前10大未平仓空仓比 | 股票名称 | 前次空仓数 | 本次空仓数 | 最新空仓比↓ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 中远海控(01919) | 5.26 亿股 | 5.20 亿股 | 18.86% | | 宁德时代(03750) | 2605.32 万股 | 2600.64 万股 | 16.68% | | 中国平安(02318) | 11.52 亿股 | 11.53 亿股 | 15.48% | | 舜宇光学科技(02382) | 1.64 亿股 | 1.64 亿股 | 15.24% | | 东方电气(01072) | 6239.12 万股 | 6166.94 万股 | 15.12% | | 中兴通讯(00763) | 1.10 亿股 | 1.10 亿股 | 14.53% | | 万科企业(02202) | 3.14 亿股 | 3.13 亿股 | 14.16% | | 紫金矿业(02899) | 8.00 亿股 | 8.08 亿股 | 13.50% | | 恒瑞医药(01276) | 3468.60 万股 | 3439.41 万股 | 13.32% | | 药明康德(02359) ...

本文来自微信公众号"空间秘探"，作者：ABNData，36氪经授权发布。 1月亚洲（中国）长租公寓市场综述 01 全球公寓市场发展动态 1月，进入2026年新年，根据亚洲旅宿大数据研究院监测数据显示，房租类指数年增长率涨幅持续趋缓，1月年增 率1.99%，跌破2%，反映过去一段时间全球租金上涨过后，基数已高下，涨势有趋缓迹象，但全球租金价格总体 仍呈现高位态势。 美国方面，2026年新年开始才一个月，洛杉矶及全美的房租已降至四年来的最低点。据租房匹配平台"公寓列 表"（Apartment List）数据，今年1月全美中位数房租（1,353美元）连续第6个月出现下降，这也是连续第4个冬季 出现明显的淡季租金下跌。冬季租房者通常减少，租金疲软符合市场的季节性规律。不过，0.2%的月跌幅是去年 8月以来最小的。报告认为，这表明市场正逐渐走出淡季，租金有望在未来几个月恢复增长。数据显示，全美54个 人口逾百万的大都市区，有39个于本月出现房租环比下降，32个同比下降——后者主要集中在南部和西部山区， 而东北部、中西部和西海岸部分地区的租房市场仍在升温。 房租年度增幅最大的都市区是弗吉尼亚州的弗吉尼亚海滩市（5.0%） ...

[Table_Page] 投资策略月报|房地产 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 房地产行业 26 年 1 月市场总结 市场信心逐步回升，主流标的表现优异 [Table_Summary] 核心观点： [Table_Grade] 行业评级 买入 前次评级 买入 报告日期 2026-02-26 [相对市场表现 Table_PicQuote] [分析师： Table_Author]郭镇 SAC 执证号：S0260514080003 SFC CE No. BNN906 021-38003639 guoz@gf.com.cn 分析师： 邢莘 SAC 执证号：S0260520070009 021-38003638 xingshen@gf.com.cn 分析师： 谢淼 SAC 执证号：S0260522070007 SFC CE No. BVB342 021-38003637 xiemiao@gf.com.cn 分析师： 李怡慧 SAC 执证号：S0260524040001 SFC CE No. BVI219 021-38003636 liyihui@gf.com.cn 分析师： 辛恬 SAC 执证号：S026052 ...

根据2026年2月25日披露数据，VITASOY INT'L（00345）、恆生科技ETF（03032）、永升服务 （01995）港股通持股占比增加值最大，分别增加0.09%、0.04%、0.01%；南方恆生科技（03033）、医 渡科技（02158）、盈富基金（02800）港股通持股占比减少值最大，分别减 少-0.14%、-0.03%、-0.02%。 2、港股通最新日占比减持榜（前20名） | 公司名称 | 占比值变动 | 最新持股比例 | | --- | --- | --- | | 南方恆生科技(03033) | -0.14% | 68.87% | | 医渡科技(02158) | -0.03% | 22.59% | | 盈富基金(02800) | -0.02% | 3.49% | | 碧桂园(02007) | -0.01% | 17.75% | | 南方恆生生科(03174) | 0.00% | 0.36% | 在最近有统计数据的5个交易日内，南方东西精选（03441）、喜相逢集团（02473）、兆易创新 （03986）港股通持股占比增加值最大，分别增加18.46%、10.04%、4.95%；山东墨龙（0 ...

证券研究报告|固收研究报告 [Table_Date] 2026 年 02 月 25 日 [Table_Title] 以史为鉴，地产债修复路径展望 [Table_Title2] 信用策略宝典之三 [Table_Summary] 2025年 11月以来，万科债券展期事件引发地产债调整，目前高评级主体已 率先止跌，地产债后续修复路径备受市场关注。我们以史为鉴，通过复盘 前两轮地产债信用利差走扩与修复的历程，总结其修复的核心驱动因素及 典型特征，并提出后续地产债投资策略。 ►万科债券展期事件引发地产债调整 2025 年 11 月以来，万科经历了首次境内债展期引发股债双杀、初版展期方 案后多轮博弈、第二版展期方案获通过及 68 亿元债券展期落地。与此同 时，万科债券价格经历了"快速大跌-小幅反弹-大幅反弹"。 受万科债券展期的影响，地产债收益率明显上行，且中低评级表现弱于高 评级、1 年以上表现普遍弱于 1 年以内品种。1 月 15 日以来万科第二版展 期方案获通过并兑付部分本金，万科债券价格明显反弹，但地产债并未迎 来全线修复，而是表现分化。2 月 14 日较 1 月 15 日，隐含评级 AAA 各期 限收益率下行 ...

Core Insights - The top three companies with the highest short positions as of February 13 are COSCO Shipping Holdings (01919), CATL (03750), and Ping An Insurance (02318), with short ratios of 19.07%, 16.71%, and 15.47% respectively [1][2] Group 1: Companies with Highest Short Ratios - COSCO Shipping Holdings (01919) has a short position of 526 million shares, representing a short ratio of 19.07% [2] - CATL (03750) has a short position of 26.05 million shares, with a short ratio of 16.71% [2] - Ping An Insurance (02318) has a short position of 1.152 billion shares, reflecting a short ratio of 15.47% [2] - Dongfang Electric (01072) has a short position of 62.39 million shares, with a short ratio of 15.29% [2] - Sunny Optical Technology (02382) has a short position of 16.4 million shares, maintaining a short ratio of 15.17% [2] Group 2: Companies with Increased Short Positions - WuXi AppTec (02359) saw the largest increase in short ratio, rising by 2.66% to 12.45% [2][3] - Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining (06693) increased its short ratio by 1.63% to 3.60% [2][3] - Changfei Optical Fiber (06869) experienced a 1.55% increase in short ratio, reaching 4.13% [2][3] - Meitu (01357) had a short ratio increase of 1.38% to 8.00% [2][3] - Weimob (02013) saw a 1.33% increase in its short ratio, now at 12.16% [2][3] Group 3: Companies with Decreased Short Positions - Tianqi Lithium (09696) had the largest decrease in short ratio, dropping by 2.29% to 2.91% [3][4] - Vanke (02202) saw a reduction of 2.17% in its short ratio, now at 14.25% [3][4] - Jiangsu Ninhui Expressway (00177) decreased its short ratio by 1.02% to 10.61% [3][4] - Ganfeng Lithium (01772) experienced a decrease of 1.01% in its short ratio, now at 8.81% [3][4] - Country Garden (02007) saw a reduction of 0.91% in its short ratio, now at 1.02% [3][4]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the given content. 2. Core Views of the Report - In 2025, the number of newly - defaulted credit bond issuers and the scale of defaulted bonds decreased significantly. The default of state - owned enterprises came to an end, while the risks of broad - sense private enterprises continued to be exposed. The scale of default repayment increased, but most real - estate enterprises only paid interest without repaying the principal [1][6][7]. - The overall, non - state - owned marginal and cumulative default rates of credit bonds in 2025 decreased slightly. The net financing scale of non - state - owned enterprises turned positive for the first time since 2018. Industries such as electrical equipment, textile and clothing, real estate, and commercial trade had a cumulative default rate of over 5% [3][19][20]. - Looking forward to 2026, the policy bottom - line is to prevent systemic risks. The overall credit risk is relatively controllable, but the operating pressure of some tail - end entities in certain industries remains, and default risks are still worthy of attention [3][8]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 2025 Credit Bond Market Default Feature Summary - **Newly - defaulted issuers and bond scale**: The number of newly - defaulted credit bond issuers in 2025 decreased to 4, with 3 from the real - estate industry and its upstream and downstream chains. The scale of defaulted bonds continued to decline, and the extended - term part due to the continuous exposure of default risks from 2022 - 2023 ended by the end of 2024 [1][6]. - **Enterprise nature**: State - owned enterprise defaults ended in 2025, while the risks of broad - sense private enterprises continued to be exposed, especially those in the real - estate industry chain that had not defaulted during the previous strict regulatory period [7]. - **Default repayment**: In 2025, there were 118 cases of default bond repayments, with a total principal repayment of 14.3 billion yuan and interest of 639 million yuan. The real - estate industry repaid 12.1 billion yuan in principal, and 11 out of 17 real - estate enterprises only paid interest without repaying the principal [7]. 3.2 Default Analysis: Continuous Exposure of Broad - sense Private Enterprises and Slight Decline in Cumulative Default Rate 3.2.1 Default Overview - The number of newly - defaulted credit bond issuers decreased to 4 in 2025, all non - state - owned. The total outstanding bonds of defaulted issuers increased significantly year - on - year, mainly due to the extension of Vanke's large - scale bonds. The scale of defaulted bonds decreased by 67% year - on - year [11]. - Industry - wide, since 2014, credit bond default issuers have been widely distributed across 29 Shenwan industries, and in 2025, they were mainly in real estate, building decoration, and power equipment. Regionally, since 2014, default issuers have covered most provinces, and in 2025, they were in Guangdong and Zhejiang [14]. 3.2.2 Default Rate - The overall, non - state - owned marginal and cumulative default rates of credit bonds in 2025 decreased slightly. The non - state - owned net financing scale turned positive for the first time since 2018 to 24.3 billion yuan [19]. - Industries such as electrical equipment, textile and clothing, real estate, and commercial trade had a cumulative default rate of over 5%, with real estate and commercial trade having relatively high default scales, and electrical equipment and textile and clothing having relatively low total bond - issuing scales [20]. 3.2.3 Default Reasons - Macroeconomic policies and market environment continuously affected the credit risks of entities. Entities like Xinjie Holdings, Zhengxinglong Real Estate, and Vanke were greatly affected by the previous strict real - estate regulatory policies, while Shanshan Group's poor performance was due to industry cycle changes [3][25]. 3.3 Default Recovery Situation - The cumulative recovery rate and recovery time of defaulted credit bonds have been decreasing year by year. Since 2020, the annual default recovery rate has been less than 20%, and the average recovery time is within two years, with the decline narrowing in 2025 [30]. - As of 2025, the cumulative default recovery rate of state - owned enterprises was 25.12%, 13 percentage points higher than that of non - state - owned enterprises, and the gap remained basically the same as the previous year [33]. - In 2025, real - estate bond repayments still dominated. The total principal repayment of defaulted bonds was 14.3 billion yuan, with the real - estate industry repaying 12.1 billion yuan. Sunac repaid 9.5 billion yuan in principal, and Shanshan Group among the newly - defaulted issuers in 2025 repaid 267 million yuan in principal [37].

2月25日，万科A盘中上涨2.03%，截至09:47，报5.02元/股，成交3.50亿元，换手率0.72%，总市值 598.92亿元。 资金流向方面，主力资金净流入2764.08万元，特大单买入9479.96万元，占比27.12%，卖出5684.46万 元，占比16.26%；大单买入9025.07万元，占比25.81%，卖出1.01亿元，占比28.77%。 万科A今年以来股价涨7.96%，近5个交易日涨2.87%，近20日涨4.80%，近60日跌17.16%。 资料显示，万科企业股份有限公司位于广东省深圳市盐田区大梅沙环梅路33号万科中心,香港中环花园 道1号中银大厦43楼A室，成立日期1984年5月30日，上市日期1991年1月29日，公司主营业务涉及房地 产开发和物业服务。主营业务收入构成为：房地产开发及相关资产经营业务80.17%，物业服务 16.23%，其他(补充)3.61%。 责任编辑：小浪快报 分红方面，万科AA股上市后累计派现1030.33亿元。近三年，累计派现80.63亿元。 机构持仓方面，截止2025年9月30日，万科A十大流通股东中，香港中央结算有限公司位居第四大流通 股东，持股1.72亿 ...

| 各线 | 城市 | 2026春节假期 (2.15-2.23) 新建商品住宅 | | --- | --- | --- | | | | 合计成交面积(万平米) | | 使之道 | | 1.36 | | 北京 | | 0.23 | | 深圳 | | 0.22RE15 | | 广州 | | 0.14 | | 温州 | | 1.08 | | 济南 | | 1.01 FIS | | 武汉 | | 中指 0.89 | | 成都 | | 0.54 | | 宁波 | | 0.49 | | 线 | 苏州 | 0.27 | | 福州 | | 0.27 | | 青岛 | | 0.15 | | 南宁 | | 0.12 REIS | | 西宁 | | 0.06 | | 甫田 | | 0.82 | | 北京 | | 0.81 | | 梅州 | | 0.81REID | | 四线 | 韶关 | 0.21 | | 佛山 | | 0.17 | | 清远 | | 0.17 | | 泰安 | | 中指 0.15 | | 合计 12 | | 10.0 | 中指研究院指数研究部总经理曹晶晶指出，春节期间部分房企积极"抢跑"，多地项目"春节不打烊"， ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the document. 2. Core Views of the Report - In 2025, the real estate market continued to adjust, with an accelerated decline in the second half of the year. The prices of second - hand and new houses decreased, and the sales area and investment also declined. The financing environment of real - estate enterprises did not improve substantially, but debt restructuring made progress [4]. - In 2026, real estate policies will remain marginally loose. Demand - side policies aim to lower actual mortgage rates, and supply - side policies focus on controlling increments and reducing inventories to optimize the supply - demand structure. The market will likely continue to adjust, but the adjustment amplitude will narrow. Sales may stop falling and stabilize if mortgage rates can be effectively lowered, and investment decline will also narrow [5]. - In 2026, the bond repayment pressure of state - owned real - estate enterprises is mainly concentrated in the domestic bond market and has decreased compared to previous years. The bond maturity volume of private real - estate enterprises has significantly declined, and the overall repayment pressure is low. The credit risk of real - estate bonds will tend to be stable, but the debt repayment situation of individual private enterprises still needs attention. Debt restructuring of real - estate enterprises will continue to accelerate [6]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 2025 Real Estate Policy Review - **Accelerating inventory reduction and optimizing supply structure**: Supply - side policies centered on "controlling increments, reducing inventories, and optimizing supply". "Controlling increments" involved matching land and new housing supply as needed and controlling new land use in surplus areas. In 2025, the land supply in third - tier cities contracted rapidly, and 1202.1 billion yuan of land reserve special bonds were used to acquire idle land. "Reducing inventories" aimed to clear market inventories and ensure people's livelihoods through measures such as converting existing commercial housing into affordable housing and urban village renovation. "Optimizing supply" promoted the upgrading of housing quality with the construction of "good houses" [9][11][12]. - **Strengthening the implementation of financing support for housing delivery**: The focus of the "housing delivery guarantee" work shifted from "mechanism establishment" to "financing implementation". By October 2025, the approved loan amount for "whitelist" projects exceeded 7 trillion yuan, but there were challenges such as intensified project qualification differentiation and a time lag between approval and loan disbursement [15]. - **Marginal relaxation of demand - side policies**: Demand - side policies continued to be refined to reduce the cost of home - buying and release rigid and improved housing demand. In 2025, the purchase restrictions in Beijing, Shanghai, and Shenzhen were significantly relaxed, the down - payment ratio was lowered, the provident fund loan interest rate was reduced, and the loan amount was increased [16]. 3.2 2025 Real Estate Market Operation - **Price performance**: Second - hand house prices continued to fall, with the decline first narrowing slightly and then widening significantly. In December, the year - on - year decline in 70 - city second - hand house prices was 6.1%, and first - tier cities showed a "catch - up decline" feature. New house prices also continued to fall, with a 3.0% year - on - year decline in 70 - city new commercial housing prices in December [21][24]. - **Sales performance**: The real - estate sales continued to be deeply adjusted in 2025. The annual commercial housing sales area was 881.01 million square meters, a year - on - year decrease of 8.7%, and the sales volume was 8393.7 billion yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 12.6%. The market activity was low, and the daily average transaction volume in 30 cities was weak [25][30]. - **Investment performance**: Real - estate development investment accelerated its decline in 2025, with the annual investment completion amount of 8278.8 billion yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 17.2%. The sources of development funds decreased by 13.4% year - on - year. New construction, construction, and completion areas all decreased. The land market was cold, with a 14.2% year - on - year decrease in the planned construction area of residential land in 100 large and medium - sized cities [35][36][42]. 3.3 2025 Real - Estate Bond Market Performance - **Issuance and net financing**: In 2025, the total issuance of domestic and overseas real - estate bonds was 796.9 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 93.3%. The net financing gap narrowed significantly. Domestic bonds: 83 real - estate enterprises issued 413 domestic real - estate bonds, with a total issuance of 360.95 billion yuan, and the net financing gap was 62.96 billion yuan. Overseas bonds: 74 overseas real - estate bonds were issued, with a total issuance of 61.8 billion US dollars, and the net financing turned positive [49][50][60]. - **Credit risk evolution**: From 2021 to 2025, 65 domestic and overseas bond default and extension entities were added, with 2 in 2025. The event of Vanke's bond extension in 2025 had a significant impact on the market, affecting market confidence, financing environment, and industry differentiation [62][70]. - **Debt resolution of troubled real - estate enterprises**: Since 2024, the debt - resolution strategy has shifted to "substantial debt reduction + structural optimization". In 2025, investors became more accepting of debt reduction, and the debt - resolution approach changed from partial and scattered disposal to overall restructuring. Debt - resolution tools became more diversified. For example, CIFI Group's debt restructuring verified the feasibility of the "substantial debt reduction" plan [72][73][74]. - **Secondary - market price changes and spread fluctuations**: In 2025, the number of abnormal price movements in the secondary market of real - estate bonds decreased. The spread of real - estate bonds showed a trend of "oscillating downward and rising at the end of the year", and was more affected by the overall credit - bond market [77][80]. 3.4 2026 Real Estate Industry and Real - Estate Bond Market Outlook - **Policy outlook**: In 2026, real - estate policies will remain marginally loose. Demand - side policies will focus on guiding the actual mortgage rate to decline, and supply - side policies will continue to control increments and reduce inventories. However, the short - term stimulus policies will not be significantly stronger than in 2025 [87]. - **Market outlook**: The real - estate market will likely continue to adjust in 2026, but the adjustment amplitude will narrow. If the actual mortgage rate can be effectively lowered, the sales may stop falling and stabilize, and the investment decline will also narrow [97]. - **Credit risk outlook**: In 2026, the total maturity scale of domestic and overseas real - estate bonds is 596.4 billion yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 12.9%. The debt repayment pressure of state - owned real - estate enterprises has decreased, and that of private real - estate enterprises is low. The overall credit risk of the real - estate industry will tend to be stable, but the debt repayment of individual private enterprises needs attention [99]. - **Debt - resolution path outlook**: Debt restructuring through substantial debt reduction and diversified innovative debt tools will continue to accelerate in 2026. The market trend and the transformation and development of real - estate enterprises will be the two key variables affecting the debt - resolution process [103].