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【立方早知道】美联储下任主席提名将公布/段永平回应贵州茅台大涨/牧原股份预计2月6日港股上市
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-30 00:50
Focus Events - President Trump announced he will reveal the nomination for the next Federal Reserve Chair next week, criticizing current Chair Powell for not lowering interest rates [1] Oil Market - WTI crude oil prices surged by 5% to $66.3 per barrel, while Brent crude rose by 4.25% to $70.23 per barrel [2][4] Company Updates - Guizhou Moutai's stock price increased by 8.61%, with investor Duan Yongping stating he did not purchase shares on that day but had exchanged some shares of China Shenhua for Moutai earlier [3] - Sichuan Gold expects a net profit of 420 million to 480 million yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 69.23% to 93.40% due to higher sales volume and rising gold prices [16] - Hanwei Technology forecasts a net profit of 125 million to 175 million yuan for 2025, indicating a growth of 63.01% to 128.22% [17] - Transsion Holdings anticipates a revenue of approximately 65.568 billion yuan for 2025, a decrease of about 4.58%, with a net profit drop of 54.11% due to rising supply chain costs [17] - Jiangfeng Electronics plans to acquire control of Kaide Quartz for cash, leading to a temporary suspension of its stock [19] - Aote Xun expects a net loss of 63.6 million to 72.1 million yuan for 2025, with potential delisting risks due to negative financial indicators [20] - Mu Xi Co. plans to use up to 200 million yuan of raised funds to provide loans to its wholly-owned subsidiary for a new GPU project [21] Industry Dynamics - The State Council issued a plan to accelerate the cultivation of new growth points in service consumption, focusing on various sectors including transportation and online services [9] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology held a meeting to address the "anti-involution" issue in the photovoltaic industry, emphasizing the need for coordinated governance and market regulation [12] - China aims to expand its "space+" future industries, focusing on commercial space applications and infrastructure development [11] - New regulations were issued to support wind power projects, encouraging development in less ecologically sensitive areas [14]
公募基金重仓股格局生变
Jin Rong Shi Bao· 2026-01-30 00:49
寒武纪-U是一家AI芯片公司,专注于云端和边缘计算的人工智能芯片研发。作为国内AI芯片领域 的领先企业,其股价此前曾一举超过贵州茅台成为A股"股王"。早在2024年四季度,寒武纪-U就跻身基 金重仓股第8位,之后除了在2025年三季度掉出前20名外,一直在10名左右徘徊。在AI应用的快速发展 带动下,寒武纪-U在2025年四季度一举升至基金重仓股第5位。 从重仓股排行可以看出,主动权益类公募基金的持仓结构发生了明显变化,AI等科技成长股成 为"重点关注对象"。事实上,科技行业上市公司比重增加不仅体现在公募基金前10大重仓股上,也体现 在整体的持仓变化上。Wind数据显示,公募基金2025年四季度对科技行业上市公司的持仓已经从2024 年一季度的25%上升到40%。与此同时,新能源、消费、金融行业的占比有所下降。这一变化反映了市 场对科技行业特别是AI行业发展的高度关注。 近期披露完毕的2025年公募基金四季报显示,中际旭创、宁德时代、新易盛、紫金矿业、寒武纪- U、立讯精密、贵州茅台、东山精密、美的集团、中国平安成为主动基金的前十大重仓股。 在人工智能(AI)产业的投资浪潮下,科技成长风格成为主导。其中,中际 ...
马斯克考虑将SpaceX与特斯拉或xAI公司合并;阿里自研AI芯片“真武”曝光;英伟达等公司商谈向OpenAI投资至多600亿美元丨邦早报
创业邦· 2026-01-30 00:30
Group 1 - Nvidia, Microsoft, and Amazon are discussing a potential investment of up to $60 billion in OpenAI as part of a larger funding round that could total $100 billion [1] - Nvidia is negotiating to invest up to $30 billion, while Microsoft plans to invest less than $10 billion, and Amazon's investment could exceed $10 billion, potentially reaching $20 billion [1] Group 2 - ByteDance has initiated the official version of the Doubao mobile assistant project, with a new device expected to be released in late Q2 2026 [3] - ByteDance and Alibaba are both preparing to launch new AI models around mid-February, with ByteDance planning three new models including a large language model, an image generation model, and a video generation model [3] - Tesla CEO Elon Musk announced the company will cease production of the Model S and Model X, transitioning the production line to focus on autonomous driving technology [3] Group 3 - Tesla's electric vehicle production reached approximately 1.655 million units in 2025, with a record delivery of 1.636 million units, and the Model Y was the best-selling SUV in multiple markets [12] - The Shanghai Gigafactory delivered 851,000 electric vehicles, accounting for over half of Tesla's global deliveries [12] Group 4 - Sony and Singapore's GIC are investing between $2 billion and $3 billion to build a music copyright library through a joint venture [6] - Mirxes completed a placement of 21.88 million shares, raising approximately HKD 711 million, with a share price premium of nearly 40% compared to its listing price [8]
1月30日每日研选丨白酒“回马枪”,是反弹还是反转?
Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in the liquor sector, particularly on January 29, indicates a potential turning point for the industry, driven by multiple factors including short-term market signals, low valuations, and macroeconomic easing expectations [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - On January 29, the liquor sector saw a significant rally, with the Shenwan liquor index rising over 5%, reflecting strong performance from multiple stocks [1]. - The high-end liquor prices have established a "price bottom," with Moutai's bottle price stabilizing around 1560 yuan and Wuliangye's price also showing stability [1]. Group 2: Valuation and Dividend Appeal - The liquor sector's valuation is at a historical low of 4.1%, suggesting a high safety margin and potential for rebound [2]. - The sector's dividend yield is approximately 3.64%, with Wuliangye leading at over 5%, making it attractive for risk-averse investors [2]. Group 3: Macroeconomic Factors - Expectations of macroeconomic easing, particularly regarding potential quantitative easing (QE) by the Federal Reserve, could open up monetary policy space in China, potentially driving consumption upgrades and benefiting the liquor sector [2]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The liquor industry may be on the verge of recovery after a deep adjustment, with expectations of improved sales and financial performance in the latter half of 2026 [2]. - High-end liquor companies like Moutai and Wuliangye are actively reforming marketing strategies and expanding consumer bases, positioning themselves for future growth [2]. Group 5: Investment Opportunities - Investors are advised to focus on high-end liquor leaders with strong brand certainty, such as Moutai and Wuliangye, as well as regional companies likely to benefit from local consumption trends [3]. - Monitoring post-Spring Festival inventory reduction and price stability will be crucial for assessing the industry's bottoming out [3].
华尔街见闻早餐FM-Radio | 2026年1月30日
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2026-01-29 23:27
华见早安之声 请各位听众升级为见闻最新版APP,以便成功收听以下音频。 市场概述 微软AI支出引爆忧虑,股价暴跌10%,拖累美股大盘。贵金属巨震。 纳指跌0.72%。微软一度暴跌12%、收跌10%,创2020年以来最大日跌幅,市值蒸发是美股史上第二大。Meta大涨超10%。特斯拉跌超3%。周四美股盘后公 布业绩后,苹果一度涨超2%、闪迪大涨12%。 10年期美债收益率小幅下跌0.6个基点至4.233%。 币圈重挫。比特币大跌6%、至两个月低点。以太坊跌超7%、跌破2800美元。 金价早盘曾大涨3.3%、逼近5600美元历史高位后跳水,一度较日高暴跌近9%,随后跌幅收窄。白银创下121美元的历史新高后,一度重挫超12%。铜价一度 大涨超11%,随后涨势回落、日内纽铜仍涨超6%。美伊局势支撑原油三连涨、日内涨3%,美油站上65美元。 亚洲时段,沪指震荡收涨,白酒爆发、贵州茅台涨逾8%,地产大涨,恒科指跌1%,芯片调整,沪金银铜飙升。 要闻 中国 习近平会见英国首相斯塔默。中英双方在英国首相斯塔默访华期间达成一系列积极成果。 外交部回应:中国已批准进口首批英伟达H200人工智能芯片?黄仁勋:此次访华行程"非常成功" ...
“错版马茅”搅动风云 茅台双线狂飙
Mei Ri Shang Bao· 2026-01-29 22:17
Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in the price of Guizhou Moutai's products, particularly the "Horse Moutai" due to a printing error, has created a buying frenzy, leading to significant price increases in both retail and secondary markets [1][2][5]. Price Surge and Market Reaction - The wholesale price of the 24-year Flying Moutai has reached 1750 yuan, while the classic "Horse Moutai" saw a single-day increase of 180 yuan [1]. - Guizhou Moutai's stock price surged over 8%, marking its largest single-day increase in nearly a year, with the stock closing above 1400 yuan and a trading volume exceeding 26.3 billion yuan [1][4]. - The classic version of "Horse Moutai" was officially priced at 1899 yuan, but market prices have surged to 2350 yuan and even 2750 yuan within a few days, reflecting a rapid increase of 400 yuan in just four days [4]. Supply Chain and Consumer Behavior - Following the announcement of the printing error, many consumers reported being unable to pick up their orders at physical stores, leading to a tightening of supply channels [2][3]. - Some stores have indicated that even consumers willing to accept the misprinted packaging cannot complete their pickup, as new stock has not yet arrived [3]. - The announcement of the recall has triggered a psychological response among consumers, driving demand for the misprinted bottles, which are now being marketed as "limited edition" or "rare" [5]. Impact on Related Stocks - The surge in Guizhou Moutai's stock has positively affected other A-share liquor stocks, with nearly 20 related stocks experiencing significant gains [5].
代表委员面对面|张瑜委员:适配白酒消费新场景 做优产品供给
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-29 17:11
Core Viewpoint - The Guizhou liquor industry needs to transition from "selling products" to "selling lifestyles" to activate new growth momentum for domestic demand in Guizhou [1] Group 1: Industry Growth and Consumer Trends - The Guizhou liquor industry is a significant driver of consumption growth in the province [3] - Current consumer psychology is shifting towards "emphasizing experience, health, and cost-effectiveness" [3] - There is a need to adapt to new consumption scenarios and improve product offerings [3] Group 2: Product Development and Quality Assurance - It is essential to leverage the opportunity of expanding domestic demand by revitalizing non-sauce aroma production capacity [3] - Development of low-alcohol and fruit-flavored herbal innovative liquors is recommended to create a product system that combines sauce aroma with multiple aromas [3] - Implementing full-chain supervision of key production indicators is necessary to ensure quality and build market trust [3] Group 3: Tourism Integration and Cultural Promotion - The integration of liquor and tourism should be deepened by collaborating with well-known local scenic spots to offer unique tasting packages [3] - Developing themed tourism routes centered around liquor can shift tourists' focus from merely "viewing liquor" to "tasting, purchasing, and cultural transmission" [3] Group 4: Innovation and Talent Development - Increasing R&D investment is crucial to foster new growth momentum [3] - Collaboration between liquor companies and universities or medical institutions is needed to improve brewing processes and reduce health risks [3] - There is a call to develop low-concentration, fruit-flavored "light taste" products to cater to the younger demographic [3]
在A股,“老登”耍起酒疯来比“小登”还野
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-29 16:07
"老登"资产,终于年轻了一回。 被网友称为资深老登股的白酒和地产,在低迷颓废了几个月后,突然一扫颓势,双双拉出大阳线。 其中,白酒(申万二级)行业指数里面的20家白酒公司有19家涨停,更是创下了近16个月以来的单日最 高涨幅,上一次白酒板块涨这么凶猛的时候是2024年9月30日。而地产虽然略有逊色,但同样也是加速 上涨。 这帮曾经被嫌弃的"老登"资产,在经历了漫长的冷板凳、被市场按在地上摩擦了整整小半年后,终于在 今天挺直了腰杆,狠狠地扬眉吐气了一回。甚至可以说,这不仅仅是反弹,更像是一场压抑已久的情绪 宣泄。 只不过,对于投资者来说,更关注的是为什么最近一年以来步履蹒跚、看着都要"入土"的"老登"代表, 今天突然开始集体"耍酒疯"? 难道是市场的资金们"审美疲劳",终于看不上那些只会讲故事、没有业绩支撑的"小登"资产,准备回头 找"老baby"过日子了? 01 从ICU直冲KTV? 这杯涨价酒老登们馋了两年 如果说"小登"资产靠的是一张嘴和PPT里的建模、空间,那么这帮在江湖混迹多年的"老登"资产,是不 见兔子不撒鹰的主儿,能让他们集体"发酒疯"暴走的,绝不是虚无缥缈的情怀,而是实打实价格上涨。 首先看带头 ...
茅台涨疯了?批发商单日5次调价
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-29 14:50
25年薪台原件 1625 25年茅台原件 1650 漫音漫 第台价格涨跌幅度十 创空由拿 为保护双方权益,下单打全款,以订单价格为? 高价 25年茅台原件 166 25年精品原件 2340 24年精品原件 2345 LEN 75年度仕 16/1 18:45 25年原件 1700 贵州茅台 (600519) 闭市 1437.72 白酒 +9.68% > +114.03 +8.61% 今 开 1335.00 成交量 18.95 万 高 1445.00 最 昨 收 1323.69 低 1329.06 成交额 263.06亿 最 幅 8.76% 总市值 ? 18004.1 换手率 1.51% 卡 分时 五日 日K 图 K 目 K 均价:1387.91 涨停:1456.06 跌停:1191.32 | 445.00 | ▲体验十档行情 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1437.78 | 英5 | | | | | 1437.77 | ミイ | | | | | 英3 | 1437.76 | | | | | 1437.74 | 重5 | | | | | 卖1 | 1437.7 ...
飞天茅台连日售罄,有人用外挂抢酒?茅台称已在收集固定证据
Nan Fang Du Shi Bao· 2026-01-29 14:33
"自2022年3月31日上线以来,i茅台已稳定运行近四年,构建形成了多层级、多策略、成熟的风险防控 体系,包括机器行为识别、风险设备判断、异常行为拦截、团伙风险防控等。"贵州茅台在相关声明中 表示,2026年1月1日至今,i茅台已成功拦截各类异常行为4.26亿次。 实际上,飞天茅台连续多日售罄,以及所谓"外挂"代抢酒等,背后折射出飞天茅台在农历新年前的需 求"火爆"。 据南都湾财社记者了解,从今年1月1日开始,包括飞天茅台在内,每天茅台酒和系列产品在早上9点上 线后,便很快售罄。值得注意的是,部分茅台经销商表示,由于市场需求量太大,今年1、2月的飞天茅 台等配额已经全部销售完毕。 在需求持续大增的情况下,飞天茅台的经销商批价和市场成交价均有所提高。根据多个第三方平台数 据,2025/26版的飞天茅台批价已回升至1600元/瓶以上,而最新一期《湾区酒价》则显示,飞天茅台的 零售均价则在1760元/瓶。 在需求大增且产品连日售罄的情况下,有人开始动用"外挂"抢飞天茅台。 1月29日,南都湾财社-酒水新消费指数课题组记者注意到,市场上有消息称,可以用"外挂"等"黑科 技"大幅度提高在i茅台上抢购53度 500ml ...