万科企业股份有限公司 2025 年半年度业绩预告 证券代码：000002、299903 证券简称：万科 A、万科 H 代 公告编号：〈万〉2025-104 本公司及董事会全体成员保证公告内容真实、准确和完整，没有虚假记载、误导性 陈述或者重大遗漏。 一、本期业绩预计情况 （一）业绩预告期间：2025 年 1 月 1 日至 2025 年 6 月 30 日 | 项 目 | 本报告期 | 上年同期 | | --- | --- | --- | | 归属于上市公司股 | 亏损：1,000,000 万元-1,200,000 万元 | 亏损：985,249.96 万元 | | 东的净利润 | | | | 扣除非经常性损益 | 亏损：950,000 万元-1,150,000 万元 | 亏损：761,304.92 万元 | | 后的净利润 | | | | 基本每股收益 | 亏损：0.8433 元/股-1.0120 元/股 | 亏损：0.8309 元/股 | （二）业绩预告情况：预计净利润为负值 二、与会计师事务所沟通情况 业绩预告未经过会计师事务所审计。 三、上半年主要工作进展和业绩亏损主要原因 公司预计 2025 年半年度业 ...

Core Insights - The first autonomous robot delivery system using subways has been successfully tested in Shenzhen, showcasing a collaboration between Shenzhen Metro Group and Vanke [1][2] - The initiative aims to address delivery challenges faced by subway merchants by utilizing idle subway time and space for efficient, unmanned logistics [2][3] Group 1: Technology and Innovation - The robot delivery system integrates AI scheduling algorithms, panoramic laser radar, and mechanical chassis to optimize delivery routes and ensure autonomous navigation [4] - The system is designed to enhance the efficiency of deliveries to over 100 7-Eleven stores located within Shenzhen's subway stations, potentially improving delivery times and reducing costs [3][4] Group 2: Market Context and Growth - Shenzhen's subway system has seen significant growth, with daily passenger numbers exceeding 10 million, indicating a robust demand for efficient logistics solutions [2] - The city is a leader in robotics, accounting for 20% of China's industrial robot production and 71.3% of the global consumer drone market, highlighting its strong technological foundation [2][3] Group 3: Strategic Collaboration - The partnership between Shenzhen Metro and Vanke represents a strategic move towards integrating technology into traditional logistics, creating a new urban service ecosystem [5][6] - Future collaborations may expand beyond logistics to include areas such as urban development, commercial operations, and infrastructure maintenance, leveraging both companies' resources [5][6]

Market Performance - In the first half of 2025, Guangzhou's new housing market reported 32,861 transactions, a year-on-year increase of 16.97%, with a total area of 3,644,019 square meters, up 17.31% year-on-year, indicating a strong upward trend in the market supported by effective policies [2] - The overall market remains robust, with over 21 new projects achieving a usage rate exceeding 100%, reflecting strong demand for quality housing [2][4] Consumer Preferences - High-quality and cost-effective housing products are favored by buyers, with developers employing cautious pricing and innovative promotional strategies to boost sales [2][3] - The demand for improved living experiences has surged, with buyers increasingly prioritizing the intrinsic qualities of homes, leading to a notable rise in sales of new projects [3] Sales and Pricing Trends - The total sales area of new homes in Guangzhou reached 3.67 million square meters in the first half of the year, marking a 17% increase year-on-year, while the average transaction price for new homes fell to 34,442 yuan per square meter, down 8.5% year-on-year, the lowest in four years [4][5] - The market is characterized by a "volume increase and price decrease" trend, with developers focusing on product upgrades and promotional activities to stimulate sales [6] Promotional Strategies - Developers are actively implementing promotional strategies, including price reductions and various incentives, to attract buyers, especially during key sales events [7] - The inventory level in Guangzhou decreased by 12% year-on-year, with a current inventory of 10.36 million square meters, indicating a 20-month sales cycle [6] Urban Development and Infrastructure - The acceleration of urban renewal and rail transit construction is revitalizing the real estate market, with significant sales increases in areas benefiting from new transit lines [8][9] - The Guangzhou government plans to invest heavily in urban renewal projects, which are expected to stimulate housing consumption and enhance market dynamics [8]

Group 1: Market Overview - The centralized long-term rental apartment market continues to expand steadily, with the top 30 companies having a total of 1.359 million units opened by the end of June, an increase of 27,000 units from the end of May [1] - Leading companies include Vanke's "Boyu" brand with 198,200 units, Longfor's "Guanyu" brand with 123,000 units, and Magic Cube Life with 84,000 units [1] - The market expansion is supported by increases in opened units from real estate companies, local state-owned enterprises, and hotel-based rental companies [1] Group 2: Company Performance - Vanke's rental housing business reported revenue of 3.702 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7%, with 40,600 new units added and a total of 261,400 units managed by the end of 2024 [2] - Vanke's occupancy rate stands at 95.6%, with a front-end GOP profit margin of 89.8%, maintaining industry-leading levels [2] - Longfor's rental income reached 2.65 billion yuan, a 4% increase, with an occupancy rate of 95.3% and a total of 124,000 units opened [2] Group 3: Financial Instruments and Market Dynamics - In June, the first successful expansion of a rental housing REIT in China raised over 900 million yuan for various infrastructure projects in Beijing [3] - Leading platforms have established replicable and scalable asset operation models through standardized products, efficient operations, and digital management tools [3] - Capital tools like REITs provide an efficient exit mechanism for the rental housing market [3]

Group 1 - Guangdong Province has issued a guideline prohibiting the registration of "small property houses" and other illegal constructions, effective from August 4, 2025, which aims to promote the purchase of legitimate properties and regulate the real estate market [1] - Shandong Binzhou is collecting existing commercial housing to convert into affordable housing, which is expected to optimize the supply-demand structure in the real estate market and help companies reduce inventory [2] - Vanke has pledged 117 million shares of its subsidiary, Wanwu Cloud, to Shenzhen Metro Group as collateral for a loan, reflecting the company's strategy to stabilize its cash flow amid current market conditions [3] Group 2 - Times China has disclosed a debt restructuring plan involving approximately $2.9 billion, with over 85.67% of creditors agreeing to the plan, which could alleviate financial pressure and serve as a model for other distressed real estate companies [4] - The CEO of Zhuhai Wanda Commercial Management, Xiao Guangrui, has resigned, and the company has appointed new leadership, indicating a potential shift in strategic direction following recent management changes [5]

Group 1 - The top three companies with the highest short positions are WuXi AppTec (22.57%), CATL (17.76%), and COSCO Shipping Holdings (14.27%) [1][2] - The companies with the largest absolute increase in short positions are Alibaba Health (4.45%), China Liansu (2.54%), and Hong Kong Travel (2.02%) [1][2] - The companies with the largest absolute decrease in short positions are Far East Horizon (-1.62%), ZhongAn Online (-1.55%), and Rongchang Biologics (-1.32%) [1][3] Group 2 - The latest short position data shows that WuXi AppTec has 87.35 million shares, CATL has 27.69 million shares, and COSCO Shipping Holdings has 411 million shares [2] - Alibaba Health's short position increased from 6.97% to 11.42%, while China Liansu's increased from 0.61% to 3.15% [2] - Far East Horizon's short position decreased from 4.43% to 2.82%, and ZhongAn Online's decreased from 7.43% to 5.88% [3][4]

Core Viewpoint - The real estate sector experienced a significant increase of 3.19% on July 10, with a net inflow of 2.228 billion yuan in capital, indicating strong investor interest in this industry [1][2]. Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.48% on July 10, with 18 out of 28 sectors showing gains. The leading sectors were real estate and oil & petrochemicals, with increases of 3.19% and 1.54% respectively [1]. - Conversely, the automotive and media sectors faced declines of 0.62% and 0.54% respectively [1]. Capital Flow Analysis - The non-bank financial sector led the net capital inflow with 3.470 billion yuan, followed by the real estate sector with 2.228 billion yuan [1]. - A total of 21 sectors experienced net capital outflows, with the electronics sector seeing the largest outflow of 4.899 billion yuan, followed by the automotive sector with an outflow of 2.812 billion yuan [1]. Real Estate Sector Details - Within the real estate sector, 98 out of 102 stocks rose, with 7 hitting the daily limit up. The top stocks by net capital inflow included Vanke A (2.8574 billion yuan), Quzhou Development (2.0580 billion yuan), and Poly Development (1.8826 billion yuan) [2][3]. - The stocks with the highest net capital outflows included *ST Nanzhi (-23.9877 million yuan), Hainan Airport (-19.1944 million yuan), and Waigaoqiao (-18.9742 million yuan) [2][4]. Top Gainers in Real Estate - The top gainers in the real estate sector included: - Vanke A: +3.36%, 285.747 million yuan net inflow [3] - Quzhou Development: +6.11%, 205.806 million yuan net inflow [3] - Poly Development: +2.33%, 188.262 million yuan net inflow [3] Top Losers in Real Estate - The top losers in the real estate sector included: - *ST Nanzhi: -1.95%, -23.9877 million yuan net outflow [4] - Hainan Airport: +1.10%, -19.1944 million yuan net outflow [4] - Waigaoqiao: +1.18%, -18.9742 million yuan net outflow [4]

Core Viewpoint - The National Development and Reform Commission emphasizes increasing investment in new urbanization, targeting key areas to support China's modernization goals by 2035 [4]. Group 1: New Urbanization Investment - The focus is on leveraging "two heavy" and "two new" funds to enhance investment in new urbanization, particularly in significant projects related to agricultural population urbanization, urbanization in potential areas, metropolitan area development, urban renewal, and resilience enhancement [4]. - There will be differentiated policies for various agricultural migrant populations to address their consumption characteristics and needs, included in the "two new" special support [4]. - Cities with population inflows are encouraged to utilize long-term special government bonds and local government bonds to recover idle land and purchase existing housing, thereby expanding affordable housing supply for agricultural migrants [4]. Group 2: Real Estate Market Response - On July 10, A-share real estate stocks surged, with companies like Huaxia Happiness, Deep Deep Housing A, and Nanshan Holdings hitting the daily limit [2][7]. - The A-share market showed a positive trend, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising 0.48% to 3509.68 points, and real estate stocks leading the gains [7]. - In the Hong Kong market, the Hang Seng Index rose 0.57%, with property stocks performing strongly, including significant gains from companies like China Overseas Land and Investment and Longfor Group [9].

Group 1: Financing Trends - The financing scale for real estate companies in the first half of the year was 184.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 30% [1] - In Q2, financing reached 100.4 billion yuan, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 19% but a year-on-year decrease of 25% [1] - Despite marginal improvements in financing support policies, the financing situation remains severe, particularly for private real estate companies [1][3] Group 2: Domestic and International Debt - The cost of domestic bond financing decreased to 2.71% in the first half of the year, down 0.2 percentage points from the previous year [4][7] - In contrast, the cost of overseas debt financing remains high, with rates around 8.60% for the first half of 2025 [3][4] - The average financing cost for real estate companies has increased, with New City Development's overseas bond issued at an 11.88% interest rate [3] Group 3: Debt Maturity and Repayment Pressure - The total bond maturity for real estate companies in 2024 is projected to be 482.9 billion yuan, while the issuance scale is only 220.9 billion yuan [13] - The debt pressure is expected to increase in 2025, with maturing debts reaching 532.7 billion yuan [13][16] - The third quarter of this year is anticipated to be a peak period for debt repayment, with approximately 160 billion yuan due [13] Group 4: Alternative Financing Strategies - Real estate companies are exploring various liquidity-boosting strategies, including asset sales and debt restructuring [16][18] - For instance, Aoyuan Group sold a stake in a subsidiary for 191 million yuan to repay debts [16] - The industry is also seeing significant progress in debt restructuring, with several companies completing judicial reorganization [18] Group 5: Policy and Market Outlook - The urban real estate financing coordination mechanism has been accelerated, with over 670 billion yuan approved for loans [17] - The government plans to issue 440 billion yuan in special bonds to support real estate development and debt repayment [17] - The industry is encouraged to explore new sustainable development models, with urban renewal being a key focus area [18][19]

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Penghua Qianhai Vanke REITs will transition to Penghua Fengrui Bond Fund (LOF) after its 10-year operation period ends on July 8, 2025, allowing for both secondary market trading and subscription/redemption [1][2] - The fund was established on July 6, 2015, and its shares have been listed on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange since September 30, 2015, with a closed operation period of 10 years as per the contract [2][4] - The fund's performance benchmark is set at the yield of 10-year government bonds plus 1.5%, and it has achieved a cumulative net asset value growth rate of 54.6% since inception, with an annualized return of 4.45% [4] Group 2 - The fund raised a total of 3 billion yuan, with a minimum subscription amount of 100,000 yuan per investor during the issuance period, and a minimum trading unit of 10,000 shares in the secondary market [4] - The investment strategy during the closed period focused on acquiring equity in a single target company, which holds a premium office building in the Qianhai area, with a maximum of 50% of the fund's assets allocated to this equity [6][7] - Multiple credit enhancement mechanisms were established to protect investors, including a margin account clause and significant investments from the fund initiators and advisors [5][7]