Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has seen a significant rise in domestic software stocks, with notable gains from companies like Kingsoft Office and Chengmai Technology, driven by recent news related to the Ministry of Commerce's announcement [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Kingsoft Office (688111) led the sector with a rise of 17.84%, reaching a market capitalization of 162.1 billion [2]. - Chengmai Technology (300598) increased by 13.08%, with a total market value of 12.3 billion [2]. - Kirin Security (688152) saw an 11.44% gain, bringing its market cap to 6.0 billion [2]. - China Software (600536) rose by 10%, with a market capitalization of 50.7 billion [2]. - China Great Wall (000066) increased by 6.10%, with a market value of 57.2 billion [2]. - Other notable performers include Taiji Co. (002368) up 5.10%, Inspur Software (600756) up 4.93%, and Runhe Software (300339) up 4.86% [1][2]. Group 2: Market Drivers - The surge in software stocks coincided with a trending topic on Weibo regarding the Ministry of Commerce's announcement, which included a shift to WPS format for certain documents, sparking public interest [1][2]. - The announcement also included export controls on certain rare earth-related items with Chinese components, which may have implications for the tech sector [1][2].

Core Viewpoint - Some cloud computing stocks are rising against the market trend, indicating potential investor interest and confidence in the sector [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Kingsoft Corporation (03888) increased by 15.13%, reaching HKD 36.96 [1] - China Software International (00354) rose by 6.1%, reaching HKD 6.26 [1] - Inspur Digital Enterprise (00596) saw a 5.07% increase, reaching HKD 8.49 [1] - Kingdee International (00268) grew by 1.04%, reaching HKD 16.48 [1] Group 2: Regulatory Changes - On October 9, the Ministry of Commerce issued Announcement No. 61 of 2025, implementing export controls on certain overseas rare earth-related items with Chinese components [1] - The new regulations state that military-use exports are generally not permitted [1] - The announcement's attachment now uses WPS format, requiring application documents to be submitted in Chinese, which has sparked significant discussion [1] Group 3: Industry Implications - The use of WPS for government documents reflects a broader initiative to promote key technology self-sufficiency and ensure information security [1] - Open Source Securities highlights the trend towards self-controllable core technology products amid escalating external friction [1] - There is an emphasis on investment opportunities in the "Xinchuang" sector, which focuses on domestic innovation and technology [1]

Core Viewpoint - The domestic software sector experienced a significant rally, with notable stocks such as China Software hitting the daily limit, and Kirin Security rising over 10% [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - China Software reached the daily limit, indicating strong investor interest and confidence in the stock [1] - Kirin Security saw an increase of over 10%, reflecting positive market sentiment [1] - Other companies such as Runhe Software, Yingfang Software, and Zhuoyi Information also experienced upward movement, suggesting a broader trend in the sector [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the computer industry in China, indicating a positive outlook for the sector [6]. Core Insights - The U.S. plans to impose export controls on "critical software," which includes both foundational and industrial software, highlighting its strategic importance in the ongoing U.S.-China technological competition [9]. - The domestic market for industrial design software is expected to accelerate its localization process due to potential U.S. export restrictions, with significant growth opportunities identified in this area [3][9]. - The report emphasizes that while industrial design software has a low localization rate, the industrial control systems have a relatively higher domestic market share, particularly in DCS systems [9]. Summary by Sections Investment Recommendations and Targets - The report suggests that if the U.S. imposes export controls on foundational software, it will significantly boost the localization of industrial and foundational software. Key investment targets include: - Industrial Software: Zhongwang Software (688083, Buy), Huada Jiutian (301269, Buy), and others [3]. - Foundational Software: Dameng Data (688692, Not Rated), Dongtu Technology (300353, Not Rated), and others [3]. Industry Overview - The report discusses the strategic significance of critical software, which includes operating systems and databases, and notes that the domestic market share for PC operating systems has reached 20-25%, while server operating systems are at 40-50% [9]. - The report highlights that the localization rate for industrial operating systems is still low, at around 10-15%, but is expected to improve as domestic products gain traction [9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the industry [5]. Core Insights - The urgency for domestic software innovation (信创) has significantly increased due to the U.S. imposing export controls on critical software and announcing a 100% tariff on Chinese imports starting November 1 [1][10]. - The domestic software market is projected to reach a scale of 2.66 trillion yuan by 2026, with a steady replacement rhythm of "2+8+N" in 2023 [2][20]. - Companies in the software sector have shown a recovery in Q2 2025, with notable revenue and profit growth, indicating a potential bottoming out of performance [3][22]. Summary by Sections Section 1: U.S. Export Controls and Domestic Urgency - The U.S. has announced export controls on all critical software, which has heightened the urgency for domestic software innovation in China [1][10]. - The specific details of the export controls are still pending, but they are expected to primarily affect foundational and high-end industrial software [1]. Section 2: Policy and Financial Tools - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes technological self-reliance, with significant financial tools being introduced to support emerging industries and infrastructure [2][16]. - A new policy financial tool with a scale of 500 billion yuan is being directed towards sectors like digital economy and artificial intelligence [16]. Section 3: Industry Performance and Positioning - Q2 2025 performance of key software companies indicates a recovery, with revenue growth rates such as 25% for China Software and 151% for Taiji Co. [22][23]. - Despite being a core area for AI, the computer sector has seen lower institutional allocation and growth compared to other TMT sectors [3][22]. Section 4: Companies to Watch - Recommended companies include China Software, Kingsoft, Dameng Data, and Taiji Co. in the critical software space, and Cambrian, Haiguang Information, and Zhongke Shuguang in domestic computing power [4][25].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the industry [4] Core Insights - The report highlights the significant impact of U.S. tariffs and export controls on Chinese products, particularly in the software and hardware sectors, emphasizing the need for domestic innovation and self-reliance [1] - The Chinese government is actively promoting domestic products through favorable procurement policies, including a 20% price deduction for local products in competitive bidding [1] - The report indicates that the domestic chip industry is gaining traction, particularly in the financial sector, with major projects like the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China's procurement of Huaguang chip servers valued at approximately 3 billion yuan [1] - The report notes a substantial increase in domestic server procurement by China Unicom, with 90.1% of the servers being domestically produced, reflecting a strong trend towards localization [2] - The report anticipates a turning point for the domestic innovation industry (Xinchang) driven by supportive policies and improving performance of listed companies in the sector [2][3] Summary by Sections - **Policy Support**: The government emphasizes high-level technological self-reliance as a key development focus, aiming to enhance core technology research and innovation capabilities [2] - **Market Performance**: Several listed companies in the Xinchang sector have shown improved performance compared to the previous year, indicating a positive outlook for the industry [3] - **Investment Recommendations**: The report suggests focusing on key players in the Xinchang sector, including China Software, Dameng Data, and others, as well as leaders in specific sub-sectors like industrial software and the Harmony OS ecosystem [3]

Summary of China Software Industry Conference Call Industry Overview - The China software industry experienced a growth of **15.1% YoY** in August 2025, an increase from **14.9%** in July and **14.0%** in June 2025, indicating a positive trend in the sector [1][10] - Cumulative revenues for the first eight months of 2025 (8M25) grew by **12.6% YoY**, compared to **11.2% YoY** in the same period of 2024 [1][18] Key Insights - The growth in the software market is supported by increased spending on AI tools by consumer clients and successful project wins in the business sector, particularly in enterprise and government [1][10] - The **Small and Medium Business (SMB) Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI)** improved to **48.2** in September 2025 from **46.6** in August, although it remains below the **49.3** level seen in May 2025, suggesting a gradual recovery in client IT spending [10][17] - The integration of AI capabilities into software applications is expected to drive sequential growth in the coming months [1][10] Segment Performance - In August, segments such as **semi design**, **cloud computing**, and **basic software** outperformed others [2] - The **AI software products** segment showed strong performance, with notable increases in Monthly Active Users (MAU) for productivity tools and video/image generation tools [2][5] Financial Metrics - The aggregate revenue of software companies in China reached **Rmb1.3 trillion (US$183 billion)** in August 2025, with a net margin of **17.4%**, slightly down from **18.2%** in July [18][19] - The net income for the software sector in August was **Rmb230 billion (US$32 billion)**, contributing to an 8M25 net margin of **13.7%**, which is an improvement from **13.1%** in 7M25 [19][26] Market Dynamics - The IT services segment remains the largest contributor to revenue, accounting for **68%** of total revenues, followed by software products at **22%** and embedded system software at **8%** [25][29] - The revenue from non-China markets increased to **US$6.5 billion**, representing an overseas exposure of **3.5%**, up from **3.2%** in July 2025 [25][30] Investment Recommendations - Companies highlighted for potential investment include **Sensetime** (AI), **Kingsoft Office** (Office Software), **Kingdee** (ERP), **Hundsun** (Finance), **TUYA** (IoT software), and **Empyrean** (EDA software) [3] Conclusion - The China software industry is on a positive trajectory with strong growth in AI spending and improving SMB sentiment, indicating a favorable environment for investment and expansion in the sector [1][10][18]

Core Viewpoint - China Software's stock has shown a positive trend with an 8.72% increase year-to-date, reflecting strong market performance and investor interest [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, China Software reported revenue of 2.242 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.01% [2]. - The company experienced a net profit loss of 74.5263 million yuan, but this represented a significant year-on-year improvement of 72.67% [2]. Stock Market Activity - As of October 9, the stock price was 50.76 yuan per share, with a trading volume of 732 million yuan and a market capitalization of 47.399 billion yuan [1]. - The stock has seen a 1.56% increase over the last five trading days and a 12.52% increase over the last 60 days [1]. Shareholder Information - As of June 30, the number of shareholders decreased by 9.92% to 156,200, while the average number of circulating shares per person increased by 11.02% to 5,401 shares [2][3]. - The top ten circulating shareholders include significant institutional investors, with Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited holding 12.5531 million shares, an increase of 535,800 shares from the previous period [3]. Business Segmentation - The company's revenue composition includes 42.43% from industry solutions, 33.08% from proprietary software products, and 23.86% from service-oriented business [1].

Group 1 - The State Council issued a notice on September 30, 2023, regarding the implementation of domestic product standards in government procurement, effective from January 1, 2026 [1] - The notice specifies that domestic products must be produced within China and meet a certain cost ratio for components produced domestically, with additional requirements for key components and processes [1] - A 20% price evaluation discount will be granted to domestic products compared to non-domestic products during government procurement activities, enhancing the price competitiveness of domestic products [1] Group 2 - Changjiang Securities noted that the 20% price evaluation discount acts as an "invisible subsidy," potentially altering the existing market competition landscape [1] - The introduction of domestic product standards is expected to improve the fairness and transparency of government procurement policies and promote the localization of supply chains in key industries [1] - Key sectors such as the domestic chip industry, domestic operating systems, and Huawei's supply chain are anticipated to benefit from this policy [1] Group 3 - China Software has a complete business chain covering operating systems, middleware, security products, and application systems across important sectors of the national economy [2] - Kirin Trust's operating system is based on the domestic openEuler community and has received recognition from national and industry authorities, ensuring compliance with government procurement standards [2]

Core Insights - Company Chairman Dr. Chen Yuhong has increased his shareholding, demonstrating confidence in the company's long-term development [1] - The company has been appointed as a city partner for the open-source HarmonyOS innovation application and ecosystem construction in the intelligent transportation sector in Xi'an [1] - The company is positioned as a full-stack service provider in the HarmonyOS ecosystem, covering hardware access, software adaptation, and scenario development [1] - The company has deep-rooted technology in operating systems, having developed the KaihongOS and the distributed heterogeneous robot operating system M-Robots OS, leading in contributions to the open-source Harmony community [1] - The company has developed the "Hongyun Virtual Machine" to ensure compatibility with the Windows ecosystem, supporting the initial promotion of HarmonyOS in the PC sector [1] - The company has secured new orders in its ERP business, winning a bid for the 2025-2027 human outsourcing service centralized procurement project from Sinochem Information Technology Co., Ltd [1] - The company has partnered with Silicon-based Flow to launch an AI platform that integrates heterogeneous computing power and vector databases, facilitating the large-scale implementation of AI in various industries [1] Industry Developments - The company is building an AI-native digital foundation by integrating cloud and computing power, establishing a "new triangle" model with Huawei and local governments [2] - The company continues to lead in the Huawei cloud ecosystem, maintaining the largest scale and market share in cloud services and CTSP cloud transformation services [2] - The company is expanding its computing power operations from simple leasing to comprehensive AI services, including model training and scenario development [2] - Revenue projections for the company are set at 17.8 billion, 19.46 billion, and 22.14 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with net profits expected to be 610 million, 730 million, and 890 million yuan respectively [2]