中国金茂：一季度签约销售额为183.02亿元 智通财经4月8日电，中国金茂(01918.HK)在港交所发布公告称，截至2025年3月31日止3个月，集团累计 取得签约销售金额共计人民币183.02亿元，以及累计签约销售建筑面积84.8万平方米。 ...

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the real estate industry, with a focus on major players in core cities and a significant increase in land acquisition activities among top companies [10][18][25]. Core Insights - The average premium rate for land transactions reached 17.1% in March, an increase of 6 percentage points from February, indicating a recovery in the land market [12][10]. - The top 10 real estate companies accounted for 75% of the new land value, reflecting a concentration of investment among leading firms [18][23]. - The total new land value for the top 100 companies was 622 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 17.8% [17][19]. Summary by Sections New Land Value Rankings - The top three companies in terms of new land value are China Resources Land (642.2 billion yuan), China Overseas Land (566 billion yuan), and Greentown China (504 billion yuan) [1][5]. - The report lists a total of 100 companies, with significant contributions from major players in the industry [1][5]. Land Acquisition Trends - The report highlights a "head-tail differentiation" in investment, where top companies are aggressively acquiring land while many smaller firms remain cautious [23][25]. - The land acquisition ratio for the top 100 companies is 0.3, indicating a strategic focus on land procurement among leading firms [21][18]. Market Dynamics - The report notes that the land market is experiencing a structural recovery, particularly in first-tier and strong second-tier cities, while third and fourth-tier cities are still facing challenges [25][10]. - The competitive landscape is shifting towards larger firms, with increased bidding activity for high-quality land parcels in key urban areas [25][10].

导 读 3月土地市场成交量跌价升，呈现点状火热的态势；预计重点城市土地热度将继续维持，投资持 续筑底， 央国企保持在核心城市拿地积极性。 ☉ 文／克而瑞研究中心 | | | | 2025年1-3月 ·中国房地产企业 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 排名 | 企业名称 | 新增土地价值 (亿元) | 排名 | 企业名称 | 新增土地建面 (万平方米) | | 1 | 未润黑瓶 | 329 4 | 1 | 绿城中国 | 118.0 | | 2 | 中海地产 | 298.0 | 2 | 华润置地 | 104. 1 | | 3 | 绿城中国 | 287.0 | 3 | 中海地产 | 98. 4 | | 4 | 招商蛇口 | 217.7 | 4 | 招商蛇口 | 98.2 | | 5 | 中国金茂 | 199.3 | 5 | 保利发展 | 88.9 | | 6 | 滨江集团 | 195.8 | 6 | 海泰置业 | 86.9 | | 7 | 建发房产 | 193.9 | 7 | 印象置业 | 71.9 | | 8 | 保利发展 | 173.9 | 8 | 邦泰 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve profitability in the current year, with an improvement in its sales industry ranking [5] - The report highlights a focus on sales quality and a reduction in debt pressure within the year [3] Financial Performance and Forecast - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 72,564.06 million, with a year-on-year decrease of 12.9%. For 2024, revenue is expected to decline further to 59,052.95 million, a drop of 18.6% [6] - Net profit for 2024 is forecasted at 1,064.81 million, a significant turnaround from a loss of 6,896.64 million in 2023, representing a year-on-year increase of 115.4% [6] - The company anticipates an EPS of 0.05 in 2024, increasing to 0.12 in 2025 [6] - The gross margin is expected to improve from 12.5% in 2023 to 14.6% in 2024 [6] Market Position and Sales - The company’s signed sales amount for 2024 is projected at 982.55 billion, reflecting a decrease of 30.4% year-on-year, ranking it 12th in the industry [7] - The company holds 397 projects in urban operations, property development, commercial leasing, and hotel operations, with an unsold area of approximately 77.96 million square meters [7] Cash Flow and Debt Management - As of the end of 2024, the company has cash and cash equivalents of 30.805 billion, a slight decrease of 0.4% year-on-year. Interest-bearing debt is projected at 122.801 billion, down 3.6% [7] - The net debt to adjusted capital ratio is expected to decrease to 67% by the end of 2024, a reduction of 6 percentage points from 2023 [7] Valuation - The report estimates a 2025 EPS of approximately 0.12, suggesting a valuation range of 1.24 to 1.48 per share, translating to 1.34 to 1.61 Hong Kong dollars per share [7]

Core Viewpoint - The future of the domestic real estate market in China is expected to have strong structural demand, with competition among real estate companies focusing on organizational capabilities as a decisive factor [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 59.053 billion yuan and a net profit attributable to owners of approximately 1.064 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 115% [1] - The company aims to maintain sales at a scale of 100 billion yuan in 2025, with a stable ranking [1] - The company achieved a signed sales amount of 98.3 billion yuan in 2024, ranking 12th in the industry, with an overall gross margin of 15%, up from 12% in 2023 [2] Group 2: Development Strategy - The company focuses on core cities and high-quality projects, with 99% of its investment in first- and second-tier cities [2] - The company has a substantial unsold inventory valued at 280 billion yuan, with 87% located in high-energy cities, providing strong support for future growth [2] - The company plans to return to its roots in high-end improvement products in core cities [2] Group 3: Diversified Operations - The company has developed multiple business segments, including quality services, premium holdings, and building technology, to create new growth engines [3] - The property service segment has seen a year-on-year increase of 19.9% in managed area, surpassing 100 million square meters for the first time [3] - The total revenue from the property service segment reached approximately 2.966 billion yuan, with a net profit of about 384 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 12% [3] Group 4: Asset Management - The company has accelerated the development of hotel and commercial benchmark projects, with three hotels opening in 2024 and achieving positive operating margins in their first month [4] - The commercial and office segments contributed nearly 1.7 billion yuan in revenue, with high occupancy rates and rental yields [4] - The launch of the Huaxia Jinmao Commercial REIT marks a successful platform for the company's held properties, demonstrating its professional capabilities in commercial real estate operations [4] Group 5: Financial Management - The company emphasizes a light asset model to enhance operational capabilities, which is expected to improve overall profitability and return on equity (ROE) [8] - The company has maintained a healthy cash flow and aims to reduce total debt by 5 billion yuan by the end of 2025 [8] - The company has successfully kept its financial indicators green for four consecutive years, adhering to a debt management strategy focused on reducing short-term debt while increasing long-term stability [8] Group 6: Organizational Structure - The company has adjusted its organizational structure from a three-tier to a two-tier management system to enhance agility and decision-making efficiency [9] - The company aims to excel in key cities while maintaining a balanced overall capability [9]

3月25日，中国金茂（00817.HK）发布2024年度业绩报告并举办业绩发布会。 业绩报告显示，2024年，中国金茂实现收入590.5亿元，同期股东应占溢利约10.65亿元，公司实现扭亏 为盈，去除投资物业公平值损益后股东应占溢利达13.33亿元。 去年，公司毛利率水平同比提升3个百分点至15%，据悉，这主要是城市运营与物业开发业务毛利率增 长所致。 中国金茂管理层表示，目前楼市止跌回稳迹象已现，高能级城市有望率先复苏。近几年，公司持续聚焦 核心一二线城市，并于近日调整组织架构，后期将持续做大做优重点城市。 《中国经营报》记者了解到，从去年至今年2月底，中国金茂在北京、上海的投资总额超过360亿元，占 比近七成。 聚焦核心一二线城市深耕 据了解，去年中国金茂地产开发业务继续聚焦一二线核心城市，取得签约销售额983亿元，位居第12 位。在其近千亿元销售额中，90%的销售贡献来自一二线城市，住宅公寓产品的平均签约单价为2.2万 元/平方米。 去年公司新增22个项目，有99%位于一二线城市，其中府系及璞系两条高端改善产品线的项目货值占比 65%。 公司管理层在业绩会上表示，短期来看，在一系列政策支持下，楼市情绪已 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for China Jinmao (0817.HK) [4][7] Core Views - The company has achieved a turnaround in net profit, reporting a net profit of 1.065 billion RMB for the fiscal year 2024, compared to a loss of 6.897 billion RMB in 2023 [1][4] - The company is actively expanding its funding channels, resulting in a significant reduction in financing costs [4] - The sales gross margin has improved to 15% in 2024, up from 12% in 2023, driven by increased margins in urban operations and property development [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the fiscal year 2024, China Jinmao reported total revenue of 59.053 billion RMB, a decrease of 18% year-on-year [1] - The company’s sales scale in urban and property development ranked 12th in the industry, an improvement from the previous year [2] - The revenue from business leasing and retail operations was 1.697 billion RMB, down 6% from 2023, primarily due to the transfer of revenue from Changsha Lanxiu City to a REIT [2] Cost Management - The company has successfully reduced management expenses, sales and marketing costs, and financing costs, contributing to the positive net profit [3] - Management expenses and sales and marketing expenses decreased by 23% and 25% respectively compared to 2023 [3] Financing Strategy - The company has diversified its funding sources, issuing various financial instruments with lower interest rates, leading to a 16% reduction in total interest expenses [4] - As of the end of 2024, the company’s total interest expenses were 6.883 billion RMB, down from the previous year [4] Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 63.640 billion RMB, 69.438 billion RMB, and 76.790 billion RMB respectively, with corresponding net profits of 1.566 billion RMB, 2.172 billion RMB, and 2.981 billion RMB [4][6] - The report forecasts a PE ratio of 9X for 2025, decreasing to 5X by 2027 [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for China Jinmao (0817.HK) [4][7] Core Views - The company has achieved a turnaround in net profit, with a reported net profit of 1.065 billion yuan for the fiscal year 2024, compared to a loss of 6.897 billion yuan in 2023 [1][4] - The company is focusing on revitalizing existing assets while maintaining its leading position in urban and property development, ranking 12th in sales scale within the industry [2][4] - The company has successfully reduced management and operational costs, leading to an increase in gross profit margin to 15% in 2024, up from 12% in 2023 [3][4] Financial Performance Summary - For the fiscal year 2024, the company reported total revenue of 59.053 billion yuan, a decrease of 18% year-on-year [1][6] - The company forecasts revenue growth for 2025-2027, estimating revenues of 63.640 billion yuan, 69.438 billion yuan, and 76.790 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding net profits of 1.566 billion yuan, 2.172 billion yuan, and 2.981 billion yuan [4][6] - The report highlights a significant reduction in financing costs, with total interest expenses decreasing by 16% to 6.883 billion yuan in 2024 [4][6] Business Segment Performance - The company's commercial leasing and retail operations generated revenue of 1.697 billion yuan in 2024, a decline of 6% due to the reclassification of certain assets [2][4] - Hotel operations saw a revenue drop of 18% to 1.699 billion yuan, impacted by the sale of a hotel and a downturn in domestic tourism [2][4] - Jinmao Services reported a revenue increase of 10% to 2.966 billion yuan, driven by growth in managed property area [2][4]

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the Tianjin real estate market, suggesting a "small spring" trend in land transactions and new home sales for early 2025 [3]. Core Insights - The Tianjin real estate market has shown signs of recovery with significant land transactions and new home sales, establishing a solid foundation for market development in 2025 [3]. - The top 10 real estate companies in Tianjin achieved a total sales volume of 6.92 billion yuan in January and February 2025, with a minimum threshold of 480 million yuan for the ranking [4]. - The top-selling project, "Jian Investment Yuhe Yuan," recorded sales of 580 million yuan, leading the project sales ranking [6]. Sales Performance of Top 10 Companies - The top three companies by sales volume are: 1. 泰达建设 (Teda Construction) - 1.36 billion yuan 2. 中海地产 (China Overseas Property) - 950 million yuan 3. 天津城投 (Tianjin Urban Investment) - 740 million yuan [4][6]. - The total sales area for the top 10 companies reached 1.1 million square meters [4]. Project Sales Performance - The top 10 residential projects in Tianjin achieved a total sales volume of 2.95 billion yuan, with a minimum threshold of 210 million yuan for the ranking [6]. - The leading project by sales area was "Jian Investment Yuhe Yuan," with a transaction area of 21,000 square meters [6]. Policy Environment - In February, the central government emphasized boosting consumption, including housing demand, and urged local governments to enhance the supply of affordable housing [8]. - The report anticipates that the upcoming national meetings will release more positive signals for stabilizing the real estate market, which is expected to boost market confidence [8]. Land Market Analysis - In February 2025, Tianjin launched 23 land parcels, including 5 residential land parcels, with a total transaction amount of 4.657 billion yuan [10][12]. - The most notable transaction was for a residential land parcel in Heping District, which sold for 296 million yuan with a premium rate of 8.82%, marking a new high since 2018 [3][13].

Core Viewpoint - China Jinmao reported a revenue of approximately 59.05 billion RMB for 2024, reflecting an 18% year-on-year decrease, while the gross profit margin increased to 15% from 12% in 2023, indicating improved operational efficiency despite declining revenues [3][5]. Financial Performance - Revenue for 2024 was approximately 590.53 billion RMB, down 18% year-on-year [3] - Gross profit was about 85.96 billion RMB, a decrease of 5% year-on-year [3] - Net profit attributable to owners was approximately 10.64 billion RMB, an increase of 115% year-on-year [3] - Total assets reached approximately 409.26 billion RMB, with equity attributable to owners at about 53.58 billion RMB [3] Business Segments - Urban operations and property development generated approximately 493.01 billion RMB, accounting for 82% of total revenue, down 21% year-on-year [3] - Commercial leasing and retail operations brought in about 16.97 billion RMB, representing 3% of total revenue, down 6% year-on-year [3] - Hotel operations generated approximately 16.98 billion RMB, also 3% of total revenue, down 18% year-on-year [3] - Jinmao Services contributed about 29.66 billion RMB, making up 5% of total revenue, with a 10% year-on-year increase [3] - Other income was approximately 47.08 billion RMB, accounting for 7% of total revenue, up 8% year-on-year [3] Cash and Debt Position - As of the end of 2024, cash and cash equivalents were approximately 30.81 billion RMB, while interest-bearing bank loans and other borrowings totaled 122.8 billion RMB [3][4] - The total debt was approximately 122.8 billion RMB, slightly down from 127.38 billion RMB in 2023 [4] Sales and Inventory - The contracted sales for 2024 were approximately 98.3 billion RMB, with 68% from North and East China, and 90% from first and second-tier cities [4] - The total unsold value was approximately 280 billion RMB, with 63% concentrated in economically developed regions [4] - The company held 397 projects with an undeveloped area of approximately 77.96 million square meters [4] Strategic Focus - The company emphasized a strategy of "deep cultivation and focus, improving quality and efficiency," aiming to enhance cash flow and optimize structure during the industry adjustment period [5] - The focus on "activating stock" is deemed more urgent, alongside efforts to improve "incremental" growth through rapid turnover and reinvestment [5]