving the highest trading volume among equity ETFs [1] - Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (HKEX), the third-largest weighted stock in the Hong Kong Securities ETF with an 11.8% weight, reported better-than-expected Q3 earnings, with revenue and net profit for the first three quarters reaching HKD 21.851 billion and HKD 13.419 billion, respectively, representing year-on-year increases of 37% and 45% [1] - The valuation of the Hong Kong securities sector is lower compared to A-shares, with the Hong Kong Securities Index PB (LF) at 1.00 as of November 5, indicating potential for valuation uplift due to improving overseas liquidity [1] - The Hong Kong Securities ETF (513090) is the only ETF that invests in the Hong Kong Securities Index, with a latest scale of HKD 32.7 billion and ample liquidity, averaging daily trading volume of HKD 18 billion over the past month [1]
文远知行正式在香港交易所挂牌上市
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-06 05:09
Core Viewpoint - WeRide, a leading global autonomous driving technology company, officially listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, becoming the first autonomous driving tech firm with a dual primary listing in both the US and Hong Kong [1][3]. Group 1: Listing Details - The total number of shares globally offered by the company (before the green shoe option) is 88.25 million, with 17.65 million shares available for public offering and 70.60 million shares for international placement, priced at HKD 27.1 per share, raising a total of HKD 2.39 billion [3]. - The founder and CEO, Han Xu, signed a voluntary lock-up agreement on October 28, committing to not sell any shares for the next three years, demonstrating the management's commitment to the company's long-term development and confidence in its future value [3]. Group 2: Company Vision and Achievements - Over the past eight years, WeRide has transitioned from technological innovation to commercial application, holding autonomous driving licenses in seven countries and operating in over 30 cities [3][4]. - The company believes that safe and reliable autonomous driving technology will bring significant economic and social benefits, and the Hong Kong listing marks a new starting point for further commercial deployment globally [3][4]. - WeRide has developed a product matrix that includes Robotaxi, Robobus, Robosweeper, Robovan, and ADAS solutions, leveraging its self-developed WeRide One autonomous driving technology platform [4]. - The company has obtained autonomous driving licenses in China, UAE, Singapore, France, Saudi Arabia, Belgium, and the US, with a fleet of over 1,500 L4 autonomous vehicles, including more than 700 Robotaxis, operating the largest commercial Robotaxi fleet outside of China and the US in partnership with Uber in the Middle East [4]. - WeRide plans to deploy tens of thousands of Robotaxis by 2030, aiming to reshape human mobility through autonomous driving technology [4].
瑞银:下调香港交易所目标价至471港元 评级“中性”
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-06 03:37
Core Viewpoint - UBS has lowered the target price for Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (00388) by 3% from HKD 485 to HKD 471, reflecting the latest outlook on interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - UBS has raised the average daily turnover forecast for FY2025 from HKD 250 billion to HKD 259 billion, considering market activity since Q4 [1] - The performance for Q3 2025 met expectations, with revenue increasing by 45% year-on-year, exceeding market expectations by 3% [1] - Net profit for Q3 2025 rose by 56% year-on-year, surpassing market expectations by 4% [1] Group 2: Market Challenges - As the company enters Q4, it faces tougher year-on-year comparisons due to a more challenging base [1]