Investment Rating - The report maintains a recommendation for the home appliance industry [2] Core Viewpoints - The report analyzes the impact of the USMCA (United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement) and the potential risks posed by the U.S. government's tariff policies on Chinese home appliance companies operating in Mexico [6][8] - It emphasizes that the concerns regarding the USMCA's risks are primarily focused on two aspects: the potential for the U.S. government to invoke national security clauses and the upcoming review of the agreement in 2026 [6][8] - The report suggests that the short-term impact of the USMCA's implementation is limited, as many leading Chinese home appliance companies have already established significant production capacities in Mexico that comply with the agreement's rules [6][7] Summary by Sections Industry Basic Data - The home appliance industry consists of 80 listed companies with a total market value of 185.1 billion yuan and a circulating market value of 165.1 billion yuan [2] Relative Index Performance - The absolute performance of the industry over the past 1 month, 6 months, and 12 months is 0.3%, 1.1%, and 21.4% respectively, while the relative performance is -3.2%, -5.6%, and 3.0% [3] USMCA Agreement Analysis - The USMCA is designed to encourage regional production and supply chain integration, with specific rules for determining the origin of products [12][14] - The agreement provides trade benefits only to goods certified as originating from the USMCA region [12][14] - The report outlines two potential scenarios for the future of the USMCA: the continuation of the current tariff framework and the tightening of origin certification rules [55][58] Company Strategies - Leading Chinese home appliance companies like Haier, Midea, Hisense, and TCL have established substantial production capacities in Mexico, which allows them to mitigate tariff risks effectively [6][7][56] - The report highlights that these companies have the capability to meet the USMCA's origin certification requirements, thus reducing potential tariff impacts [6][7][57] - The white goods sector, particularly Haier, is expected to strengthen its market position in North America due to its localized production and supply chain flexibility [7][60] Market Dynamics - The report notes that while black goods manufacturers face challenges due to the concentration of LCD panel supply chains in Asia, they can still expand their market share through product upgrades [7][61] - The overall competitive landscape for Chinese home appliance companies has shifted from relying on cost advantages to focusing on brand development, operational efficiency, and product innovation [60]

TCL Electronics Conference Call Summary Industry and Company Overview - **Company**: TCL Electronics - **Industry**: Display Technology and Consumer Electronics Key Financial Performance - Net profit rebounded to HKD 1.76 billion in 2024 after a decline from 2020 to 2022 [2][3] - Operating profit margin is approximately 1.77%, while gross margin is around 15.6% [2][3] - Revenue growth from HKD 50 billion in 2020 to nearly HKD 100 billion in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of about 14.16% [3] Display Business Insights - Display business revenue reached HKD 69.4 billion in 2024, driven by large-size products [2][3] - Retail sales increased by 23.6% year-on-year, with shipment volume rising by 14.8% to 29 million units [2][4] - International market shipments grew by 17.6%, with revenue increasing by approximately 26% [4] Market Share and Competition - In the Chinese TV market, market share is stratified, with Hisense leading, followed by TCL and Xiaomi [2][5] - Demand for large screens is increasing, with 63% of demand for TVs over 75 inches expected by Q1 2025 [2][5] - TCL's Mini LED technology is a key competitive response to market demands [2][8] Product Strategy - TCL employs a multi-brand strategy (TCL, Lenovo, Thunderbird) across various price segments [6][7] - The V series targets cost-effectiveness, the T series is positioned in the mid-to-high-end market, and the C series serves as the flagship line [6][7] - Recent product launches include low and mid-range Mini LED products to compete effectively [5][6] Mini LED Technology Impact - Mini LED technology shows significant potential for global market breakthroughs [8] - Brands are competing on price and technology to enhance market share and meet consumer demands for quality and performance [8] International Market Expansion - The Chinese Mini LED TV market is rapidly growing, supported by government subsidies [9] - North American market competition is intense, with Samsung and LG holding 30%-40% market share [10] - Chinese companies, including TCL, are gaining market share in Europe, increasing from 16% to approximately 20% from 2022 to 2024 [10] Future Revenue Projections - Projected display business revenues for 2025-2027 are HKD 78.7 billion, HKD 85.6 billion, and HKD 91.5 billion, respectively [11][12] - Innovation business, particularly in solar energy, is expected to grow significantly, with revenues projected at HKD 32.7 billion, HKD 41.6 billion, and HKD 52 billion from 2025 to 2027 [12] Key Observations for Future Development - Key observation points include product performance in the fall and the potential for channel expansion in Europe and North America [13] - Sustained performance in these areas could position TCL as a global brand in the long term [13]

TCL Electronics Conference Call Summary Industry Overview - TCL Electronics has shown strong performance in the global television market since 2024, consistently exceeding expectations and becoming a leading domestic black electrical brand in international markets, surpassing Korean and Japanese brands in global TV shipments [2][4] - The company is expected to further increase its market share in the high-end segment [2] Key Points and Arguments - **Brand Enhancement and Technological Innovation**: TCL has significantly improved brand recognition in North America since 2015, leveraging partnerships with local sports events for promotion. The introduction of Mini LED technology has provided domestic brands with opportunities to compete in the high-end market, achieving a penetration rate of over single digits in North America and Europe by the first half of 2025 [2][6] - **Growth Drivers**: Short-term growth is driven by channel breakthroughs and expansion in emerging markets, particularly in Europe, where successful channel establishment has led to significant synergistic effects [2][7][8] - **Product Structure Optimization**: TCL has optimized its product structure through Mini LED technology, enhancing shipment and profitability in North America due to adjusted channel structures. The company has also improved cost control efficiency under the leadership of CEO Du Juan, aiming for dual improvements in valuation and profitability through stock incentive goals [2][10] - **Business Segments**: TCL Electronics' main business includes televisions (approximately 70% of revenue), large and small-sized displays, smart commercial displays, and internet-based services. The television segment has seen a growth rate of about 10% over the past two years [11] Additional Important Insights - **337 Investigation Impact**: The 337 investigation initiated by the U.S. Trade Commission on August 4, 2025, regarding intellectual property infringement is not expected to have a substantial impact on TCL's operations in North America, as similar cases have often ended in withdrawal or settlement [3] - **Future Growth Logic**: TCL's future growth is anticipated to come from simultaneous increases in market share and profits, along with adjustments in channel structures to enhance profit margins. The global market share is currently over 10%, with significant potential for growth in Europe, Latin America, and the Middle East [14] - **Competitive Advantages**: TCL's core advantages stem from effective cost control, benefiting from ongoing investments in high-generation panel production lines. Domestic manufacturers' TV panel market share exceeded 60% in 2023 and is expected to approach 80% in 2024 [15] - **Mini LED Technology**: The development of Mini LED technology has shown a rapid increase in penetration compared to OLED, with advantages in cost and longevity, making it more suitable for long-term use in televisions [16][17] - **Profitability through Cost Efficiency**: TCL has optimized its overseas marketing structure, leading to improved expense ratios and contributing positively to profitability [20] - **2025 Performance and Outlook**: In the first half of 2025, TCL Electronics is expected to see a revenue growth rate of approximately 20%, with the television segment growing between 15% and 20%. The company anticipates continued growth momentum in the second half of 2025, supported by domestic policies and Mini LED penetration [21][22]

Core Insights - The article highlights the net inflow and outflow of funds in the Hong Kong stock market, with Alibaba-W, Kuaishou-W, and Meituan-W leading in net inflows, while Yingfu Fund, Hang Seng China Enterprises, and Southern Hang Seng Technology experienced the highest net outflows [1][2]. Net Inflow Summary - Alibaba-W (09988) recorded a net inflow of 727 million, representing a 12.42% increase in net inflow ratio [2]. - Kuaishou-W (01024) saw a net inflow of 609 million, with a net inflow ratio of 18.27% [2]. - Meituan-W (03690) had a net inflow of 544 million, with a net inflow ratio of 12.86% [2]. - Other notable net inflows include China Shenhua (01088) with 496 million (29.48%) and InnoCare Pharma (02577) with 390 million (8.24%) [2]. Net Outflow Summary - Yingfu Fund (02800) experienced the largest net outflow of 13.767 billion, with a net outflow ratio of -43.25% [2]. - Hang Seng China Enterprises (02828) had a net outflow of 6.326 billion, with a net outflow ratio of -60.55% [2]. - Southern Hang Seng Technology (03033) recorded a net outflow of 1.648 billion, with a net outflow ratio of -18.63% [2]. - Other significant net outflows include China Mobile (00941) with 843 million (-46.52%) and Kangfang Biotech (09926) with 413 million (-21.09%) [2]. Net Inflow Ratio Summary - Prudential (02378) led the net inflow ratio with 67.02%, followed by Anjuke Food (02648) at 58.47% and TCL Electronics (01070) at 52.06% [2][3]. - Additional companies with high net inflow ratios include Anhui Wanshan Expressway at 51.91% and GX Hang Seng Technology (02837) at 51.63% [3]. Net Outflow Ratio Summary - The highest net outflow ratio was recorded by E Fund Hang Seng ESG (03039) at -100.00%, followed by China Communication Construction (03969) at -66.38% and Hang Seng China Enterprises (02828) at -60.55% [3]. - Other companies with significant net outflow ratios include Beijing Automotive (01958) at -53.68% and Kangzheng Pharmaceutical (00867) at -53.21% [3].

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The home appliance industry is experiencing significant growth potential in emerging markets, which account for 67% of the global population but only 32% of home appliance retail sales, indicating a substantial opportunity for growth [1][2][4] Core Insights and Arguments - **Emerging Market Growth**: Emerging markets are expected to be a key growth driver for the home appliance industry, with a notable increase in demand for air conditioners, refrigerators, and washing machines due to low penetration rates compared to developed countries [1][2][5] - **Air Conditioner Market**: The air conditioner market is growing rapidly, closely linked to GDP per capita. Countries with GDP per capita reaching $3,000 or $6,000 show significant increases in penetration rates [1][7] - **Export Recovery**: China's home appliance exports are gradually recovering from tariff impacts, with a notable increase in exports to Southeast Asia, Latin America, and the U.S. [1][8] - **Domestic Market Growth**: The domestic market is experiencing steady growth driven by the "trade-in for new" policy, with air conditioner shipments increasing by 8% and washing machines showing double-digit growth in the first five months of 2025 [1][9] Competitive Landscape - **Market Dynamics**: The competitive landscape is stabilizing, with Xiaomi's market share leveling off and major players like Midea and Gree adjusting their product structures [3][12] - **Small Appliances Growth**: The small appliance market, particularly for robotic vacuum cleaners and floor washers, continues to show high growth, with companies like Ecovacs reporting revenue and profit growth exceeding expectations [3][13] Investment Recommendations - **Focus on Dividend Stocks**: Investment strategies should focus on companies with strong dividend yields such as Gree, Midea, Haier, and Hisense, which have dividend rates exceeding 4% [3][15] - **Export Opportunities**: Companies in the export sector, particularly in small appliances and black electronics, are recommended for investment due to their growth potential in emerging markets and the U.S. [3][16][19] Additional Important Insights - **Impact of National Subsidies**: The national subsidy policy has led to structural growth in the domestic market, with significant price increases observed [1][9][14] - **Long-term Potential of Robotic Vacuums**: The robotic vacuum segment is viewed as a long-term growth area due to its strong growth potential and limited impact from domestic subsidy policies [3][17] - **Advantages of OEMs**: OEMs like New Bao and Dechang are positioned well in the global market due to scarce overseas production capacity, which enhances their competitiveness in exports to the U.S. [3][19]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The home appliance industry is characterized by an oligopolistic structure, with leading companies benefiting from significant economies of scale and having substantial growth potential in overseas markets, indicating long-term investment value, particularly in cash returns [1][3] Core Insights and Arguments - The white goods sector showed weak performance in the first half of the year due to tariffs and the diminishing effects of the old-for-new policy, while the air conditioning segment performed relatively well [1][4] - The black goods sector benefited from Mini LED technology upgrades and a more favorable competitive landscape, leading to increased profit elasticity [1][4] - Investment strategies for the second half of the year should focus on high dividend yields and high ROE, with leading companies like Midea, Haier, and Gree offering dividend yields of approximately 4%, 7-8%, and 5% respectively, providing valuation support [1][6] - The competitive landscape in the white goods sector is concentrated on models priced below 2,700 yuan, with Midea initiating a price war against Xiaomi, which is adopting a defensive strategy to increase market share in the 4,000-4,500 yuan price range [1][7] - Export chain companies need to be aware of the expected differences in overseas tariffs, with Southeast Asia's production capacity performing better than expected and China's production capacity recovering well [1][10] Additional Important Insights - The competition in the black goods sector has improved, with Chinese panel manufacturers reducing costs through technology upgrades, allowing companies like Hisense and TCL to capture market share overseas [1][14] - The white goods sector's competition is expected to remain intense, particularly in the low-end market, while leading companies are leveraging brand extension and high-end product profits to mitigate impacts from low-end market pressures [1][7] - The national subsidy policy is expected to continue in the second half of 2025, but its marginal effects may weaken, particularly in certain regions where specific products may not qualify for subsidies [1][8] - The Mini LED television market is experiencing increased penetration due to declining electronic module costs and government subsidy policies narrowing the price gap between high-end and low-end products [1][18] - New consumer trends in the home appliance industry are emerging, focusing on low penetration, high explosive growth, and high scarcity, with brands like Beiding showing significant growth in the small appliance segment [1][20] - The robotic vacuum cleaner sector is currently in a phase of improving competitive dynamics, with companies like Ecovacs and Roborock showing promising profit trends [1][21] - Future investment strategies in the home appliance industry should prioritize robust assets, improving competitive landscapes, and new consumer trends, particularly in high-dividend white goods, black goods, and innovative small appliance brands [1][22]

Group 1 - The U.S. International Trade Commission (ITC) voted to initiate a Section 337 investigation into certain mobile cellular communications devices on August 4, 2025 [1] - The investigation was prompted by a complaint from South Korea's Pantech Corporation, alleging that the products exported to, imported into, and sold in the U.S. violated U.S. patent laws [1] - The patents in question include U.S. registered patent numbers 9,548,839, 11,659,503, 11,051,344, and 12,267,876, with Pantech requesting a limited exclusion order and a cease-and-desist order [1] Group 2 - The ITC is required to determine the end date of the investigation within 45 days of the case being filed [3] - Unless vetoed by the U.S. Trade Representative for policy reasons, the relief orders issued by the ITC in Section 337 cases take effect on the date of issuance and have final effect 60 days thereafter [3] Group 3 - Multiple companies are named as respondents in the investigation, including OnePlus Technology, Lenovo Group, Motorola Mobility, and various TCL entities [2]

Investment Insights - The report highlights that the subsidy for replacing old appliances is continuing as expected, which supports domestic demand in the white goods sector [6] - Leading companies in the white goods sector, such as Midea Group, Gree Electric, and Haier Smart Home, are expected to show strong performance due to their robust overseas production capacity and market expansion strategies [6] - The two-wheeler sector is anticipated to benefit from accelerated national subsidies, with leading companies like Yadea Holdings expected to outperform the industry [6] - The black goods segment is seeing improvements in profitability driven by the old-for-new policy and structural upgrades, with a recommendation for Hisense Visual and a watch on TCL Electronics [6] Market Review - In July, the home appliance index showed a slight increase of 0.92%, but underperformed compared to the broader market indices, indicating a challenging environment for the sector [13] - The report notes that the home appliance sector's performance has been affected by fluctuating subsidy policies and tariff expectations, leading to a mixed market sentiment [12][13] - The overall market sentiment improved in July due to expectations of fiscal easing and a focus on "anti-involution" policies, which positively impacted the sector's absolute returns [13] Key Data Tracking - The report tracks significant price movements in raw materials, noting that copper and aluminum prices increased by 3% and 8% year-on-year, respectively, while cold-rolled steel prices decreased by 6% [20] - Retail sales of air conditioners showed strong growth in June, with online and offline sales increasing by 28% and 40% year-on-year, respectively, indicating a robust demand environment [27] - The report also highlights that the average selling prices of air conditioners have seen a slight decline, suggesting a competitive pricing environment [27][30]

FF301 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年7月31日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: TCL電子控股有限公司（於開曼群島註冊成立之有限公司） 呈交日期: 2025年8月4日 第 1 頁 共 10 頁 v 1.1.1 FF301 II. 已發行股份及/或庫存股份變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 01070 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）數目 | | | 庫存股份數目 | | 已發行股份總數 | | | 上月底結存 | | | | 2,520,935,155 | | 0 | | 2,520,935,155 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | | | | | | | 本月底結存 | | | | 2,520,935,155 | | 0 | ...

Investment Rating - The report does not provide specific ratings for sub-industries such as white goods, black goods, small appliances, and kitchen appliances [3] Core Insights - The report highlights that Ninebot achieved a significant revenue increase in Q2 2025, with total revenue reaching 11.742 billion yuan, up 76.14%, and net profit increasing by 108.45% to 1.242 billion yuan [5] - The overall performance of the home appliance sector has been mixed, with the sector index declining by 1.87% in the week of July 28 to August 1, 2025, and a year-to-date performance of -0.04%, ranking 21st among Shenwan's primary industries [7][14] - The report emphasizes the potential recovery in the white goods sector due to government policies aimed at boosting consumer confidence and the ongoing recovery in the real estate market, which is expected to benefit major players like Midea, Haier, Gree, and Hisense [9][31] Summary by Sections Company Dynamics - Ninebot's Q2 2025 revenue reached 6.630 billion yuan, a 61.54% increase, with net profit at 0.786 billion yuan, up 70.77% [5] - Biyi plans to issue up to 5.6344 million shares to raise no more than 624 million yuan for the construction of a smart kitchen appliance project [6] - Hisense reported a total revenue of 49.340 billion yuan in H1 2025, a 1.44% increase, but a decline in Q2 revenue by 2.60% [6] Market Performance Review - The home appliance sector index decreased by 1.87% during the reporting week, with notable individual stock performances from Taotao Automotive and Rongtai Health, which have seen significant gains since the beginning of 2025 [14] - The real estate market showed a decline in transaction volume, with July 2025 seeing a 11.73% drop in transaction area to 7.1951 million square meters, while transaction units increased by 1.44% [21] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on the white goods sector, which is expected to benefit from government policies and a recovering real estate market, recommending stocks like Midea, Haier, Gree, and Hisense [31] - For the black goods sector, TCL is highlighted for its strong performance in high-end large-screen products and Mini LED TV shipments [31] - Ninebot is recommended for its strong R&D capabilities and growth potential in the service robot market [31]