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港股异动 | 中资券商股集体下跌 风险偏好短期有所降温 大摩因A股交投活跃上调券商盈测
智通财经网· 2025-09-23 06:22
此外,摩根士丹利发表研报称,A股市场日均成交额(ADT)持续高企,目前对全年ADT预测更具信心, 将2025年ADT预测上调53%至1.53万亿元人民币,并预测2026及2027年ADT将保持每年5%至6%的按年 增长。相应将所覆盖中资券商2025至2027年各年盈利预测平均上调25%、23%及20%, 智通财经APP获悉,中资券商股集体下跌,截至发稿,中州证券(01375)跌4.81%,报2.57港元;招商证 券(06099)跌4.47%,报15.82港元;光大证券(06178)跌3.91%,报10.33港元;中信建投证券(06066)跌 3.75%,报12.85港元。 中泰证券发布研报称,美联储降息预期已被市场充分交易,此次结果并未超预期,因而在落地后引发投 资者情绪的回落,风险偏好短期有所降温。国泰海通证券则表示,最近一个月非银板块跑输指数。但该 行认为这一现象主要是交易因素影响,非银基本面持续向好。随着三季度市场上涨叠加成交量放大,权 益投资及证券经纪业务持续改善,三季度业绩有望实现同比和环比高增。 ...
131只个股连续5日或5日以上获融资净买入
Core Insights - As of September 22, a total of 131 stocks in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets have experienced net financing inflows for five consecutive days or more [1] - The stock with the longest consecutive net inflow is Wuzhou Transportation, which has seen net buying for 12 consecutive trading days [1] - Other notable stocks with significant consecutive net inflows include Dongtianwei, Dike Co., Xinqi Microelectronics, China Merchants Securities, Seres, Jingwang Electronics, Zhongyan Chemical, and Huadian International [1]
招商证券国际:科技和有色行业成为结构主线 警惕小盘股操纵风险
智通财经网· 2025-09-23 03:05
Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that the Hong Kong stock market is expected to rebound in early September, with AI internet and technology sectors, as well as the non-ferrous metals industry, becoming the structural main lines [1] - The report suggests that while foreign capital inflow has long-term growth potential, the path of the current interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve may be complicated, leading to significant divergence in macroeconomic and interest rate policy expectations [1] - Short-term substantial policy benefits are limited, with banks facing narrowing net interest margins and liquidity remaining stable, indicating a higher likelihood of targeted reserve requirement ratio cuts [1] Group 2 - The investment strategy recommends focusing on technology (AI internet large-cap and high-end manufacturing small-cap) and non-ferrous metals, while also increasing allocation to Hong Kong insurance stocks, "turnaround" opportunities, and high-dividend value strategies [2] - There is a caution regarding the manipulation risk of small-cap stocks, with specific examples provided, and a recommendation to pay attention to corporate governance to avoid risks associated with concentrated ownership by major shareholders [2]
研报掘金|招商证券:首予绿茶集团目标价11.8港元及“强烈推荐”评级
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-23 02:48
Core Viewpoint - The report from China Merchants Securities initiates coverage on Green Tea Group with a target price of HKD 11.8 and a "strong buy" rating, highlighting its leadership in the domestic Chinese casual dining sector [1] Group 1: Company Strategy - Green Tea Group focuses on the fusion cuisine segment, primarily operating in the East China, North China, and Guangdong regions, aiming to create high-cost performance Chinese fusion dishes [1] - The company plans to continue its store expansion through strategies such as small store formats, regional densification, geographical expansion, and market penetration [1] Group 2: Supply Chain and Financial Outlook - The establishment of a central kitchen is expected to enhance the maturity of the company's supply chain, which may drive continuous revenue growth and accelerate profit release [1]
招商证券国际:内房需求触底 价格走势不一 对内地房地产行业维持“增持”评级
智通财经网· 2025-09-23 02:38
该行表示,房地产行业价格走势混杂,购房活动增加,流动性收紧。截至2025年8月,北京以及广州二 手房的价格以及租金都出现更大幅度的降低,租金降低幅度更大。12个城市的二手房平均看房量由7月 的按月跌8.7%逆转至增2.8%,同比增长加速4个百分点至19.8%。流动性方面,截至9月,宏观流动性按 月进一步收紧,同比宽松幅度有所收窄。 该行还表示,相关购房政策不大可能在市场上统一执行,但是可能随着试点计划而逐步铺排。长期来 看,房地产行业新的发展模式可能会通过提高行业进入门槛,来加强该品质公司的市场地位。 智通财经APP获悉,招商证券国际发布研报称,内地房地产住房签约面积受惠于看房量以及价格稳定, 超过去年水平。需求出现触底迹象;试点计划将在政策大规模出台前逐步启动。该行对内地房地产行业 维持"增持"评级,都市化进程转向品质升级。 ...
招商证券:25H1险企负债端表现亮眼 资产端分化明显
智通财经网· 2025-09-22 09:35
2025H1上市险企投资资产规模稳步增长,哑铃型配置结构更加突出,但债券增配力度较小而股票增配 力度更大,截至6月末各公司股票占比分别为新华保险11.6%>中国平安10.5%>中国太保9.7%>中国人寿 8.7%>中国太平8.3%>中国人保5.4%。从收益表现来看,净投资收益率延续下行态势,分别为中国人保 3.7%(同比-0.1pt)>中国平安3.6%(简单年化、同比+0.3pt)>中国太保3.4%(简单年化、同比-0.2pt)>新华保 险3.0%(同比-0.2pt)>中国人寿2.8%(同比-0.3pt)。 总投资收益率差异明显主因权益投资策略不同,分别为新华保险5.9%(同比+1.1pt)>中国人保5.1%(同比 +1.0pt)>中国太保4.6%(简单年化、同比-0.8pt)>中国平安3.8%(简单年化、同比+0.3pt)>中国人寿3.3%(同 比-0.3pt)。 净利润和净资产分化明显,中期分红重视股东回报 受资本市场波动影响不同,2025H1上市险企归母净利润增速分别为新华保险+33.5%>中国人保+16.9%> 中国太平+12.2%>中国太保+11.0%>中国人寿+6.9%。剔除短期投资波动和其他一次 ...
招商证券:维持国银金租(01606)“强烈推荐”评级 主要经营指标稳重向好
智通财经网· 2025-09-22 09:08
智通财经APP获悉,招商证券发布研报称,维持国银金租(01606)"强烈推荐"评级。该行认为公司作为行 业龙头,业务整体发展稳健;加之,伴随美元降息周期开启、压降公司资金成本,公司业绩有望持续扩 张,预计25/26/27年归母净利润分别为49/52/58亿元。 报告提到,国银金租25H1实现营业收入146.6亿元,同比+7.7%;净利润达24.0亿元,同比+27.6%。25H1 末,公司总资产规模达41.8亿元,较年初+2.9%,资产规模稳步增长。年化ROE为11.7%,同比+1.7pct; 年化ROA为1.2%,同比+0.33pct,主要得益于净利润的良好增长。资产质量稳定,25H1末,公司不良资 产率为0.63%、且自上市以来始终控制在1%以下,融资租赁相关不良资产拨备覆盖率为540.05%、维持 高风险抵补水平。 ...
招商证券:维持国银金租“强烈推荐”评级 主要经营指标稳重向好
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-09-22 09:04
报告提到,国银金租25H1实现营业收入146.6亿元,同比+7.7%;净利润达24.0亿元,同比+27.6%。25H1 末,公司总资产规模达41.8亿元,较年初+2.9%,资产规模稳步增长。年化ROE为11.7%,同比+1.7pct; 年化ROA为1.2%,同比+0.33pct,主要得益于净利润的良好增长。资产质量稳定,25H1末,公司不良资 产率为0.63%、且自上市以来始终控制在1%以下,融资租赁相关不良资产拨备覆盖率为540.05%、维持 高风险抵补水平。 招商证券发布研报称,维持国银金租(01606)"强烈推荐"评级。该行认为公司作为行业龙头,业务整体 发展稳健;加之,伴随美元降息周期开启、压降公司资金成本,公司业绩有望持续扩张,预计25/26/27年 归母净利润分别为49/52/58亿元。 ...
集美新材重启IPO:招商证券辅导,曾冲击创业板、北交所均未果
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-22 08:51
Core Viewpoint - Shenzhen Jimei New Materials Co., Ltd. (referred to as "Jimei New Materials") has initiated its IPO process aiming to list on the Beijing Stock Exchange [1] Company Overview - Jimei New Materials was established on January 17, 2006, with a registered capital of 53.34 million yuan [2] - The legal representative is Chen Qiupeng, who holds 71.0986% of the company's shares [2] - The company operates in the rubber and plastic products industry and is currently listed on the National Equities Exchange and Quotations (NEEQ) since April 5, 2016, under the stock code 836312 [2] Business Focus - Jimei New Materials specializes in the design, development, production, and sales of cellulose acetate sheets, which are essential materials for eyewear frames and can also be used in fashion accessories and high-end crafts [3] - The company has established long-term stable partnerships with several well-known domestic and international eyewear manufacturers, including Luxottica, Safilo, and others, which produce major eyewear brands such as Ray-Ban and Chanel [3] IPO History - Jimei New Materials previously attempted to list on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange's Growth Enterprise Market (GEM) on July 10, 2020, but the IPO was terminated on January 28, 2021, due to the withdrawal of the sponsor [4][5] - The company shifted its focus to the Beijing Stock Exchange for its IPO on June 22, 2022, with a new sponsor, but the application was withdrawn in August 2023 after three rounds of inquiries [6][7]
招商证券:鸡价迎景气拐点 养殖端逐步扭亏
智通财经网· 2025-09-22 08:17
Core Viewpoint - The poultry industry is experiencing a recovery in chicken prices, particularly for white-feathered and yellow-feathered chickens, driven by supply adjustments and improved profitability for farmers [1][2][3]. Group 1: White-feathered Chicken - In August, the average price of chicken seedlings was 3.29 yuan per chick, down 4% year-on-year but up 133% month-on-month; the average price of meat chickens was 7.17 yuan per kilogram, down 6% year-on-year but up 9.9% month-on-month [1]. - The reduction in chicken supply in August, along with distributors actively stocking up for the school season, has provided strong support for chicken prices, leading to significant improvements in farmer profitability [1]. - The overseas breeding volume has significantly decreased since the beginning of the year, and it is expected that the supply of parent meat chicken seedlings will be tight in the second half of 2025, which will also affect the supply of commercial meat chicken seedlings in 2026 [1][3]. Group 2: Yellow-feathered Chicken - In August, the average price of fast-growing chickens was 5.11 yuan per pound, down 3.3% year-on-year but up 30% month-on-month; the average price of snow mountain grass chickens was 8.51 yuan per pound, down 3% year-on-year but up 32% month-on-month [2]. - The supply of yellow-feathered chickens remains relatively abundant, but most farming entities have reported losses by mid-year, leading to expectations of accelerated elimination of outdated production capacity [2]. - As supply and demand conditions improve, yellow chicken prices have rebounded, and high-quality production capacity has turned profitable [2][3]. Group 3: Industry Outlook - The demand for quality parent chicken seedlings is expected to remain strong in 2025, despite an increase in imports of grandparent breeding chickens in 2024 [3]. - The current inventory of parent breeding chickens is at a historically low level, and the ongoing industry losses have set the stage for future price increases [3]. - Long-term prospects for the ice-fresh yellow-feathered chicken market remain promising due to changing consumer habits, the implementation of sales bans, and economic recovery boosting consumption [3].