Core Viewpoint - The cancellation of the charity live stream by Dongfang Zhenxuan and the member of Shui Mu Nian Hua, Miao Jie, was due to various challenges and public backlash, despite initial intentions to support the flood-affected region of Rongjiang [2][3][4]. Group 1 - Miao Jie reached out to Dongfang Zhenxuan to help sell local agricultural products from Rongjiang, with proceeds intended for disaster relief [3]. - The planned live stream was canceled after receiving mixed reactions from the public, leading to an apology from the founder of Dongfang Zhenxuan, Yu Minhong [2][4]. - Miao Jie acknowledged the logistical difficulties in organizing the event, citing challenges in securing sufficient quality local products in a short timeframe [4][5]. Group 2 - The promotional materials for the event faced criticism for being inappropriate, with some accusing the campaign of exploiting the disaster for publicity [4][5]. - Despite the backlash, there were differing opinions on the promotional content, with some arguing that the criticism was exaggerated [4]. - The event was initially announced with promotional posters that included elements perceived as insensitive, leading to modifications and eventual cancellation [5].

Core Viewpoint - The emergence of AI-based tutoring classes offers a cost-effective alternative to traditional tutoring, potentially transforming the education sector by enhancing interactivity and personalization in learning experiences [2][10][11]. Group 1: Traditional Tutoring Challenges - Traditional offline tutoring classes are expensive and require significant travel, especially during the summer heat, leading to high costs for families [1]. - Online tutoring options, while more convenient, can also be costly, with some families reportedly spending nearly 100,000 yuan on multiple classes during the summer [1]. Group 2: Introduction of AI Tutoring - New AI tutoring products have been launched by companies like New Oriental, Onion Academy, and Gaotu, featuring AI-driven classes that enhance student interaction with course content [2][4]. - These AI classes utilize large model technology to provide a more authentic classroom experience, with prices as low as 10 yuan per session, significantly reducing the cost of summer tutoring [2][10]. Group 3: Advancements in AI Education - The introduction of large models has led to breakthroughs in understanding questions, resulting in the development of native educational applications for question answering [3]. - New Oriental's AI 1-on-1 S system offers a comprehensive learning process tailored to individual students, incorporating various teaching methods and reinforcement based on student performance [4][5]. Group 4: Personalization and Interaction - AI classes enhance personalization by allowing students to interact with the content in real-time, such as pausing lessons to ask questions through AI tutors [7][8]. - The structure of video lessons is crucial for effective AI tutoring, requiring well-organized content to facilitate targeted responses from AI [9]. Group 5: Market Potential and Growth - The AI education market is projected to grow significantly, with estimates suggesting it could exceed 700 billion yuan by 2025 and approach 3 trillion yuan by 2030, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 47% [11]. - AI tutoring presents a new option for parents seeking affordable, high-quality educational services, especially in light of restrictions on academic training during school breaks [11]. Group 6: Challenges and Considerations - The effectiveness of AI tutoring depends on the user experience, which varies across different products, and the accuracy of AI-generated content remains a critical factor [11][12]. - Current AI voice technology and interaction capabilities still lag behind human performance, impacting the overall learning experience [11].

Core Insights - Morgan Stanley projects New Oriental (EDU.US, 09901) to achieve a 13% year-over-year growth in core revenue (in USD) for Q4 2025, with core operating profit margin (OPM) expected to increase by over 1 percentage point, aligning with management guidance [1] - The upcoming shareholder return plan may act as a short-term catalyst, with a target price set at $48, corresponding to a non-GAAP P/E ratio of 16 times for the fiscal year 2026, reflecting a reasonable valuation considering a 15% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) in earnings from 2026 to 2029 [1] Q4 2025 Outlook - Management maintains guidance for core revenue growth of 13% year-over-year in USD, or 15% in RMB, with overseas revenue up 8%, domestic preparatory training revenue up 9%, high school business revenue up 16-17%, and new business revenue up 32-35% [1] - Core operating profit margin is expected to increase by over 1 percentage point due to low base effects and cost control measures [1] FY 2026 Outlook - Management reiterates guidance for core revenue growth of 14-15% year-over-year in RMB, with overseas revenue projected to grow 0-5%, domestic preparatory training revenue up 10%, high school business revenue up 11-13%, new business revenue up 25-30%, and tourism business revenue up 15-20% [2] - Total revenue is forecasted to grow by 12%, with core operating profit margin expected to expand due to strict cost control [2] - Non-GAAP operating profit is projected at $581 million (operating margin of 10.7%) and non-GAAP net profit at $509 million (net margin of 9.3%) [2] Shareholder Return Expectations - It is anticipated that New Oriental will announce a regular shareholder return plan no later than the performance report for Q4 2025, with flexibility between cash dividends and stock buybacks [2] AI One-on-One Teaching Application - Revenue from the AI one-on-one teaching application will be included in the "Smart Books" category of K9 new business, set to launch on July 2 in New Oriental's live store, with pricing yet to be announced [2]

Group 1 - Beijing's 2025 college admission minimum control scores have been announced, with the ordinary undergraduate score set at 430 points and special type admissions at 519 points [1] - The distribution of scores for the 2025 college entrance examination in Beijing shows that 113 students scored above 698 points, while 11,883 students scored above 600 points [2] - A technology company in Beijing is under investigation for illegal advertising related to "college volunteer planning teacher" fast-track training, misleading potential students about job prospects [3] Group 2 - BOSS Zhipin plans to raise approximately HKD 22.613 billion through an IPO in Hong Kong, offering up to 30 million new shares at a price range of HKD 78 per share [4] - Sheng Tong Co. announced the cancellation of repurchased shares, reducing its registered capital from 538 million yuan to 533 million yuan, following the expiration of unused repurchased shares [5] - Keda Xunfei has updated its AI learning machine with three core functions and introduced a new self-developed curriculum system, enhancing its educational offerings [6] - New Oriental has established a new intelligent technology company, focusing on AI application software development and educational consulting services [7]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that New Oriental's revenue for Q4 FY25 is expected to be $1.186 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 4.4% [1] - The education business, including cultural tourism, is projected to generate $1.034 billion in revenue, with a year-on-year increase of 13.3% [1] - Other businesses, primarily Oriental Selection, are expected to see revenue decline to $152 million, a decrease of 32.1% year-on-year [1] Group 2 - The study anticipates that the overseas examination training and consulting business will generate $298 million in revenue for Q4 FY25, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5%, but a slowdown compared to previous periods [1] - The company is adjusting its high-end one-on-one training model to a one-to-many format to lower class prices and is expanding its youth overseas examination training services to enhance growth resilience [1] Group 3 - New business revenue, including K9 competency training and learning machine services, is expected to grow by 34% year-on-year to $311 million in Q4 [2] - The number of teaching outlets is projected to increase to 1,251, a year-on-year growth of 22%, indicating sustained expansion [2] - The company is implementing cost control measures and operational efficiency improvements, leading to an expected Non-GAAP operating profit margin expansion to 3% in Q4 [2] Group 4 - The revenue forecast for FY25-FY27 has been slightly adjusted downwards to $4.84 billion, $5.8 billion, and $7.03 billion, respectively, due to slower growth in the overseas study business [3] - Non-GAAP net profit estimates for FY25-FY27 have been revised upwards to $467 million, $575 million, and $710 million, respectively, reflecting improved cost control [3] - The DCF target price has been raised to $76.3, corresponding to a PE ratio of 17.1 for FY25 [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2][8] Core Views - The company's education business is expected to see a recovery in profit margins, and regular share buybacks may enhance its valuation [2][8] - The projected revenue for Q4 FY25 is $1.186 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 4.4%, with the education segment (including cultural tourism) contributing $1.034 billion, a 13.3% increase [5] - Non-GAAP net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be $51 million, a 39.2% increase year-on-year, with a Non-GAAP net profit margin of 4.3%, expanding by 1.1 percentage points [5][7] Revenue and Profitability - The report anticipates a slowdown in the growth of the study abroad business, projecting a revenue of $298 million for Q4 FY25, a 5% increase, which is a deceleration of 12.5 percentage points compared to the same period last year [6] - New business segments, including K9 competency training and learning machine services, are expected to grow by 34% year-on-year to $311 million in Q4 [6] - The company is expected to improve its Non-GAAP operating profit margin to 3% in Q4, reversing the decline seen in Q3 [7] Financial Projections - Revenue forecasts for FY25 to FY27 have been slightly adjusted to $4.84 billion, $5.8 billion, and $7.03 billion respectively [8] - Non-GAAP net profit estimates for FY25 to FY27 have been raised to $467 million, $575 million, and $710 million respectively [8] - The DCF target price has been increased to $76.3, corresponding to a PE ratio of 17.1 for FY25 [8]

Group 1: Fusion Industry Insights - The high-temperature superconducting material company Shanghai Superconductor has received approval for its IPO, indicating that China's technology in high-temperature superconducting tape is nearing or has reached international standards, with continuous capacity expansion [11] - The company aims to raise 1.2 billion yuan to build a second-generation high-temperature superconducting tape production facility, which is expected to add 6,000 kilometers of production capacity annually once fully operational [11] - Investment from China National Petroleum Corporation into Kunlun Capital for fusion projects highlights the financial backing for the fusion industry [11] Group 2: New Oriental Education Performance Forecast - New Oriental is expected to report revenue of $1.186 billion for Q4 FY25, a year-on-year increase of 4.4%, with the education segment (including cultural tourism) projected to generate $1.034 billion, up 13.3% [12] - The company anticipates a Non-GAAP net profit of $51 million, reflecting a 39.2% increase year-on-year, with a Non-GAAP net profit margin of 4.3%, expanding by 1.1 percentage points [12] - The growth of the study abroad business is slowing, with a forecasted revenue of $298 million for overseas exam training and consulting, representing a 5% increase, which is a slowdown compared to previous periods [12][13] Group 3: Strategic Adjustments and Future Outlook - New Oriental has adjusted its revenue forecasts for FY25-FY27 to $4.84 billion, $5.7 billion, and $7.03 billion, respectively, due to the slowdown in study abroad business growth [13] - The company has increased its Non-GAAP net profit estimates for the same period to $467 million, $575 million, and $710 million, respectively, due to cost control measures and improved operational efficiency [13] - The DCF target price has been raised to $76.3, corresponding to a PE ratio of 17.1 for FY25, indicating a positive outlook for the company's market valuation [13]

The second trading day of the week was a good one for New Oriental Education & Technology Group (EDU 13.07%) shareholders. On the back of an analyst's recommendation upgrade, their stock surged more than 13% higher in price. That absolutely crushed the S&P 500's (^GSPC 1.11%) 1.1% increase.Inexpensive and attractive, says prognosticatorThat move was made by J.P. Morgan, in the person of analyst DS Kim. That morning, Kim changed his recommendation on New Oriental to overweight (buy, in other words) from his ...

Group 1 - Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index initially rose by 0.8% [1] - Popular Chinese concept stocks saw significant gains: Li Auto up 8.1%, New Oriental up 5.3%, Xpeng up 4.5%, Yum China and Xiaomi both up over 2%, NetEase up 1.3% [1] - Other notable stocks like Pinduoduo, Baidu, Tencent, JD.com, and Alibaba rose by up to 0.8%, while WeRide fell by 0.5% and Pony.ai dropped by 3.9% [1] Group 2 - Chinese concept ETFs performed well, with YINN rising by 4%, DRAG and CQQQ up over 1.2%, and KWEB increasing by 1% [1]

Core Insights - The article presents the market capitalization rankings of the top 50 Chinese technology and internet companies as of June 20, 2025, highlighting their respective valuations in billions of dollars [1]. Group 1: Market Capitalization Rankings - The top three companies by market capitalization are: 1. Alibaba: $1,000.00 billion 2. Tencent: $900.00 billion 3. Baidu: $290.62 billion [3][4]. - Other notable companies in the top 10 include: - Kuaishou: $308.94 billion - Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC): $403.59 billion - JD.com: $459.34 billion [3][4]. Group 2: Additional Rankings - Companies ranked from 11 to 20 include: - Ideal Automotive: $282.81 billion - Beike: $217.69 billion - Xpeng Motors: $177.13 billion [3][4]. - The rankings continue with companies like: - New Oriental: $76.78 billion - Vipshop: $75.79 billion - Kingsoft: $70.42 billion [4][5]. Group 3: Valuation Trends - The article indicates a competitive landscape among Chinese tech firms, with significant valuations reflecting their market positions and growth potential [1]. - The data is based on the latest exchange rates, converting values from Hong Kong dollars to US dollars [5].