Group 1: Market Performance - The ChiNext Index showed strength in the afternoon, with the ChiNext ETF Tianhong (159977) turning positive, up 0.12% with a trading volume of 280 million yuan and a premium rate of 0.01% [1] - The ChiNext ETF has seen net inflows for 4 out of the last 5 days, accumulating over 500 million yuan [1] - As of September 19, the ChiNext ETF Tianhong (159977) had a circulating scale of 9.585 billion yuan, approaching the 10 billion yuan mark [2] Group 2: Securities ETF Performance - The Securities ETF (159841) also performed well, rising 0.45% in the afternoon with a trading volume of 280 million yuan, leading among similar products in the Shenzhen market [3] - The Securities ETF has experienced continuous net inflows over the past 20 days, totaling over 3.4 billion yuan [5] - As of September 19, the Securities ETF (159841) reached a new historical high with a circulating scale of 9.086 billion yuan, making it the largest among similar products in the Shenzhen market [5] Group 3: Company Developments - Notable stocks within the Securities ETF include Guosheng Jinkong, which rose over 6%, along with other securities firms like Shouchuang Securities and Huatai Securities also showing positive performance [4] - Recent dividend distributions from listed brokers, such as Nanjing Securities and招商证券, provide support for mid-term equity distribution, indicating a recovery in overall operating performance [5] Group 4: Market Outlook - Analysts suggest that the market is currently in a bull market phase, with expectations of continued upward movement driven by low penetration rates in certain sectors [6] - Key areas of focus include solid-state batteries, AI computing power, humanoid robots, and commercial aerospace, with a strategic emphasis on high internal return quality growth strategies [6] - The brokerage sector is expected to see further expansion in Q3 report growth rates, presenting opportunities for investment amidst recent adjustments in the financial sector [6]

智通财经APP获悉，摩根士丹利发布研报称，A股市场日均成交额(ADT)持续高企，目前对全年ADT预 测更具信心，将2025年ADT预测上调53%至1.53万亿元人民币，并预测2026及2027年ADT将保持每年 5%至6%的同比增长，相应将所覆盖中资券商2025至2027年各年盈利预测平均上调25%、23%及20%， 相信交投增加可带动经纪佣金、保证金利息及经营杠杆提升，市场流动性充裕将支持更多融资活动，预 料利好中金公司(03908)、中信证券(06030)及广发证券(01776)等拥有强劲承销、交易及资产管理业务的 券商。 该行预期券商板块平均股本回报率(ROE)将于2026年反弹至9%，其中，中信证券及中金公司的ROE分别 有望达10.7%及9.4%，目前预测中金、广发及中信证券的今年投资收入分别增长20%、21%及11%，而 东方财富(300059.SZ)及招商证券(06099)今年投资收入则可能录得下跌。 ...

Group 1 - The core driving force for the company's development is innovation, with a focus on technological leadership as a key competitive advantage [1][2] - The company's products are characterized by high speed, high precision, and high reliability, targeting the high-end market [1] - The company has established a comprehensive operation and maintenance management service system covering the entire lifecycle of equipment, leading the industry in service scale and capability [1][2] Group 2 - Domestic policies related to smart manufacturing provide momentum for the company's growth, although global economic challenges and the need to boost domestic demand remain concerns [2] - The company follows a "point → line → surface" development model, starting with key single equipment to penetrate new industries and then expanding to automated production lines [2] - Key business drivers include internal strategies of technological differentiation, R&D investment, and external factors such as national smart manufacturing strategies and the endogenous demand of manufacturing enterprises [2] Group 3 - The company is actively promoting its intelligent factory solutions, with a successful showcase of its electric stone intelligent factory at a meeting in Wuhai in April 2025 [2]

每经AI快讯，博实股份（SZ 002698，收盘价：16.9元）发布公告称，2025年9月19日13:30至14:40，博 实股份接受招商证券股份有限公司调研，公司证券事务代表张俊辉参与接待，并回答了投资者提出的问 题。 （记者 王瀚黎） 每经头条（nbdtoutiao）——始祖鸟深陷"炸山"风波，母公司大中华区新总裁上任才两个多月，被赞"专 业能力深厚"！安踏体育最新回应→ 2025年1至6月份，博实股份的营业收入构成为：智能制造装备占比69.88%，工业服务占比27.24%，环 保工艺与装备占比2.89%。 ...

Core Insights - The bond financing activities of securities firms in China have significantly increased this year, with a total issuance exceeding 1 trillion yuan [4][2]. - As of September 19, 2023, 71 securities firms have issued 657 bonds, marking a year-on-year growth of 64.25% [4]. - The total bond issuance scale for the year has reached 1.18 trillion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 69.93% [4]. Group 1: Bond Issuance Data - The top 10 securities firms by bond issuance scale as of 2025 include China Galaxy (107.9 billion yuan), Huatai Securities (93.7 billion yuan), and Guotai Junan (75.8 billion yuan) [5]. - Other notable firms in the top 10 include GF Securities (68.52 billion yuan) and China Merchants Securities (62.7 billion yuan) [5][6]. Group 2: Bond Holding Data - As of September 19, 2023, the total bond holding scale of 76 securities firms is 2.96 trillion yuan [7]. - The top 10 firms by bond holding scale include Guotai Junan (252.6 billion yuan), China Galaxy (188.6 billion yuan), and Huatai Securities (188 billion yuan) [7][8]. Group 3: Recent Approvals for Bond Issuance - In September, several securities firms, including Guotai Junan and CITIC Securities, received approval to issue bonds to professional investors [9]. - CITIC Securities has been approved to issue bonds with a face value of up to 60 billion yuan [13].

证券研究报告 | 金融工程 2025 年 9 月 21 日 利多因素边际走弱，继续看多但程度下降 ——A 股趋势与风格定量观察 20250921 1. 当前市场观察 2. 市场最新观点 风险提示：择时和风格轮动模型结论基于合理假设前提下结合历史数据统计规 律推导而出，市场环境变化下可能导致出现模型失效风险。 王武蕾 S1090519080001 wangwulei@cmschina.com.cn 王禹哲 S1090525080001 wangyuzhe@cmschina.com.cn 敬请阅读末页的重要说明 定期报告 ❑ 本周市场震荡分化，大盘价值风格走弱，小盘成长风格维持偏强走势。具体 来看，万得全 A 指数下跌约 0.18%，上证 50、沪深 300 分别下跌约 1.95%、 0.41%，中证 1000 则上涨约 0.23%。国证价值下跌约 2.06%，而国证成长却 上涨约 1.49%，创业板指、科创 50 分别上涨约 2.35%、1.84%。 ❑ 择时方面，我们继续看多 A 股，但短期看好程度有所下降。继续看好的核心 原因为当前市场交易情绪仍相对较强、人民币升值背景下内外部流动性宽 裕、基本面上信贷脉冲 ...

Group 1 - The overall market performance shows mixed results with the Shanghai Composite Index down by 1.3%, while the Shenzhen Component and ChiNext Index increased by 1.14% and 2.34% respectively [1] - Citic Securities emphasizes the importance of the globalization of leading Chinese manufacturing companies, suggesting that this will enhance pricing power and profit margins, leading to market capitalization growth beyond domestic economic fundamentals [1] - The financing trends around the National Day holiday indicate a pattern of "pre-holiday contraction and post-holiday explosion," with historical data suggesting a high probability of A/H shares rising after preventive rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [1][2] Group 2 - Huajin Securities notes that historically, after high-level fluctuations in a bull market, A-shares tend to continue rising, with current policies and external events remaining positive [2] - Dongwu Securities identifies potential market directions for the fourth quarter, suggesting a structural shift may occur, with cyclical sectors and low-position technology branches being key areas to watch [3] - China Galaxy Securities recommends focusing on sectors benefiting from policy and industry support, such as AI, lithium batteries, and consumer services, especially with the upcoming holidays boosting travel-related stocks [4] Group 3 - Western Securities reports a contraction in A-share valuations, with the coal industry leading gains due to rising coal prices driven by winter supply concerns [5] - The market is expected to experience a period of consolidation, with support levels identified at previous lows, and recommendations to maintain current positions until adjustments are complete [7] - Kaisheng Securities highlights the ongoing dominance of technology sectors, driven by relative profitability and global semiconductor cycles, with AI emerging as a significant demand driver [8] Group 4 - Debon Securities indicates that the current market is at the beginning of a new dollar interest rate cut cycle, with a slow bull market expected to continue, particularly in sectors like AI and solid-state batteries [9] - Xiangcai Securities suggests that the A-share market is likely to operate in a "slow bull" manner, influenced by ongoing policies and the "14th Five-Year Plan," with a focus on technology, green initiatives, and consumer services [10]

证券研究报告 | 金融工程 2025 年 9 月 21 日 穿越波动周期的投资罗盘 ——招商证券大类资产配置系列指数投资价值分析 风险提示：本报告基于对历史数据的分析，当市场环境变化时，存在失效风险。 王武蕾 S1090519080001 wangwulei@cmschina.com.cn 梁雨辰 S1090523070008 liangyuchen2@cmschina.com.cn 江雨航 S1090525070014 jiangyuhang1@cmschina.com.cn 专题报告 敬请阅读末页的重要说明 招商证券全球大类资产配置策略指数（GARRI）、招商证券境内大类资产配置 策略指数 2.0（CARRI2）是由招商证券开发设计的量化策略指数，通过动量趋 势跟踪方法对在全球范围或中国境内的权益、债券和商品类的资产进行轮动配 置，通过风险平价、波动率控制以及逐日盯市进行止盈止损的方法来控制投资组 合整体的波动水平，提供长期稳健的资产配置方案。 指数资产池：涵盖股票指数、国债期货及现货、贵金属期货和商品期货四类资 产。全球配置 GARRI 指数包括沪深 300、中证 500、纳斯达克 100、标普 500 ...

Domestic Policy Insights - The Chinese government is making progress in addressing "involution" in the automotive, pig farming, and photovoltaic sectors, with a focus on pig farming and silicon materials [2] - The automotive industry is seeing the release of a payment standard initiative aimed at ensuring supplier payments do not exceed 60 days [2] - In pig farming, a meeting has been held to discuss reducing the number of breeding sows, with accompanying financial measures suggested [2] - The photovoltaic sector is tightening energy consumption standards, which may accelerate the exit of outdated production capacity, particularly in silicon material pricing [2] Autonomous Driving Developments - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has released a draft for mandatory national standards on intelligent connected vehicle driving assistance systems, aiming to fill safety gaps in large-scale applications [3] - The new standards emphasize safety boundaries and monitoring of driver status, suggesting a focus on three types of companies: leading autonomous driving suppliers, companies enhancing driving safety, and automotive testing institutions [3] Service Consumption Policies - The Ministry of Commerce and other departments have announced measures to boost service consumption, with 19 initiatives aimed at stimulating demand and supporting high-quality economic development [4] - Key areas of focus for future investment include cultural tourism, intellectual property consumption, and sports consumption [4] International Relations and Business Implications - Recent talks between Chinese and U.S. leaders have been described as pragmatic and constructive, with discussions on the TikTok transaction being a central issue [5] - The TikTok deal involves core algorithms and shareholding ratios, with Oracle and other companies potentially becoming buyers [5] Industry Policy Updates - The State Council is actively discussing policies related to ecological protection and domestic product standards in government procurement [6] - Recent industry policies include a growth plan for light industry and various regional initiatives to integrate artificial intelligence into industrial processes [7]

证券研究报告 | 基金研究（公募） 2025 年 9 月 20 日 A 股震荡调整，量化基金表现分化 量化基金周度跟踪（20250915-20250919） 本周（9 月 15 日-9 月 19 日）A 股震荡调整，量化基金表现分化。 本报告重点聚焦量化基金市场表现，总结近一周主要指数和量化基金业绩表现、 不同类型公募量化基金整体表现和业绩分布，以及本周收益表现较优的量化基 金，供投资者参考。 ❑市场整体表现： 本周量化基金表现分化，绝对收益方面，除 300 指增，其他指增基金绝对 收益均录得正值；主动量化和市场中性均录得负收益，主动量化平均跌 0.19%，市场中性平均跌 0.17%。超额收益方面，各类指增基金均跑输指 数，沪深 300 指增、中证 500 指增、中证 1000 指增、其他指增分别获得 -0.05%、-0.24%、-0.09%、-0.14%的超额。 ❑风险提示：图表中列示的数据结果仅为对市场及个基历史表现的客观描述，并 不预示其未来表现，亦不构成投资收益的保证或投资建议。 徐燕红 S1090524120003 xuyanhong@cmschina.com.cn 邓畅 S109052507000 ...