Core Viewpoint - The China Securities Index for Hong Kong, Shanghai, and Shenzhen Dividend Growth Low Volatility Index (SHS Dividend Growth LV) has shown positive performance trends, with a 1.64% increase over the past month, 9.07% over the past three months, and an 8.71% increase year-to-date [1]. Group 1: Index Performance - The SHS Dividend Growth LV Index opened lower but closed higher, down 0.23% at 7477.8 points with a trading volume of 37.679 billion yuan [1]. - The index is composed of 100 securities selected from the mainland and Hong Kong markets, focusing on companies with continuous cash dividends, stable profit growth, and low volatility [1]. Group 2: Index Holdings - The top ten holdings in the SHS Dividend Growth LV Index include major banks such as China Construction Bank (2.5%), Postal Savings Bank (2.14%), and Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (1.85%) [1]. - The index's market allocation shows that the Shanghai Stock Exchange accounts for 55.01%, the Hong Kong Stock Exchange for 24.53%, and the Shenzhen Stock Exchange for 20.46% [2]. Group 3: Sector Allocation - The sector distribution of the index indicates that the financial sector holds the largest share at 45.02%, followed by industrial (19.67%) and healthcare (7.71%) sectors [2]. - Other sectors represented include consumer discretionary (7.22%), communication services (6.68%), utilities (5.44%), materials (4.59%), energy (1.96%), and consumer staples (1.70%) [2]. Group 4: Index Adjustment and Fund Tracking - The index samples are adjusted biannually, with changes implemented on the next trading day following the second Friday of June and December [2]. - Public funds tracking the SHS Dividend Growth LV Index include several funds managed by Invesco Great Wall [2].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive (Maintain)" [6] Core Viewpoints - The external environment's uncertainty is increasing, and the continuation of loose monetary policy is expected, with the overall expected return rate for society trending downward in the medium to long term. The effectiveness of low-volatility dividend strategies is likely to persist. The public fund reform is expected to assist banks in achieving excess returns as the allocation style returns to normal [3][26] - The banking sector's fundamentals are expected to improve marginally in Q2 2025 compared to Q1 2025, primarily due to alleviated pressure on other non-interest income growth [3][26] Summary by Sections Investment Suggestions and Targets - Two main investment lines are currently being focused on: 1. Preparing for the anticipated reduction in insurance preset rates in Q3 2025 by investing in high-dividend banks, with recommendations to pay attention to China Construction Bank (601939, not rated), Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (601398, not rated), and Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank (601077, Buy) [4][27] 2. Continuing to favor small and medium-sized banks that have performed strongly since the beginning of the year, with recommendations to focus on Industrial Bank (601166, not rated), CITIC Bank (601998, not rated), Nanjing Bank (601009, Buy), Jiangsu Bank (600919, Buy), and Hangzhou Bank (600926, Buy) [4][27] Financial Data Insights - In June 2025, the social financing (社融) year-on-year growth was 8.9%, with a month-on-month increase of 0.2 percentage points, and the monthly increment was 4.20 trillion yuan, exceeding the consensus expectation of 494.2 billion yuan [9][10] - The increase in loans was primarily driven by corporate short-term loans, with total loans growing by 7.1% year-on-year in June 2025, and the monthly increment was 2.24 trillion yuan, also surpassing expectations [15][20] - M1 growth accelerated to 4.6% year-on-year in June 2025, with M2 growth at 8.3%, indicating a narrowing gap between M2 and M1 growth rates [20][21] Structural Changes in Financing - The increase in social financing was mainly supported by government bonds and loans, with government bonds increasing by 507.2 billion yuan year-on-year [11][10] - Corporate direct financing also saw a year-on-year increase of 36.2 billion yuan, primarily due to a rise in bond financing [11][10]

Market Overview - The overall market is experiencing a pullback, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3500.62 points, down 0.12% [2] - The total trading volume for the market was 927 billion, showing a significant decrease compared to the previous day [3] Financial Sector Performance - The financial sector, particularly banks and insurance companies, is underperforming, contributing to the decline of the Shanghai Composite Index [3][8] - Major insurance companies like New China Life and China Life have seen declines exceeding 1%, with New China Life down 2.69% [8] - Among 42 bank stocks, only China Bank remained flat, while others, including Xiamen Bank and Qilu Bank, experienced declines of nearly 4% and 2.89% respectively [13] New IPOs and Market Movements - N Huadian New Energy, the largest IPO of the year, saw its stock price rise by as much as 219.81% during trading, reaching a peak of 10.17 yuan per share [12] - The company raised 18.171 billion yuan through the issuance of 4.969 billion shares, with plans for investment in renewable energy projects [15] Hong Kong Market Performance - The Hong Kong market is showing positive trends, with the Hang Seng Index up 0.28% and the Hang Seng Technology Index up 0.61% [5] - Anta Sports led the gains in the Hang Seng Index, rising by 2.73% [6] Notable Stock Movements - The stock of Weiyali surged by 918% upon its resumption of trading, reflecting significant market interest [17] - The stock price of Weiyali reached 33.2 HKD per share during trading, before settling at 11 HKD, marking a 237.42% increase [18]

Core Viewpoint - A-share listed banks are experiencing a peak in dividend distribution for the 2024 fiscal year, with over thirty banks having completed their annual dividends and several others announcing dividend implementation plans [1][3][4]. Group 1: 2024 Annual Dividends - The Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) leads with a total cash dividend of approximately 109.77 billion yuan for the previous year [3][4]. - The six major state-owned banks have collectively distributed over 420 billion yuan in dividends for 2024, with ICBC, China Construction Bank, Agricultural Bank of China, and Bank of China being the top contributors [4][6]. - Other banks such as China CITIC Bank and Beijing Bank have also announced significant cash dividends, with CITIC Bank distributing around 19.46 billion yuan [4][5]. Group 2: 2025 Mid-Year Dividend Plans - Several banks, including China Merchants Bank and Hangzhou Bank, have initiated plans for mid-year dividends in 2025, aiming to enhance investor returns [1][8][10]. - The focus on mid-year dividends is seen as a strategy to improve liquidity and provide more consistent cash flow to investors, which may support long-term stock price appreciation [10]. - Banks like Su Nong Bank and Changsha Bank have expressed intentions to implement mid-year dividend plans based on their financial performance and regulatory requirements [8][9]. Group 3: Stock Performance and Market Trends - The banking sector has shown strong performance in the A-share market, with several banks achieving significant stock price increases in the first half of the year [12][13]. - The overall dividend yield of the banking sector remains attractive, particularly in a low-interest-rate environment, making it appealing for long-term investors [10][13]. - Some banks have faced challenges in executing share buyback plans due to stock price fluctuations, indicating a cautious approach to capital management [11][14].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the banking sector [2] Core Insights - The report highlights a recovery in credit growth, with government bonds remaining a primary support item. In June, social financing increased by 900.8 billion yuan year-on-year, with a total of 4.2 trillion yuan added, surpassing market expectations [9][10] - The structure of social financing shows a significant increase in credit, with a notable rise in government bond issuance, which reached 1.3508 trillion yuan in June, up 503.2 billion yuan year-on-year [10][12] Summary by Sections Social Financing Growth - In June, social financing increased by 900.8 billion yuan compared to the same month last year, with a total of 4.2 trillion yuan added, exceeding consensus expectations. The year-on-year growth rate of social financing reached 8.9%, a 0.2 percentage point increase from May [9][10] Credit Situation - New loans in June amounted to 2.24 trillion yuan, an increase of 110 billion yuan year-on-year, which is higher than market expectations. The year-on-year growth rate of credit balance was 7.1%, with the growth rate remaining stable compared to the previous month [12][13] - The credit structure indicates that various types of general loans (excluding bills) have increased year-on-year, while the characteristics of bill financing have weakened. Specifically, corporate short-term loans saw a significant increase [13][18] Liquidity and Deposit Situation - In June, M1 growth rate significantly increased, and the gap between M2 and M1 narrowed. M0, M1, and M2 grew by 12.0%, 4.6%, and 8.3% year-on-year, respectively [6][12] - The total increase in RMB deposits in June was 3.21 trillion yuan, which is 750 billion yuan more than the same period last year, with a year-on-year growth rate of 8.3% [6][12] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on the banking sector, particularly regional banks with strong certainty and advantages, such as Jiangsu Bank and Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank. It also highlights the importance of high dividend stability in large banks [6][12]

Core Viewpoint - High dividend stocks continue to rise, with a focus on "high dividend + low valuation" large-cap blue-chip stocks in the value ETF (510030) [1][4] Group 1: Market Performance - The value ETF (510030) opened slightly lower but then rose, with a current price increase of 0.27% [1] - The 180 Value Index has outperformed major A-share indices since the beginning of the year, with a cumulative increase of 7.24% compared to the Shanghai Composite Index's 4.73% and the CSI 300 Index's 2.03% [1][3] - As of July 11, 2025, the 180 Value Index's price-to-book ratio is at 0.85, indicating a relatively low valuation compared to the past decade [8] Group 2: Sector Analysis - The banking sector is the largest weight in the 180 Value Index, accounting for 50% as of June 2025 [5] - Insurance funds are expected to continue increasing their allocation to high-dividend bank stocks due to anticipated decreases in preset interest rates [4][6] - The focus on high dividend and high free cash flow return combinations is emphasized as a strategy to mitigate external uncertainties [6] Group 3: Investment Strategy - The value ETF closely tracks the 180 Value Index, which selects the top 60 stocks based on value factor scores, including major financial and infrastructure stocks [6] - The strategy suggests maintaining a "dividend core + small-cap growth" allocation to balance stability and growth potential [6]

Core Viewpoint - Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank has received approval from the China Securities Regulatory Commission for its securities investment fund custody qualification, marking it as the first financial institution to obtain this qualification in 2023 and the 37th commercial bank overall [1][2]. Group 1: Fund Custodian Expansion - The bank will strictly adhere to regulations and the approval document to conduct securities investment fund custody business, ensuring the integrity and independence of fund assets while protecting the legal rights of fund shareholders [3]. - As of May, there are 68 financial institutions listed as securities investment fund custodians, with commercial banks accounting for over 52% of this group [3]. - Among the qualified commercial banks, state-owned banks and national joint-stock banks dominate, with only a few rural commercial banks like Guangzhou Rural Commercial Bank and Shanghai Rural Commercial Bank having custody qualifications [3]. Group 2: Positive Impacts on Banking Operations - Obtaining the fund custody license can expand the bank's intermediary business income, enhancing revenue diversification and risk resilience through fees from custody and account services [4]. - The custody qualification can improve customer loyalty and comprehensive financial service capabilities, allowing the bank to serve various asset management institutions and connect with high-net-worth and institutional clients [4]. - The custody business can lead to increased fund settlement and retention, optimizing the bank's asset-liability structure and enhancing overall profitability [4]. Group 3: Quality Enhancement in Business Development - Commercial banks must enhance their operational quality in fund custody, addressing issues such as compliance and internal controls, as evidenced by recent regulatory warnings against certain banks [5]. - There is a need for banks to invest in IT systems to support custody operations, including valuation and clearing systems, to ensure compliance and operational stability [5]. - Banks should focus on professional talent development, IT infrastructure improvement, risk management, and building cooperative relationships with fund companies to enhance the quality of custody services [6].

Group 1 - Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank has been approved by the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) to conduct securities investment fund custody business, making it the first commercial bank to receive this qualification in 2023 [1][2] - The CSRC emphasizes that Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank must strictly adhere to regulations and fulfill its responsibilities as a fund custodian, ensuring the integrity and independence of fund assets [2] - As of now, there are 37 banks with fund custody qualifications, including 6 state-owned banks, 12 joint-stock banks, 11 city commercial banks, 3 rural commercial banks, and 5 foreign banks [2] Group 2 - The total assets of public fund custody have exceeded 33 trillion yuan, with Industrial and Commercial Bank of China leading at 4.48 trillion yuan, accounting for 13.78% of the market [3] - Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank's total assets reached 1.51 trillion yuan by the end of 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5.13%, positioning it among the top listed rural commercial banks [3] - The bank's revenue turned positive in 2024, with operating income of 28.261 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.09%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 11.513 billion yuan, up 5.6% [3] Group 3 - The CSRC has released a draft for the revision of the "Regulations on the Management of Securities Investment Fund Custody Business," focusing on prominent industry issues [4] - The revision aims to address the concentration of the fund custody industry, where a few national commercial banks and securities companies hold 80%-90% of public and private fund assets [4] - The draft proposes to clarify business boundaries and enhance the responsibilities of custodians, addressing issues such as "custody without management" and the need for a market exit mechanism [4][5] Group 4 - Key measures in the revised regulations include improving entry thresholds, strengthening risk isolation, and solidifying custodian responsibilities [5][6] - The regulations require custodians to verify information provided by fund managers and to avoid "sick custody" situations, ensuring that custodians fully disclose risks [6] - The draft allows high-quality custodians to establish wholly-owned subsidiaries dedicated to custody business, subject to relevant financial regulatory requirements [6]

Core Viewpoint - Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank has been approved for securities investment fund custody qualifications, making it the first commercial bank to receive this approval in the current year [1][2]. Group 1: Fund Custody Qualification - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) has granted Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank the qualification to conduct securities investment fund custody business, emphasizing the need to adhere to regulations and protect the rights of fund shareholders [3]. - Fund custody involves banks or financial institutions safeguarding fund assets, handling settlement, reviewing net asset values, supervising investments, and convening shareholder meetings [3]. - A total of 37 banks have obtained fund custody qualifications, including 6 state-owned banks, 12 joint-stock banks, 11 city commercial banks, 3 rural commercial banks, and 5 foreign banks [3]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - Fund custody business is a significant source of intermediary income for commercial banks, characterized by low capital requirements, making it a vital revenue stream [3]. - Many regional banks are entering the fund custody market, with several others, including Chengdu Rural Commercial Bank and Inner Mongolia Merchants Bank, in the queue for custody qualifications [3]. - As of now, the total assets under public fund custody exceed 33 trillion yuan, with Industrial and Commercial Bank of China leading at 4.48 trillion yuan, holding a market share of 13.78% [3]. Group 3: Regulatory Changes - The CSRC has proposed revisions to the "Securities Investment Fund Custody Business Management Measures," focusing on industry issues such as the concentration of custody services among a few banks and the need for clearer business boundaries [5][6]. - The revisions aim to enhance entry requirements, strengthen risk isolation, and clarify the responsibilities of custodians, ensuring that they focus on their core duties [6][7]. - New mechanisms for market exit are being established, including conditions for license cancellation and the establishment of specialized subsidiaries for custody services by high-quality institutions [7].

Core Viewpoint - The recent trend of abolishing supervisory boards among listed banks in China is driven by the implementation of the new Company Law and regulatory policies, allowing for a shift towards audit committees within boards of directors to assume supervisory roles [6][7][8]. Group 1: Legislative Changes - The new Company Law, effective from July 1, 2024, permits joint-stock companies to establish audit committees composed of directors, which can perform the functions of supervisory boards [6]. - The National Financial Regulatory Administration has issued guidelines that align with the new Company Law, allowing financial institutions to choose whether to maintain supervisory boards or delegate their responsibilities to audit committees [7]. Group 2: Industry Trends - As of June 2023, 17 listed banks have announced the abolition of their supervisory boards, including major state-owned banks and various smaller banks [5]. - On June 27, five major state-owned banks held shareholder meetings to approve the removal of supervisory boards, marking a significant shift in governance structure [1][5]. Group 3: Implementation and Challenges - The audit committees will take over the supervisory functions previously held by supervisory boards, focusing on financial oversight and internal control assessments [7][8]. - Concerns have been raised regarding the independence of audit committees, as they are composed entirely of board members, which may lead to conflicts of interest in their supervisory roles [8].