Core Viewpoint - UBS reports that Pop Mart's third-quarter revenue increased by 245% year-on-year to 250 million, with domestic and overseas sales growing by 185% to 190% and 365% to 370% respectively, exceeding expectations due to strong sales in China, Asia-Pacific, and Europe [1] Group 1 - UBS maintains a positive outlook on Pop Mart, citing the rising popularity of its IP product Twinkle Twinkle and the stable trend in the secondary market prices of Labubu [1] - Upcoming catalysts such as Christmas-themed product series are anticipated to further enhance stock performance, supported by improving high-frequency data like credit card tracking [1] Group 2 - Based on DCF valuation, UBS raises Pop Mart's target price from HKD 432 to HKD 435 and maintains a "Buy" rating [1] - Adjusted net profit forecasts for 2025 to 2027 have been increased by 13% to 17% to reflect the strong third-quarter performance [1]

中银国际发表研究报告指，泡泡玛特在高基数下第三季增长动力持续，上季收入按年增长245%至 250%，超出市场预期。就区域划分，中国市场收入增速加快至185%至190%，海外市场增速为365%至 370%。该行认为，Twinkle Twinkle系列热度持续发酵，加上海外零售门店扩张策略执行得当，将持续 推动第四季收入强劲增长。此外，潜在的美国关税风险可透过战略性定价调整与产能转移得以缓解。该 行将目标价由399港元上调至405.6港元，维持"买入"评级。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report from Credit Lyonnais indicates that Pop Mart (09992) experienced a significant year-on-year revenue growth of 245% in Q3, accelerating from 204% in H1 and 170% in Q1, reflecting strong market performance and expansion potential [1] Group 1: Revenue Growth - Q3 revenue growth of Pop Mart reached 245%, up from 204% in H1 and 170% in Q1 [1] - Growth in the Chinese market accelerated from 135% in H1 to 185%-190% in Q3, attributed to improved supply conditions [1] - Overseas market growth slowed from 440% in H1 to 365%-370% in Q3, with strong sales performance in Europe and the US, showing increases of 735%-740% and 1,265%-1,270% respectively [1] Group 2: Market Expansion and IP Development - Credit Lyonnais remains optimistic about Pop Mart as an IP platform, with potential expansion into jewelry and building blocks [1] - Emerging IPs such as Twinkle Twinkle and Peach Riot are gaining traction, and the company is exploring diversified content development, including animation [1] - The recent trend of LABUBU in Google searches has normalized but still performs comparably to established IPs, indicating sustained interest [1] Group 3: Sales Channels - The strong performance in the Chinese market is primarily driven by online sales channels [1]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Credit Lyonnais indicates that Pop Mart (09992) has experienced a significant revenue growth of 245% year-on-year in Q3, accelerating from previous quarters [1] Group 1: Revenue Growth - Pop Mart's revenue growth in Q3 reached 245%, up from 204% in the first half of the year and 170% in Q1 [1] - The growth in the Chinese market accelerated from 135% in the first half to 185%-190% in Q3, attributed to improved supply conditions [1] - The overseas market growth slowed from 440% in the first half to 365%-370% in Q3, with strong sales performance in Europe and the US, growing by 735%-740% and 1,265%-1,270% respectively [1] Group 2: Future Outlook - Credit Lyonnais remains optimistic about Pop Mart as an IP platform, with potential expansion into jewelry and wooden toys [1] - Emerging IPs like Twinkle Twinkle and Peach Riot are on the rise, and the company is exploring diversification into animation and other content [1] - The recent trend of LABUBU in Google searches has normalized but still performs comparably to some evergreen IPs, indicating strong online sales channels driving the robust performance in the Chinese market [1] Group 3: Investment Rating - Credit Lyonnais maintains an "Outperform" rating for Pop Mart with a target price of HKD 368 [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of HKD 410.00, up from a previous target of HKD 396.00 [2][10]. Core Insights - The company reported a significant revenue growth of 245-250% year-on-year for Q3, accelerating from 204% in H1, driven by strong demand for plush toys and successful new IP launches [6][10]. - The company is expected to continue its robust growth into Q4, supported by a rich pipeline of new products and a diversified strategy for IP and regional expansion [9][10]. Financial Performance - Revenue projections for the upcoming years show substantial growth, with expected revenues of RMB 39,883 million in 2025, representing a 205.90% increase from 2024 [5]. - Adjusted net profit is forecasted to reach RMB 13,529 million in 2025, reflecting a 297.55% increase from 2024 [5]. Market Dynamics - The company is experiencing strong sales across various channels, with online sales expected to grow by 300-305% in Q3, indicating a significant increase in online penetration [7]. - The company is expanding its presence in North America and the Asia-Pacific region, with revenue growth rates of 170-175% and 1265-1270% respectively for Q3 [8]. Product and IP Strategy - The successful launch of new plush products, such as Labubu and SP plush series, has broadened the company's market appeal and driven sales growth [7]. - The company is focusing on creating a sustainable ecosystem for its IPs, with plans for collaborations with top global brands and diversification into other business areas like desserts and accessories [9].

Core Insights - JD.com is launching its "New Product Surprise Day" on October 23, featuring significant discounts on flagship products like iPhone and Huawei, with ample stock available for immediate purchase [1][3] - The event includes various promotional activities such as zero-yuan draws for new products, one-yuan grabs for popular items, and discounts up to 50% on best-selling products, creating a strong shopping experience [1][8] Product Highlights - The event showcases several highly anticipated tech products, including the iPhone Air, Honor Magic8 Pro, and Xiaomi REDMI K90 Pro Max, all available for immediate purchase [3] - Additional products include Huawei FreeClip 2 and ROG Xbox handheld, catering to digital product enthusiasts [5] - Fashion items like On Cloudmonster 2 shoes and North Face Summit series jackets are also featured, aligning with seasonal consumer needs [5] Promotional Activities - JD.com is offering various incentives such as "1 yuan draws for premium products" and "1 penny grabs for new brand trials," allowing consumers to access high-demand items at minimal costs [10] - The "JD Youth Sales" live streaming event will feature interactive elements, including product showcases and celebrity appearances, enhancing consumer engagement [11][13] Consumer Engagement - The live streaming will include themed segments like "Healing New Moments" and "Technology New Moments," utilizing advanced 3D technology for immersive product presentations [13][14] - Consumers can participate in real-time interactions during the live stream, with opportunities to win exclusive merchandise and discounts [14]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 325 CNY [1][4]. Core Insights - The company is expected to see significant revenue growth, with Q3 2025 revenue projected to increase by 245%-250% year-on-year, driven by strong performance in both domestic and international markets [5][8]. - The company has successfully leveraged its IP, particularly Labubu, to enhance revenue streams and expand its market presence [8]. - Future earnings forecasts have been revised upwards, with net profits expected to reach 12.26 billion CNY in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 292% [7][8]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company operates in the light industry manufacturing sector, with a current H-share price of 250.40 CNY and a market capitalization of 170.42 billion CNY [2]. Recent Performance - The company reported a significant increase in revenue across various channels, with online sales growing by 300%-305% and overseas revenue increasing by 365%-370% in Q3 2025 [5][8]. Financial Projections - The financial outlook for the company shows a strong upward trend in net profit, with projections of 12.26 billion CNY for 2025, 17.79 billion CNY for 2026, and 24.60 billion CNY for 2027 [7][8]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are expected to rise significantly, reaching 9.13 CNY in 2025, with a corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 25 [7][8]. Market Position - The company has a diverse product portfolio, with key segments including figurines (37.3%), plush toys (44.2%), and other derivatives (11.2%) [3]. - The company is actively expanding its international presence and enhancing its supply chain capabilities to support growth [8].

Market Performance - Hang Seng Index (恒指) rose by 168 points or 0.7%, closing at 26,027 points[1] - Shanghai Composite Index (滬指) increased by 52 points or 1.4%, closing at 3,916 points[1] - Total market turnover in Hong Kong was 264.657 billion HKD[1] Currency and Monetary Policy - The RMB/USD central parity rate was adjusted up by 43 points to 7.0930, reaching a one-year high[1] - The People's Bank of China conducted a 1,595 billion RMB reverse repo operation with a rate of 1.4%, maintaining the previous level[1] A-Share Market Highlights - Shenzhen Component Index (深證成指) rose by 264 points or 2.1%, closing at 13,077 points with a turnover of 1.04 trillion RMB[1] - ChiNext Index (創業板指) increased by 90 points or 3%, closing at 3,083 points with a turnover of 475.6 billion RMB[1] Corporate Earnings - China Railway (中國中鐵) reported new contracts worth 476.23 billion RMB in Q3, with a cumulative total of 1.58 trillion RMB for the first three quarters, up 3.7% year-on-year[2] - China Telecom (中國電信) reported Q3 revenue of 394.3 billion RMB, a slight increase of 0.6% year-on-year, with net profit growing by 5% to 30.773 billion RMB[3] Growth in Specific Sectors - Pop Mart (泡泡瑪特) reported a revenue growth of 245%-250% year-on-year for Q3, with overseas revenue increasing by 365%-370%[3]

Core Viewpoint - JPMorgan's research report indicates that Pop Mart's third-quarter sales grew by 245% year-on-year, significantly exceeding the bank's expectation of 140% and the market's expectation of 180% [1] Sales Performance - Third-quarter sales are projected to increase by 64% quarter-on-quarter [1] - For the fourth quarter, sales are expected to grow by 184% year-on-year, driven by increased production capacity and upcoming traditional holidays such as Halloween, Thanksgiving, Black Friday, and Christmas [1] Profit Forecast - JPMorgan has raised its profit forecasts for Pop Mart for the years 2025 to 2027 by 9% to 17% [1] - The bank predicts that this year, sales and profits will grow by 209% and 340% year-on-year, respectively [1] Target Price Adjustment - The target price for Pop Mart has been increased from HKD 320 to HKD 350, maintaining an "Overweight" rating [1]

Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs reports that Pop Mart's Q3 revenue increased by 245% year-on-year to 250%, accelerating growth compared to the first half of the year and surpassing the bank's earlier expectation of 167% growth for the second half [1] Revenue Growth - Revenue from the Chinese market grew by 185% to 190% year-on-year, while overseas market revenue surged by 365% to 370% [1] - The Americas experienced a remarkable growth of 1265% to 1270%, and Europe saw an increase of 735% to 740% [1] Performance Drivers - The strong performance in Q3 is attributed to robust IP momentum and enhanced monetization capabilities driven by expanded supply capacity [1] Future Outlook - The bank maintains a high visibility for growth in Q4, supported by the peak season, upcoming themed product launches, improved supply capabilities, and ongoing expansion of the store network [1] - The 2025 earnings forecast has been raised by 7%, while maintaining a "neutral" rating and a target price of HKD 350 [1]