本文源自：市场资讯 作者：观察君 在个股方面，高盛持续看好即制饮品行业龙头古茗(01364)及蜜雪集团(02097)，将古茗目标价上调至34 港元，给予"确信买入"评级；将蜜雪集团目标价调整至493港元，给予"买入"评级。该行尤其看好古 茗，指出其过往在消费场景拓展及新产品推出方面表现强劲，门店仍具备较大扩张空间，同时上调古茗 2025至2027年核心盈利预测4%至6%。 市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文为AI基于第三方数据生成，仅供参考，不构成个人投资建议。 高盛发布研报称，预期2026年内地餐饮销售同比增长4.2%，增速较2025年的3.2%有所加快。该行观察 到，尽管当前整体消费尚未出现显著好转，但过去数月餐饮需求已趋于稳定。同时，餐饮行业出现加价 情况，该行认为此举是为应对营运及原材料成本上升、外卖订单占比增加，需求回稳也为此举提供了支 撑。 针对即制饮品企业，该行表示，2026年第二至第三季，行业将面临同店销售增长的高基数挑战。不过年 初至今外卖补贴水平较预期更高，叠加产品种类扩张、消费场景进一步丰富，将为同店销售增长提供支 撑。但外卖订单占比上升可能对企业盈利能力及门店运营产生负面影响，相关品牌或需提 ...

股份方面，该行持续看好即制饮品行业龙头，包括古茗(01364)及蜜雪集团(02097)，古茗目标价升至34 港元，蜜雪目标价调整至493港元，分别予"确信买入"及"买入"评级，尤其看好前者。 智通财经APP获悉，高盛发布研报称，预期今年内地餐饮销售增长加快至同比升4.2%，增速快于去年的 3.2%。虽然整体消费仍未见显著好转，但该行观察到过去数月餐饮需求已趋于稳定。同时，行业出现 加价情况，该行认为是为了应对营运和原材料成本上升，以及外卖订单占比增加，亦受需求回稳所支 持。 对于即制饮品企业，该行认为今年第二至第三季将面对同店销售增长的高基数挑战，但年初至今的外卖 补贴水平仍较预期高，加上产品种类扩张，以及更丰富的消费场景，均支持同店销售增长。不过外卖订 单占比上升或对盈利能力及门店产生负面影响，可能令品牌提供支持或补贴。 ...

股份方面，该行持续看好即制饮品行业龙头，包括古茗(01364)及蜜雪集团(02097)，古茗目标价升至34 港元，蜜雪目标价调整至493港元，分别予"确信买入"及"买入"评级，尤其看好前者。 对于即制饮品企业，该行认为今年第二至第三季将面对同店销售增长的高基数挑战，但年初至今的外卖 补贴水平仍较预期高，加上产品种类扩张，以及更丰富的消费场景，均支持同店销售增长。不过外卖订 单占比上升或对盈利能力及门店产生负面影响，可能令品牌提供支持或补贴。 高盛发布研报称，预期今年内地餐饮销售增长加快至同比升4.2%，增速快于去年的3.2%。虽然整体消 费仍未见显著好转，但该行观察到过去数月餐饮需求已趋于稳定。同时，行业出现加价情况，该行认为 是为了应对营运和原材料成本上升，以及外卖订单占比增加，亦受需求回稳所支持。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market is facing a significant wave of lock-up share releases in February and March 2026, with many companies experiencing high percentages of shares being unlocked, potentially impacting stock prices and market sentiment [2][4]. Group 1: Companies Facing High Unlock Ratios - Several companies, including Mirxes-B, Nanshan Aluminium International, and Jiangsu Hongxin, have over 50% of their total share capital subject to unlock, indicating substantial potential selling pressure [2][3]. - The first tier of companies with high unlock ratios includes Different Group (84.67%), Nanshan Aluminium International (80.59%), and Jiangsu Hongxin (68.19%) [3]. Group 2: Market Impact and Investor Behavior - The upcoming unlocks may lead to market panic selling, particularly for small-cap stocks and loss-making companies, as investors may preemptively sell to mitigate risk [9]. - Companies with lock-up commitments, such as Mirxes-B, may experience reduced selling pressure due to commitments from founders and cornerstone investors to hold their shares for an extended period [5][9]. Group 3: Long-term Implications of Unlocks - The unlocking of shares may lead to a more diversified shareholder structure, reducing the risk of concentrated ownership and enhancing corporate governance transparency [10]. - Ultimately, the long-term impact on stock prices will depend on the companies' fundamentals, growth prospects, and industry conditions, rather than solely on the unlock events [10][11].

Group 1 - The core point of the article is the opening of the first store of Mixue Ice City in Mexico City, which attracted a large crowd and positive social media feedback regarding its affordable prices [1][4]. - On the opening day, customers shared their experiences on social media, highlighting the low prices of products such as ice cream for 8 pesos (approximately 3 RMB) and other beverages [1][4]. - Mixue Ice City plans to expand further into the Latin American market, with a new store set to open in São Paulo, Brazil, in March 2026, following a memorandum of understanding with ApexBrasil for significant investment in local agricultural products [5]. Group 2 - The company has accelerated its international expansion, with plans to open stores in Los Angeles and New York by the end of December 2025, while the Mexican store was still under renovation [5]. - Since starting its overseas journey in Vietnam in 2018, Mixue Ice City has expanded to 16 countries and regions, with a total of over 53,000 stores globally as of the mid-2025 report [5]. - The company aims to invest at least 4 billion RMB in Brazil over the next 3-5 years, focusing on sourcing local products and establishing supply chain factories [5].

Group 1: Overseas Market Expansion - The company plans to open its first store in Brazil at a shopping center in São Paulo by March 2026, having signed a procurement order for 4 billion coffee beans and plans to build a supply chain factory [2] - The target for Southeast Asia is to increase the number of stores to 10,000 by the end of 2027, with an average annual growth rate of approximately 20%, while optimizing operational efficiency by closing underperforming stores [2] - Since November 2025, the company has opened franchise operations in 16 countries and regions, including Southeast Asia, Japan, South Korea, Australia, and South America, with plans for further expansion [2] Group 2: New Business and IP Development - The company is preparing to launch a theme park, with job postings for roles such as performance coordination and content writing at its Zhengzhou headquarters, indicating a potential rollout of the Snow King IP in physical locations, though specific investment scale and opening dates are yet to be announced [3] - The 福鹿家 brand has approximately 1,200 stores as of August 2025, with a goal to achieve profitability of 1.07 million yuan in 2024, making its performance in 2025 a point of interest for potential growth [3] Group 3: Supply Chain and Operational Optimization - The company is enhancing its global supply chain, with a production base in Hainan set to commence operations in the first half of 2025, and plans to extend upstream to improve the standardization of agricultural product partnerships [4] - Future focus will be on cost control and improving franchisee efficiency [4] Group 4: Institutional Perspectives - There is a divergence in institutional views on the company; UBS downgraded its rating to "neutral" in January 2026, citing risks of declining gross margins, while domestic institutions like Guotai Junan and Western Securities remain optimistic about the company's overseas expansion potential [5]

Core Insights - The article reports that Mixue Group has acquired a 51% stake in Fulu Family (Zhengzhou) Enterprise Management Co., Ltd., which operates a craft beer production facility [1] Company Overview - Fulu Family was established in 2018 and is involved in various business activities including food sales, alcoholic beverage operations, telecommunications services, and tobacco retail [1] - The registered capital of Fulu Family has increased to approximately 13.53 million RMB following the investment from Mixue Group [1] Industry Context - The investment by Mixue Group into Fulu Family indicates a strategic move into the craft beer sector, which is gaining popularity and could present growth opportunities in the beverage market [1]

Group 1 - The launch of the 30 billion yuan subsidy project by Alibaba's Qianwen App is expected to benefit the sales of ready-to-drink beverages [2][3] - The first wave of the subsidy activity runs from February 6 to 12, offering users a 25 yuan no-threshold free order card, which can be used at over 300,000 tea and coffee shops nationwide [2] - The second wave starting February 13 will allow users to receive cash red envelopes, with a maximum of 2888 yuan available [2] Group 2 - The activity has seen significant engagement, with over 1 million orders placed within 3 hours and over 10 million orders within 9 hours of launch [3] - The current trend indicates a high level of activity in the ready-to-drink beverage market during the Spring Festival, with ongoing subsidies for delivery services [3] - The competitive landscape in the beverage industry is improving, with a slowdown in price wars and a reduction in the number of new stores opening [4] Group 3 - Recommended companies in the beverage sector include Gu Ming (01364), Mixue Group (02097), Luckin Coffee (LKNCY.US), Cha Bai Dao (02555), and Hu Shang A Yi (02589) [5]

| 2. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 其他類別 (請註明) | | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | 否 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | N/A | 說明 | 非上市股份 | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 228,735,742 | RMB | | 1 RMB | | 228,735,742 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 0 | | | RMB | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 228,735,742 | RMB | | 1 RMB | | 228,735,742 | 本月底法定/註冊股本總額： RMB 379,618,800 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2026年1月31日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 蜜雪冰城股份有限公司 呈交日期: 2026年2月5日 I. 法定/ ...

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market saw a rise in new consumer stocks, with Pop Mart leading the gains at nearly 5% [1] - Other notable performers included Blukoo, Maogeping, and Guming, which all rose over 3% [1] - Companies such as Laopu Gold, Shangmei Group, Mixue Group, Miniso, Weilon Delicious, and others also experienced increases of over 2% [1] Group 2 - Pop Mart's stock rose by 4.81%, reaching a latest price of 248.600, with a total market capitalization of 333.08 billion and a year-to-date increase of 32.45% [2] - Blukoo's stock increased by 3.84%, with a latest price of 72.950 and a market cap of 18.13 billion, showing a year-to-date rise of 8.96% [2] - Maogeping's stock rose by 3.83%, priced at 89.350, with a market cap of 43.798 billion and a year-to-date increase of 9.36% [2] - Guming's stock increased by 3.58%, with a latest price of 29.500 and a market cap of 70.156 billion, reflecting a year-to-date rise of 19.05% [2] - Laopu Gold's stock rose by 2.91%, priced at 759.500, with a market cap of 134.237 billion and a year-to-date increase of 22.90% [2] - Shangmei Group's stock increased by 2.92%, with a latest price of 67.000 and a market cap of 26.673 billion, showing a year-to-date decline of 7.97% [2] - Mixue Group's stock rose by 2.80%, priced at 396.600, with a market cap of 150.557 billion, reflecting a year-to-date decline of 3.22% [2] - Miniso's stock increased by 2.43%, with a latest price of 37.100 and a market cap of 44.916 billion, showing a year-to-date increase of 1.92% [2] - Weilon Delicious's stock rose by 2.63%, priced at 12.470, with a market cap of 30.316 billion and a year-to-date increase of 10.84% [2] - Hushang Ayi's stock increased by 1.28%, with a latest price of 86.750 and a market cap of 9.126 billion, reflecting a year-to-date increase of 1.34% [2] - Chazhidao's stock rose by 1.11%, priced at 6.370, with a market cap of 9.413 billion, showing a year-to-date decline of 3.19% [2] - Wuwu Hen Mang's stock increased by 0.90%, with a latest price of 403.000 and a market cap of 86.851 billion, reflecting a year-to-date increase of 70.33% [2]