金吾财讯 | 小鹏汽车(XPEV)盘前涨超3%，截至发稿，报19.55美元。 消息面上，长江证券表示，强新车+强AI周期，AI科技日成果"涌现"，AI时代有望迎来估值重估。2025 年公司处于新车大年，多款新车预期上市持续增强销量周期。规模提升、平台和技术降本效果将进一步 体现，叠加软件盈利的商业模式拓展以及出海持续增长，公司未来盈利具备较大弹性。AI定义汽车， 智驾进展持续领先构筑AI时代核心护城河，智驾VLA升级有望带来飞跃，加速Robotaxi落地扩展智驾变 现方式，下一代机器人发布在即，有望迎来新催化，叠加包括飞行汽车在内的三大AI体系，2026年迎 来量产，AI应用全面起势。 来源：金吾财讯 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese automotive market faces significant uncertainty as it transitions into the "post-subsidy era," with many companies expressing concerns about market conditions and competition intensifying [1][2][5]. Group 1: Market Conditions - By the end of 2025, the anticipated "tail effect" in the automotive market remains uncertain, with many companies unprepared for year-end sales targets [2][5]. - The withdrawal of local replacement subsidies and the adjustment of the new energy vehicle purchase tax from full exemption to a 50% reduction are expected to increase purchase costs for consumers [2][5]. - The overall automotive sales in China from January to October reached 27.687 million units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 12.4% [5]. Group 2: Competitive Landscape - Companies are increasingly adopting "bottom-line" subsidy strategies to boost year-end sales, which may raise sales costs and challenge smaller brands with limited profit margins [3][4]. - The competition is expected to become more transparent and brutal, focusing on product strength, cost control, and user experience as the market moves away from policy-driven growth [5][9]. - The market is predicted to see a significant divide, with leading companies leveraging scale advantages and brand influence, while smaller brands may struggle with cash flow and product iteration [8][10]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The automotive industry is entering a phase where only a few strong brands are likely to survive, with predictions suggesting that in the future, only five dominant brands will remain in the market [10][11]. - The shift away from policy reliance is expected to allow companies to focus on technological innovation and service upgrades, fostering healthier industry development [10][11].

14家国内车企前三季度财报梳理：入账2万亿，净利率仅为1.76%。 车东西12月4日消息，截至今天，国内已有14家主要车企发布了2025年第三季度财务报告。 在2025年第三季度财务报告基础上，车东西整合了各家车企今年前三个季度的业绩表现，进行逐一梳理后发现：这14家国内车企今年前三季度营收规模总 和达到2.07万亿元，归母净利润总和为364亿元，简单计算一下，这14家车企净利率仅为1.76%。 各大国内车企前三季度表现差距明显，分化加剧。 传统车企阵营，8家传统车企前三季度净利润总和超过471亿元。 其中，比亚迪赚走6成净利润，凭借233亿元的归母净利润领跑，吉利净利润超过131亿元，长城、上汽各自净利润均超过80亿元，接近比亚迪1/3，而广汽 集团、江淮汽车、北汽蓝谷仍在亏损，最狠暴跌3691%。 同期新势力阵营，6家新势力车企前三季度净亏107亿元。其中，仅赛力斯、理想、零跑前三季度实现盈利，赛力斯凭借53亿元的归母净利润领先。 今年前三季度，小米智能电动汽车及AI等创新业务经营亏损为1亿元，小鹏亏掉15亿元，蔚来亏损加剧达到156.93亿元，汽车行业呈现出冰火两重天的局 面。 14大车企前三季度财报交 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese automotive market faces uncertainty as it transitions into the "post-subsidy era," with increased competition and policy changes impacting sales expectations for the end of 2025 [1][2][5]. Group 1: Market Conditions - Many car manufacturers are uncertain about their sales expectations for December, with some executives stating they are unprepared for the challenges ahead [2]. - The withdrawal of local trade-in subsidies and the upcoming reduction in purchase tax for electric vehicles are significant factors contributing to the market's unpredictability [2][6]. - The cumulative sales of automobiles in China from January to October reached 27.687 million units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 12.4% [6]. Group 2: Competitive Landscape - The automotive industry is entering a new phase where competition will focus on product quality, cost control, and user experience, marking a shift away from reliance on subsidies [1][4][10]. - The introduction of "bottom-line" subsidy schemes by companies like Xiaomi and NIO indicates a strategic response to pressure from declining sales and inventory management [3][4]. - The market is expected to see a significant differentiation among brands, with larger companies better positioned to absorb profit pressures compared to smaller firms [8][9]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Analysts predict that the automotive market will experience a decline in sales pressure due to macroeconomic factors and policy changes, leading to a more stable and mature phase for the electric vehicle sector [8][10]. - The competition will intensify, with companies needing to innovate and improve efficiency to survive, as traditional factors like technology and cost control become critical in consumer decision-making [9][10]. - The industry is anticipated to undergo a significant reshaping, with only a few strong brands likely to survive in the long term, as indicated by industry leaders [11].

股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年11月30日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 小鵬汽車有限公司（於開曼群島註冊成立以不同投票權控制的有限公司） 呈交日期: 2025年12月5日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 不同投票權架構公司普通股 | 股份類別 A | | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 09868 | 說明 | A類普通股 | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 9,250,000,000 | USD | 0.00001 | USD | | 92,500 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 0 | | | USD | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 9,250,000,000 | USD | 0.00001 | USD | | ...

Market Performance - The three major US stock indices closed mixed, with the Dow Jones down 0.07% at 47,850.94 points, the S&P 500 up 0.11% at 6,857.12 points, and the Nasdaq up 0.22% at 23,505.14 points [1] - Popular tech stocks showed mixed performance, with Meta rising over 3% and Nvidia up over 2%, while Amazon and Apple fell over 1% [1] - Popular Chinese concept stocks also had mixed results, with NIO up over 4% and XPeng up over 3%, while Baidu and Bilibili rose over 1%, and Miniso and Yum China fell over 1% [1] - European stock indices all closed higher, with Germany's DAX up 0.87% at 23,899.33 points, France's CAC40 up 0.43% at 8,122.03 points, and the UK's FTSE 100 up 0.19% at 9,710.87 points [1] Commodity Prices - US oil main contract rose 1.27% to $59.7 per barrel, while Brent crude main contract increased 1.04% to $63.32 per barrel [1] - International precious metal futures closed mixed, with COMEX gold futures up 0.13% at $4,237.9 per ounce, and COMEX silver futures down 1.86% at $57.53 per ounce [1] - London base metals showed mixed results, with LME lead up 0.85% at $2,016.00 per ton, LME zinc up 0.65% at $3,085.00 per ton, and LME nickel up 0.08% at $14,885.00 per ton, while LME aluminum down 0.33% at $2,887.50 per ton, LME copper down 0.47% at $11,434.00 per ton, and LME tin down 0.59% at $40,540.00 per ton [1] Bond Yields - US Treasury yields collectively rose, with the 2-year yield up 3.71 basis points at 3.521%, the 3-year yield up 4.78 basis points at 3.545%, the 5-year yield up 4.51 basis points at 3.673%, the 10-year yield up 3.48 basis points at 4.098%, and the 30-year yield up 2.39 basis points at 4.755% [1] - European bond yields mostly increased, with the UK 10-year yield down 1.3 basis points at 4.433%, Germany's 10-year yield up 2.4 basis points at 2.769%, Italy's 10-year yield up 2.2 basis points at 3.466%, and Spain's 10-year yield up 2.6 basis points at 3.243% [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese automotive market faces uncertainty as it transitions into the "post-subsidy era," with increased competition and policy changes impacting sales expectations for the end of 2025 [1][2]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - Many car manufacturers are uncertain about their sales expectations for December, with some indicating a lack of preparedness for the end-of-year sales push [2]. - The withdrawal of local trade-in subsidies and the adjustment of the new energy vehicle purchase tax from full exemption to a 50% reduction are significant factors affecting consumer purchasing decisions [2][3]. - The market is moving away from reliance on policy support, entering a phase where product quality and user experience will be the primary competitive factors [1][6]. Group 2: Competitive Landscape - The competition among car manufacturers is expected to intensify, with a focus on product strength, cost control, and user experience as key differentiators [1][9]. - Smaller brands may struggle to absorb increased sales costs associated with "bottom-line" subsidy schemes, leading to potential operational challenges [4][9]. - The market is predicted to undergo significant differentiation, with leading companies leveraging scale and brand influence to maintain competitiveness [8][10]. Group 3: Industry Trends - The automotive industry is witnessing a shift towards a more transparent and direct competition environment, with a potential "淘汰赛" (elimination race) for less competitive players [10][11]. - Companies that can innovate and maintain service quality are likely to thrive, while those lacking core technology and cost control may face difficulties [10][11]. - The overall sentiment indicates that the automotive market will see a consolidation of strong brands, with predictions that only a few dominant players will remain in the long term [11].

Core Insights - On December 4, 2023, Sanhua Intelligent Control made its debut on the Hong Kong Stock Connect active trading list for the first time in a month, with a trading volume of 0.853 billion HKD and a net sell of 0.057 billion HKD, closing up by 7.70% [1] Trading Activity Summary - The total trading volume of active stocks on the Hong Kong Stock Connect on December 4 was 28.218 billion HKD, accounting for 37.28% of the day's total trading amount, with a net buying amount of 1.402 billion HKD [1] - Alibaba-W led the trading volume with 5.318 billion HKD, followed by Tencent Holdings and Xiaomi Group-W with trading amounts of 5.271 billion HKD and 4.995 billion HKD, respectively [1] - The most frequently listed stocks in the past month were Alibaba-W and Tencent Holdings, each appearing 22 times, indicating strong interest from Hong Kong Stock Connect investors [1] Individual Stock Performance - Sanhua Intelligent Control's trading details on December 4 included a trading volume of 0.853 billion HKD, a net sell of 0.057 billion HKD, and a closing price of 34.960 HKD, reflecting a daily increase of 7.70% [1] - Other notable stocks included: - Tencent Holdings: Trading volume of 5.271 billion HKD, net sell of 1.346 billion HKD, closing price of 612.000 HKD, daily increase of 0.16% [1] - Xiaomi Group-W: Trading volume of 4.995 billion HKD, net buy of 0.232 billion HKD, closing price of 41.980 HKD, daily increase of 4.38% [1] - Alibaba-W: Trading volume of 5.318 billion HKD, net sell of 0.010 billion HKD, closing price of 154.400 HKD, daily increase of 0.52% [1]

Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index rose by 0.68% to close at 25,935.90 points on December 4, with a net inflow of HKD 1.48 billion through the southbound trading channel [1] - The total trading volume for the southbound trading on December 4 was HKD 75.688 billion, with a net buy of HKD 1.48 billion [1] - In the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect, the trading volume was HKD 46.347 billion with a net sell of HKD 1 billion, while the Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect had a trading volume of HKD 29.341 billion with a net buy of HKD 2.481 billion [1] Group 2 - In the top ten active stocks for the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect, Tencent Holdings had the highest trading amount of HKD 37.50 billion, followed by Alibaba-W and Xiaomi Group-W with HKD 29.39 billion and HKD 26.78 billion respectively [1] - The stock with the highest net buy was the Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (盈富基金) with a net buy of HKD 2.107 billion, closing up by 0.77% [1] - Tencent Holdings had the highest net sell amount of HKD 1.919 billion, closing up by 0.16% [1] Group 3 - In the Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect, Alibaba-W led with a trading amount of HKD 23.79 billion, followed by Xiaomi Group-W and Tencent Holdings with HKD 23.16 billion and HKD 15.21 billion respectively [2] - The stock with the highest net buy in the Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect was Xiaomi Group-W with a net buy of HKD 0.794 billion, closing up by 4.38% [2] - The stock with the highest net sell in the Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect was Kuaishou-W with a net sell of HKD 0.094 billion, closing up by 0.15% [2]

Market Overview - On December 4, the Hang Seng Index rose by 0.68%, with southbound funds totaling HKD 756.88 billion in trading volume, including HKD 385.84 billion in buying and HKD 371.04 billion in selling, resulting in a net buying amount of HKD 14.80 billion [1] Southbound Trading Activity - The southbound trading through Stock Connect (Shenzhen) had a cumulative trading volume of HKD 293.41 billion, with net buying of HKD 24.81 billion, while the Stock Connect (Shanghai) recorded a cumulative trading volume of HKD 463.47 billion, resulting in a net selling of HKD 10.00 billion [1] Active Stocks - Alibaba-W had the highest trading volume among southbound funds at HKD 53.18 billion, followed closely by Tencent Holdings at HKD 52.71 billion and Xiaomi Group-W at HKD 49.95 billion [1] - The top net buying stocks included the Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (盈富基金) with a net buying amount of HKD 26.06 billion, followed by WuXi Biologics (药明生物) with HKD 3.16 billion and Xiaomi Group-W with HKD 2.32 billion [1] Continuous Net Buying and Selling - Three stocks experienced continuous net buying for more than three days, with Meituan-W leading at six days, followed by Xiaomi Group-W at five days and Xpeng Motors-W at three days. The total net buying amounts were HKD 22.89 billion for Meituan-W, HKD 20.53 billion for Xiaomi Group-W, and HKD 1.67 billion for Xpeng Motors-W [2] - The stocks with the highest net selling included Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (中芯国际) and Tencent Holdings, with total net selling amounts of HKD 34.49 billion and HKD 24.60 billion, respectively [2] Summary of Active Stocks on December 4 - The following table summarizes the active stocks with their trading amounts, net buying/selling, and daily price changes: | Code | Name | Trading Amount (HKD million) | Net Buying (HKD million) | Daily Change (%) | |-------|--------------------|------------------------------|--------------------------|-------------------| | 02800 | Tracker Fund | 284623.16 | 260585.86 | 0.77 | | 02269 | WuXi Biologics | 51978.36 | 31558.31 | 7.09 | | 01810 | Xiaomi Group-W | 499493.94 | 23169.32 | 4.38 | | 09868 | Xpeng Motors-W | 73564.27 | 10257.11 | 1.06 | | 01347 | Hua Hong Semiconductor | 159937.95 | 5363.70 | 3.11 | | 00883 | CNOOC | 47173.84 | 3007.07 | 0.92 | | 09880 | UBTECH Robotics | 73333.99 | 954.58 | 3.66 | | 03690 | Meituan-W | 171510.39 | 856.38 | 2.29 | | 09988 | Alibaba-W | 531828.80 | -117.31 | 0.52 | | 02050 | Sanhua Intelligent Control | 85349.48 | -5657.75 | 7.70 | | 01024 | Kuaishou-W | 54889.05 | -9372.22 | 0.15 | | 00981 | Semiconductor Manufacturing International | 260990.47 | -45829.01 | 3.87 | | 00700 | Tencent Holdings | 527122.94 | -134592.99 | 0.16 |