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万辰集团递表港交所 中金公司及招商证券国际为联席保荐人
万辰集团已向港交所提交上市申请,中金公司及招商证券国际为联席保荐人。 万辰集团是中国领先且增长迅速的规模零食饮料零售企业,截至2025年6月30日,其门店网络已突破 15,000家。公司旗下"好想来"品牌在2024年以零食饮料GMV计,位列中国零食饮料零售品牌榜首,是首 个门店数量突破10,000家的品牌。 其门店网络覆盖中国29个省份,在长三角及山河四省等地区拥有显著的领先地位。万辰集团约95%的产 品直接从品牌厂商采购,并通过全国51个常温仓库及13个冷链仓库配送,使其能够提供比大卖场、超市 和便利店低20%—30%的零售价。公司产品组合涵盖十二个核心类别,精选超过4,000个SKU,每家门店 通常备有1,800—2,000个SKU,并每月推出约250个新SKU以保持产品新鲜度。 根据灼识咨询预测,到2029年,中国硬折扣零售行业的市场规模预计将达到人民币10,138亿元,年复合 增速达33.8%。 ...
招商证券:绿色甲醇或成为船运绿色转型主要选择 关注生产和设备环节
智通财经网· 2025-09-23 08:57
三重驱动助力船用燃料绿色转型 全球船运燃料年消费约3亿吨,占全球CO?总排放超2%,对气候变化影响显著。当前三重驱动助力船用 燃料开启绿色转型,驱动1:IMO(国际海事组织)制定碳减排目标:到2030年减排20%~30%,2050年实 现净零排放。驱动2:海运纳入欧洲碳排放交易体系,2024年起征收碳税,船运公司纷纷推出碳税附加 费。驱动3:造船周期约20年,上一轮高景气期为2001-2008年,当前正处于新一轮造船周期。 长期绿色甲醇船或成为主要方向 甲醇相比于其他燃料具有:储存加注灵活、单位热值成本低、储存基建完整、船只改造成本低、环境友 好等优势,是目前船厂长期绿色转型主要选择。短期受制于绿醇供给和成本问题,LNG为过渡选项。 海内外各大造船厂竞赛式外发船舶订单,目前已至少320艘甲醇燃料船订单,集装箱船为主,预计2026 年开始将迎来甲醇船舶集中交付期。 船用绿色甲醇增量巨大 2024年全球甲醇年消耗量约为1.4亿吨,主要应用领域为化工合成,船用燃料换算为绿醇年需求约为5~6 亿吨,若2030年甲醇船用燃料渗透率达10%,预计带动全球甲醇需求增长超40%。 智通财经APP获悉,招商证券发布研报称,IM ...
“9・24行情”一周年:A股新开户将超3000万户,头部券商抢客忙,ETF成资金入市新通道
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-09-23 07:24
Group 1: Market Overview - The A-share market has experienced a surge in new account openings since the initiation of the "924 market" trend, with 28.746 million new accounts opened from October 2024 to August 2025, and projections suggest that the total will exceed 30 million by September 2025 [1][2] - The trend shows a fluctuating increase in new accounts, peaking at 3.0655 million in March 2025, followed by a recovery in June to August after a dip in April and May [2][3] Group 2: Investor Composition - Individual investors are the primary contributors to the new account openings, while institutional accounts have also seen a rebound, with 65,100 new institutional accounts opened in the first eight months of 2025, marking a nearly 33% year-on-year increase [3][4] Group 3: Reasons for Account Opening Surge - The surge in new accounts is attributed to a combination of "asset scarcity" and the significant profit potential in the stock market, leading to a shift of funds from traditional savings to equities [4][5] - The decline in yields from traditional investment channels, such as ten-year government bonds and bank wealth management products, has diminished their attractiveness, while the Shanghai Composite Index has risen approximately 40% since the "924 market" began [4][5] Group 4: Shift to ETF Investments - There has been a notable shift in how residents are entering the market, with ETFs becoming a preferred investment vehicle over actively managed funds due to their product diversity, lower costs, and ease of access [6][7] - As of September 19, 2025, the total market size of ETFs reached approximately 5.31 trillion yuan, reflecting a growth of 2.45 trillion yuan and an increase of 85.36% since the "924 market" began [7] Group 5: Brokerage Firms' Performance - Leading brokerage firms have capitalized on the influx of new accounts, with several firms reporting significant increases in new account openings, such as Guotai Junan with approximately 1.55 million new accounts and CITIC Securities with over 700,000 [8][9] - The influx of new clients has also led to substantial asset growth, with firms like Dongfang Securities reporting a 90% increase in new clients and a 45% increase in assets brought in [8][9] Group 6: Competitive Advantage of Leading Brokerages - The competitive edge of top brokerage firms lies in their multi-channel customer acquisition strategies and comprehensive financial service capabilities, which enhance client retention and stability during market fluctuations [10]
中资券商股集体下跌 风险偏好短期有所降温 大摩因A股交投活跃上调券商盈测
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-09-23 06:36
Group 1 - Chinese brokerage stocks collectively declined, with Zhongzhou Securities down 4.81% to HKD 2.57, China Merchants Securities down 4.47% to HKD 15.82, Everbright Securities down 3.91% to HKD 10.33, and CITIC Securities down 3.75% to HKD 12.85 [1] - According to Zhongtai Securities, the market has fully priced in the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut expectations, leading to a decline in investor sentiment and a temporary cooling of risk appetite [1] - Guotai Junan Securities noted that the non-bank sector has underperformed the index in the past month, but this is mainly due to trading factors, with the non-bank fundamentals continuing to improve [1] Group 2 - Morgan Stanley reported that the average daily trading volume (ADT) in the A-share market remains high, increasing confidence in the annual ADT forecast, raising the 2025 ADT prediction by 53% to RMB 1.53 trillion [1] - The forecast for ADT growth for 2026 and 2027 is expected to maintain an annual increase of 5% to 6% [1] - As a result, the average earnings forecast for covered Chinese brokerages for 2025, 2026, and 2027 has been raised by 25%, 23%, and 20% respectively [1]
131只个股连续5日或5日以上获融资净买入
Core Insights - As of September 22, a total of 131 stocks in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets have experienced net financing inflows for five consecutive days or more [1] - The stock with the longest consecutive net inflow is Wuzhou Transportation, which has seen net buying for 12 consecutive trading days [1] - Other notable stocks with significant consecutive net inflows include Dongtianwei, Dike Co., Xinqi Microelectronics, China Merchants Securities, Seres, Jingwang Electronics, Zhongyan Chemical, and Huadian International [1]
招商证券国际:科技和有色行业成为结构主线 警惕小盘股操纵风险
智通财经网· 2025-09-23 03:05
智通财经APP获悉,招商证券国际发布研报称,港股市场如期在 9 月中上旬反弹,AI 互联网等科技板 块和有色行业成为结构主线。美联储减息"靴子落地"后,市场可能迎来震荡加剧,但中长期向上趋势不 改。 外资净流入仍有长期提升空间,但美国本轮减息路径可能较为曲折。AI 发展和新移民政策对美国经济 影响复杂,美国政府力量介入市场等新因素可能导致历史经验失效,宏观经济和利率政策预期将出现剧 烈分歧,影响外资流入节奏。 短期实质利好政策有限。一方面银行净息差持续收窄难以通过压力测试,另一方面流动性未趋紧,预计 定向降准可能性更大。中美元首通话涉及 TikTok 问题,字节跳动可能保留20%股权并授权算法给美国 企业,但关税和出口管制等实质问题难以达成,短期对风险偏好提升作用有限。此外,8月经济数据继 续边际下行,基本面支撑有限,节前南向资金风偏较低。 该行指,投资建议继续把握科技(AI互联网大盘+高端制造小盘)和有色金属主线,同时增配预期差较大 的港股保险股、"困境反转"和高股息等价值策略,部分超跌优质创新药可自下而上配置。需警惕小盘股 操纵风险,如药捷安康-B(02617)、山高控股(00412)等通过坐庄拉抬进入港 ...
研报掘金|招商证券:首予绿茶集团目标价11.8港元及“强烈推荐”评级
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-23 02:48
Core Viewpoint - The report from China Merchants Securities initiates coverage on Green Tea Group with a target price of HKD 11.8 and a "strong buy" rating, highlighting its leadership in the domestic Chinese casual dining sector [1] Group 1: Company Strategy - Green Tea Group focuses on the fusion cuisine segment, primarily operating in the East China, North China, and Guangdong regions, aiming to create high-cost performance Chinese fusion dishes [1] - The company plans to continue its store expansion through strategies such as small store formats, regional densification, geographical expansion, and market penetration [1] Group 2: Supply Chain and Financial Outlook - The establishment of a central kitchen is expected to enhance the maturity of the company's supply chain, which may drive continuous revenue growth and accelerate profit release [1]
招商证券国际:内房需求触底 价格走势不一 对内地房地产行业维持“增持”评级
智通财经网· 2025-09-23 02:38
该行表示,房地产行业价格走势混杂,购房活动增加,流动性收紧。截至2025年8月,北京以及广州二 手房的价格以及租金都出现更大幅度的降低,租金降低幅度更大。12个城市的二手房平均看房量由7月 的按月跌8.7%逆转至增2.8%,同比增长加速4个百分点至19.8%。流动性方面,截至9月,宏观流动性按 月进一步收紧,同比宽松幅度有所收窄。 该行还表示,相关购房政策不大可能在市场上统一执行,但是可能随着试点计划而逐步铺排。长期来 看,房地产行业新的发展模式可能会通过提高行业进入门槛,来加强该品质公司的市场地位。 智通财经APP获悉,招商证券国际发布研报称,内地房地产住房签约面积受惠于看房量以及价格稳定, 超过去年水平。需求出现触底迹象;试点计划将在政策大规模出台前逐步启动。该行对内地房地产行业 维持"增持"评级,都市化进程转向品质升级。 ...
中国证券业_月度日均交易量创历史新高,市场情绪强劲回升-China Securities_ Strong pickup in sentiment with record-high monthly ADT
2025-09-23 02:34
Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The report focuses on the Greater China Financials sector, particularly the performance of Chinese brokerage firms and the overall sentiment in the A-share market [2][3][5]. Core Insights - **Earnings Growth**: In 1H25, earnings for China brokers under coverage grew by 65% YoY, or 45% YoY excluding a one-off gain, improving from 39% YoY in 1Q25. CICC showed the strongest growth due to recovery in investment banking revenues and decent investment income [5][9]. - **Market Activity**: A-share market average daily trading (ADT) reached a record high of RMB2.3 trillion in August, marking a 285% YoY increase and a 41% MoM increase. Daily ADT has remained above RMB2 trillion for over 20 trading days [6][15]. - **Margin Financing**: The margin financing balance hit a record high of RMB2.3 trillion in early September, with margin financing accounting for approximately 12% of ADT, which is lower than levels seen in 2015 [6][23][25]. - **New Accounts**: Brokers opened 2.65 million new accounts in August, a 35% MoM increase, indicating rising interest from both new and existing clients [6][34]. Regulatory Changes - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) has released draft rules for cutting mutual fund sales fees, which is expected to impact firms like East Money and traditional brokers such as Guangfa Sec and CMS more significantly due to their higher earnings from mutual fund distribution [7]. Investment Recommendations - **Top Picks**: CICC and East Money are highlighted as top picks. CICC is viewed as a strong proxy for IPO flows in China/HK, while East Money is expected to benefit from improving retail sentiment [8][9]. Valuation Metrics - The report includes a valuation comparison of various brokerage firms, with CICC's market cap at USD 21 billion and a P/E ratio of 13.6 for FY25E [10]. Market Sentiment - Despite the positive trends, overall sentiment remains below levels seen in September 2024. The current market rally is attributed to asset rotation and an increase in excess liquidity [33][42]. Future Projections - An estimated additional RMB14 trillion in fund flows into the equity market is anticipated over the next three years due to shifts in asset allocation, particularly from life insurers and mutual funds [52]. IPO Market Dynamics - The IPO market is showing signs of recovery, with CICC leading in both HK and A-share IPO issuance. The report notes a robust pipeline for HK IPOs and a gradual improvement in A-share IPO flows [55][63]. Additional Insights - The report indicates that the equity underwriting market is moderately active, with bond underwriting flows remaining robust in 2025 [67][68]. - Mutual fund AUM (excluding money market funds) was RMB20.5 trillion in July 2025, reflecting a 13% YoY growth [78]. This summary encapsulates the key points from the conference call, providing insights into the performance and outlook of the Greater China Financials sector, particularly focusing on brokerage firms and market dynamics.
招商证券:25H1险企负债端表现亮眼 资产端分化明显
智通财经网· 2025-09-22 09:35
2025H1上市险企投资资产规模稳步增长,哑铃型配置结构更加突出,但债券增配力度较小而股票增配 力度更大,截至6月末各公司股票占比分别为新华保险11.6%>中国平安10.5%>中国太保9.7%>中国人寿 8.7%>中国太平8.3%>中国人保5.4%。从收益表现来看,净投资收益率延续下行态势,分别为中国人保 3.7%(同比-0.1pt)>中国平安3.6%(简单年化、同比+0.3pt)>中国太保3.4%(简单年化、同比-0.2pt)>新华保 险3.0%(同比-0.2pt)>中国人寿2.8%(同比-0.3pt)。 总投资收益率差异明显主因权益投资策略不同,分别为新华保险5.9%(同比+1.1pt)>中国人保5.1%(同比 +1.0pt)>中国太保4.6%(简单年化、同比-0.8pt)>中国平安3.8%(简单年化、同比+0.3pt)>中国人寿3.3%(同 比-0.3pt)。 净利润和净资产分化明显,中期分红重视股东回报 受资本市场波动影响不同,2025H1上市险企归母净利润增速分别为新华保险+33.5%>中国人保+16.9%> 中国太平+12.2%>中国太保+11.0%>中国人寿+6.9%。剔除短期投资波动和其他一次 ...