Core Viewpoint - The defense and military industry sector experienced a decline after four consecutive days of gains, with the ETF code "512810" dropping over 2% on July 30, 2023, despite signs of capital accumulation during the downturn [1][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - The defense military ETF (512810) fell by 2.01%, closing at 0.683, with significant declines in constituent stocks such as Construction Industry, which hit the limit down, and others like 6912 and Hongdu Aviation, which dropped over 5% [1][2]. - There was a notable increase in market premium for the ETF, indicating that investors were actively buying on dips, with over 35 million yuan entering the market in the previous two days [1][3]. Group 2: Future Catalysts - Upcoming events such as the Army Day and the 93rd National Day military parade are expected to stimulate the defense and military market [1][3]. - Analysts predict that the defense and military industry will enter a performance realization phase in the second half of 2025, driven by personnel adjustments, institutional reforms, and a backlog of orders [3]. Group 3: Financial Performance - Data shows that 42 military stocks reported a combined net profit of nearly 5.6 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of over 45%, marking the highest level in five years [3]. - The ETF (512810) covers a wide range of sectors, including commercial aerospace, low-altitude economy, large aircraft, deep-sea technology, military AI, and controllable nuclear fusion, making it a diversified investment option [3]. Group 4: Investment Accessibility - The ETF underwent a share split in June, reducing the investment threshold by half, allowing investors to access core military assets for less than 70 yuan [3].

本文源自：金融界 作者：金股通 截至7月30日开盘一小时，主力资金流出前20的股票分别为：中银证券（-7.00亿元）、恒生电子（-6.77 亿元）、宁德时代（-5.15亿元）、上海电气（-4.92亿元）、恒宝股份（-4.64亿元）、北方稀土（-4.53 亿元）、四方精创（-4.37亿元）、西藏天路（-4.07亿元）、盛和资源（-4.01亿元）、建设工业（-3.84 亿元）、山河智能（-3.18亿元）、中钨高新（-3.15亿元）、中油资本（-2.94亿元）、比亚迪（-2.80亿 元）、云南锗业（-2.57亿元）、天孚通信（-2.52亿元）、东芯股份（-2.48亿元）、中航沈飞（-2.43亿 元）、中大力德（-2.42亿元）、内蒙一机（-2.11亿元）。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The China Equipment Industry Index has shown significant growth, with a 9.12% increase over the past month and a 13.09% increase over the past three months, indicating a positive trend in the equipment sector [1] Group 1: Index Performance - The China Equipment Industry Index closed at 2308.51 points with a trading volume of 92.826 billion yuan [1] - Year-to-date, the index has risen by 4.38% [1] Group 2: Index Composition - The top ten weighted stocks in the index include CATL (10.62%), Huichuan Technology (3.52%), Sany Heavy Industry (3.44%), Sungrow Power (3.14%), Longi Green Energy (2.88%), CRRC (2.61%), Guodian NARI (2.55%), Weichai Power (2.38%), China Shipbuilding (2.25%), and AVIC Shenyang Aircraft (2.09%) [1] - The index's holdings are primarily from the Shenzhen Stock Exchange (51.59%) and the Shanghai Stock Exchange (48.41%) [1] - The industrial sector dominates the index with a 99.07% share, while the energy sector accounts for 0.93% [1] Group 3: Index Adjustment and Management - The index samples are adjusted biannually, with changes implemented on the next trading day following the second Friday of June and December [2] - In special circumstances, the index may undergo temporary adjustments, such as when a sample company is delisted or undergoes mergers and acquisitions [2] - Public funds tracking the equipment industry include E Fund China Equipment Industry Link A, E Fund China Equipment Industry Link C, and others [2]

Core Viewpoint - The China Securities Index for Aerospace and Military Industry (空天军工指数) has shown significant growth, with a 1.32% increase on the day reported, and notable gains over the past month, three months, and year-to-date [1]. Group 1: Index Performance - The China Securities Aerospace and Military Industry Index rose by 1.32% to 2227.18 points, with a trading volume of 27.607 billion [1]. - Over the past month, the index has increased by 8.99%, by 19.70% over the last three months, and by 14.25% year-to-date [1]. Group 2: Index Composition - The index includes leading companies related to the aerospace and military strategy, covering sectors such as aircraft, power and control systems, early warning systems, weapon systems, C4ISR systems, military digitalization, and aerospace materials [1]. - The top ten weighted companies in the index are: AVIC Shenyang Aircraft (9.45%), Aero Engine Corporation of China (7.41%), AVIC Optoelectronics (6.42%), AVIC Xi'an Aircraft (5.33%), Philihua (4.5%), AVIC Aircraft (3.9%), Aerospace Electronics (3.56%), Haige Communications (3.43%), AVIC Chengfei (3.34%), and Western Superconducting (3.23%) [1]. Group 3: Market and Sector Breakdown - The index's holdings are primarily listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange (56.17%) and Shenzhen Stock Exchange (43.83%) [2]. - The industry composition of the index includes: Industrial sector (71.88%), Materials (14.41%), Information Technology (7.72%), and Communication Services (5.99%) [2]. Group 4: Index Adjustment Mechanism - The index samples are adjusted biannually, with adjustments occurring on the next trading day after the second Friday of June and December [2]. - Weight factors are generally fixed until the next scheduled adjustment, with special circumstances allowing for temporary adjustments [2]. Group 5: Related Investment Funds - Public funds tracking the aerospace and military industry include: Penghua China Securities Aerospace and Military Industry C and Penghua China Securities Aerospace and Military Industry A [3].

Investment Rating - The report rates the military industry as "Overweight" [5][12]. Core Viewpoints - The intensification of great power competition is a long-term trend, indicating a positive long-term outlook for the military industry. Increased defense spending is essential to ensure peace and security, especially as tensions around China may escalate [2][8]. Summary by Sections Investment Highlights - Key investment themes include: 1. General Assembly: AVIC Shenyang Aircraft Corporation, Aerospace South Lake, AVIC Xi'an Aircraft Industry [11]. 2. Components: AVIC Optoelectronics, Aerospace Electric, Guobang Electronics, Ruichuang Micro-Nano [11]. 3. Subsystems: AVIC Onboard, North Navigation [11]. 4. Materials and Processing: AVIC Heavy Machinery, Feilihua, Guangwei Composite, Huayin Technology, Bolite, Western Materials, Aviation Materials [11]. Market Review - The military industry index rose by 1.22% from July 20 to July 25, underperforming the broader market by 0.45 percentage points, ranking 24th out of 29 sectors [13][16]. - The Shanghai Composite Index increased by 1.67%, and the ChiNext Index rose by 2.76% during the same period [13][16]. Major News in the Military Industry - The 155th joint patrol operation in the Mekong River concluded successfully, highlighting international cooperation in regional security [9][24]. - The China Weapon Industry Group showcased new unmanned and anti-unmanned combat systems, emphasizing advancements in military technology [23]. - The successful first flight of the Xinzhou 60 civil rescue aircraft marks a significant step in enhancing China's emergency response capabilities [23]. International Military Situation - The report notes a complex international military landscape, with various nations calling for an end to the Gaza conflict and highlighting the importance of defense construction amid ongoing tensions [10][25]. - The U.S. has increased its military presence in the Pacific, deploying additional submarines in response to perceived threats from China [10][30].

Market Overview - The aviation equipment sector increased by 1.71% on July 29, with Hangfa Technology leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3609.71, up 0.33%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 11289.41, up 0.64% [1] Stock Performance - Hangfa Technology (600391) closed at 32.03, up 9.99% with a trading volume of 361,600 shares and a transaction value of 1.102 billion [1] - Hangya Technology (688510) closed at 25.86, up 8.66% with a trading volume of 157,400 shares [1] - Zongheng Co. (688070) closed at 59.88, up 6.62% with a trading volume of 48,000 shares [1] - Chengxi Aviation (300581) closed at 22.86, up 6.08% with a trading volume of 988,700 shares and a transaction value of 2.213 billion [1] - Hangyu Technology (688239) closed at 39.87, up 5.87% with a trading volume of 63,900 shares [1] - Other notable stocks include Zhonghang Shenfei (600760) at 66.14, up 3.38%, and Feilai (300395) at 83.04, up 2.86% [1] Capital Flow - The aviation equipment sector saw a net inflow of 239 million in main funds, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 197 million [2][3] - Major stocks like Zhonghang Shenfei (600760) had a net inflow of 334 million, while Hangfa Technology (600391) saw a net outflow of 101 million from retail investors [3]

Group 1 - The aerospace ETF Tianhong (159241) showed a slight increase of 0.25% with a trading volume exceeding 520 million yuan, indicating active market interest in the military industry sector [1] - The ETF has seen a net subscription of 10 million shares in real-time, with a net inflow of over 4.7 million yuan yesterday, reflecting strong investor confidence [1] - The current circulating scale of the aerospace ETF is 415 million yuan, with a total of 351 million shares, and a year-to-date share growth rate of 84.61%, the highest among similar products [1] Group 2 - The China Public Bidding Service Platform announced a tender for rocket launch services for 2025, with a total of 7 launches and 94 satellites, amounting to 1.336 billion yuan [2] - The tender is part of the second round of bidding for Shanghai Yuanxin Satellite Technology Co., indicating a significant acceleration in the construction of the Qianfan constellation [2] - Analysts suggest that the participation of multiple private rocket companies in the bidding could enhance network capacity and expedite satellite constellation development [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that the high-end equipment sector is experiencing significant growth, with the CSI High-End Equipment Sub-Index rising by 1.43% as of July 28, 2025, and notable individual stocks like Optoelectronics Co. and Gaode Infrared seeing substantial gains [1][2] - The high-end equipment ETF (159638) has shown a strong performance, with a recent increase of 1.36%, marking its third consecutive rise, and a total trading volume of 20.92 million yuan [1] - Over the past year, the high-end equipment ETF has achieved a net value increase of 34.71%, with the highest monthly return recorded at 19.30% since its inception [1] Group 2 - The military industry is showing strong performance, with 67 companies reporting their 2025 semi-annual earnings forecasts, of which 41 are expected to see profit increases, while 26 anticipate declines [1][2] - The military sector's valuation has reached a new level compared to the end of 2024, indicating a broad upward potential with limited downside risk [2] - The top ten weighted stocks in the CSI High-End Equipment Sub-Index account for 45.22% of the index, with significant contributors including AVIC Shenyang Aircraft, Aero Engine Corporation, and AVIC Optoelectronics [2][4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the defense and military industry [5]. Core Viewpoints - The integrated combat system of China is expected to rapidly open up the market, with military trade likely to continue increasing [16][17]. - In Q2 2025, active funds have significantly increased their overweight position in the military sector, with expectations for further increases focusing on military trade and new combat directions [21]. - The current market position remains optimistic for the military sector, with upstream components and key materials expected to benefit from demand amplification effects [22]. Summary by Sections 1.1 Military Trade and Equipment Strength - The Weapon Industry Group showcased China's military trade capabilities in unmanned and counter-unmanned systems, indicating a growing demand for military trade [9][16]. - The demonstration included various advanced equipment such as the BZK-005E drone and the Tianlong 100 air defense missile system, highlighting the capabilities of China's integrated combat system [17][18]. 1.2 Fund Allocation Trends - In Q2 2025, the overweight position of active funds in the military sector increased to 0.92 percentage points, up from 0.57 percentage points in Q1 2025, indicating a growing confidence in military trade and new combat technologies [21][22]. - The report suggests that the market's understanding of the marginal elasticity of military trade is still insufficient, with potential for performance releases to strengthen military trade logic [21]. 1.3 Current Market Outlook - The military sector has shown positive performance since July, with many sub-sectors still at low levels, suggesting significant configuration value [22]. - The report emphasizes the importance of upstream components and key materials in weapon development and production, which are expected to benefit from increased demand [22]. Appendix: Market Performance and News - The defense and military industry index rose by 1.28% but underperformed compared to the broader market indices [24]. - Key military companies have reported significant growth in their half-year earnings, with many companies showing rapid increases in net profits [44].

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive shift in the investment rating for the military industry, suggesting that the industry is moving out of a bottom phase and entering a growth phase [3][19]. Core Insights - In Q2 2025, active funds increased their allocation to the military sector for the first time after ten consecutive quarters of reduction, with the allocation changing from -0.003ppt to -0.001ppt, marking a significant turning point for the industry [3][4]. - The total scale of military-themed funds increased by 24.58% to 39.8 billion yuan in Q2 2025, recovering to levels above those seen in Q4 2023 [22][24]. - Active funds have shown a preference for increasing positions in key sectors such as weapons and aviation, while the concentration of holdings has continued to decrease [5][25]. Summary by Sections Fund Allocation Analysis - In Q2 2025, active funds' allocation to military stocks increased, with the military sector's market value rising to 891 million yuan, accounting for 2.99% of the total market value of active funds [14][19]. - The military-themed fund's market value increased to 39.8 billion yuan, with a total of 84 stocks held, and the top ten stocks accounting for an average of 56.24% of the fund's net asset value [22][23]. Holdings Concentration - The concentration of holdings among the top fifteen stocks in active funds decreased to 66.85%, down 2.10ppt from the previous quarter, indicating a trend towards diversification [25][27]. - The top stocks by market value include 中航沈飞 (AVIC Shenyang Aircraft Corporation) and 睿创微纳 (Raytron Technology), which have seen significant increases in the number of funds holding them [32][33]. Sector Preferences - Active funds have increased their exposure to the weapons sector by 1.30ppt and the aviation sector by 0.98ppt, while reducing exposure to sectors like new materials and shipbuilding [27][28]. - The military industry is characterized by a high proportion of state-owned enterprises, which account for over 70% of the market value, reflecting institutional preferences [5][27]. Key Companies to Watch - The report suggests focusing on companies involved in guided weapons, military trade, and new production capabilities, including 菲利华 (Feilihua), 中航沈飞 (AVIC Shenyang), and 国光电气 (Guoguang Electric) among others [7][19].