Core Viewpoint - The Japan-China flight routes are undergoing significant adjustments, with a notable increase in flight cancellations and a decline in passenger volume due to recent travel advisories and market factors [1][4]. Group 1: Flight Cancellations - The cancellation rate for flights to Japan is projected to reach 21.6% on November 27, marking the highest level in a month [1]. - A total of 12 routes have canceled all flights as of November 24, with several routes showing a 100% cancellation rate, including those from Hangzhou, Nanjing, and Yuncheng [3]. - The top routes with high cancellation rates include Tianjin to Kansai International (65.0%) and Nanjing to Kansai International (59.4%) [3]. Group 2: Airline Adjustments - Major Chinese airlines, including Air China, China Eastern, and Spring Airlines, have begun to adjust their services to Japan, with some flights closing reservations [4]. - For instance, China Eastern's Beijing to Osaka route will see 6 out of 14 weekly flights closed for booking starting December 1, 2025 [4]. - The overall flight volume from mainland China to Japan decreased by 471 flights in October compared to September, indicating a significant reduction in travel activity [4]. Group 3: Impact on Tourism and Economy - China is the largest source of tourists for Japan, with 7.487 million Chinese visitors from January to September 2025, representing a 42.7% year-on-year increase [6]. - A reduction in Chinese tourists is expected to directly lower Japan's GDP by 0.36%, resulting in an economic loss of approximately 2.2 trillion yen (about 101.16 billion yuan) [6].

Investment Rating - The transportation industry is rated as "Outperform" [2] Core Insights - Crude oil freight rates are rising while ocean freight rates are declining. The China Import Crude Oil Comprehensive Index (CTFI) reached 2325.40 points on November 20, up 4.2% from November 13. VLCC market activity remains strong, but overall market activity is expected to decline without actual cargo support [3][14] - Changlong Airlines has initiated its IPO process, and VOLANT has signed a confirmation order for the VE25-100 eVTOL aircraft with a state-owned investment group, with the order amount exceeding 100 million yuan [3][16] - The China-Europe Railway Express has surpassed 3500 trips this year, marking a historical high. A new "passenger-cargo-mail integration" model has been launched in cooperation between Rizhao Public Transport and SF Express [3][22] Summary by Sections Industry Hot Events - Crude oil freight rates are high while ocean freight rates are declining. The Shanghai port export price to Europe was $1367/TEU, down 3.5%, and to the US West and East Coast was $1645/FEU and $2384/FEU, down 9.8% and 8.3% respectively [3][15] - Changlong Airlines is preparing for its IPO, with a focus on expanding its operational capacity and market reach [3][16] - The China-Europe Railway Express has achieved a record of over 3500 trips this year, with a focus on high-value goods transportation [3][23] High-Frequency Data Tracking - The Baltic Air Freight Price Index has increased both month-on-month and year-on-year, indicating a positive trend in air freight pricing [4][28] - Domestic express delivery volume increased by 7.90% year-on-year in October 2025, with total express delivery volume reaching 176 billion pieces [4][50] - The national highway freight truck traffic increased by 2.57% week-on-week, indicating a recovery in road logistics [4][18] Investment Recommendations - Focus on the equipment and manufacturing export chain, recommending companies like COSCO Shipping, China Merchants Energy Shipping, and Huamao Logistics [5] - Attention to the low-altitude economy sector, with recommendations for CITIC Offshore Helicopter [5] - Investment opportunities in the road and rail sectors, recommending companies such as Gansu Expressway and Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway [5]

转自：新华财经 新华财经北京11月24日电 A股7家上市航空公司2025年三季报均已披露完毕。 新华财经和面包财经研究员梳理公开资料显示，2025年前三季度，南方航空、中国国航、中国东航营收规模超过千亿元。归母净利润方面，7家航司普遍实 现盈利。春秋航空、吉祥航空前三季度归母净利润同比出现下滑。 客座率方面，2025年前三季度，春秋航空、吉祥航空、南方航空客座率居前。 吉祥航空营收同比微降 2025年前三季度，南方航空、中国国航、中国东航营业收入规模均超过千亿元，分别为1376.65亿元、1298.26亿元、1064.14亿元。 | | A股上市航司2025年前三季度 | | | --- | --- | --- | | 证券代码 | 证券简称 | 营业总收入 | | 600029.SH | 南方航空 | 1,376.( | | 601111.SH | 中国国航 | 1,298.2 | | 600115.SH | 中国东航 1,064.1 | | | 600221.SH | 海航控股 | 534.3 | | 601021.SH | 春秋航空 | 167.7. | | ୧୦3885 ટેમ | 吉祥航空 | 17 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company has approved a share buyback plan to enhance investor confidence and maintain the interests of shareholders, with a total buyback amount set between RMB 30 million and RMB 50 million [1][2]. Group 1: Share Buyback Details - The company will use its own and self-raised funds to repurchase shares through centralized bidding, with a total buyback amount not less than RMB 30 million and not exceeding RMB 50 million [1]. - The maximum buyback price has been adjusted from RMB 65 per share to RMB 64.57 per share starting from October 17, 2025, due to the company's semi-annual equity distribution [1]. - As of November 21, 2025, the company has repurchased a total of 71,800 shares, accounting for 0.0073% of the total share capital, with a total expenditure of RMB 3,998,942.00 (excluding transaction fees) [2]. Group 2: Compliance and Future Actions - The company will strictly adhere to relevant regulations, including the "Listed Company Share Buyback Rules" and the "Self-Regulatory Guidelines for Listed Companies" during the buyback period [2]. - The company plans to continue the share buyback based on market conditions and will fulfill its information disclosure obligations regarding the progress of the buyback [2].

春秋航空股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）于 2025 年 8 月 27 日召开第五届 董事会第十二次会议，审议通过了《关于以集中竞价交易方式回购公司股份的议 案》，同意公司使用自有资金和自筹资金以集中竞价交易方式回购公司股份，回购 资金总额不低于人民币 30,000 万元（含），不超过人民币 50,000 万元（含），并 将回购股份全部用于员工持股计划，同时同意授权公司管理层全权办理本次回购股 份的相关事宜。因公司实施 2025 年半年度权益分派事宜，自 2025 年 10 月 17 日 （权益分派除权除息日）起，本次以集中竞价方式回购股份的价格上限由不超过人 民币 65 元/股（含）调整为不超过人民币 64.57 元/股（含）。详见公司于 2025 年 11 月 19 日披露的《春秋航空关于以集中竞价交易方式回购股份的回购报告书》 （公告编号：2025-064）。 截至 2025 年 11 月 21 日，公司通过上海证券交易所交易系统以集中竞价交易 方式已累计回购公司股份 71,800 股，占公司目前总股本的 0.0073%，使用资金总 额为人民币 3,998,942.00 元（不含交易佣金、过户费等交易费 ...

Core Insights - The report highlights a significant increase in VLCC (Very Large Crude Carrier) freight rates, reaching a new high, driven by a notable decline in Russian oil exports, which has created additional demand for oil transportation from the Middle East to India and China [3][4] - The report suggests a positive outlook for the transportation sector, particularly in shipping and aviation, with recommendations for specific companies such as China Merchants Energy and COSCO Shipping Energy [3][4] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring seasonal trends in freight rates, particularly the potential for a "not-so-dull" off-season from December to February [3] Industry Overview - The transportation index has decreased by 5.00%, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 1.23 percentage points, with the express delivery sector showing the smallest decline at -2.75% and the public transport sector experiencing the largest drop at -9.35% [4][11] - The shipping sector has shown mixed performance, with the Baltic Dry Index increasing by 5.67% while the coastal dry bulk freight index fell by 3.47% [4][11] - The report notes that the average freight rate for VLCCs has risen by 5% week-on-week, reaching $126,371 per day, with the Middle East to Far East route hitting a new high of $138,144 per day [3][4] Shipping Sector Insights - The report indicates that the average freight rate for the fourth quarter is approaching $99,000 per day, marking it as one of the highest quarterly averages in history [3] - The decline in Russian oil exports has been significant, dropping from nearly 4 million barrels per day to around 3 million barrels per day, which has increased demand for oil from the Middle East [3][4] - The report also highlights the recovery of chartering activities following the Bahri conference, with shipowners beginning to control capacity due to tightening supply [3] Aviation Sector Insights - The report discusses the unprecedented challenges in the aircraft manufacturing supply chain, with an aging fleet expected to persist over the next 5-10 years, leading to constrained supply [3] - It anticipates a significant improvement in airline profitability as capacity is allocated to international routes, suggesting a potential golden era for airlines [3] - Recommendations include major airlines such as China Eastern Airlines and Spring Airlines, which are expected to benefit from these trends [3] Express Delivery Sector Insights - The express delivery industry is entering a new phase of competition, with three potential scenarios outlined: price recovery leading to utility-like profitability, continued competitive pressure, or higher-level consolidation [3] - Companies such as Shentong Express and YTO Express are highlighted as having strong potential due to their competitive advantages and market positioning [3] High Dividend Stocks in Transportation - The report lists high dividend yield stocks in the transportation sector, including Bohai Ferry with a yield of 8.08% and China Railway with a yield of 3.95% [21] - The focus on high dividend stocks is seen as a stable investment strategy amidst market fluctuations [21]

Core Viewpoint - Chinese airlines are significantly adjusting their flight services to Japan due to recent provocative remarks from the Japanese Prime Minister, leading to a substantial reduction in flight availability and cancellations of bookings [1][23]. Flight Adjustments - China International Airlines will maintain 4 weekly flights from Beijing Capital to Sapporo New Chitose from December 9, 2025, to March 7, 2026, canceling the planned increase to 7 flights [1]. - Flights from Chongqing to Tokyo Narita will decrease from 7 to 4 weekly starting December 1, 2025, using the 737-800 aircraft [3]. - The Shanghai Pudong to Fukuoka route will reduce from 7 to 6 weekly flights from February 3 to March 24, 2026, with the cancellation of the 7th flight [3]. - The Shanghai Pudong to Osaka Kansai route will see a reduction from 21 to 16 weekly flights starting November 30, 2025 [4]. - China Eastern Airlines will close bookings for 6 out of 14 weekly flights from Beijing Daxing to Osaka Kansai starting December 1, 2025 [6]. Booking Cancellations - Approximately 500,000 tickets for travel to Japan have been canceled, reflecting a significant drop in Chinese tourist enthusiasm for Japan [23]. - The cancellation rate for flights from China to Japan reached 13.4%, the highest in the past five days, indicating a downward trend in passenger volume [23]. - Travel agencies report a surge in cancellations, with over 50% of bookings for trips to Japan being canceled [24]. Industry Impact - The current situation represents the largest scale of ticket cancellations seen since early 2020, although the overall impact on the domestic Chinese airline industry may be limited [23]. - The passenger load factor for flights from mainland China to Japan has dropped significantly, with a 12.3 percentage point decrease week-on-week [23].

Core Viewpoint - Chinese airlines are significantly adjusting their flight services to Japan due to recent provocative remarks from the Japanese Prime Minister, leading to the cancellation of many flight bookings [1]. Group 1: Flight Adjustments by Airlines - Air China will maintain 4 weekly flights from Beijing Capital to Sapporo New Chitose from December 9, 2025, to March 7, 2026, canceling the planned increase to 7 flights [2]. - Flights from Chongqing to Tokyo Narita will reduce from 7 to 4 weekly starting December 1, 2025, using the 737-800 aircraft [4]. - Shanghai Pudong to Fukuoka will see a reduction from 7 to 6 weekly flights from February 3 to March 24, 2026, using the A321 [4]. - Shanghai Pudong to Osaka Kansai will decrease from 21 to 16 weekly flights starting November 30, 2025, using the A321 [5]. - China Eastern Airlines will close bookings for 6 out of 14 weekly flights from Beijing Daxing to Osaka Kansai starting December 1, 2025 [7]. - Several other routes, including those from Chengdu, Nanchang, and Wuhan to Osaka Kansai, will also see reductions in flight frequency or closures of bookings [8][10][11]. Group 2: Impact on Other Airlines - Juneyao Airlines will close bookings for 1 out of 2 daily flights from Beijing Daxing to Osaka Kansai starting November 30, 2025 [14]. - Spring Airlines will close bookings for 1 weekly flight from Dalian to Fukuoka starting November 28, 2025 [20]. - Tianjin Airlines will reduce flights from Tianjin to Osaka Kansai, closing bookings for 4 out of 7 flights starting November 27, 2025 [26]. - Sichuan Airlines has canceled its planned resumption of flights from Chengdu to Sapporo New Chitose, which was set to operate 3 weekly flights starting January 2, 2026 [28]. Group 3: Overall Market Impact - The total number of flights on the Japan routes operated by Juneyao Airlines will be reduced to a maximum of 114 weekly flights (one-way), with approximately 24% of the flights currently not accepting bookings [19].

Core Viewpoint - Spring Airlines successfully issued a record low-interest bond, reflecting strong market demand and investor confidence in the company as a "safe asset" [3][4]. Group 1: Bond Issuance - The bond, named "25 Spring K1," was issued at a scale of 800 million yuan with a three-year term and a coupon rate of 1.98%, achieving an oversubscription ratio of 3.03 times, marking the lowest rate for similar bonds in the transportation sector [2][3]. - The issuance was driven by three main considerations: preparing for future capital expenditures, responding to investor calls for increased leverage, and testing market acceptance of corporate bonds [3]. - The successful issuance is attributed not only to Spring Airlines' strong fundamentals but also to supportive policies and regulatory environments that have improved the market's acceptance of private enterprise bonds [3][4]. Group 2: Business Strategy and Innovation - Spring Airlines has positioned itself as a low-cost carrier, focusing on cost control and operational efficiency, which has allowed it to be the first airline to return to profitability post-pandemic [5]. - The company is committed to continuous cost optimization through technological innovation, with significant investments in R&D and digital transformation, including AI applications for operational efficiency [5][6]. - Future business strategies include expanding domestic operations, enhancing service to second and third-tier markets, and exploring international growth opportunities, particularly in Northeast and Southeast Asia [7][8]. Group 3: Corporate Culture and Competitive Advantage - Spring Airlines is known for its frugal corporate culture, which emphasizes cost-saving measures while maintaining competitive salaries that are 20% to 30% above industry averages [9][10]. - The company’s long-term financial policies are conservative, ensuring sufficient cash reserves to sustain operations even during downturns [10]. - The competitive advantages of Spring Airlines have been validated over its 20-year history, with a focus on the execution of its business model and corporate culture being key to its sustainability [12].

【导读】在政策与市场的双重驱动下，春秋航空以创纪录低利率成功发债 中国基金报记者 郑俊婷 11月初，春秋航空2025年面向专业投资者公开发行的科技创新公司债券（第一期）（以下简称"25春秋K1"）在上交所成功发行。该债券规模为8亿元，期 限三年，票面利率为1.98%，超额认购倍数达3.03倍，创下交运领域民营企业同期限信用债最低利率，亦为航空公司同期限公司债的最低发行利率。 上海总部中国基金报记者郑俊婷摄 时隔9年发债效果超出预期 "25春秋K1"是春秋航空时隔9年再次发行公司债券。对于3倍的超额认购和较低的票面利率，陈可坦言超出预期。 作为一家中大型规模的民营航司，春秋航空的公司债缘何受到市场热捧？在负债率同行业最低的情况下，本次发债的初衷是什么？募集资金主要投向哪些 业务板块？面对风险扰动，倚重东北亚及东南亚市场的国际业务是否会进行战略调整？……带着这些问题，近日中国基金报记者实地参与春秋航空媒体活 动，并与公司董事、CFO、董事会秘书陈可深度对话。 据陈可介绍，之所以在当前时点发债，主要有三点考量。一是为未来的资本性开支做准备，如购买飞机和发动机等核心设备。二是在目前货币政策比较宽 松的环境下，回应投资 ...