Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the industry [5] Core Insights - The retail sector is expected to show varied performance in Q4 2025, with significant growth in certain segments like gold and jewelry, while others like supermarkets and department stores are projected to decline [1][2][4] - The report highlights the importance of the upcoming Spring Festival season, suggesting that sectors with performance elasticity, such as duty-free shops and certain tourist attractions, should be closely monitored [9] - The report emphasizes the potential of AI applications in enhancing e-commerce marketing, indicating a shift towards new retail strategies [9] Summary by Relevant Sections Retail Sector Outlook - Gold and Jewelry: - Lao Feng Xiang: Expected net profit growth of -15% to 5% in Q4 2025 - Zhou Da Sheng: Expected net profit growth of 15% to 30% in Q4 2025 - Chao Hong Ji: Forecasted net profit of 1.2 to 2.2 billion, with a year-on-year increase of 125% to 175% - Cai Bai Co.: Expected net profit growth of 150% to 254% in Q4 2025 - Yu Garden Co.: Forecasted loss of 4.312 billion in Q4 2025, compared to a loss of 1.03 billion in the same period last year [1] - Trendy Toys: - Miniso: Expected revenue growth of 25% to 30% in Q4 2025, with adjusted net profit growth of 10% to 20% [1] Supermarkets and Department Stores - Chongqing Department Store: Expected net profit of 1.021 billion, a decline of 22.4% year-on-year, with a projected drop of 92.5% in Q4 2025 - Wangfujing: Expected net profit loss of 0.45 to 0.23 billion, with a growth rate of -6.6% to 7.3% in Q4 2025 - Yonghui Supermarket: Expected loss of 2.14 billion, with a net profit growth rate of -3.1% in Q4 2025 - Home Home Joy: Expected net profit of 198 to 228 million, with a growth rate of 50.1% to 72.8% in Q4 2025 [2] Cross-Border and E-commerce - Small Commodity City: Expected net profit growth of 5% to 15% in Q4 2025 - Anker Innovation: Expected net profit growth of 10% to 20% in Q4 2025 - Su Mei Da: Expected net profit of 1.355 billion, with a growth rate of 70.8% in Q4 2025 [3] Social Services Sector Outlook - Duty-Free: China Duty-Free Group: Expected net profit growth of 29% to 173% in Q4 2025 - Tourism: - Songcheng Performance: Expected net profit growth of -204% to 294% in Q4 2025 - Jiuhua Tourism: Expected net profit growth of 0% to 15% in Q4 2025 [4] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on sectors with performance elasticity during the Spring Festival, including duty-free, certain tourist attractions, and gold and jewelry [9] - For 2026, the report suggests looking at service consumption and product consumption, particularly in duty-free and travel chains, as well as undervalued segments with improving fundamentals [9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the industry [5] Core Views - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on sub-sectors with performance elasticity during the upcoming Spring Festival peak season, including duty-free, certain scenic spots, supermarkets, and gold jewelry [9] - It suggests that the recent fundamentals of duty-free and travel chains have improved, warranting ongoing observation and validation [9] - For 2026, the report recommends focusing on service consumption and product consumption, particularly in the duty-free and travel chain sectors, as well as the gold jewelry sector and Miniso, which have high valuation attractiveness [9] Summary by Relevant Sections Retail Sector Outlook for Q4 2025 - Gold Jewelry: - Lao Feng Xiang: Expected net profit growth of -15% to 5% - Zhou Da Sheng: Expected net profit growth of 15% to 30% - Chao Hong Ji: Forecasted net profit of 436 million to 533 million, a year-on-year increase of 125% to 175% - Cai Bai Co.: Expected net profit of 1.06 billion to 1.23 billion, corresponding to a growth of 150% to 254% - Yu Garden Co.: Forecasted loss of 4.312 billion, primarily due to asset impairment provisions [1] - Trendy Toys: - Miniso: Expected revenue growth of 25% to 30%, with adjusted operating profit and net profit growth of 10% to 20% [1] Supermarket and Department Store Outlook for Q4 2025 - Chongqing Department Store: Expected net profit of 1.021 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 22.4% - Wangfujing: Expected net profit of -45 million to -23 million, with a growth rate of -6.6% to 7.3% - Yonghui Supermarket: Expected loss of 2.14 billion, with a growth rate of -3.1% - Jiajiayue: Expected net profit of 198 million to 228 million, growth of 50.1% to 72.8% - Hongqi Chain: Expected net profit growth of -10% to 0% [2] Cross-Border and E-commerce Outlook for Q4 2025 - Small Commodity City: Expected net profit growth of 5% to 15% - Anker Innovation: Expected net profit growth of 10% to 20% - Saiwei Times: Expected net profit of 90 million to 130 million - Huakai Yibai: Expected net profit of 80 million to 110 million, driven by improved operational efficiency [3] Social Services Sector Outlook for Q4 2025 - Duty-Free: China Duty-Free Group: Expected net profit growth of 29% to 173% - Tourism: - Songcheng Performance: Expected net profit growth of -204% to 294% - Tianmu Lake: Expected net profit growth of -10% to 5% [4] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies such as Small Commodity City, China Duty-Free, Huazhu Group, Shoulu Hotel, Jinjiang Hotel, Chao Hong Ji, Jiuhua Tourism, Ruoyu Chen, Qingmu Technology, and Miniso, while also keeping an eye on other companies with potential [10]

Group 1 - The hotel and catering sector increased by 0.96% compared to the previous trading day, with Quan Jud leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4157.98, up 0.16%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14300.08, down 0.3% [1] - Key stocks in the hotel and catering sector showed varied performance, with Quan Jud closing at 12.28, up 3.37%, and ST Yunwang closing at 2.11, down 2.31% [1] Group 2 - The net inflow of main funds in the hotel and catering sector was 17.95 million yuan, while retail investors saw a net outflow of 17.99 million yuan [1] - Major stocks like Jin Jiang Hotel and Huatian Hotel experienced significant net inflows from main funds, with Jin Jiang Hotel seeing 14.91 million yuan [2] - ST Yunwang had the highest net outflow from main funds at 9.84 million yuan, indicating a negative sentiment towards this stock [2]

Market Overview - The hotel and catering sector experienced a decline of 0.64% on January 28, with *ST Yunwang leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4151.24, up 0.27%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14342.9, up 0.09% [1] Stock Performance - Key stocks in the hotel and catering sector showed mixed performance, with Junxi Hotel rising by 0.86% to 30.53, while *ST Yunwang fell by 4.42% to 2.16 [1] - The trading volume and turnover for major stocks included: - Junxi Hotel: 47,000 shares, 1.44 billion CNY - Xian Catering: 122,400 shares, 113 million CNY - Jinjiang Hotel: 58,600 shares, 156 million CNY - *ST Yunwang: 256,800 shares, 56.12 million CNY [1] Capital Flow - The hotel and catering sector saw a net outflow of 32.18 million CNY from institutional investors and 33.67 million CNY from retail investors, while retail investors had a net inflow of 65.85 million CNY [1] - Detailed capital flow for selected stocks included: - Jinjiang Hotel: Net inflow of 1.04 million CNY from institutions, but a net outflow of 1.36 million CNY from retail investors [2] - *ST Yunwang: Net outflow of 10.47 million CNY from institutions, with a net inflow of 4.75 million CNY from retail investors [2]

Core Viewpoint - The integration of culture, commerce, and tourism in Jiangsu is seen as a vital engine for driving new consumption growth, with a focus on enhancing awareness, top-level design, resource integration, and cultural identification to achieve high-quality economic development [1][2]. Group 1: Policy and Strategic Recommendations - The proposal emphasizes the need for deep integration of culture, tourism, and commerce to create a sustainable economic development model, suggesting four specific recommendations: strengthening policy supply, enhancing identification research, optimizing resource integration, and cultivating new scenarios [1]. - The Jiangsu Provincial Committee on Propaganda has established a humanistic economic evaluation system, with over 65% of the first 44 cases closely related to cultural and tourism integration, aiming to convert high-profile events into lasting tourism consumption [2]. - The Provincial Development and Reform Commission is focusing on macro coordination and project support, incorporating cultural and tourism integration projects into the provincial major project library for key support [3]. Group 2: Implementation and Development Initiatives - The Provincial Culture and Tourism Department is implementing a mechanism for deep integration, including an action plan to cultivate the cultural tourism industry as a pillar, with six major actions to expand industry space and enhance service quality [4]. - Various innovative products and experiences are being launched, such as the "Longing for the Yangtze River" in Nanjing and "A Smile in Bloom" in Wuxi, with a total of 364 key projects released during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, most of which focus on integration [4]. - Jiangsu is working to enhance its cultural tourism brand by developing original IPs based on local cultural resources and organizing significant promotional events to boost the influence of the "Water Charm Jiangsu" brand [5].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the industry [6]. Core Insights - The civil aviation sector is expected to see record-high passenger transport volume during the Spring Festival, with an anticipated 95 million passengers, representing a year-on-year growth of approximately 5.3% [2][5]. - The retail sector showed a slight increase in consumer spending, with a total retail sales of 45,136 billion yuan in December 2025, marking a 0.9% year-on-year growth [5]. - The report highlights the continuous rise in gold prices, with spot gold surpassing 4,800 USD per ounce, leading to increased prices for domestic gold jewelry [5]. - The report emphasizes the positive impact of travel policies on tourism and hotel sectors, suggesting a focus on companies like Atour, Huazhu Group, and Jinjiang Hotels [5][6]. Summary by Relevant Sections Civil Aviation - The report indicates that the domestic flight ticket prices have slightly increased compared to the previous year during the Spring Festival [5]. - The Civil Aviation Administration forecasts a daily average of 2.38 million passengers during the Spring Festival period [5]. Retail Sector - The total retail sales for the year 2025 reached 501,202 billion yuan, reflecting a 3.7% year-on-year increase [5]. - The report notes that the opening of the child-rearing subsidy program on January 5, 2026, will provide 3,600 yuan per child annually for children under three years old [5]. Company Announcements - China Duty Free Group announced the acquisition of DFS's travel retail business in Greater China for up to 395 million USD [5]. - Jiajiayue expects a net profit of 198 million to 228 million yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 50.06% to 72.79% [5]. - Meikailong anticipates a net loss of 22.5 billion to 15 billion yuan for 2025, a significant decline compared to the previous year [5]. - Jinling Hotel expects a net profit of 55 million to 63.5 million yuan for 2025, indicating a growth of 65.37% to 90.93% year-on-year [5].

Group 1: Company Fundraising and Investment - Company plans to use 500 million yuan of raised funds to increase capital in its wholly-owned subsidiaries for the implementation of a DRAM investment project [1] - Zhuhai Hengqin Chip Storage Co., Ltd. will receive 30 million yuan, and Hefei Chip Storage Co., Ltd. and Xi'an Chip Storage Co., Ltd. will receive 50 million yuan and 30 million yuan respectively for the DRAM project [1] Group 2: Profit Forecasts and Turnarounds - Yiling Pharmaceutical expects a net profit of 1.2 billion to 1.3 billion yuan in 2025, recovering from a loss of 725 million yuan in the previous year [2] - Liard anticipates a net profit of 300 million to 380 million yuan in 2025, compared to a loss of 889 million yuan last year, driven by a new strategic cycle focusing on AI [2] - Daming City forecasts a net profit of 140 million to 165 million yuan in 2025, recovering from a loss in the previous year, aided by reduced asset impairment losses [3] - Guanghua Technology expects a net profit of 85 million to 120 million yuan in 2025, recovering from a loss of 205 million yuan last year, due to expansion in specialized chemicals and PCB sectors [3] - Boteng Co. anticipates a net profit of 80 million to 105 million yuan in 2025, recovering from a loss of 288 million yuan, supported by operational efficiency improvements [4] - Shiyida expects a net profit of 31 million to 46 million yuan in 2025, recovering from a loss of 2.34 million yuan last year, driven by business development and cost control [4] - Guochuang High-tech forecasts a net profit of 16 million to 24 million yuan in 2025, recovering from a loss of 49 million yuan, aided by improved receivables management [5][6] Group 3: Share Buybacks - Hengyi Petrochemical plans to repurchase shares with a total fund of no less than 500 million yuan and no more than 1 billion yuan, with a maximum price of 15 yuan per share [7] - Yunyi Electric plans to repurchase shares with a total fund of no less than 100 million yuan and no more than 150 million yuan, with a maximum price of 17 yuan per share [7] - Xidian Pharmaceutical intends to repurchase shares with a total fund of no less than 25 million yuan and no more than 50 million yuan, with a maximum price of 42 yuan per share [7] Group 4: Performance Highlights - Te Yi Pharmaceutical expects a net profit of 70 million to 90 million yuan in 2025, a growth of 241.55% to 339.13% year-on-year [8] - Xingqi Eye Medicine anticipates a net profit of 662 million to 749 million yuan in 2025, a growth of 95.82% to 121.56% year-on-year [8] - Tianhe Co. forecasts a net profit of 41 million to 60 million yuan in 2025, a growth of 84.35% to 169.78% year-on-year [8] - Ruichuang Micro-Nano expects a net profit of approximately 1.1 billion yuan in 2025, a 93% increase year-on-year [9] - Zhongyuan Co. anticipates a net profit of 139 million to 158 million yuan in 2025, a growth of 80% to 105% year-on-year [9] Group 5: Important Corporate Developments - Aolaide has received acceptance for its application to issue securities on the Science and Technology Innovation Board [14] - *ST Songfa's subsidiary signed contracts for the construction of two VLCC super-large oil tankers, expected to positively impact future performance [15] - Chongda Technology's subsidiary signed an investment agreement for a 1 billion yuan IC packaging project in Jiangsu Province [15] - Yinglian Co. signed a strategic agreement with LG Chem to establish a joint laboratory for innovative materials in lithium battery applications [16]

Group 1 - ShenNan Electric A expects a net profit increase of 584.66%-721.59% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Te Yi Pharmaceutical anticipates a net profit increase of 241.55%-339.13% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - RunTu Co. forecasts a net profit increase of 181.05%-227.89% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - QingSong Co. projects a net profit increase of 137.73%-201.74% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - RuiSheng Intelligent expects a net profit increase of 112.00%-139.99% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - JianKai Technology anticipates a net profit increase of 101.09%-121.20% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - XingQi Eye Medicine forecasts a net profit increase of 95.82%-121.56% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - RuiChuang MicroNano expects a net profit increase of approximately 93% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - TianHe Co. projects a net profit increase of 84.35%-169.78% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - ZhongYuan Co. anticipates a net profit increase of 80%-105% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - YiDao Information expects a net profit increase of 76.04%-128.85% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - ShengDa Bio forecasts a net profit increase of 69.93%-120.90% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - HuaRui Precision anticipates a net profit increase of 68.29%-86.99% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - FangZheng Technology expects a net profit increase of 67.06%-98.14% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - JinLing Hotel projects a net profit increase of 65.37%-90.93% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - QiangYi Co. anticipates a net profit increase of 57.87%-71.17% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - LangBo Technology expects a net profit increase of 57.58%-66.53% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - HuaFeng Measurement and Control forecasts a net profit increase of 46%-78% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Zhaoyi Innovation anticipates a net profit increase of approximately 46% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - JieChang Drive expects a net profit increase of 40%-55% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - ShengYuan Environmental Protection projects a net profit increase of 31.79%-59.24% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - GuangHa Communication anticipates a net profit increase of 21.83%-31.31% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - MaiHe Co. expects a net profit increase of 19.58%-54.76% year-on-year for 2025 [1] Group 2 - YiLing Pharmaceutical expects a net profit of 1.2 billion to 1.3 billion yuan for 2025, turning profitable year-on-year [1] - LiYade anticipates a net profit of 300 million to 380 million yuan for 2025, turning profitable year-on-year [1] - SiRuiPu expects a net profit of 165 million to 184 million yuan for 2025, turning profitable year-on-year [1] - DaMing City anticipates a net profit of 140 million to 165 million yuan for 2025, turning profitable year-on-year [1] - DaHeng Technology expects a net profit of 106 million yuan for 2025, turning profitable year-on-year [1] - GuangHua Technology projects a net profit of 85 million to 120 million yuan for 2025, turning profitable year-on-year [1] - BoTeng Co. expects a net profit of 80 million to 105 million yuan for 2025, turning profitable year-on-year [2] - ZhongBing HongJian anticipates a net profit of 34 million to 46 million yuan for 2025, turning profitable year-on-year [2]

（编辑 王雪儿） 证券日报网讯 1月22日，金陵饭店发布公告称，公司预计2025年度实现归属于母公司所有者的净利润为 5，500万元到6，350万元，与上年相比，将增加2，174万元到3，024万元，同比增长65.37%到 90.93%。 ...

Group 1 - Huakang Clean announced it is the first candidate for the bid of the Wuhan First Hospital expansion project with a bid amount of 54.88 million yuan and a construction period of 120 days [1] - Hualing Steel's subsidiary plans to invest 449.88 million yuan in a major overhaul project for its coking plant, aiming to address aging issues and restore production capacity over a 19-month construction period [2] - Yinjia Technology expects a net loss of 140 million to 110 million yuan for 2025, compared to a loss of 129 million yuan in the previous year [3] Group 2 - Guochuang High-tech forecasts a net profit of 16 million to 24 million yuan for 2025, recovering from a loss of 58.52 million yuan in the previous year [4] - Shiyi Da anticipates a net profit increase of 31 million to 46 million yuan for 2025, turning around from a loss of 23.41 million yuan last year [5] - Lijun Co. expects a net profit of 48 million to 66 million yuan for 2025, representing a decline of 45.05% to 60.03% compared to the previous year [7] Group 3 - Xindian Pharmaceutical plans to repurchase shares worth 25 million to 50 million yuan for employee stock ownership plans or equity incentives, with a maximum repurchase price of 42 yuan per share [6] - Jingchen Co. has set the initial transfer price for its shares at 82.85 yuan per share, with a total of 13.1 million shares to be transferred to 28 institutional investors [8] - Zejing Pharmaceutical received approval for clinical trials of its innovative cancer immunotherapy drug ZG005 in combination with platinum-based chemotherapy for advanced nasopharyngeal and esophageal squamous cell carcinoma [9] Group 4 - Xingqi Eye Medicine expects a net profit of 662 million to 749 million yuan for 2025, marking a growth of 95.82% to 121.56% compared to the previous year [10] - Liancheng Precision anticipates a net loss of 12 million to 17 million yuan for 2025, reducing its loss from 37.96 million yuan in the previous year [11] - Beidou Star expects a net loss of 230 million to 290 million yuan for 2025, improving from a loss of 350 million yuan last year [13] Group 5 - Qing Shan Paper's affiliate won a bid for a wastewater treatment project worth 51.9 million yuan [15] - Yiling Pharmaceutical forecasts a net profit of 1.2 billion to 1.3 billion yuan for 2025, recovering from a loss of 725 million yuan in the previous year [16] - Huahai Pharmaceutical received a drug registration certificate for its product used in treating depression and obsessive-compulsive disorder [23] Group 6 - Nanjing Panda expects a net profit of 10 million to 15 million yuan for 2025, turning around from a loss of 189 million yuan last year [40] - Rui Sheng Intelligent anticipates a net profit of 33.92 million to 38.40 million yuan for 2025, representing a growth of 112% to 140% compared to the previous year [41] - Jiechang Drive expects a net profit of 395 million to 437 million yuan for 2025, with a growth of 40% to 55% compared to the previous year [43]