"风起于青萍之末，浪成于微澜之间。" ——《庄子·逍遥游》 2026年开年，全球金融市场波谲云诡：地缘冲突再起烽烟，美股高位震荡难稳，黄金跌创新高逼近五千 美元关口早已"高处不胜寒"。投资者立于十字路口，前路迷雾重重。值此之际，中国银行连续第八年发 布《个人金融全球资产配置白皮书》，以"美元降息叠加扩表，全球资产逐浪前行"为年度主线，为迷航 者点亮灯塔。 报告旗帜鲜明地指出：2026年应把握全球流动性转向与中国资产重估的双重机遇，构建"避险+成长"并 重的韧性组合。其慧眼独具核心建议直指——看好中国权益资产与贵金属表现。 这份白皮书不仅是一份年度展望，更是七年磨一剑的智慧结晶。回望2025年，中国银行在年初发布的 《个人金融全球资产配置白皮书》中明确提出"超配中国权益资产与黄金"的核心策略，并将中国港股、 A股置于全球大类资产配置序列的前两位，显著优于美股、欧股及债券等类别。这一前瞻性判断恰与万 得全A指数全年27.65%的强劲涨幅高度契合，充分印证了其立足宏观、穿越周期的战略洞察力。 01 超配中国权益资产：价值重估与盈利支撑双轮驱动 2026年，全球经济步入"弱复苏"新常态，而中国以其政策定力与经济韧性， ...

Core Insights - The bond underwriting market in 2025 shows a clear trend of "the strong getting stronger," with market share concentrated among a few leading institutions [1][4][8] - Competition among underwriters is intensifying, with banks and securities firms leveraging their unique strengths to differentiate themselves [2][6] - Regulatory bodies are taking steps to ensure market order and prevent irrational competition, particularly in pricing and underwriting practices [2][6] Group 1: Market Overview - The total bond issuance in 2025 reached 89.76 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of approximately 11% [2] - The issuance of interest rate bonds was 33.80 trillion yuan, up 18%, while credit bonds reached 21.95 trillion yuan, growing by 8% [2] - The market is characterized by a large total volume, diverse categories, and differentiated competition [2] Group 2: Competitive Landscape - In the banking sector, China Bank led with over 16 trillion yuan in underwriting, capturing more than 10% of the market share [4] - The top four state-owned banks collectively hold nearly 40% of the market share, indicating a strong position [4] - In the securities sector, CITIC Securities topped the list with 22,496.07 billion yuan in underwriting and a market share of 14.08% [4][5] Group 3: Sector-Specific Insights - Local government bond issuance reached a record high of approximately 10.29 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5.2% [6] - The financial bond market is predominantly led by securities firms, with CITIC Securities holding a market share of 17.56% [6] - The asset-backed securities (ABS) market shows a concentration of resources among leading firms, with CITIC Securities leading at 12.32% market share [7] Group 4: International Market Dynamics - The offshore bond market saw a total issuance of approximately $307.07 billion, a year-on-year increase of about 15.75% [7][8] - The market features a mix of domestic and foreign institutions, with China Bank leading at $14.70 billion in underwriting [8] - The competitive landscape in the offshore market is relatively dispersed, with no single institution dominating [8]

Core Viewpoint - The China Bank is implementing a financial subsidy policy for service industry loans to support domestic demand and enhance the supply of quality services, with specific adjustments and clarifications provided for customers [1][8]. Group 1: Policy Implementation - The implementation period for the financial subsidy policy for service industry loans has been extended to December 31, 2026, with potential for further extension based on future assessments by relevant authorities [1][8]. Group 2: Subsidy Standards - The maximum loan amount eligible for subsidies has been increased from 1 million to 10 million yuan for new loans issued in 2026, while the subsidy rate and duration remain unchanged at 1% per annum for a maximum of one year [2][9]. Group 3: Supported Areas - Starting January 1, 2026, the subsidy policy will expand to include three additional consumption sectors: digital, green, and retail, alongside the existing eight sectors such as catering, health, and tourism [3][10]. Group 4: Customer Inquiry - Customers will receive timely updates on their subsidy status via SMS, and they can also check their subsidy information through the mobile banking app [4][11]. Group 5: Loan Conditions - Loans that are overdue or classified as non-performing are not eligible for subsidies. Subsidies can only be accessed once all outstanding principal and interest have been repaid and the loan status is normalized [5][12]. Group 6: Fees and Security - The bank will not charge any service fees for processing the subsidy applications and will not delegate this process to any third parties, emphasizing the importance of safeguarding customer information and assets [6][14].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Buy" [2] Core Insights - The report provides a comprehensive analysis of 127 regional banks in Jiangsu Province, highlighting their asset and liability structures, profitability, and asset quality [6][18] - Jiangsu's regional banks have shown a significant increase in asset growth, with major city commercial banks growing at 19.4%, surpassing the growth of listed city commercial banks at 14.2% [24][26] - The report indicates that the loan-to-asset ratio for city commercial banks is projected to reach 48.4% in 2024, reflecting a gradual increase in lending activities [30] - Jiangsu's regional banks exhibit better return on assets (ROA) compared to listed banks, with city commercial banks outperforming by 16 basis points and rural commercial banks by 9 basis points [6][42] - The asset quality of Jiangsu's regional banks is superior to that of listed banks, with lower non-performing loan ratios and higher provision coverage ratios [6][42] Summary by Sections 1. Economic Structure of Jiangsu Province - Jiangsu Province is focusing on new industrialization and strategic emerging industries, with significant contributions from cities like Nanjing and Suzhou [13][14] 2. Overview of 127 Regional Banks in Jiangsu - The report categorizes the banks into city commercial banks, rural commercial banks, and others, with a total of 127 banks established between 2006 and 2015 [18][20] 3. Asset/Liability Structure - The asset growth of major city commercial banks is accelerating, while rural commercial banks are experiencing a decline in growth rates [24][26] - The loan-to-asset ratio for city commercial banks is expected to increase to 48.4% by 2024, indicating a shift towards more lending [30] 4. Profitability - Jiangsu's regional banks have a higher ROA compared to listed banks, with city commercial banks showing a 16 basis point advantage [6][42] 5. Asset Quality/Capital Levels - Jiangsu's regional banks maintain a lower non-performing loan ratio compared to listed banks, with city commercial banks having a 30 basis point lower ratio [6][42]

声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文为AI基于第三方数据生成，仅供参考，不构成个人投资建议。 国家知识产权局信息显示，中国银行股份有限公司取得一项名为"基于同步代码块的报文处理方法及装 置、设备及存储介质"的专利，授权公告号CN116633872B，申请日期为2023年4月。 天眼查资料显示，中国银行股份有限公司，成立于1983年，位于北京市，是一家以从事货币金融服务为 主的企业。企业注册资本29438779.1241万人民币。通过天眼查大数据分析，中国银行股份有限公司共 对外投资了16家企业，参与招投标项目5000次，财产线索方面有商标信息1473条，专利信息5000条，此 外企业还拥有行政许可255个。 来源：市场资讯 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the transformation and development of the Yangtze River Economic Belt, highlighting the importance of ecological protection, innovation, and open development as key themes for sustainable growth in the region [2][6][12]. Group 1: Ecological Protection - Over the past decade, the company has actively supported ecological restoration and environmental governance along the Yangtze River Economic Belt, increasing support for projects related to urban sewage and industrial pollution control [6]. - The company has issued over 12 billion yuan in loans to support ecological environment governance projects in areas like Ma'anshan, transforming former mining sites into urban gardens [4][5]. - As of September 2025, the loan balance for ecological and environmental protection in the Yangtze River Economic Belt exceeded 100 billion yuan [6]. Group 2: Innovation - The company has established a government industry fund management project with a total of 1 billion yuan to support the breakthrough development of leading commercial aerospace enterprises [8][9]. - The company has set up a technology finance center and dedicated teams to provide targeted support for emerging industries, with a total technology finance loan balance exceeding 730 billion yuan in the Yangtze River Delta region as of September 2025 [10]. Group 3: Open Development - The company has provided 2.51 billion yuan in loans to support the construction of the Changjing-Huang High-speed Railway, enhancing connectivity within the Yangtze River Economic Belt [13]. - Over the past decade, the company has increased credit support for transportation infrastructure projects, facilitating the development of a comprehensive transportation network in the Yangtze River Economic Belt [15]. Group 4: Improving Livelihoods - The company has actively supported key livelihood areas such as food security and rural revitalization, with loans exceeding 20 billion yuan for grain production and supply enterprises in major grain-producing regions [19]. - The company aims to enhance the quality of life in the Yangtze River Economic Belt by promoting sports events like marathons, which inject vitality into regional economic development [17][18]. Group 5: Future Outlook - Looking ahead to the next decade, the company plans to continue focusing on key areas to promote green economic transformation, support technological industry growth, and improve transportation networks while enhancing livelihood security [20].

Core Viewpoint - The Ministry of Finance, the People's Bank of China, and the Financial Regulatory Administration have extended the implementation period of the personal consumption loan interest subsidy policy until the end of this year and included credit card installment services in the support scope, prompting several financial institutions to announce related service measures [1]. Group 1: Policy Implementation - The personal consumption loan interest subsidy policy will be effective from September 1, 2025, to December 31, 2026, as stated by major state-owned banks [3]. - Consumers who have already signed the "Personal Consumption Loan Interest Subsidy Service Agreement" will automatically benefit from the new subsidy policy for consumption occurring after January 1, 2026, without needing to sign a new agreement [2][3]. Group 2: Adjustments in Consumption Loan Areas - The China Bank has removed the restriction on consumption transactions of 50,000 yuan (inclusive) and above, meaning that transactions in this range will no longer be limited to specific categories such as household vehicles, education, and healthcare [5]. - The Industrial and Commercial Bank of China has detailed the subsidy scope, which includes areas such as household vehicles, elderly care, education, cultural tourism, home decoration, electronic products, and healthcare [7]. Group 3: Credit Card Installment Details - The Bank of Communications has set the annual interest subsidy rate for credit card bill installments at 1%, with a maximum subsidy limit of 3,000 yuan per year for each borrower across all personal consumption loans and credit card installments [9]. Group 4: Inclusion of Financial Institutions - The new policy also includes city commercial banks, rural commercial banks, foreign banks, consumer finance companies, and auto finance companies as processing institutions, facilitating access for the public [11]. Group 5: Monitoring and Compliance - Financial institutions are required to strengthen monitoring of loan purposes and fund flows, with penalties for fraudulent activities or misuse of funds, including the potential recovery of subsidies already granted [13].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that major Chinese banks have announced the implementation of optimized personal consumption loan subsidy policies, which will automatically apply to loans signed before January 1, 2026, without the need for re-signing agreements [1][3] Group 2 - The implementation period for the personal consumption loan subsidy policy has been extended to December 31, 2026 [3] - The support scope has been expanded to include credit card bill installment services [3] - Restrictions on single transactions of 50,000 yuan and above have been removed, broadening the subsidy areas [3] - The subsidy standards have been improved by removing the cap of 500 yuan on single transaction subsidies and the cumulative limit of 1,000 yuan for each borrower at a single institution for transactions below 50,000 yuan [3]

Macro Overview - The global economy is expected to continue a weak recovery in 2026, with growth projected at 3.1% and inflation decreasing to 3.7% [1][4] - China's economy is anticipated to stabilize and rebound with a growth rate of 4.7% to 5.0% due to supportive macro policies [1][4] - The US economy is likely to maintain potential growth, with the Federal Reserve expected to cut interest rates three more times and expand its balance sheet [1][4] Equity Market Insights - The A-share market is expected to maintain a slow bull market, potentially evolving into a long bull market supported by policy dividends, profit recovery, and long-term capital inflows [1][6] - The Hong Kong stock market will benefit from the internationalization of RMB assets and external liquidity easing, continuing its value reassessment [1][6] - Non-US stock markets are projected to outperform US markets, with European and Japanese stock markets expected to rise moderately, while emerging markets present structural opportunities [1][6][9] Bond Market Analysis - The bond market is influenced by the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts and balance sheet expansion, leading to a downward shift in US Treasury yields [1][7] - China's 10-year government bond yields are expected to fluctuate between 1.6% and 1.9%, with a moderately loose funding environment but limited downward yield movement [1][7] - UK bonds present high allocation value, while German bonds are expected to perform relatively weakly [1][7] Commodity Market Trends - Gold is expected to continue its long-term upward trend, potentially reaching new historical highs, while silver's price is supported by multiple attributes but may experience increased volatility [2][5] - Copper and aluminum prices are anticipated to rise due to demand from AI development and new energy sectors [2][5] - The oil market remains in a state of oversupply, with prices expected to fluctuate around cost levels [2][5] Currency Market Dynamics - The foreign exchange market shows a downward shift in the US dollar, with non-US currencies exhibiting differentiation [2][6] - The Chinese yuan is likely to experience two-way fluctuations, appreciating against the US dollar [2][6] - The euro and Malaysian ringgit are expected to perform strongly, while the Canadian dollar is anticipated to weaken due to tariffs and oil price impacts [2][6]

Core Viewpoint - A new force characterized by regional deepening is rapidly rising in China's banking industry, with Chengdu Rural Commercial Bank becoming the fifth rural commercial bank to surpass an asset scale of 1 trillion yuan, joining the ranks of other major urban rural commercial banks [1][2]. Group 1: Growth of Rural Commercial Banks - The five rural commercial banks that have crossed the 1 trillion yuan mark are all based in major national cities, which are characterized by high urbanization levels and strong economic radiation capabilities [1][2]. - These banks have successfully achieved leapfrog development by deeply understanding and closely binding with the regional economy, creating a growth path centered on localized services [1][2]. Group 2: Strategic Focus on Local Markets - The success of these banks is attributed to their strategic focus on local markets, aligning their development with regional economic growth, which is consistent with regulatory guidance emphasizing local service [2][3]. - Regulatory bodies have encouraged rural financial institutions to focus on serving local communities and the agricultural sector, reinforcing the importance of localized banking [2]. Group 3: Unique Development Models - Each of the trillion-yuan rural commercial banks has developed unique models based on local characteristics, such as Beijing Rural Commercial Bank focusing on "three rural" services and Shanghai Rural Commercial Bank developing technology and pension finance [3]. - Chengdu Rural Commercial Bank aims to be a bank that understands rural revitalization and local industries, optimizing its branch layout to enhance service breadth and depth [3][4]. Group 4: Financial Performance - Chengdu Rural Commercial Bank's asset scale has grown from less than 500 billion yuan in 2019 to over 1 trillion yuan in early 2026, with an annual growth rate significantly higher than the industry average [4]. - The bank maintains a stable asset quality, with a non-performing loan ratio of 1.02% and a provision coverage ratio of 441.83%, indicating strong financial health compared to peers [4]. Group 5: Challenges and Transformation - Surpassing the 1 trillion yuan mark signifies a new development stage for these banks, necessitating a restructuring of their development models and management capabilities [6]. - The banks face three core challenges: pressure on profit growth due to narrowing net interest margins, accelerated capital consumption, and increased difficulty in risk management amid regional economic adjustments [6][7]. Group 6: Pathways for Transformation - Transformation strategies should focus on capital replenishment through both internal and external means, diversifying income sources beyond traditional lending, and enhancing risk management capabilities [7]. - Chengdu Rural Commercial Bank's approach includes innovating products in green finance and technology finance, with its green loan balance nearing 50 billion yuan, reflecting a significant growth engine [7][8]. Group 7: Digitalization and Local Service - The bank's strategy to address digital challenges involves focusing on local scenarios and enhancing digital platforms, with over 4 million mobile banking users and a community service platform linking 110 communities [8]. - The emergence of trillion-yuan rural commercial banks indicates that impactful financial institutions can be cultivated in the regional economic service sector, emphasizing the importance of local roots and sustainable development [8].