Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the power equipment industry [4] Core Insights - The dual carbon strategy emphasizes the coexistence of highly clean power generation and highly electrified power consumption, with the grid serving as a crucial link between the two [4][7] - The development of ultra-high voltage (UHV) technology is essential for achieving carbon neutrality, but progress has been slower than expected [4][8] - The distribution network is critical for renewable energy consumption, yet investment during the 14th Five-Year Plan period has fallen short of expectations [4][39] Summary by Sections Ultra-High Voltage (UHV) - UHV is a key component of the dual carbon strategy, with a planned investment of 380 billion yuan for over 30,000 kilometers of lines and a capacity of 340 million kilovolt-amperes [8] - The actual progress of UHV projects has been below expectations, with only eight projects likely to be completed by 2025 [16][18] - The shift towards flexible direct current technology is noted, as it allows for higher proportions of renewable energy to be transmitted [22][24] Distribution Network - The distribution network's role has evolved significantly post-dual carbon strategy, requiring upgrades to accommodate distributed energy resources [39][40] - Despite a consensus on the need for increased investment in the distribution network, actual investment levels have been lower than anticipated during the 14th Five-Year Plan [47] - The rapid growth of distributed solar power has led to challenges in the capacity of the distribution network, necessitating further enhancements [50]

Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview: UHV (Ultra High Voltage) Sector Key Points - The UHV sector has experienced a valuation drop to approximately 14-15 times, down from a peak of 30 times, significantly enhancing investment attractiveness [1][3][9] - Two major DC lines have been approved in 2025, with expectations for more approvals, including five DC lines, three AC lines, and several expansion and back-to-back projects, indicating a recovery in the industry [1][5] - The investment demand for UHV-related core equipment is projected to exceed 50 billion yuan in 2025, a notable increase from 30-40 billion yuan in the previous year, driven by the State Grid's planning during the 14th Five-Year Plan [1][6] Company Performance and Market Dynamics - Key companies such as XJ Electric, China XD Electric, and State Grid NARI have shown strong performance in the UHV sector, with XJ Electric benefiting significantly from its share in the investment of UHV lines [1][9][12] - China XD Electric has maintained a leading market share in the UHV equipment sector, with continuous improvement in profitability and successful breakthroughs in industrial clients [12][14] - NARI has excelled in UHV converter valves and related products, with a notable increase in market share and a stable growth rate in automation and industrial control sectors [15][16] Future Expectations - The UHV construction intensity is expected to maintain strong growth, with an anticipated addition of 4-5 DC lines and 2-3 AC lines annually during the 15th Five-Year Plan [8][17] - The current valuation of core companies in the UHV sector has decreased to around 15 times, making it an attractive investment opportunity compared to the previous year's high of 30 times [9][17] Investment Recommendations - Recommended companies for investment focus include: - **XJ Electric**: Significant earnings elasticity in UHV construction, with a market share of 20-30% in valve and control protection equipment [9][13] - **Pinggao Group**: Strong performance in AC UHV products and reduced international business drag [11][13] - **China XD Electric**: Benefiting from domestic market demand and improved profitability [12][13] Additional Insights - The UHV sector is entering a period of intensive approvals for new lines, which is expected to enhance the performance of related companies [5][4] - The overall market structure remains stable, with leading companies like NARI, XJ Electric, and China XD Electric dominating the converter valve market [6][7]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant transformation of China's power system standards, emphasizing that China has become a leader in power technology and standards, influencing even the U.S. power system [1][22]. Historical Development - The introduction of electricity in China began in the late Qing Dynasty, with the first power plant established in 1882, marking the start of China's journey towards self-sufficient power development [4]. - By the 1980s, major projects like the Three Gorges Dam and Qinshan Nuclear Power Plant showcased China's engineering capabilities and integration with international technology [6][8]. - The establishment of the first domestically designed 110 kV transmission line in 1955 marked a significant milestone in China's independent power infrastructure [5]. Technological Advancements - China's installed power generation capacity reached 2.72 billion kilowatts, with clean energy accounting for over 53.9%, surpassing thermal power for the first time [8]. - The development of Ultra High Voltage (UHV) transmission technology, which allows efficient long-distance power transmission, is a key innovation that has positioned China as a global leader in power technology [10][12]. Global Influence - China has successfully exported its power technology and standards to over 40 countries, including Brazil and several African nations, demonstrating the global acceptance of Chinese power standards [14][16]. - The International Electrotechnical Commission (IEC) has seen China take a leading role in establishing various technical standards, further solidifying its position as a standard-setter in the power industry [13]. Organizational Strength - China's unified national grid system contrasts with the fragmented U.S. system, showcasing superior planning and operational efficiency [17]. - The concentration of top talent in power engineering and continuous government investment over the past two decades have been crucial in advancing China's power technology from follower to leader [19].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the following companies: Guodian NARI (国电南瑞), Pinggao Electric (平高电气), China XD Electric (中国西电), and XJ Electric (许继电气) [8][9]. Core Insights - The approval of the Southeast Tibet to Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao ultra-high voltage (UHV) transmission line marks an upward cycle for the UHV sector, with an expected investment of 53.168 billion yuan and a total transmission capacity of 10GW [1]. - The "Three North" photovoltaic desertification control plan aims to add 253GW of solar capacity by 2030, indicating sustained growth in renewable energy infrastructure [2]. - The acceleration of UHV project construction is evident, with multiple projects expected to be operational within the year, enhancing the overall market dynamics [3]. - The UHV market exhibits high barriers to entry and profitability, with significant value in components such as converters and transformers, indicating a concentrated competitive landscape [4]. Summary by Sections UHV Projects and Approvals - The National Development and Reform Commission approved the Southeast Tibet to Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao UHV project, with a total length of 2681.3 kilometers and dynamic investment of 53.168 billion yuan [1]. - It is anticipated that 5-6 additional UHV direct current lines will be approved in 2025, with key equipment suppliers likely to benefit significantly from this trend [1]. Photovoltaic Development - The "Three North" photovoltaic desertification control plan has been approved, targeting the addition of 253GW of solar capacity by 2030 and the reclamation of 10.1 million acres of desertified land [2]. - The ongoing construction of large-scale wind and solar bases in desert areas is expected to drive long-term demand for UHV transmission [2]. Market Dynamics and Company Performance - The UHV market is characterized by high profit margins and a limited number of participants, with significant revenue potential for core equipment manufacturers [4]. - Guodian NARI is projected to generate net profits of 1.15-1.64 billion yuan from each UHV project, while Pinggao Electric and China XD Electric are also expected to see substantial profit increases due to the anticipated surge in UHV orders [5]. - The report highlights the strong growth potential for these companies, with expected net profit growth rates of 23.8% CAGR from 2025 to 2027 for XJ Electric [10].

Core Viewpoint - The China Securities Equipment Industry Index has shown a mixed performance, with a recent increase but a decline year-to-date, indicating potential volatility in the equipment sector [2]. Group 1: Index Performance - The China Securities Equipment Industry Index rose by 0.73% to 2148.41 points, with a trading volume of 74.781 billion yuan [1]. - Over the past month, the index has increased by 4.12%, while it has decreased by 1.13% over the last three months and by 2.76% year-to-date [2]. Group 2: Index Composition - The top ten weighted stocks in the index include CATL (10.27%), Huichuan Technology (3.77%), Sany Heavy Industry (3.32%), Sungrow Power Supply (3.12%), Longi Green Energy (2.91%), Guodian NARI (2.73%), CRRC (2.66%), Weichai Power (2.57%), China Shipbuilding (2.29%), and XCMG (2.04%) [2]. - The index is composed of 99.11% from the industrial sector and 0.89% from the energy sector [3]. Group 3: Market Distribution - The Shenzhen Stock Exchange accounts for 52.00% of the index's holdings, while the Shanghai Stock Exchange accounts for 48.00% [2]. Group 4: Fund Tracking - Public funds tracking the equipment industry include E Fund China Securities Equipment Industry Link A, E Fund China Securities Equipment Industry Link C, Huaxia China Securities Equipment Industry Link A, Huaxia China Securities Equipment Industry Link C, Huaxia China Securities Equipment Industry ETF, and E Fund China Securities Equipment Industry ETF [3].

Group 1 - The company has announced a share repurchase plan with a total expected amount between 500 million and 1 billion RMB [1][2] - The repurchase will be conducted through centralized bidding and is intended for employee stock ownership plans or equity incentives [1][2] - The repurchase period is set for a maximum of 12 months, starting from April 14, 2025, to April 13, 2026 [1][2] Group 2 - As of June 30, 2025, the company has repurchased a total of 7,882,583 shares, representing 0.098% of the total share capital of 8,032,088,259 shares [2] - The total amount spent on the repurchase is 175,247,024.63 RMB, with a purchase price range between 22.13 RMB and 22.31 RMB per share [2] - The company will continue to make repurchase decisions based on market conditions and will fulfill its information disclosure obligations [2]

Core Viewpoint - The China Securities Index for Modern Energy of State-Owned Enterprises has shown mixed performance, with a slight increase recently but a year-to-date decline, reflecting the overall trends in the modern energy sector [1][2]. Group 1: Index Performance - The index closed at 1284.8 points, with a trading volume of 20.648 billion yuan [1]. - Over the past month, the index has increased by 1.23%, and over the last three months, it has risen by 1.36%, while it has decreased by 4.08% year-to-date [1]. Group 2: Index Composition - The index is composed of 50 listed companies involved in green energy, fossil energy, and energy transmission and distribution, reflecting the performance of modern energy theme companies [1]. - The top ten weighted companies in the index include: - Changjiang Electric Power (10.02%) - Guodian NARI Technology (7.44%) - China Nuclear Power (6.4%) - Three Gorges Energy (5.1%) - Aluminum Corporation of China (4.68%) - Guodian Power (3.71%) - China Power Construction (3.49%) - China Shenhua Energy (3.08%) - State Power Investment Corporation (3.01%) - China National Petroleum Corporation (2.97%) [1]. Group 3: Market and Sector Breakdown - The Shanghai Stock Exchange accounts for 81.96% of the index's holdings, while the Shenzhen Stock Exchange represents 18.04% [1]. - In terms of industry distribution, the index's sample shows: - Utilities: 44.88% - Industrials: 22.59% - Energy: 17.31% - Materials: 14.35% - Communication Services: 0.88% [2]. Group 4: Index Adjustment and Fund Tracking - The index samples are adjusted biannually, with adjustments occurring on the next trading day after the second Friday of June and December [2]. - Public funds tracking the index include: - Harvest CSI National New State-Owned Enterprises Modern Energy Link A - Harvest CSI National New State-Owned Enterprises Modern Energy Link C - ICBC CSI National New State-Owned Enterprises Modern Energy ETF - Bosera CSI National New State-Owned Enterprises Modern Energy ETF - Harvest CSI National New State-Owned Enterprises Modern Energy ETF [2].

重要内容提示： 证券代码：600406 证券简称：国电南瑞 公告编号： 临 2025-041 国电南瑞科技股份有限公司 关于以集中竞价交易方式股份回购进展情况的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 | 回购方案首次披露日 | 2025/4/15，由时任董事长山社武先生于 2025/4/7 | | --- | --- | | 提议 | | | 回购方案实施期限 | 自公司董事会审议通过之日起不超过 个月 12 | | 预计回购金额 | 5亿元~10亿元 | | 回购用途 | □减少注册资本 √用于员工持股计划或股权激励 | | | □用于转换公司可转债 | | | □为维护公司价值及股东权益 | | 累计已回购股数 | 7,882,583股 | | 累计已回购股数占总股本比例 | 0.098% | | 累计已回购金额 | 175,247,024.63元 | | 实际回购价格区间 | 22.13元/股~22.31元/股 | 一、回购股份的基本情况 2025 年 4 月 7 日，国电南瑞科技股份有限公司（以下简称"公 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the electric equipment and new energy industry is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [2] Core Views - In 2024, global offshore wind government auctions are expected to reach 56GW, setting a historical record. The solid-state battery industrialization is accelerating, with equipment companies beginning to deliver solid-state battery equipment in small batches to clients. Battery manufacturers plan to deliver full solid-state battery samples to clients between 2025 and 2027 [2][3] - The demand for AIDC electric equipment remains strong, driven by continuous updates in AI models requiring sustained computational power [9] Summary by Relevant Sections Wind Power - The global offshore wind government auctions are projected to reach 56GW in 2024, marking a historical high. The total installed offshore wind capacity is expected to reach 83GW by the end of 2024, with an additional 48GW under construction [3] - In Poland, Equinor and Polenergia have made a final investment decision for the Bałtyk 2 and 3 offshore wind farms, with a total capacity of 1.4GW and an investment exceeding €7.2 billion [3] Solid-State Battery - The solid-state battery industrialization is progressing rapidly, with equipment manufacturers successfully delivering solid-state battery production equipment to leading domestic clients. Strategic partnerships are being formed to develop solid-state battery materials and production equipment [6] - The consumer battery sector is seeing an increase in silicon content, with projections indicating that by mid-2025, the silicon content in batteries could reach 25% [6] AIDC Electric Equipment - The demand for AIDC electric equipment is expected to remain robust, supported by the ongoing advancements in AI technologies and the need for enhanced computational capabilities [9] Grid Equipment - In May, the newly installed photovoltaic capacity reached 92.9GW, a year-on-year increase of 388%, while wind power installations reached 26.32GW, a year-on-year increase of 801% [10] - The State Grid Corporation of China has completed the equity transfer for a high-voltage direct current project in Greece, which will enhance connectivity between Crete and the European mainland [10] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on the following companies: 1. Wind Power: Goldwind Technology, Oriental Cable, Wide Special Materials, Zhongji United, Daikin Heavy Industries, Times New Material, Hezhong Electric [2][5] 2. Lithium Battery: CATL, Xiamen Tungsten, Rongbai Technology, Tiannai Technology, Zhuhai Guanyu, Haopeng Technology, Shenghong Co., Ltd. [8] 3. AIDC Electric Equipment: Jinpan Technology, Mingyang Electric, Igor, Hezhong Electric, Shenghong Co., Ltd. [9] 4. Grid Equipment: Guodian NARI, Siyuan Electric, Samsung Medical, Jinpan Technology, Pinggao Electric, Oriental Electronics, Sifang Co., Ltd., Jinbei Electric [10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the industry [5] Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the expected acceleration in the approval of ultra-high voltage (UHV) projects in the second half of 2025, with several key transmission corridors likely to be approved [10][15] - The current pace of construction for UHV direct current projects is increasing, with several projects nearing completion and others in the early stages of construction [15][16] - The report highlights a significant potential for equipment bidding in the second half of 2025, estimating a total bidding volume of approximately 55 billion yuan, with a substantial portion allocated for UHV converter valve equipment [28][30] Summary by Sections UHV Project Approvals - The 2025 National Energy Work Conference proposed the active promotion of several UHV transmission corridors, indicating a likely increase in project approvals in the latter half of 2025 [10] - Currently, only two projects have received approval, but expectations are high for a surge in approvals later in the year [10][15] UHV Direct Current Projects - Several UHV direct current projects are nearing completion, with the Jinshang-Hubei and Longdong-Shandong projects already operational [15] - Projects such as the Ningxia-Hunan and Shaanxi-Anhui are in advanced stages of construction, with expectations for operational readiness by 2026 [15][16] UHV Alternating Current Projects - The report notes that UHV alternating current projects are also in a peak construction phase, with several projects expected to commence in 2025 [16][18] Equipment Bidding Trends - In the first half of 2025, equipment bidding has been relatively low, totaling 2.48 billion yuan, while material bidding reached 17.87 billion yuan [25] - The report anticipates a rapid increase in bidding activity in the second half of 2025, driven by the approval of multiple UHV projects [28][30] Market Dynamics - The report indicates that the UHV equipment market remains concentrated, with leading companies expected to benefit from increased order volumes as the market expands [35]