Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [4] Core Viewpoints - In March 2025, the decline in new home sales and new construction area significantly narrowed, indicating a potential recovery in the real estate market [1][2] - The cumulative sales area of commercial housing from January to March 2025 showed a year-on-year growth rate of -3%, an improvement from -5.1% previously, while the cumulative sales amount decreased by -2.1% compared to -2.6% previously [1] - The cumulative new construction area from January to March 2025 had a year-on-year growth rate of -24.4%, improving from -29.6% previously, and the cumulative completion area showed a decline of -14.3%, also an improvement from -15.6% [2] - The funding for real estate development companies saw a year-on-year growth rate of -3.7% from January to March 2025, slightly worsening from -3.6% previously, with a notable decline in self-raised funds [3] Summary by Sections Sales Data - In March 2025, the sales area of new homes showed a year-on-year growth rate of -0.9%, improving from -5.1% previously, while the sales amount decreased by -1.6% compared to -2.6% previously [1] Development Investment - The cumulative development investment from January to March 2025 had a year-on-year growth rate of -9.9%, slightly worsening from -9.8% previously, with March showing a single-month decline of -10% [2] Funding Sources - The year-on-year growth rate of funding for real estate development companies in March 2025 was -3.9%, worsening from -3.6% previously, with self-raised funds declining by -11.7% [3] Investment Recommendations - Short-term focus on valuation recovery opportunities due to policy easing, and long-term focus on leading companies with core city resources and real estate operation capabilities, such as Poly Developments, China Resources Land, and others [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights a significant recovery in the Changsha new housing market as of March 2025, with leading real estate companies and emerging players collaborating effectively, indicating a gradual stabilization and improvement in the market amidst policy adjustments and corporate strategic transformations [1] - Leading companies are focusing on core locations and upgrading product capabilities, while local firms are carving out clear paths for breakthroughs through precise positioning and product innovation, capturing market shares in segments such as improvement and education [1] - The top 30 real estate companies in Changsha contributed a total sales amount of 117.75 billion, with a market concentration of 72%, reflecting a 6 percentage point increase year-on-year [17][18] Group 2 - The ranking dimensions include comprehensive, equity, and operational rankings for real estate companies, as well as project rankings for residential properties, villas, and apartments across nine districts in Changsha [2] - The data for the rankings is sourced from monitoring data by CRIC Group, public data from real estate companies, and annual public data and declarations from companies, covering the period from January 1 to March 31, 2025 [6][11] - The top three companies in terms of sales amount are China Resources Land with 17.72 billion, China Merchants Shekou with 8.76 billion, and China State Construction Engineering with 6.53 billion [17][18] Group 3 - The performance of private enterprises has shown significant improvement, with 16 private companies listed in the top 30, achieving a performance share exceeding 40%, indicating strong growth potential and vitality in the market [19][20] - New entrants in the market have successfully leveraged hot-selling projects to break into the real estate landscape, with companies like Xinyuan Group and Xiong Tian Group achieving notable sales figures [20][21] - The market is evolving into a dual-track structure where private enterprises activate the market's finer segments while state-owned enterprises reshape the urban framework [22] Group 4 - The article emphasizes that high-quality projects are leading the market, with a shift from a focus on cost-effectiveness to a dual drive of quality and resources, particularly in projects with strong educational attributes and innovative products [60][61] - The top projects in the nine districts include high-end improvement projects and high-quality developments, with significant sales figures reported for projects like Qingyun Shangfu and Changsha Ruifu [61][62] - The overall market is expected to maintain a positive trend, with an increase in transaction volume and a focus on core area improvement residences leading the market [62]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Positive" [7][51]. Core Viewpoints - The real estate market in Q2 is experiencing a downturn, with a focus on whether unexpected policies will be introduced to stabilize the market [2]. - In 2025, under the goal of "stopping the decline and stabilizing," it is expected that the relaxation of purchase restrictions in first-tier cities will increase, and urban village renovations will accelerate [3][51]. - The report highlights that the sales volume of new homes in 44 major cities is approximately 20,000 units, showing a 23% increase month-on-month (excluding the Spring Festival effect), which is higher than the 13% increase in 2024 but lower than the 24% increase in 2023 [51]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - In the 15th week, the real estate sector index outperformed both the CSI 300 index and the ChiNext index, with a relative return of 1.2% compared to the CSI 300 index [11]. - The CSI 300 index closed at 3750.52 with a weekly decline of 2.9%, while the real estate index (Shenwan) closed at 2190.21 with a weekly decline of 1.7% [11][15]. Sales Data - In the 15th week, new home sales in 44 major cities were 14,000 units, a decrease of 28.8% from the previous week, while second-hand home sales in 21 major cities increased by 15.3% to 21,000 units [16]. - Inventory in 18 major cities increased to 842,000 units, with a sales-to-inventory ratio of 23.7 months, indicating a slight increase in inventory pressure [23]. Policy Developments - Local policies include Guangzhou's "land acquisition and immediate construction" model, Fuzhou's new housing provident fund regulations, and Hainan's increase in maximum loan limits for new self-occupied housing [13][21]. - Nanjing has introduced a government subsidy program to promote housing consumption through "old-for-new" exchanges [21]. Company Recommendations - The report recommends buying shares of Poly Developments (600048) and China Merchants Shekou (001979), while suggesting to pay attention to China Resources Land (01109), Yuexiu Property (00123), and others [3][51]. - Additionally, it recommends investing in real estate intermediary platforms like Beike-W (02423) that will benefit from policy support and increased market activity [3][51].

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights a significant trend of salary reductions among executives in the real estate industry, with many companies adjusting their compensation structures in response to financial pressures [1][5][7] - Major companies like China Merchants Shekou have initiated salary cuts, with CEO Jiang Tiefeng's salary dropping from 4.9169 million yuan in 2023 to 2.4177 million yuan in 2024, a reduction of approximately 51% [2][4] - Other notable companies such as Vanke and Country Garden have also seen their executives' salaries decrease significantly, with some executives now earning as little as 10,000 yuan per month [1][3] Group 2 - The performance of China Merchants Shekou in 2024 shows a revenue of 178.948 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.25%, but a net profit attributable to shareholders of 4.039 billion yuan, a decrease of 36.09% [2] - Vanke's executive vice president, Yu Liang, voluntarily reduced his salary to a pre-tax amount of 120,000 yuan, down from previous years where he earned over 1 million yuan [2][4] - The article notes that the real estate sector is facing challenges such as shrinking scale, declining profits, and high debt levels, making it increasingly difficult for executives to manage their companies effectively [5][6] Group 3 - The salary adjustments reflect a broader trend in the industry where high salaries are becoming less sustainable, with many companies experiencing significant drops in profits and revenues [7] - For instance, China Jinmao's chairman saw a salary decrease from 1.536 million yuan to 1.301 million yuan, while Huafa's chairman's salary dropped from 6.834 million yuan to 2.8905 million yuan [6] - Despite the overall decline in executive compensation, some companies like Greentown Group still report relatively high average salaries, indicating a disparity within the industry [7]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [7][51] Core Viewpoints - The real estate market in Q2 is experiencing a downturn, with a focus on whether unexpected policies will be introduced to stabilize the market [2] - In 2025, under the goal of "stopping the decline and stabilizing," it is expected that the relaxation of purchase restrictions in first-tier cities will increase, and urban village renovations will accelerate [3][51] - The report highlights that high-quality land reserves and strong product capabilities in leading cities will provide alpha attributes for real estate companies [3][51] Summary by Sections Market Performance - In the 15th week, the real estate sector index outperformed both the CSI 300 index and the ChiNext index, with a relative return of 1.2% compared to the CSI 300 index [11] - The CSI 300 index closed at 3750.52 with a weekly decline of 2.9%, while the real estate index (Shenwan) closed at 2190.21 with a weekly decline of 1.7% [11][15] Sales Data - In the 15th week, new home sales in 44 major cities were 14,000 units, a decrease of 28.8% from the previous week, while second-hand home sales in 21 major cities increased by 15.3% to 21,000 units [16] - Inventory in 18 major cities increased to 842,000 units, with a sales-to-inventory ratio of 23.7 months, up by 0.7 months from the previous week [23] Policy Developments - Local policies include Guangzhou's "land acquisition immediately followed by construction" model and adjustments to housing provident fund regulations in various cities [13][21] - The report notes that the issuance of 9.415 billion yuan in special bonds for land reserves in Hunan is aimed at stimulating the market [21] Company Recommendations - Recommended stocks include Poly Developments (600048, Buy) and China Merchants Shekou (001979, Buy) [3][51] - Companies to watch include China Resources Land (01109, Not Rated) and Yuexiu Property (00123, Not Rated) [3][51] Market Trends - The report indicates that the market recovery momentum in 2025 is stronger than in 2024 but weaker than in 2023, with ongoing downward pressure on new home sales [51] - The report emphasizes that the future trajectory of the real estate market will largely depend on the interplay between export performance and economic policies [51]

（於開曼群島註冊成立的有限公司） (股份代號: 01109.HK) 截至2025年3月31日止一個月未經審核營運數據 香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不負責，對其準確性或完整性亦不發 表任何聲明，並明確表示，概不對因本公告全部或任何部分內容而產生或因倚賴該等內容而引致的任何損失承 擔任何責任。 2025年3月，本集團經常性收入約人民幣40.0億元，按年增長8.5%，其中，經營性不動產業務租金 收入約人民幣25.7億元，按年增長12.3%。2025年前3月累計經常性收入約人民幣123.9億元，按年 增長10.6%，其中，經營性不動產業務租金收入約人民幣80.3億元，按年增長12.6%。 上述已披露初步數據取自本集團內部管理記錄，或會變更並可能與本集團按年度或半年度刊發的 經審核或未經審核綜合財務報表所呈現的數字存在差異。這些數據不應被視為本集團過往或將來 的經營或財務表現的指標或測量依據。據此，有關數據僅供參閱而不作其他目的。投資者在買賣 本公司證券時務須小心謹慎，不可依賴前述已披露信息。投資者如有任何疑問應向專業顧問徵求 意見。 承董事會命 華潤置地有限公司 主席 李欣 中國， ...

Core Points - The CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Real Estate Index opened high and is currently at 1415.63 points, showing a decline of 7.76% over the past month, an increase of 4.84% over the past three months, and a year-to-date decline of 1.11% [1] - The index consists of up to 50 eligible Hong Kong-listed companies that reflect the overall performance of the real estate sector, with a base date of November 14, 2014, set at 3000.0 points [1] Index Holdings - The top ten weighted companies in the CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Real Estate Index are: New World Development (13.54%), China Resources Land (12.87%), Cheung Kong Property (8.6%), China Overseas Land & Investment (8.19%), Sino Land (4.62%), Wharf Real Estate Investment (4.34%), Henderson Land Development (4.09%), Longfor Group (3.83%), China Resources Mixc Lifestyle (3.39%), and Wharf Holdings (2.92%) [1] Market Composition - The index's holdings are entirely composed of companies listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with the real estate development sector accounting for 78.01%, real estate management for 11.39%, and real estate services for 10.60% [2] - The index samples are adjusted biannually, with adjustments occurring on the next trading day after the second Friday of June and December each year [2]

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the real estate industry Core Insights - The real estate sector in A-shares and Hong Kong has experienced declines, with A-share real estate down by 1.5% and Hong Kong real estate down by 4.6% during the week of April 5-11 [2] - The average premium rate for land transactions remains high at 11%, despite a significant week-on-week decline in land transaction volume by 51% [2][29] - New housing transactions have decreased due to holiday effects and the pace of new launches, with a week-on-week decline of 35% across 47 cities [3][34] - The second-hand housing market shows resilience with a week-on-week increase of 9% in transactions across 22 cities [3][42] - The necessity for real estate stimulus has increased due to tariff impacts, with the potential for policy measures to be introduced in late April [4][13] Summary by Sections Market Overview - The A-share real estate sector ranked 6th among all sectors with a decline of 1.5%, while the Hong Kong real estate sector ranked 5th with a decline of 4.6% [2][18] - The property service index in Hong Kong fell by 2.5%, outperforming the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index and the CSI 300 Index by 4.9% and 0.4%, respectively [23] Land Transactions - In the week of April 5-11, the total area of residential land sold in 300 cities was 276 million square meters, reflecting a 51% decrease week-on-week and a 43% decrease year-on-year [2][29] - Cumulatively, from the beginning of 2025, the total area of residential land sold reached 9,554 million square meters, with a year-on-year increase of 1% [29] New Housing Transactions - New housing sales across 47 cities totaled 283 million square meters, with a week-on-week decline of 35% and a year-on-year decline of 6% [3][34] - First-tier cities saw a week-on-week decline of 39% in new housing transactions [34] Second-hand Housing Transactions - Second-hand housing transactions across 22 cities totaled 272 million square meters, with a week-on-week increase of 9% and a year-on-year increase of 23% [42] - First-tier cities experienced a year-on-year increase of 30% in second-hand housing transactions [42] Policy and Stimulus - The report highlights the need for stimulus measures in the real estate sector due to increased tariffs, with potential policy implementations expected following the political bureau meeting at the end of April [4][13] - Various cities are conducting research and preparing policies to stabilize the real estate market [14] Market Dynamics - The average absorption rate for new projects in March reached 45%, with significant increases in cities like Beijing, Shanghai, and Chengdu [5][15] - Strong product quality is identified as a key factor driving market interest, particularly in core urban areas [5][15] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies with strong product offerings and land acquisition capabilities, particularly in first-tier and core second-tier cities [6] - Recommended companies include Binjiang Group, China Overseas Development, and Jianfa International Group, along with their respective property management firms [6]

根据国家统计局公布的70大中城市商品住宅价格指数，2025年2月新建商品住宅价格同比/环比分别下跌 5.2%/0.1%(2025年1月：-5.4%/-0.1%)，二手商品住宅价格同比/环比跌幅也有所好转，分别下跌 7.5%/0.3%(2025年1月：-7.8%/-0.3%)。 政府工作报告再提明确行业止跌回稳目标，料后续楼市持续修复 3月国务院政府工作报告首次将"稳住楼市股市"写入年度经济工作要求，并再次强调要"持续用力推动房 地产市场止跌回稳"。交银国际认为，当前国家的整体政策重心已从短期救市逐渐转向长效机制建设， 通过存量盘活、金融支持和需求松绑等推动行业转型。尽管3月的销售情况同比仍略有承压，但在低基 数的背景下，预计"银四"市场或将持续修复，应持续关注各线城市之间、国企与民企之间的分化情况。 投资启示 智通财经APP获悉，交银国际发布研报称，根据克而瑞的初步数据，2025年3月前百开发商的全口径销 售总额由2月的1,981亿元环比提升73.9%至3,445亿元。据跟踪的23家主要上市开发商3月销售额也明显 复苏，环比提升67.6%，其中多数开发商同比跌幅均有所收窄。尽管3月的销售情况同比仍略有承压， ...

智通财经APP获悉，中信建投证券发布研报称，3月重点城市新房成交同比增长3.5%，二手房成交同比 增长37%，二手房成交占比继续提升。核心城市表现亮眼。北上广深成杭二手房成交套数同比增速均在 30%以上。百强房企3月销售金额降幅扩大，主要系二手房替代和新开盘项目减少，但核心城市项目首 开去化率明显提升。土地市场延续火热，核心城市单价"地王"频现，推高土拍溢价率。3月全国宅地成 交溢价率为17.15%，环比提升4.4个百分点。贸易战背景下针对内需的宏观政策积极有为、靠前发力， 看好房地产行业板块整体表现。 中信建投证券主要观点如下： 新房成交延续止跌，二手房成交处于历史高位 一季度重点40城新房成交面积2580万方，同比增长4.5%。其中3月新房成交面积为1124万平，同比增长 3.5%。在新开盘项目收缩背景下，3月重点城市新房成交面积仍实现正增长，且一线城市新房成交面积 同比增速达到两位数。二手房成交景气度好于新房，一季度重点13城二手房成交面积为1960万方，同比 增长33%，成交量处于历史高位。其中3月二手房成交面积为850万方，同比增长37%，北上广深成杭六 个核心城市一季度二手房成交套数增速均在30% ...