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中信证券:“十五五”投资4万亿 设备龙头扬帆起航 国网的投资计划夯实总量基本盘
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-16 00:46
Core Viewpoint - The State Grid has announced a fixed asset investment plan of 4 trillion yuan during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, representing a 40% year-on-year increase [1] Group 1: Investment Plan - The investment plan solidifies the basic total volume and emphasizes key areas such as ultra-high voltage, flexible direct current, and digital microgrid [1] - The focus on green transformation is highlighted, with the initial establishment of a new type of grid platform that integrates main and distribution networks [1] Group 2: Industry Recommendations - It is suggested to focus on leading domestic companies that benefit from the investment climate and major planning, as well as those that balance domestic investments and overseas opportunities [1]
中信证券:推理+训练驱动算力需求井喷,云厂商资本开支或加码
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2026-01-16 00:46
Core Viewpoint - The report from CITIC Securities indicates that as AI commercialization accelerates by 2026, the demand for computing power is shifting from a single "training-driven" model to a dual "training + inference" model, which is expected to maintain rapid growth [1] Group 1: Computing Power Demand - The demand for computing power is transitioning to a dual-driven model, combining both training and inference [1] - This shift is anticipated to sustain high growth rates in the future [1] Group 2: Domestic Chip Development - Continuous breakthroughs in domestic computing power chips in terms of process and architecture are expected [1] - The production capacity and yield of advanced domestic processes are improving [1] - The introduction of super nodes is likely to enhance the capabilities of domestic cloud vendors [1] Group 3: Market Opportunities - The increased investment in computing power by domestic cloud vendors is expected to lead to the continuous expansion of domestic intelligent computing centers [1] - This expansion will facilitate the formation of a closed loop among "chips-models-applications" [1] - There are significant opportunities for value reassessment in IDC and network sectors due to the accelerated investment in domestic computing power [1]
中信证券:再贷款降息落地,降准降息还有一定空间
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-16 00:45
中信证券研报表示,央行下调各类再贷款工具利率25bps,但该举措并非传统意义上的逆回购利率或 LPR降息,而是通过结构性工具定向发力。我们认为,此举有利于提升银行投放积极性、促进信贷平稳 增长,并在一定程度上缓解银行息差压力。与此同时,央行同步推进再贷款工具扩容与机制创新,通 过"量的扩张+向的引导"双重作用,持续强化对重点领域的定向支持,有助于推动信贷结构向科技、绿 色、普惠、养老和数字等方向优化。在总量政策层面,央行表示今年降准降息仍有一定空间,但在出口 景气延续、短期经济动能尚可的背景下,我们预计短期政策加码将保持克制,全年逆回购利率降息幅度 或为10bps。汇率方面,央行延续"在合理均衡水平上保持基本稳定"的政策主基调,我们认为短期内政 策重心仍在防范汇率超调、完善预期管理和提升企业汇率避险能力,而非通过汇率调整获取贸易竞争优 势。 ...
中信证券:社融将呈现“前高后稳、结构优化”的全年节奏
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2026-01-16 00:44
Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that the rhythm of government debt will continue to dominate social financing performance, leading to a "high at the beginning, stable later, and optimized structure" throughout the year 2026 [1] - In terms of credit, the manufacturing PMI returned above the threshold in December, and export growth exceeded expectations, reflecting a rebound in enterprise production and operational activity at the end of the year [1] - The People's Bank of China announced a 25 basis points reduction in the interest rates of various structural monetary policy tools on January 15, which is expected to lower the cost of funds for banks to issue loans in key areas through the "first lend, then borrow" mechanism [1] Group 2 - High-frequency data indicates a comprehensive increase in corporate loans due to year-end assessments by banks [1] - The decline in interest rates is anticipated to stimulate accelerated loan issuance in the future [1]
中信证券:港股IPO有望维持火热
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-16 00:40
中信证券研报称,2025年港股IPO市场火热,项目质量较高。在此基础上,市场赚钱效应显著,投资人 打新热情高涨。面向2026年,我们认为IPO项目储备丰富、项目质量相对有所保障,港股IPO有望维持 火热,建议锚定投资者及基石投资者仍应根据自身禀赋及风险偏好做项目精选。 ...
中信证券:“十五五”投资4万亿 新型电力系统设备龙头扬帆起航
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2026-01-16 00:35
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that the State Grid has announced a fixed asset investment plan of 4 trillion yuan during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, representing a 40% year-on-year increase [1] - The investment plan focuses on green transformation and aims to establish a new type of grid platform that integrates main and distribution networks [1] - The report suggests that the investment plan solidifies the basic volume and further clarifies key areas such as ultra-high voltage, flexible direct current, and digital microgrids [1] Group 2 - The recommendation is to focus on leading domestic companies that benefit from the domestic investment climate and major planning, as well as those that balance significant domestic investments with overseas opportunities [1]
中信证券:全年逆回购利率降息幅度或为10bps
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2026-01-16 00:34
人民财讯1月16日电,中信证券指出,央行下调各类再贷款工具利率25bps,但该举措并非传统意义上的 逆回购利率或LPR降息,而是通过结构性工具定向发力。中信证券认为,此举有利于提升银行投放积极 性、促进信贷平稳增长,并在一定程度上缓解银行息差压力。与此同时,央行同步推进再贷款工具扩容 与机制创新,通过"量的扩张+向的引导"双重作用,持续强化对重点领域的定向支持,有助于推动信贷 结构向科技、绿色、普惠、养老和数字等方向优化。在总量政策层面,央行表示今年降准降息仍有一定 空间,但在出口景气延续、短期经济动能尚可的背景下,预计短期政策加码将保持克制,全年逆回购利 率降息幅度或为10bps。 ...
中信证券:近期电子行业多个细分板块相关公司发布涨价通知,建议关注受益确定性最高的环节
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2026-01-16 00:33
人民财讯1月16日电,中信证券研报称,近期电子行业多个细分板块相关公司发布涨价通知,涉及存 储、CCL、BT载板、晶圆代工、封测等多细分领域,其背景是2025年以来因上游金属成本大幅提升, 叠加AI高景气对整体需求的拉动。考虑到本轮涨价周期的背景是AI超高景气,消费电子、汽车电子等 需求阶段性承压,建议关注存储、CCL、BT载板、晶圆代工、封装等在涨价趋势中受益确定性最高的 环节。 ...
中信证券:具身模型更新潮 “UMI数采+视频学习”推动世界模型发展
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2026-01-16 00:31
Core Insights - The report from CITIC Securities indicates that the embodied intelligence large model sector is experiencing intensive updates, with the "low-cost + high-efficiency" characteristics of UMI data collection being widely adopted [1] - The large-scale use of first-person video data has received phased certification from leading manufacturers, suggesting that diverse and rich video learning is expected to nurture world models based on video generation models [1] - The year 2026 is projected to be the production year for the embodied intelligence robotics industry, with the level of embodied models still lagging behind hardware foundations, making their iterative evolution crucial [1] - As companies like Skild AI, Physical Intelligence, and Galaxy General continue their capitalization processes, the pricing logic for embodied model enterprises is expected to become clearer and more consistent [1]
中信证券:再贷款降息落地 降准降息还有一定空间
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2026-01-16 00:26
(文章来源:第一财经) 中信证券研报表示,央行下调各类再贷款工具利率25bps,但该举措并非传统意义上的逆回购利率或 LPR降息,而是通过结构性工具定向发力。我们认为,此举有利于提升银行投放积极性、促进信贷平稳 增长,并在一定程度上缓解银行息差压力。与此同时,央行同步推进再贷款工具扩容与机制创新,通 过"量的扩张+向的引导"双重作用,持续强化对重点领域的定向支持,有助于推动信贷结构向科技、绿 色、普惠、养老和数字等方向优化。在总量政策层面,央行表示今年降准降息仍有一定空间,但在出口 景气延续、短期经济动能尚可的背景下,我们预计短期政策加码将保持克制,全年逆回购利率降息幅度 或为10bps。汇率方面,央行延续"在合理均衡水平上保持基本稳定"的政策主基调,我们认为短期内政 策重心仍在防范汇率超调、完善预期管理和提升企业汇率避险能力,而非通过汇率调整获取贸易竞争优 势。 ...