Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Xiaomi Group-W (01810.HK) [1] Core Views - The company continues to focus on the "people, vehicles, and home" ecosystem, launching new products such as the YU7 SUV and the Xuanjie chips, which are expected to drive growth [7] - The YU7 SUV is positioned as a high-performance luxury vehicle with impressive specifications, including a maximum horsepower of 690 PS and a range of 835 km, which is the highest for mid-to-large electric SUVs [7] - The self-developed Xuanjie O1 chip marks Xiaomi as the fourth company globally to design a 3nm process mobile SoC, enhancing its product capabilities [7] - The company is expanding its high-end product offerings, with a 15.7% year-on-year increase in total smartphone shipments in 2024, and a 3% increase in the domestic high-end smartphone market share [7] Financial Projections - Total revenue is projected to grow from CNY 270.97 billion in 2023 to CNY 691.16 billion by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 13.62% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase significantly from CNY 17.48 billion in 2023 to CNY 59.31 billion in 2027, reflecting a CAGR of 26.93% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from CNY 0.67 in 2023 to CNY 2.29 in 2027 [1] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 73.19 in 2023 to 21.56 in 2027, indicating improving valuation [1] Market Position - Xiaomi's market capitalization is approximately CNY 1,043.39 million, with a closing price of HKD 53.00 [5] - The company has a price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 6.47 and a debt-to-asset ratio of 53.07% [6] - The company aims to expand its retail presence internationally, planning to open around 10,000 new Xiaomi stores overseas in the next five years [7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Xiaomi Group with a target price of HKD 53.00, indicating a potential upside of over 15% relative to the benchmark index [6]. Core Insights - Xiaomi has achieved significant milestones, including maintaining a top-three global market share in smartphones for 19 consecutive quarters, successfully launching its automotive and chip businesses, and completing its ecosystem strategy [1][3]. - The introduction of the new self-developed chips, the Xiaomi玄戒 O1 and T1, positions the company among the leading flagship chip manufacturers, enhancing its competitive edge in the market [2]. - The company is expected to see substantial revenue growth, with projected revenues of RMB 506.27 billion, RMB 605.21 billion, and RMB 700.89 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, alongside net profits of RMB 35.71 billion, RMB 45.78 billion, and RMB 59.89 billion for the same years [5][3]. Summary by Sections Product Launch and Achievements - Xiaomi unveiled its new玄戒 O1 and T1 chips and the YU7 SUV series during its 15th-anniversary event, showcasing a range of innovative products [1]. - The玄戒 O1 chip features advanced specifications, including a 3nm process, 19 billion transistors, and a multi-core CPU architecture, achieving over 3 million points on AnTuTu benchmark [2]. Automotive Business - The cumulative delivery of the Xiaomi SU7 series has surpassed 258,000 units, and the YU7 series is set to launch in July, featuring impressive specifications such as a range of 835 km for the standard version [3]. Financial Projections - The report forecasts significant revenue and profit growth for Xiaomi, with a projected revenue increase of 35% in 2024 and a steady growth trajectory in subsequent years [5][3]. - The expected earnings per share (EPS) are projected to rise from RMB 0.91 in 2024 to RMB 2.31 by 2027, reflecting strong profitability growth [5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Xiaomi Group, indicating a positive outlook for the company's stock performance in the next 12 months [6]. Core Insights - Xiaomi has achieved significant milestones, including maintaining a top-three global market share in smartphones for 19 consecutive quarters, successfully launching its automotive and chip businesses, and completing its ecosystem strategy [1][3]. - The introduction of the Xiaomi玄戒 O1 and T1 chips positions the company among the leading flagship chip manufacturers, with the O1 chip utilizing advanced 3nm technology and achieving over 3 million points in AnTuTu benchmarks [2]. - The company has delivered over 258,000 units of the SU7 series and is set to launch the YU7 series, which features impressive specifications such as a range of 835 km for the standard version [3]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for Xiaomi are as follows: 2025 estimated revenue of 506.27 billion RMB, 2026 at 605.21 billion RMB, and 2027 at 700.89 billion RMB, reflecting growth rates of 38.4%, 19.5%, and 15.8% respectively [5]. - The net profit estimates are projected to be 35.71 billion RMB for 2025, 45.78 billion RMB for 2026, and 59.89 billion RMB for 2027, with corresponding growth rates of 50.9%, 28.2%, and 30.8% [5]. - The report anticipates a decrease in the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio from 36 in 2025 to 21 in 2027, indicating an improving valuation as earnings grow [5]. Strategic Developments - Xiaomi's investment in research and development has exceeded 100 billion RMB over the past five years, with an additional 200 billion RMB planned for the next five years, highlighting the company's commitment to innovation [1]. - The successful integration of self-developed chips and the launch of the YU7 series are expected to enhance Xiaomi's high-end smartphone strategy and accelerate growth in its automotive business, which is viewed as a new growth curve for the company [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" investment rating for Xiaomi Group [1][6] Core Views - The launch of the self-developed chip "Xuanjie O1" marks a significant milestone for Xiaomi, enhancing its high-end product strategy and ecosystem integration [5][6] - Xiaomi's various business segments, including smartphones, IoT, and internet services, are expected to experience sustained growth, driven by high-end product offerings and international expansion [5][6] - The upcoming release of the Xiaomi YU7 SUV is anticipated to strengthen the company's position in the automotive market, with advanced features and performance metrics [5][6] Summary by Sections Financial Data and Valuation - Total revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are estimated at 517.9 billion, 701.4 billion, and 895.6 billion CNY respectively, with adjusted net profits of 43.8 billion, 67.6 billion, and 89.3 billion CNY [7] - The current market capitalization corresponds to a PE ratio of 27.7, 18.0, and 13.6 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [7] Product Launches - The Xiaomi 15S Pro features the Xuanjie O1 chip, with a starting price of 5499 CNY, and is positioned as a high-end smartphone [5][20] - The Xiaomi Pad 7 Ultra, also equipped with the Xuanjie O1 chip, is priced from 5699 CNY and represents Xiaomi's entry into the high-end tablet market [5][38] - The Xiaomi Watch S4, featuring the Xuanjie T1 chip, is priced at 1299 CNY and offers advanced connectivity and health monitoring features [5][52] Automotive Sector - The Xiaomi YU7 SUV is set to launch in July, featuring a luxurious design, advanced safety features, and a maximum range of 835 km [5][61][73] - The YU7 will be equipped with cutting-edge technology, including NVIDIA Thor chips and laser radar, enhancing its performance and safety [5][61][84] Research and Development - Xiaomi has invested approximately 102 billion CNY in R&D over the past five years, with plans to invest an additional 200 billion CNY from 2026 to 2030 [5][6]

Group 1 - Xiaomi Group reaffirms its R&D investment guidance of 30 billion yuan by 2025 and 200 billion yuan from 2026 to 2030 [1] - The company launched its first SUV YU7, 3nm flagship SoC Xuanjie O1, and integrated self-developed 4G baseband Xuanjie T1, along with several flagship products [1][2] - YU7 is positioned as a "luxury high-performance SUV" with a body size of 4999/1996/1600mm and a wheelbase of 3000mm, featuring laser radar and NVIDIA Thor [1][2] Group 2 - The 3nm flagship SoC Xuanjie O1 features 19 billion transistors and a chip area of only 109 square millimeters, with a CPU configuration of 10 cores [2] - The GPU is a 16-core Immortalis-G925, supporting dynamic performance scheduling, and the self-developed ISP has reached its fourth generation [2] - The Xuanjie T1 SoC integrates a self-developed 4G baseband, marking a significant breakthrough in communication technology for Xiaomi [3] Group 3 - Xiaomi's chip development strategy has evolved since 2014, with a focus on peripheral functional chips, leading to the establishment of the Xuanjie project in early 2021 [3] - The company has invested 13.5 billion yuan in R&D as of April 2025, with a projected budget of over 6 billion yuan for 2025 [3] - The high-end strategy is expected to enhance product strength, profit margins, and valuation, maintaining a buy rating [3][4] Group 4 - The release of YU7 and the Xuanjie O1/T1 signifies a continued strengthening of the product portfolio and a solidification of the technological moat [4] - Xiaomi possesses a unique "human-vehicle-home" ecosystem and competitive advantages [4] - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are set at 469.4 billion, 572 billion, and 684.4 billion yuan, with adjusted net profits of 37.6 billion, 45.7 billion, and 55.8 billion yuan respectively [4]

Group 1: Product Launches - Xiaomi Group held its 15th anniversary strategic product launch event, introducing several new products including the Xiaomi 15S Pro smartphone, Xiaomi Civi 5 Pro, Xiaomi Pad 7 Ultra, Xiaomi Watch S4 eSIM version, and Xiaomi YU7 car, along with multiple IoT products [1] - The Xiaomi 15S Pro smartphone and Xiaomi Pad 7 Ultra are powered by the self-developed 3nm Xuanjie O1 processor, featuring a "ten-core four-cluster" architecture and the latest Arm Immortalis-G925 GPU [1] - The Xiaomi Watch S4 eSIM version is equipped with the Xuanjie T1 watch chip, which integrates Xiaomi's first 4G baseband [1] Group 2: Automotive Developments - The Xiaomi YU7, positioned as a luxury high-performance SUV, features a maximum power of 690PS and a top speed of 253 km/h, with a range of up to 835 km [2] - The YU7 includes advanced intelligent features such as a four-in-one domain controller, NVIDIA Thor chip for assisted driving, and multiple sensors for enhanced safety and performance [2] - Cumulative deliveries of the Xiaomi SU7 series have exceeded 258,000 units, with over 28,000 units delivered in April 2025 alone [2] Group 3: Strategic Vision and Market Position - Xiaomi's "human-vehicle-home ecosystem" strategy is now fully integrated, with significant growth in home appliances, achieving over 100% year-on-year sales growth in Q1 2025 [3] - The company has a comprehensive layout across multiple hardware categories, including smartphones, PCs, wearables, smart home devices, and automobiles, positioning itself favorably in the emerging edge AI era [3] - The integration of AI software capabilities, represented by the Super Xiao Ai, and AI core hardware capabilities, represented by the Xuanjie O1, is expected to enhance Xiaomi's market position [3] Group 4: Financial Outlook - The company maintains its existing profit forecasts, with the current stock price corresponding to a 2025/2026 adjusted net profit P/E ratio of 31.9/23.1 times [3] - The target price is set at HKD 70.0, reflecting a potential upside of 31.6% compared to the current stock price [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" investment rating for Xiaomi Group [1][6] Core Views - The launch of the self-developed chip "Xuanjie O1" marks a significant milestone for Xiaomi, enhancing its high-end product strategy and ecosystem integration [5][6] - Xiaomi's various business segments, including smartphones, IoT, and internet services, are expected to experience sustained growth, driven by high-end product offerings and international expansion [5][6] - The upcoming release of the Xiaomi YU7 SUV is anticipated to strengthen the company's position in the automotive market, with advanced features and performance metrics [5][6] Summary by Sections Financial Data and Valuation - Total revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are estimated at 517.9 billion, 701.4 billion, and 895.6 billion CNY respectively, with adjusted net profits of 43.8 billion, 67.6 billion, and 89.3 billion CNY [7] - The current market capitalization corresponds to a PE ratio of 27.7, 18.0, and 13.6 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [7] Product Launches - The Xiaomi 15S Pro features the Xuanjie O1 chip, with a starting price of 5499 CNY, and is positioned as a high-end smartphone [5] - The Xiaomi Pad 7 Ultra, also equipped with the Xuanjie O1 chip, is priced from 5699 CNY and represents Xiaomi's entry into the premium tablet market [5] - The Xiaomi Watch S4, featuring the Xuanjie T1 chip, is priced at 1299 CNY and offers advanced connectivity and health monitoring features [5] Automotive Sector - The Xiaomi YU7 SUV is set to launch in July, featuring high-performance specifications, including a maximum power of 690PS and a range of up to 835 km [5][61] - The YU7 will include advanced safety features and a luxurious interior, aiming to compete in the high-performance SUV market [61][72] Technology Development - Xiaomi has invested approximately 102 billion CNY in R&D over the past five years, with plans to invest an additional 200 billion CNY from 2026 to 2030 [5] - The Xuanjie O1 chip utilizes a second-generation 3nm process, integrating 190 billion transistors and achieving a benchmark score exceeding 3 million on AnTuTu [5][8]

Group 1 - Xiaomi's stock price is currently fluctuating around 54.45 HKD, with technical indicators showing mixed signals [1] - As of 9:55 AM, Xiaomi's stock price was at 54.55 HKD, a slight increase of 0.18%, with resistance at 56 HKD and support at 50.4 HKD [1] - The MACD and Ichimoku indicators are signaling a buy, while the RSI is at 66, nearing the overbought zone, and the Williams indicator shows a sell warning [1] Group 2 - On May 19, when Xiaomi's stock rose by 4.01%, related derivatives performed strongly, with the Morgan Stanley call option (14642) surging by 22% [3] - UBS bull certificates (66801) and call options (14991) increased by 19% and 18% respectively, while Morgan Stanley bull certificates (67102) also rose by 18% [3] - This data highlights the leverage effect of derivatives in high volatility markets, particularly call options [3] Group 3 - For investors optimistic about Xiaomi breaking the 56 HKD resistance, several high-leverage products are available, including UBS call options (14991) with a leverage of 4.8 times [5] - HSBC call options (15392) follow closely with a leverage of 4.7 times, while Morgan Stanley bull certificates (55982) offer a leverage of 6.7 times with an attractive premium level [5] - Morgan Stanley bull certificates (55750) have a lower recovery price of 46 HKD but provide a leverage of 5.6 times, suitable for aggressive investors [5] Group 4 - For bearish expectations, HSBC put options (14333) and Morgan Stanley put options (14322) offer leverage of 2.3 times and 2.4 times respectively, both with a strike price of 46.45 HKD [8] - Among bear certificates, UBS bear certificates (56421) provide a leverage of 8.8 times with a recovery price of 61 HKD, while Societe Generale bear certificates (56288) offer 9.4 times leverage with a recovery price of 60.5 HKD, suitable for short-term trading [8] Group 5 - Investors can choose based on their risk preferences: conservative investors may consider out-of-the-money call options, balanced investors may opt for medium-leverage bull certificates, and aggressive investors may select high-leverage bear certificates for short-term trades [11] - Regardless of market position, strict position control and clear stop-loss points are recommended [11]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [7]. Core Views - On May 22, the company launched its self-developed 3nm chip "Xuanjie O1," along with several consumer electronic products including the Xiaomi 15S Pro, Pad 7 Ultra, and Civi5 Pro, as well as the Yu7 SUV, marking a significant milestone in brand premiumization and product matrix expansion [2][4]. Summary by Relevant Sections Product Launch and Innovation - The company has introduced the Xuanjie O1 chip, which utilizes second-generation 3nm technology, featuring a 10-core CPU and a 16-core GPU with a transistor scale of 19 billion. The chip's performance exceeds that of Apple's A18 Pro, with a benchmark score of over 3 million in AnTuTu [8]. - The Xiaomi 15S Pro smartphone, based on the Xiaomi 15 Pro design, is equipped with the Xuanjie O1 chip and starts at a price of 5499 RMB. The Pad 7 Ultra features a 14-inch OLED display and also uses the Xuanjie O1 chip, starting at 5699 RMB [8]. - The Yu7 SUV, the company's first SUV model, is positioned as a mid-to-large electric coupe SUV with a range of 835 km, which is the longest in its class. The vehicle includes advanced features such as a floating central control screen and a panoramic display system [8]. Market Position and Future Outlook - The company is recognized as one of the few manufacturers globally capable of designing 3nm mobile SoC chips, alongside Huawei. This positions the company favorably in the competitive landscape of smartphone and tablet manufacturing [8]. - The Yu7 SUV is expected to replicate the success of the SU7 model, contributing to increased average sales price and volume, with projections indicating a potential net profit turnaround in 2025 and single-vehicle profits exceeding 10,000 RMB [8]. - The company aims to achieve a 24% market share in the high-end segment by expanding its product offerings across various price ranges and energy types, with sales expected to exceed 2 million vehicles in the long term [8].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][6] Core Insights - The company has reaffirmed its guidance for R&D investment of 30 billion RMB in 2025 and 200 billion RMB from 2026 to 2030, alongside the launch of strategic new products including the SUV YU7 and 3nm flagship SoC [6][7] - The YU7 SUV features advanced technology such as laser radar and NVIDIA Thor, positioning it as a luxury high-performance SUV with a leading range in its category [6][7] - The 3nm flagship SoC, known as玄戒 O1, is designed with a high transistor count and advanced architecture, enhancing the company's technological capabilities [6][7] - The company aims to strengthen its brand positioning through in-house chip development, which has been a long-term strategy since 2014 [6][7] - The high-end strategy is expected to translate into enhanced product strength, improved profit margins, and increased valuation [6][7] Financial Data Summary - Revenue projections for 2023 to 2027 are as follows: 270,970 million RMB in 2023, 365,906 million RMB in 2024, 469,359 million RMB in 2025, 572,035 million RMB in 2026, and 684,427 million RMB in 2027, with growth rates of -3%, 35%, 28%, 22%, and 20% respectively [2][7] - Net profit estimates for the same period are: 19,274 million RMB in 2023, 27,314 million RMB in 2024, 37,624 million RMB in 2025, 45,739 million RMB in 2026, and 55,769 million RMB in 2027, with growth rates of 127%, 42%, 38%, 22%, and 22% respectively [2][7] - The projected earnings per share (EPS) are 0.76 RMB in 2023, 1.07 RMB in 2024, 1.48 RMB in 2025, 1.79 RMB in 2026, and 2.19 RMB in 2027 [2][7] - The company’s price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is expected to decrease from 66 in 2023 to 23 in 2027, indicating a potential increase in valuation [2][7]