Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the rise in dairy stocks, specifically mentioning Modern Dairy (01117) increasing by 4.14% to HKD 1.51 and Yurun Dairy (09858) rising by 2.94% to HKD 4.91 [1] - On December 22, the Ministry of Commerce announced a preliminary ruling on anti-subsidy investigations for imported dairy products from the EU, deciding to implement temporary anti-subsidy measures [1] - According to Caitong Securities, due to domestic raw milk overcapacity and a downward cycle in milk prices, the price advantage of imported dairy products is diminishing, creating a window for domestic deep processing capacity expansion [1] Group 2 - The implementation of anti-subsidy measures is expected to further solidify the price advantage of domestic products and accelerate the replacement process of domestic deep processing [1] - The increase in domestic deep processing capacity will create additional demand for raw milk, benefiting upstream farms [1] - Companies to watch include Yurun Dairy and Modern Dairy, as they are positioned to benefit from these market changes [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the rise in dairy stocks, specifically mentioning Modern Dairy (01117) increasing by 4.14% to HKD 1.51 and Yurun Dairy (09858) rising by 2.94% to HKD 4.91 [1] - On December 22, the Ministry of Commerce announced a preliminary ruling on anti-subsidy investigations for imported dairy products from the EU, deciding to implement temporary anti-subsidy measures [1] - According to Caitong Securities, with domestic raw milk production capacity being excessive and milk prices at a low point, the price advantage of imported dairy products is diminishing, creating a window for domestic deep processing capacity expansion [1] Group 2 - The implementation of anti-subsidy measures is expected to further solidify the price advantage of domestic products and accelerate the process of domestic deep processing substitution [1] - The increase in domestic deep processing capacity will create additional demand for raw milk, benefiting upstream farms, and companies such as Yurun Dairy and Modern Dairy are recommended for attention [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the rise in dairy stocks, specifically mentioning Modern Dairy (01117) increasing by 4.14% to HKD 1.51 and Yuanrong Dairy (09858) rising by 2.94% to HKD 4.91 [1] - The Ministry of Commerce announced a preliminary ruling on December 22 regarding anti-subsidy investigations on imported dairy products from the EU, deciding to implement temporary anti-subsidy measures [1] - Financial analysts at Caitong Securities (601108) believe that due to domestic raw milk overcapacity and a downward cycle in milk prices, the price advantage of imported dairy products is diminishing, creating a favorable window for domestic deep processing capacity [1] Group 2 - The implementation of anti-subsidy measures is expected to further solidify the price advantage of domestic products and accelerate the process of domestic deep processing substitution [1] - The increase in domestic deep processing capacity will create additional demand for raw milk, benefiting upstream farms [1] - Analysts recommend focusing on companies such as Yuanrong Dairy and Modern Dairy due to these favorable market conditions [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the food and beverage industry, expecting the industry index to outperform the benchmark index by over 5% in the next 3-6 months [24]. Core Insights - The Ministry of Commerce has announced a countervailing policy against EU dairy imports, which is expected to accelerate domestic product substitution and stabilize raw milk prices. The policy will impose temporary countervailing measures on EU dairy products starting December 23, 2025, with subsidy rates ranging from 21.9% to 42.7% [2][8]. - The policy targets high-fat dairy products, particularly cheese and cream, which have a high dependency on imports. This is expected to significantly increase the cost of EU products, thereby enhancing the price advantage for domestic manufacturers [8]. - The domestic dairy processing industry has historically relied on imports due to high raw milk costs and immature technology. The report estimates that the domestic production of similar products accounted for only 14%-18% in 2023, indicating a substantial market opportunity for local producers [8]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The food and beverage industry comprises 126 listed companies with a total market capitalization of 46,266.30 billion and a circulating market value of 45,144.74 billion [5]. Market Performance - The absolute performance of the industry over the past month is -2.1%, with a 6-month performance of 2.7% and a 12-month performance of -4.9%. Relative performance shows a decline of -5.9% over one month, -17.1% over six months, and -22.4% over twelve months [6]. Policy Impact - The countervailing measures are expected to create a market space of approximately 20 billion for cream and 14 billion for cheese, accelerating domestic substitution. The report highlights that the production capacity of deep processing projects is expected to consume over 400 million tons of raw milk, potentially leading to a reversal in the raw milk cycle by the second half of 2026 [8]. Investment Opportunities - The report identifies three main investment opportunities: - Domestic substitutes that will directly benefit from the policy, with a focus on companies like Lihigh and Miaoke, which are positioned to capture high-end market segments [8]. - Dairy farms such as Youran and Modern Dairy, which are expected to benefit from a reversal in raw milk prices [8]. - Leading dairy companies like Yili and Mengniu, which are anticipated to strengthen their competitive edge through accelerated deep processing business and improved operational stability [8].

Core Viewpoint - The "Golden Award" annual outstanding company selection by Gelonghui highlights ten companies recognized for their investment value in the small and mid-cap category, emphasizing their revenue and net profit growth, as well as their overall business capabilities [1][2]. Group 1: Award Winners - Ten companies received the "Annual Investment Value Award (Small and Mid-Cap)" including: - Baiao Family Interaction (02100.HK) - Honghua Smart Energy (01083.HK) - Guichuang Tongqiao (02190.HK) - Laikai Pharmaceutical-B (02105.HK) - Longpan Technology (603906.SH/02465.HK) - Shoucheng Holdings (00697.HK) - Tiangong International (00826.HK) - Tuhu-W (09690.HK) - Yaoshibang (09885.HK) - Youran Agriculture (09858.HK) - The ranking is in alphabetical order and does not imply any priority [1]. Group 2: Evaluation Criteria - The award focuses on evaluating listed companies based on revenue and net profit growth, considering factors such as company size, business model, management capability, and innovation ability [1]. - The selection process involved quantitative data analysis and an expert review panel to determine the final results [1]. Group 3: Event Purpose - Gelonghui aims to create a reference value ranking for listed companies and unicorns with a global perspective on investing in China, covering all listed companies on major exchanges including HKEX, SSE, SZSE, NYSE, and NASDAQ [2].

Core Viewpoint - Yuran Dairy (09858) has seen its stock price rise over 7%, reaching a new high of 4.91 HKD, driven by favorable market conditions and industry trends [1]. Company Summary - Yuran Dairy is the largest raw milk supplier in China, operating 100 farms and raising approximately 620,000 dairy cows. The company is projected to produce about 3.74 million tons of raw milk in 2024, accounting for 12.1% of the national total [1]. - The company is also the largest provider of ruminant feed in China, with its subsidiary, Saikexing, being the largest dairy cattle breeding enterprise in the country [1]. - In the first half of this year, Yuran Dairy reported an average feed cost of 1.91 HKD per kilogram, with a leading cow yield of 12.9 tons per cow [1]. Industry Summary - Recent reports indicate that the price of raw milk has rebounded to around 3 HKD per kilogram, which has slowed the industry's destocking rate. However, the industry continues to face significant financial pressure and ongoing losses, suggesting that capacity reduction may persist [1]. - It is anticipated that as supply-side capacity reduction gradually takes effect, raw milk prices may stabilize and recover next year [1]. - In the beef cattle sector, prices for calves and live cattle have recently increased, indicating the potential for a new beef cattle cycle, which could enhance the overall sector's performance [1].

Core Viewpoint - The stock of YouRan Dairy (09858) has risen over 7%, reaching a new high of 4.91 HKD, driven by positive market sentiment and expectations of price stabilization in the raw milk sector [1] Company Summary - YouRan Dairy is the largest raw milk supplier in China, operating 100 farms and raising approximately 620,000 dairy cows, with an expected raw milk production of about 3.74 million tons in 2024, accounting for 12.1% of the national total [1] - The company is a leading player in the upstream industry, also being the largest supplier of ruminant feed in China, with its subsidiary, Saike Xing, recognized as the largest dairy cattle breeding enterprise in the country [1] - In the first half of this year, the average feed cost for raw milk was 1.91 HKD per kilogram, with the average yield per cow reaching 12.9 tons, which is considered industry-leading [1] Industry Summary - According to a report from Guojin Securities, the price of raw milk has recently rebounded to around 3 HKD per kilogram, which has slowed the industry's destocking rate [1] - Despite significant financial pressures and ongoing losses within the industry, there is an expectation for continued destocking of production capacity, which may lead to a stabilization and potential increase in raw milk prices next year [1] - The prices of calves and live cattle have also seen an increase recently, indicating the potential for a new cycle in the beef cattle market, which could enhance the overall sector's performance [1]

Core Viewpoint - Yurun Dairy (09858) has seen its stock price increase by over 7%, reaching a new high of 4.91 HKD, driven by rising raw milk prices and expectations of industry recovery [1] Company Summary - Yurun Dairy is the largest raw milk supplier in China, operating 100 farms and raising approximately 620,000 dairy cows, with an expected raw milk production of about 3.74 million tons in 2024, accounting for 12.1% of the national total [1] - The company is a leading player in the upstream industry, being the largest supplier of ruminant feed in China, and its subsidiary, Saikexing, is the largest dairy cattle breeding company in the country [1] - In the first half of this year, Yurun Dairy reported an average feed cost of 1.91 HKD per kilogram for raw milk, with a per cow yield of 12.9 tons, which is considered industry-leading [1] Industry Summary - Recent reports indicate that the price of raw milk has rebounded to around 3 HKD per kilogram, which has slowed the industry's destocking rate [1] - Despite significant financial pressures and ongoing losses within the industry, capacity reduction is expected to continue, leading to a stabilization and potential recovery of raw milk prices next year [1] - In the beef cattle sector, prices for calves and live cattle have recently increased, suggesting the possibility of a new beef cattle cycle, which may enhance the overall sector's performance [1]

Core Viewpoint - The global authoritative carbon emission rating agency, CDP, has awarded Yuran Dairy a management level rating of B for its outstanding practices in greenhouse gas reduction, water resource management, and forest resource protection [1][4]. Group 1: Carbon Emission Reduction - Yuran Dairy has established a comprehensive carbon accounting model for its entire industry chain, from grass to milk, and has developed a full-cycle green carbon reduction model that includes low-carbon breeding, low-carbon feed research, biogas power generation, and low-carbon farming [4]. - The company has created China's first "carbon neutral" dairy farm in Pingdingshan, Henan, setting a benchmark for the industry in achieving carbon neutrality [4]. - Yuran Dairy has achieved 14 low-carbon results across its entire industry chain, including the first zero-carbon factory in the domestic feed industry and the highest VCS carbon credit approval in the industry [4]. Group 2: Water Resource Management - Yuran Dairy focuses on lifecycle water safety and has implemented projects for water recycling, optimizing processes to enhance water resource efficiency [6]. - The company has developed an AI spraying system that saves over 45% water compared to traditional methods and has switched to air cooling for milk cooling systems, achieving 100% water savings [6]. - New irrigation technologies being researched are projected to save over 40% water compared to traditional irrigation methods [6]. Group 3: Forest Protection - Yuran Dairy manages the procurement of feed materials with a risk of forest destruction and has partnered with the renowned international grain trader, Louis Dreyfus Company, to supply "deforestation-free" soybean materials [8]. - In 2024, the company plans to procure 181,200 tons of "deforestation-free" soybeans in collaboration with Louis Dreyfus [8]. - Yuran Dairy has established China's first green low-carbon smart farm that commits to using only "deforestation-free" soybeans, demonstrating its commitment to sustainable development [8]. Group 4: Recognition and Future Outlook - Yuran Dairy's green initiatives have received recognition from various international and domestic organizations, including the first animal health carbon footprint certification and being listed in the S&P Sustainability Yearbook for two consecutive years [10]. - The recent CDP B rating will serve as a new starting point for the company to deepen its green transformation and continue leading in high-quality development [10].

人民财讯12月19日电，12月19日，胡润研究院发布《2025胡润中国食品行业百强榜》，安德利果汁、优 然牧业、中国食品、巨星农牧、椰树、京基智农、五得利面粉、现代牧业等8家企业新进入榜单。 转自：证券时报 ...