Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 20.5 HKD based on a 20x P/E ratio for 2025 [4]. Core Viewpoints - The domestic two-wheeler industry is entering a growth cycle driven by "national subsidies + new national standards," with leading companies like Yadea and Aima expected to gain market share due to their high cost-performance products and supply chain advantages [2][13]. - The company is focusing on product strength and channel efficiency to enhance store performance, with significant efforts in product innovation and market expansion [3][9]. Summary by Sections Investment Logic - The report highlights that the growth of the domestic two-wheeler industry will be supported by improved product capabilities, particularly in battery technology and smart features, which are expected to drive up average selling prices (ASP) [2][13]. - The company is actively expanding its product range to cater to diverse consumer segments, with a notable increase in sales from products priced above 3000 RMB [2][9]. Financial Forecasts - The projected net profits for the company from 2025 to 2027 are 30.14 billion, 34.16 billion, and 39.0 billion RMB, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 137%, 13%, and 14% respectively [4][7]. - The company’s revenue is expected to rebound significantly in 2025, with a forecasted revenue of 38.296 billion RMB, up from 28.236 billion RMB in 2024 [7]. Product Development and Innovation - The company is focusing on enhancing its three core systems (battery, motor, and control) to improve product performance and safety, with recent advancements in sodium-ion battery technology [27][35]. - The introduction of the sodium-ion battery series is positioned as a key differentiator in the market, with features such as fast charging and high safety standards [27][29]. Market Expansion - The company is actively expanding its international presence, with plans to increase the number of export countries to 100 by 2024, leveraging its strong cash flow to support dividend payments [3][4]. - The report emphasizes the importance of overseas markets as a second growth curve for the company, particularly in Southeast Asia [3][20]. Competitive Landscape - The report notes that the competitive landscape is shifting, with leading companies expected to capture a larger share of the market as smaller players struggle to maintain their positions [2][13]. - The new national standards are anticipated to raise entry barriers, benefiting established players like Yadea [13][28].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the rapid expansion of Chinese electric two-wheeler companies into international markets, highlighting their strategies, market adaptations, and the robust supply chain that supports their global operations [10][30][55]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The Chinese two-wheeler electric vehicle market is highly competitive, with Yadea and Aima holding a combined market share of 43.2% in 2022 [11]. - The domestic market is nearing saturation, with an estimated 400 million electric two-wheelers in use by the end of 2023, leading companies to seek growth opportunities abroad [12][13]. - Yadea achieved a 23% year-on-year increase in overseas sales in 2023, indicating a successful shift towards international markets [14]. Group 2: Regional Strategies - Chinese electric vehicle brands are customizing their products and strategies based on local market conditions, such as climate and consumer preferences [20][22]. - In Southeast Asia, the shift from fuel to electric vehicles is supported by government policies and rising fuel prices, prompting local adaptations in product design [21][22]. - In Europe, the focus is on high-end electric vehicles, with companies like Niu Electric targeting premium segments with advanced features [24][25][27]. Group 3: Supply Chain and Production - China's dominance in lithium battery production is a key factor, with over 82% of global capacity as of 2023, providing a strong foundation for electric vehicle manufacturing [34]. - The integration of local supply chains in overseas markets, such as the establishment of factories and partnerships in Indonesia, enhances operational efficiency and reduces costs [45][49]. - The collaboration between Chinese companies and local partners in Africa and the Middle East is facilitating the development of infrastructure, such as battery swapping stations, to support electric vehicle adoption [50][51]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The article emphasizes that the comprehensive capabilities of Chinese manufacturers, including product, technology, and supply chain integration, will continue to drive their global expansion [52][55]. - As the global shift towards electrification accelerates, Chinese two-wheeler electric vehicles are expected to capture more market share and establish "Chinese standards" in international markets [55][56].

Core Viewpoint - The introduction of the "24-month replacement" service by Yadi Huayu Battery signifies a shift in the two-wheeled electric vehicle industry from product competition to a focus on full lifecycle services, enhancing user rights and promoting high-quality development in the industry [1][11]. Group 1: Technological Foundation - Yadi Huayu Battery's "24-month replacement" commitment is rooted in continuous investment in technology research and quality assurance, featuring self-developed TTFAR graphene 3rd generation Plus batteries and TTFAR evergreen graphene lead-acid batteries, which achieve over 1000 charge-discharge cycles and have a lifespan three times that of ordinary lead-acid batteries, with a nearly 30% increase in capacity for the same volume [3][5]. Group 2: Service Upgrade - The "24-month replacement" service not only upgrades after-sales policies but also reshapes a win-win ecosystem for users, dealers, and the industry. Users benefit from reduced battery replacement costs and risks, enhancing their purchasing experience and brand loyalty [7][9]. - Dealers gain customer traffic through this innovative service, allowing them to stand out in a competitive market, increase user retention, and drive sales performance, thereby supporting the stable development of the entire sales network [9]. - The service encourages the industry to shift from mere product competition to emphasizing full lifecycle battery services, guiding resources towards companies focused on technological innovation and service optimization, thus promoting a new phase of high-quality and sustainable development in the industry [9][11].

Financial Performance - Total revenue for 2024 decreased by 18.8% to RMB 28,236.2 million compared to RMB 34,762.8 million in 2023[20] - Profit attributable to owners of the company for 2024 was RMB 1,272.4 million, down from RMB 2,640.2 million in 2023, representing a decline of 51.8%[20] - The gross profit margin for 2024 was 15.2%, down from 16.9% in 2023, indicating increased cost pressures[20] - The company's gross profit decreased by approximately 27.1% to RMB 4,289.0 million in 2024 from RMB 5,885.2 million in 2023, with a gross margin decline from about 16.9% to approximately 15.2%[41] - Other income and gains decreased by approximately 34.4% from RMB 979.8 million in 2023 to RMB 642.9 million in 2024, primarily due to the absence of one-time government grants in 2024 and increased foreign exchange losses[42] - Profit for the year decreased by approximately 51.8% from RMB 2,640.2 million in 2023 to RMB 1,272.4 million in 2024[48] - Basic earnings per share decreased by approximately 52.3% to RMB 42.2 cents for the year ended December 31, 2024[180] Assets and Liabilities - The total assets as of December 31, 2024, were RMB 24,618.9 million, a decrease from RMB 25,660.1 million in 2023[21] - The total liabilities decreased to RMB 15,860.8 million in 2024 from RMB 17,258.9 million in 2023, reflecting improved financial stability[21] - Cash and cash equivalents as of December 31, 2024, were approximately RMB 7,868.9 million, a decrease of about 0.6% from RMB 7,913.8 million as of December 31, 2023[49] - Inventory increased by approximately 33.9% from RMB 955.4 million as of December 31, 2023, to RMB 1,279.4 million as of December 31, 2024, mainly due to preparations for anticipated demand during the Chinese New Year[53] - Accounts receivable decreased by approximately 16.2% from RMB 545.9 million as of December 31, 2023, to RMB 457.7 million as of December 31, 2024, due to increased collection efforts and a decline in sales[54] - The debt-to-equity ratio increased to 16.4% as of December 31, 2024, compared to 9.9% as of December 31, 2023[58] Sales and Market Performance - The revenue breakdown for 2024 shows electric scooters at 3.2%, batteries and chargers at 25.1%, electric bicycles at 28.3%, and parts at 43.4%[18] - Total sales of electric scooters and bicycles dropped from approximately 16.5 million units in 2023 to about 13.0 million units in 2024, reflecting a significant decline in demand[34] - The sales volume of electric scooters decreased by approximately 20.7% from about 4,960,000 units in 2023 to approximately 3,931,000 units in 2024[37] - The sales volume of electric bicycles fell by approximately 21.4% from about 11,561,000 units in 2023 to approximately 9,089,000 units in 2024[37] Research and Development - The company operates six R&D centers and holds over 2,000 patents, emphasizing its commitment to innovation in electric vehicles[10] - The company continues to invest in R&D for core components such as batteries and electronic control systems, with a focus on launching compliant and market-oriented products[29] - The company is set to launch its first mass-produced sodium-ion battery-powered electric bicycle in January 2025, marking a significant breakthrough in sustainable transportation[29] Marketing and Expansion - The company aims to enhance marketing efforts through digital platforms and social media to connect with younger consumers, appointing a global brand ambassador to rejuvenate its brand image[30] - The company plans to accelerate global expansion, particularly in Southeast Asia, with new factories in Indonesia and Vietnam, and flagship stores in Thailand and Indonesia[29] Corporate Governance - The board consists of eight directors, including three executive directors, one non-executive director, and four independent non-executive directors[73] - The company has fully complied with the corporate governance code during the year ended December 31, 2024[69] - All independent non-executive directors confirmed their independence according to the guidelines set out in the listing rules[75] - The company has established mechanisms to ensure independent judgment from the board, including evaluating the time commitment of independent non-executive directors[86] - The roles of chairman and CEO are clearly defined and separated, with Dong Jinggui as chairman and Qian Jinghong as CEO[87] Risk Management - The company has established a robust risk management and internal control system to safeguard shareholder investments and company assets[117] - The board has identified four risk categories: strategic risk, financial risk, operational risk, and legal risk, and has established a reporting policy to address misconduct or fraud[122] - The company encourages employees and stakeholders to report any concerns regarding misconduct or fraud, ensuring thorough investigations are conducted[122] Social Responsibility and Sustainability - The company is committed to fulfilling its social responsibilities through active implementation of environmental, social, and governance policies during the reporting period[135] - The company is focused on sustainable development and continuously reviews and improves its sustainability efforts during the reporting period[135] Leadership and Management - The company has a strong leadership team with over 23 years of experience in the electric two-wheeler industry, co-founded by the current chairman and CEO[138][140] - The management team has received multiple accolades, indicating a high level of recognition in their respective fields[149] - The strategic appointments aim to strengthen the company's operational efficiency and drive future growth initiatives[146][148][151][152][154] Shareholder Communication - The company emphasizes the importance of transparent communication with shareholders to enhance their understanding of business performance and strategies[121] - The company maintains various formal communication channels to report performance and engage with shareholders, including investor forums and site visits[123]

4月24日，电动两轮车领军品牌雅迪宣布与支付宝达成战略合作，并发布全球首款支持"支付宝碰一 下"的智能电动车：该车型搭载"支付宝碰一下"技术，手机化身车钥匙，碰一下"1秒绑车、1秒解锁"， 骑行还可获得绿色能量。这也是"支付宝碰一下"首次与电动两轮骑行场景做产品级结合，将通过深度联 营打造智能骑行新标杆。 据了解，此次发布的全球首款"碰一下"电动车，背后依托IIFAA可信连接技术作为数字车钥匙，构建"芯 片-终端-云端"全链路安全防护体系，能攻克传统蓝牙解锁依赖网络、响应延迟高、靠近车辆误开机的 痛点。用户不需要带车钥匙，只需将手机解锁后贴近车辆"碰一下"标识区，即可1秒开锁，对比传统方 式提效90%以上，也可通过在支付宝内的车控界面，直接完成开车座、设防、寻车等功能。 此外，通过"碰一下"骑行，还可获得蚂蚁森林绿色能量。为倡导绿色出行概念，打造出行行业绿色低碳 发展合作样板，雅迪与支付宝在个人电动车场景首推碰一下骑行得蚂蚁森林绿色能量的交互方式，用户 每碰一下就可得39克能量，全年最多可多种2.4棵梭梭树。 雅迪科技集团总裁周朝阳表示："雅迪与支付宝碰一下的合作，将为用户带来更方便、更绿色的出行体 验，为行 ...

业绩投资者电话会议请允许我为大家介绍一下自己本次电话会的管理层他们是雅迪集团董事会主席董经贵先生副董事会主席兼行政总裁浅静红女士高级副总裁钟朝阳先生王家中先生周超先生 副总裁兼国内营销公司总经理张静松先生以及财务总监石瑞先生我们将首先邀请公司财务总监石总为大家介绍公司2024年度的业绩情况随后将进入问答环节各位投资者可通过语音指示进行提问我们首先有请石总 非常感谢主持人感谢各位投资人24年虽然说我们有遇到了各种的问题业绩也不及预期我们在去年的12月也发布了业绩引颈然后也跟大家进行了详细的一些介绍所以在今天我就不去做过多的一些推述因为今天我们也请到了我们的三位轮值以及我们的新同事在后边跟大家来重点回复大家的问题 除了南京大火的事故导致了这行业的延长第二个因为延长导致了公司的产品节奏以及营销策略节奏发生了比较大的一些影响所以导致了24年这个节奏上出现了重大的一些问题直接影响到整体销量做到了34%的一个这个缩少21%的一个下滑到了1302万台出入也下滑了18.8%282亿元 在这个三个组合的数据中实际上基本上灌篮系列海外及三文这些毛利率涉嫁较高的产品占比是34%的产品自主车型已经占到了绝对的大头95%都是自主研发的 ...

（原标题：利润腰斩 销量骤降 雅迪正在被市场"洗牌"） 中国电动两轮车行业龙头企业雅迪控股（01585.HK）近日发布的2024年财报显示，其遭遇上市以来最严重的业绩滑坡：全年营收282.36亿元，同 比下滑18.8%；归母净利润12.72亿元，同比暴跌51.8%，创近五年新低。 这一数据折射出行业增长红利消退背景下，雅迪长期依赖的"低价+渠道"模式正面临严峻挑战。 利润腰斩与销量下滑 2024年，雅迪电动两轮车总销量从2023年的1650万台骤降至1302万台，同比减少21.18%，远超行业11.6%的降幅。销量锐减导致营收减少约65亿 元，叠加降价清库存策略，毛利率从16.9%降至15.2%，创七年新低。 其中，南京电动自行车锂电池自燃事件引发的安全信任危机，以及新国标《电动自行车安全技术规范》的强制实施，迫使雅迪对旧款车型降价 30%清仓，进一步压缩利润空间。 更深层的问题在于其战略惯性。雅迪长期以"多门店+低价"模式扩张，截至2023年拥有超4万家销售点，但行业转向存量竞争后，密集渠道反而成 为负担——2024年存货金额攀升至16.53亿元，同比增长33.9%，经销商库存周转率下降导致信心不足。 高端 ...

证券研究报告 | 2025年04月03日 雅迪控股（01585.HK） 优于大市 2024 年利润承压，2025 年有望迎来恢复 2024 年收入及利润下滑受国检、去库存等拖累。雅迪控股 2024 年实现营 业收入 282.4 亿元，同比下降 18.9%，净利润 12.7 亿元，同比下降 51.8%； 2024H1 营业收入 144.3 亿元，同比下降 15.5%，净利润 10.3 亿元，同 比下降 13%，2024H2 营业收入 138.1 亿元，同比下降 22.1%，净利润 2.4 亿元，同比下降 83.6%，收入及利润下滑主要是国检影响经销商出货节 奏，公司促销去库存等综合导致。 2024 年利润率下滑，费用率提升。2024 年公司进行去库存，部分产品打 折促销，影响整体利润率，2024 年毛利率 15.2%，同比下降 1.7pct，净 利率 4.5%，同比下降 3.1pct。公司对销售、管理费用也进行相应控制， 销售、管理费用率保持稳健，同时公司仍然保持了较高的研发投入，研 发费用率提升至 4.1%，较 2023 年提升 0.6pct。整体看公司 2024 年综 合费用率为 11.7%，同比提升 0. ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The company's revenue for 2024 is expected to be 28.236 billion yuan, a decrease of 18.8% year-on-year, with a net profit of 1.272 billion yuan, down 51.8% year-on-year. The decline is attributed to a temporary vacuum in demand due to safety incidents and increased adaptation costs during the transition to new national standards [1][2] - The company plans to distribute a final dividend of 0.22 HKD per share plus a special dividend of 0.23 HKD, totaling 1.368 billion HKD, which represents 99.6% of the net profit for 2024, highlighting its commitment to shareholder returns [2] - The industry outlook is positive, driven by the "old-for-new" policy and new national standards, which are expected to boost demand and optimize supply dynamics [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a gross margin of 15.2%, a decrease of 1.7 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to inventory clearance and product structure adjustments. The total expense ratio was 11.70%, reflecting a rise in costs amid declining revenues [2] - The sales volume for 2024 was approximately 13.0205 million units, a decrease of 21.2% year-on-year, with electric bicycles accounting for 69.8% of total sales [1] Industry Outlook - The "old-for-new" policy is expected to continue and strengthen through 2025, with average subsidies ranging from 500 to 1000 yuan, leading to an acceleration in replacement demand [3] - The new national standards will raise entry barriers for the industry, benefiting compliant and responsive companies like the report's subject, which is well-positioned to capture market share [3] Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on product innovation and brand positioning, with new high-end models launched to attract specific consumer segments, including women [4] - The company is expanding its overseas presence, with factories in Indonesia and Vietnam starting operations, and plans to enhance its retail footprint in Southeast Asia and Europe [9] Profitability Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 41.307 billion yuan, 49.770 billion yuan, and 56.923 billion yuan, respectively, with expected growth rates of 46.3%, 20.5%, and 14.4% [10] - The net profit forecast for the same period is 3.207 billion yuan, 3.808 billion yuan, and 4.377 billion yuan, with growth rates of 152.0%, 18.7%, and 14.9% [10]

Summary of Yadea Holdings Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Yadea Holdings - **Date**: March 29, 2025 Key Points Industry and Market Dynamics - The growth in Q1 2025 was supported by favorable national policies, particularly the delay of new standards until Q4, creating a conducive environment for the industry [3][4] - The company has adjusted its sales and product strategies since October 2024, leading to clearer product positioning and improved performance [3][4] Financial Performance - Q1 performance benefited from policy delays, product strategy adjustments focusing on long-range, lightweight design, and trade-in programs, with an average rebate reduction of over 50 yuan per vehicle, enhancing unit price and gross margin [4] - The average selling price (ASP) is maintained above 2,200 yuan, with expected annual sales of 16.5 to 17 million units and a gross margin of approximately 18% [4][9] Product Strategy - The company has redefined its product lines: - **Crown Series**: Emphasizes long-range and longevity - **Modern Series**: Focuses on lightweight design and aesthetics - **Classic Series**: Enhances cost-performance ratio [4][5] - The introduction of the T35 product has been successful, indicating a shift towards smart vehicle design [7][8] Market Segmentation - The mid-to-high-end market strategy has shown success, with the Crown and Modern series accounting for 44% of sales and products priced above 3,000 yuan making up over 55% of sales [5][9] - The company targets two main consumer groups in the mid-to-high-end market: those valuing individuality and those interested in customization [14][15][16] Trade-in Program - The trade-in program has effectively captured approximately 800,000 units of demand, with 40% of stores participating [4][10][11] - The program is not mandatory for dealers but has seen high voluntary participation due to competitive pressures [12] Battery Technology and Innovations - The company upgraded its lead-acid battery technology, doubling its lifespan without increasing costs, leading to strong demand in both pre-installed and aftermarket segments [17] - Exploration of sodium-ion battery technology is ongoing, with two pathways being developed: one for fast charging and another for cost-effective promotion [19][24] Retail and Distribution Strategy - The company currently operates 41,500 retail outlets, with plans to add 5,000 new or upgraded stores, expecting a net increase of 2,000 to 3,000 [21] - The focus for 2025 is on mid-range products priced between 2,500 to 4,500 yuan, with a cautious approach to marketing expenditures [23] International Expansion - The company is cautious about large-scale capital expenditures for international expansion, focusing instead on addressing product model issues before scaling operations [27] Future Outlook - The company anticipates improved profitability in 2025 compared to 2022, driven by strategic adjustments and market conditions [20][22] Additional Insights - The company is committed to enhancing service quality and market competitiveness through differentiated service strategies [20] - The marketing strategy is evolving towards new retail models, competing with brands like Ninebot and Niu [6] This summary encapsulates the key insights and strategic directions discussed during the conference call, highlighting Yadea Holdings' proactive measures in navigating market challenges and opportunities.