（文章来源：每日经济新闻） 每经AI快讯，9月23日，港股中资券商股集体下跌，截至发稿，中州证券(01375.HK)跌4.81%，报2.57港 元；招商证券(06099.HK)跌4.47%，报15.82港元；光大证券(06178.HK)跌3.91%，报10.33港元；中信建 投证券(06066.HK)跌3.75%，报12.85港元。 ...

此外，摩根士丹利发表研报称，A股市场日均成交额(ADT)持续高企，目前对全年ADT预测更具信心， 将2025年ADT预测上调53%至1.53万亿元人民币，并预测2026及2027年ADT将保持每年5%至6%的按年 增长。相应将所覆盖中资券商2025至2027年各年盈利预测平均上调25%、23%及20%， 智通财经APP获悉，中资券商股集体下跌，截至发稿，中州证券(01375)跌4.81%，报2.57港元；招商证 券(06099)跌4.47%，报15.82港元；光大证券(06178)跌3.91%，报10.33港元；中信建投证券(06066)跌 3.75%，报12.85港元。 中泰证券发布研报称，美联储降息预期已被市场充分交易，此次结果并未超预期，因而在落地后引发投 资者情绪的回落，风险偏好短期有所降温。国泰海通证券则表示，最近一个月非银板块跑输指数。但该 行认为这一现象主要是交易因素影响，非银基本面持续向好。随着三季度市场上涨叠加成交量放大，权 益投资及证券经纪业务持续改善，三季度业绩有望实现同比和环比高增。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates that the domestic excavator sales in August 2025 are expected to remain strong despite being traditionally a "slow season," with significant recovery in non-excavator categories [1] - The report highlights substantial policy support from the Two Sessions, ensuring sustained mid-term demand recovery for construction machinery [1] - Excavator exports are projected to continue growing in August 2025, indicating strong potential for the construction machinery sector in international markets [1] Group 2 - Electric loader sales are expected to maintain a significant upward trend, suggesting an acceleration in the electrification of construction machinery [1]

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights significant trends in liquidity, infrastructure, real estate, and industrial sectors, indicating potential investment opportunities and market dynamics in the coming months [4][5][6][7][10][11]. Liquidity - The London gold spot price reached a historical high of $3685 per ounce [4]. - The BCI small enterprise financing environment index for August 2025 was 46.37, with a month-on-month increase of 0.61% [4]. - The M1 and M2 growth rate difference was -2.8 percentage points in August 2025, showing a month-on-month increase of 0.4 percentage points [4]. Infrastructure and Real Estate Chain - In early September, the average daily crude steel output of key enterprises increased by 7.19% month-on-month [5]. - Price changes for key materials included rebar up by 2.18%, cement price index up by 0.62%, and coal prices showing mixed trends [5]. - The national capacity utilization rates for blast furnaces, cement, asphalt, and all-steel tires increased by 0.17 percentage points, 9.20 percentage points, 4.2 percentage points, and 0.07 percentage points respectively [5]. Real Estate Completion Chain - The prices of titanium dioxide and flat glass remained stable, with glass gross profit at -58 yuan/ton and titanium dioxide at -1268 yuan/ton [6]. - The operating rate for flat glass this week was 76.01% [6]. Industrial Chain - The operating rate for semi-steel tires was at a five-year high of 73.66%, with a month-on-month increase of 0.20 percentage points [7]. - Major commodity prices showed varied performance, with cold-rolled steel up by 8.99% and copper down by 1.34% [7]. Subcategories - Iron ore prices reached a six-month high, with graphite electrode prices stable at 18000 yuan/ton [8]. - The price of electrolytic aluminum was 20840 yuan/ton, down by 1.00%, with a calculated profit of 3559 yuan/ton [8]. - The price of molybdenum concentrate was 4445 yuan/ton, down by 1.55%, while tungsten concentrate was 274500 yuan/ton, down by 4.19% [8]. Price Comparison Relationships - The price ratio of rebar to iron ore was 4.07 this week, with various price differentials noted among different steel products [9]. - The price difference between small rebar (used in real estate) and large rebar (used in infrastructure) was 110 yuan/ton, showing a decrease of 8.33% from the previous week [9]. Export Chain - The new export orders PMI for China in August 2025 was 47.20%, with a month-on-month increase of 0.1 percentage points [10]. - The CCFI comprehensive index for container shipping rates was 1120.23 points, down by 0.45% [10]. - The U.S. crude steel capacity utilization rate was 79.20%, with a month-on-month increase of 1.10 percentage points [10]. Valuation Percentiles - The Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index decreased by 0.44%, with the engineering machinery sector performing best at +6.10% [11]. - The PB ratio of the ordinary steel and industrial metals sectors relative to the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 35.56% and 81.90% respectively [11].

New Stock Activities - Companies currently in the IPO process include Botai Cheliang, Xipuni, and Zijin Gold International [1] - Chery Automobile is at the pricing stage, while Different Group is set for its listing date [1] Earnings Announcements - JBB Builders and Chuangneng Group are scheduled to announce their earnings [1] Shareholder Meetings - Companies holding shareholder meetings include Xinhua Wencuan, Jiajin Investment International, and Everbright Securities [1] - Other companies with scheduled meetings are Jiajin Investment International, Huangdafukong, Liangqing Holdings, Youran Muye, and Jinshi Holdings Group [1] Trading Suspension and Resumption - Changhong Jiahua is set to resume trading [1] Dividend Distribution - Companies with upcoming dividend-related dates include Tian Ge Interactive (ex-dividend date), KLN (dividend payment date), COSCO Shipping Holdings (ex-dividend date), Anta Sports (dividend payment date), and Yisheng Biotechnology (dividend payment date) [1] - Other companies with dividend-related dates include Tai Hing Group (ex-dividend date), Longji Group (dividend payment date), Zhou Li Fu (ex-dividend date), and Junjie Group Holdings (ex-dividend date) [1]

Group 1 - The core point of the article is the announcement by Weigang Technology regarding a change in its continuous supervision sponsor representative due to the work shift of the previous representative [2] - Everbright Securities, as the sponsor for Weigang Technology's initial public offering in 2022, has appointed a new representative, Li Jiao, to ensure the orderly conduct of continuous supervision [2] - The previous representative, Li Mingfa, will no longer serve in this role, highlighting the importance of maintaining consistent oversight during the company's ongoing operations [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that China Resources Mixc Life (01209) maintains a "buy" rating due to strong performance in shopping center operations and stable sales from related party China Resources Land, with a positive outlook for net profit forecasts for 2025 [1] - The company reported a significant increase in operating profit for the first half of 2025, reaching 2.63 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 20.2%, and declared a generous interim and special dividend totaling 0.881 yuan per share, representing 100% of the core net profit attributable to shareholders [1] - As of June 30, 2025, the company provided commercial operation services for 120 shopping centers and 27 office buildings, with four new shopping centers opened and six new high-quality commercial light asset projects signed in the first half of the year [1] Group 2 - The property segment's revenue fell short of expectations in the first half of the year, primarily due to a reduction in value-added services, with non-owner value-added income declining by 34.6% to 220 million yuan [2] - Owner value-added income also decreased by 32.7% to 490 million yuan, as the company divested from less profitable and high-inventory-cost businesses while focusing on transforming core operations towards a platform-based and light-asset model [2] - Despite the revenue decline in certain segments, the property management business saw an 8.8% year-on-year increase in revenue to 3.5 billion yuan, supported by an expansion in managed community area to 280 million square meters [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Everbright Securities maintains a "buy" rating for China Resources Vientiane Life (01209), highlighting strong performance in shopping center operations and stable sales from related party China Resources Land [1] - The company forecasts net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 to be 39.9 billion, 44.6 billion, and 50.0 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [1] - For the first half of 2025, the company's operating profit (gross profit - selling and administrative expenses) reached 26.3 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 20.2% [1] Group 2 - The report indicates that the company's property segment revenue fell short of expectations in the first half of the year, primarily due to a reduction in value-added services, with non-owner value-added income declining by 34.6% to 2.2 billion [2] - Owner value-added income also decreased by 32.7% to 4.9 billion, as the company divested from less profitable and high-inventory-cost businesses while focusing on transforming core operations towards a platform-based and light-asset model [2] - Despite the revenue decline in certain segments, property management business revenue grew by 8.8% to 35 billion, supported by an expansion in property management scale, with a total managed area of 280 million square meters and contracted area of 300 million square meters as of June 30 [2]

Core Viewpoint - The article maintains a positive outlook on copper prices, anticipating an upward trend due to various macroeconomic and supply-demand factors [4]. Macroeconomic Factors - Following a 25 basis point interest rate cut in the US in September, the dollar index experienced a short-term rebound, leading to a temporary decline in copper prices. However, the interest rate cut cycle is not over, suggesting a potential further weakening of the dollar index [4]. Supply and Demand - The inventory adjustments caused by US copper tariffs are nearing completion, with expectations that the accumulation of inventories on LME and COMEX will gradually end. The supply of copper from mines and scrap remains tight, with a slight decrease in electrolytic copper production in August. Demand for electricity and air conditioning is expected to rebound in Q4, supporting higher copper prices [4]. Inventory Levels - Domestic copper social inventory increased by 3.2%, while LME copper inventory decreased by 3.2%. As of September 19, 2025, domestic port copper concentrate inventory stood at 725,000 tons, up 4.6% from the previous week. Global electrolytic copper inventory totaled 557,000 tons, up 2.6% [5]. Raw Material Prices - The price difference between refined copper and scrap copper decreased by 193 yuan/ton compared to the previous week. In May 2025, China's refined copper production was 158,000 tons, up 22.7% month-on-month and 11.2% year-on-year [6]. Smelting and Processing - In August 2025, China's electrolytic copper production was 1.1715 million tons, down 0.2% month-on-month but up 15.6% year-on-year. The TC spot price as of September 19 was -40.64 USD/ton, reflecting a 0.8 USD/ton increase from the previous week, remaining at historically low levels [7]. Demand Trends - The cable industry's operating rate decreased by 1.8 percentage points week-on-week, while the production of household air conditioners in August exceeded expectations, showing a year-on-year increase of 9.4% [8][9].

查看完整报告 点击注册小程序 特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户，用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便，敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 报告摘要 1、中资美元债"面面观" 中资美元债是指中国境内企业及其控制的境外企业或者分支机构向境外举借的、以美元计价的、按约定还本付 息的债券。发行方式主要包括公开发行（SEC）与非公开发行（监管依据为Reg S、144A）；发行架构可大致 分成直接发行、间接发行（担保发行、备用信用证、贷款打包、维好协议和安慰函）及红筹架构发行。 本订阅号是光大证券股份有限公司研究所（以下简称"光大证券研究所"）依法设立、独立 运营的官方唯一订阅号。其他任何以光大证券研究所名义注册的、或含有"光大证券研 究"、与光大证券研究所品牌名称等相关信息的订阅号均不是光大证券研究所的官方订阅 境内金融机构参与中资美元债投资的渠道主要包括三种途径，分别是申请合格境 ...