每经AI快讯，1月22日，港股黄金股多数调整。截至发稿，赤峰黄金(06693.HK)跌5.19%、灵宝黄金 (03330.HK)跌4.38%、山东黄金(01787.HK)跌4.03%、紫金矿业(02899.HK)跌3.67%。 ...

Group 1 - The top three companies by Hong Kong Stock Connect holding ratios are China Telecom (00728) at 70.91%, Green Power Environmental (01330) at 69.45%, and Tianjin Chuangye Environmental (01065) at 67.62% [1][2] - The largest increases in holding amounts over the last five trading days were seen in Alibaba-W (09988) with an increase of 2.229 billion, SMIC (00981) with an increase of 1.693 billion, and Huahong Semiconductor (01347) with an increase of 1.379 billion [1][2] - The largest decreases in holding amounts over the last five trading days were recorded for China Mobile (00941) with a decrease of 2.613 billion, UBTECH (09880) with a decrease of 787 million, and Kuaishou-W (01024) with a decrease of 739 million [1][3] Group 2 - The latest holding ratio rankings for Hong Kong Stock Connect show that China Telecom holds 9.842 billion shares, Green Power Environmental holds 0.281 billion shares, and Tianjin Chuangye Environmental holds 0.230 billion shares [2] - The top ten companies with the largest increases in holdings over the last five trading days include Tencent Holdings (00700) with an increase of 917 million and China Construction Bank (00939) with an increase of 866 million [2] - The top ten companies with the largest decreases in holdings over the last five trading days also include Alibaba Health (00241) with a decrease of 665 million and China Hongqiao (01378) with a decrease of 647 million [3]

Core Viewpoint - The international gold price has surged dramatically, reaching a record high of $4,640 per ounce in early 2026, driven by various geopolitical and economic factors, benefiting upstream gold mining companies significantly [1][3]. Group 1: Gold Price Performance - In 2025, the international gold price increased by nearly 70%, marking the largest annual increase since the 1979 oil crisis, starting from around $2,600 per ounce and nearing $4,600 by year-end [3]. - The domestic gold jewelry price rose from approximately 800 yuan per gram to around 1,360 yuan per gram due to the soaring gold prices [3]. - The global central banks purchased a net total of 297 tons of gold from early 2025 to the end of November, providing long-term support for gold prices [3]. Group 2: Mining Companies' Performance - Zijin Mining Group expects a net profit of 51 to 52 billion yuan for 2025, a nearly 60% increase, with gold production reaching about 90 tons [1]. - Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining anticipates a net profit of 3 to 3.2 billion yuan for 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 70% to 81% [3]. - Shandong Gold reported a revenue of 83.78 billion yuan and a net profit of 3.96 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 91.5% [4]. - Zhongjin Gold's net profit for the first three quarters reached 4.214 billion yuan, up 60.92% year-on-year, slightly surpassing Shandong Gold [4]. - Zijin Mining's revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 was 254.2 billion yuan, with a net profit of 37.864 billion yuan, a 55.45% increase year-on-year [4]. Group 3: Cost and Market Dynamics - The unit sales cost for gold mining companies has increased due to rising gold prices and other factors, although some companies like Chaojin Gold have managed to reduce costs through product structure adjustments [5]. - Retail companies in the gold jewelry sector are facing challenges, with brands like Lao Feng Xiang and Zhou Dazheng reporting revenue declines of 8.71% and 37.35%, respectively [7]. - The increase in gold prices has also positively impacted other precious metals, with silver and platinum prices rising over 140% in 2025 [7]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Institutions remain optimistic about future gold prices, with Goldman Sachs predicting a rise to approximately $4,900 per ounce by the end of 2026, and JPMorgan forecasting a potential peak of $6,000 per ounce [7]. - The global gold ETF assets reached a record high of $472 billion by the end of Q3 2025, indicating strong investment demand [8]. - The ongoing geopolitical uncertainties and the U.S. debt situation are expected to continue supporting gold prices in the long term [11].

Group 1: Chemical and Metal Industries - Several chemical companies, including Xinong Co. and Dayang Bio, are showing continuous improvement in their operations [1] - The non-ferrous metal sector benefits from high prices and capacity release, with Zijin Mining expected to achieve a net profit of 51 billion to 52 billion yuan in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 59% to 62% [1] - Zijin Mining's growth is driven by increased production and higher sales prices of gold, copper, and silver [1] - The high-end manufacturing sector shows resilience, with Okoyi's net profit projected to grow by 67.53% to 91.96% in 2025, despite rising raw material costs [1] - The new materials industry is also performing well, with China National Materials Technology expected to achieve a net profit of 1.55 billion to 1.95 billion yuan in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 73.79% to 118.64% [1] Group 2: International Market Growth - The overseas market is becoming a new growth engine for many listed companies [2] - Siyuan Electric is expected to achieve total revenue of 21.205 billion yuan in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 37.18%, and a net profit of 3.163 billion yuan, up 54.35% [2] - Absen, a leading global LED display provider, anticipates a net profit of 240 million to 290 million yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 105.32% to 148.09% [2] - Absen's overseas revenue reached approximately 3.193 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of about 8.94% [2] Group 3: Company-Specific Developments - Chutian Technology expects a net profit of 235 million to 300 million yuan in 2025, marking a turnaround to profitability driven by strong international market breakthroughs [3] - The company has made significant progress in Southeast Asia, the Middle East, and the Americas, with overseas sales revenue steadily increasing [3] - Hangcha Group is also expanding into emerging markets while consolidating its traditional markets, indicating the effectiveness of its globalization strategy [3]

Core Viewpoint - The overall performance of A-share listed companies is showing a solid growth trend, with emerging industries such as semiconductors, new energy vehicles, and artificial intelligence driving significant earnings growth [1][2]. Group 1: Emerging Industries Performance - Semiconductor, new energy vehicles, and communication equipment sectors are performing exceptionally well, with AI and robotics becoming key growth engines for companies [2]. - Over 20 companies in the new energy vehicle supply chain have reported significant earnings growth, with companies like Sanhua Intelligent Control and Asia-Pacific Shares attributing their success to the booming market [2]. - AI is penetrating various industries, with companies like DingTong Technology expecting a 119.59% increase in net profit due to AI-driven demand [2]. Group 2: High-Performance Sectors - The basic chemical sector is notably strong, with companies like Sanmei Co. projecting a net profit increase of 155.66% to 176.11% due to structural reforms and demand recovery [4]. - The non-ferrous metal sector is benefiting from high commodity prices, with Zijin Mining expecting a net profit of 510 billion to 520 billion yuan, a growth of 59% to 62% [5]. - High-end manufacturing is also resilient, with companies like Oke Yi projecting a net profit increase of 67.53% to 91.96% despite rising raw material costs [6]. Group 3: International Market Growth - The overseas market is becoming a new growth engine for many companies, with Siyuan Electric reporting a 37.18% increase in revenue due to international market expansion [7]. - Absen, a leading LED display provider, expects a net profit increase of 105.32% to 148.09% as it strengthens its global presence [7]. - Chutian Technology anticipates a turnaround in profitability driven by breakthroughs in international markets, with significant growth in overseas sales [8].

Core Viewpoint - The number of companies in the A-share market forecasting profit growth for 2025 is increasing, driven significantly by the commercialization of AI technology and strong demand in various sectors [1][2][3]. Group 1: AI-Driven Growth - As of January 20, 177 companies in the A-share market have announced profit increases, with 55 companies expecting net profit growth exceeding 100% year-on-year, excluding those returning to profitability [1]. - Shanghai Jianqiao Technology Co., Ltd. anticipates a net profit of 252 million to 278 million yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 51.19% to 66.79%, driven by strong market demand for high-speed optical modules and other core businesses [1]. - Dongguan Dingtong Precision Technology Co., Ltd. expects a revenue growth of 54.37% and a net profit growth of 119.59% in 2025, attributed to robust demand in the AI-driven communications connector market [2]. Group 2: New Energy Sector Performance - Shanghai Putailai New Energy Technology Group Co., Ltd. forecasts a net profit of 2.3 billion to 2.4 billion yuan for 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 93.18% to 101.58%, supported by the ongoing trend of electrification in the automotive market and strong demand in the energy storage market [2][3]. - The company highlights improvements in operational conditions and the introduction of new products and processes to capture high-end customer demand [3]. Group 3: Mining Sector Growth - Zijin Mining Group Co., Ltd. projects a net profit of approximately 51 billion to 52 billion yuan for 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 59% to 62%, driven by increased production of key mineral products and rising prices of gold, copper, and silver [4]. - Luoyang Luanchuan Molybdenum Group Co., Ltd. expects a net profit of 20 billion to 20.8 billion yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 47.80% to 53.71%, due to a combination of increased production and effective cost management [4]. - Analysts suggest that the prices of copper and other mineral resources are likely to remain high, benefiting related companies as demand from emerging industries continues to grow [4].

在成长风格的另一端，以有色为代表的周期风格正在成为基金经理的新宠。 近日，公募基金2025年四季报密集披露，券商中国记者注意到，在市场热点此起彼伏的同时，多位知名基金经 理却在去年四季度"不谋而合"地对有色板块进行了重点加仓，而深耕该领域的基金经理更是在季报中用仓位和 持股表达了自己的坚定看好。 多位基金经理认为，在宏观经济温和复苏、全球商品周期持续以及降息预期等多重因素共振下，有色板块仍具 备显著的吸引力，价格景气周期远未结束。 多位知名基金经理加仓有色 最新披露的2025年四季报显示，众多全行业配置的基金在去年四季度加仓以有色为代表的资源股，其中不乏多 位知名基金经理。 比如，高楠管理的永赢睿信混合在去年四季度新进重仓五矿资源、宏创控股，神爱前管理的平安兴奕成长新进 重仓了云铝股份，王崇管理的交银新兴产业和焦巍管理的银华富裕主题新进重仓了紫金矿业，此外，焦巍管理 的银华富饶精选三年持有更是在去年四季度同时新进重仓了紫金矿业、藏格矿业、洛阳钼业、云铝股份、西部 矿业、紫金黄金国际、江西铜业等多只有色股。 除了上述全行业配置的基金外，一些深耕资源股投资的基金经理，也在 去年 四季度继续用持仓表达了对有色 的看 ...

Core Viewpoint - Zijin Mining has achieved significant returns from its investments in various mining stocks, particularly benefiting from the surge in gold prices and the performance of Sichuan Gold [1][2][11] Group 1: Sichuan Gold Performance - Sichuan Gold's stock price reached a historical high of 43.76 CNY per share, with a monthly increase of 57.07% [1][4] - The international gold price hit a milestone of 4800 USD per ounce, contributing to the rise in Sichuan Gold's stock [1][4] - Sichuan Gold's net profit for 2022 to 2024 showed a steady increase, with growth rates of 29.53%, 6.16%, and 17.67% respectively [5] Group 2: Zijin Mining's Investment Gains - Zijin Mining's subsidiary, Zijin Southern, invested approximately 74.95 million CNY in Sichuan Gold, acquiring 8.95% of its shares at a cost of about 1.99 CNY per share [1][7] - Currently, Zijin Southern holds shares valued at approximately 1.468 billion CNY, with total gains from Sichuan Gold reaching around 1.5 billion CNY, resulting in a return on investment of 20 times [1][8] - Zijin Mining's investments in other mining companies, including Cangge Mining and Zhaojin Mining, have also yielded substantial returns, with floating profits of approximately 22.123 billion CNY and 21.765 billion HKD respectively [2][12] Group 3: Market Trends and Future Prospects - The overall mining sector has seen a significant rise, with stock prices of various mining companies increasing dramatically, such as Cangge Mining's 210.15% rise [11][12] - Zijin Mining is expanding its investment portfolio, including a stake in Maken Mining, which is preparing for an IPO [12][13] - The investment strategy of buying mining stocks during a super cycle has proven to be effective, as evidenced by Zijin Mining's impressive returns [13]

Core Viewpoint - The resource sector has seen significant growth, with many resource-related funds doubling their net value over the past year, driven by strong performance in the non-ferrous metals sector and rising prices of gold and silver [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Shenyin Wanguo non-ferrous metals sector index surged by 89.38% in 2025, leading the A-share market [1]. - As of January 19, 2026, the number of public funds with a unit net value growth rate exceeding 100% reached 176, with 124 being actively managed equity funds [3]. - Among the doubling funds, a significant number are focused on resource sectors, particularly in non-ferrous metals and gold [2][3]. Group 2: Fund Strategies and Adjustments - Many fund managers adjusted their holdings in the fourth quarter based on fundamental changes and valuation considerations, with a focus on resource-related stocks [1][4]. - The Longcheng Value Selection fund achieved a net value growth rate of 105.16% over the past year, with a majority of its top holdings in non-ferrous metals [4]. - The China Europe Cycle Preferred fund reduced its holdings in traditional non-ferrous metals while increasing exposure to lithium and cobalt, reflecting a shift towards new energy resources [8]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Fund managers remain optimistic about the resource sector, citing factors such as global monetary easing, increased demand from AI data centers, and supply-side uncertainties as drivers for growth [9][10]. - The China Europe Resource Selection fund manager highlighted copper, aluminum, lithium carbonate, gold, and tungsten as the top five investment targets for 2026, while also considering opportunities in chemical and steel sectors [10].

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the current premium rates of AH shares, with Northeast Electric, Zhejiang Shibao, and Junda Co. leading in premium rates, while CATL, Hengrui Medicine, and China Merchants Bank are at the bottom of the list [1][2]. Premium Rate Rankings - Northeast Electric (00042) has a premium rate of 815.25%, followed by Zhejiang Shibao (01057) at 378.67% and Junda Co. (02865) at 342.63% [2]. - The lowest premium rates are recorded for CATL (03750) at -13.79%, Hengrui Medicine (01276) at -2.52%, and China Merchants Bank (03968) at -2.22% [1][2]. Deviation Values - Junda Co. (02865) has the highest deviation value at 104.89%, followed by Goldwind Technology (02208) at 23.62% and Guanghetong (00638) at 20.17% [1][2]. - The lowest deviation values are for Northeast Electric (00042) at -35.64%, Chenming Paper (01812) at -16.87%, and China Life (02628) at -15.34% [1][4]. Additional Insights - The report includes a detailed table of the top ten and bottom ten AH stocks based on premium rates and deviation values, providing a comprehensive overview of the current market situation [2][3][4].